(SVRA) Savara - Ratings and Ratios
Molgramostim, Proteinosis, Respiratory
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 70.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 109% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.72% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.15 |
| Alpha | 79.56 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.90 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.441 |
| Beta | 0.850 |
| Beta Downside | 0.328 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.30% |
| Mean DD | 24.58% |
| Median DD | 22.72% |
Description: SVRA Savara October 26, 2025
Savara Inc. (NASDAQ: SVRA) is a clinical-stage biopharma focused on rare respiratory disorders, most notably autoimmune pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (aPAP). Its lead asset, molgramostim-an inhaled granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor-is currently in a pivotal Phase 3 trial evaluating efficacy and safety in aPAP patients.
According to the company’s most recent Form 10-K (Q2 2024), Savara reported approximately $68 million of cash and cash equivalents, providing runway into late 2025 under current burn rates of roughly $12 million per quarter. The Phase 2a aPAP study demonstrated a 45 % median improvement in the alveolar-protein-clearance endpoint versus placebo, a result that aligns with the broader biotech sector’s trend of accelerated regulatory pathways for rare-disease therapies (FDA’s “Rare Pediatric Disease” and “Orphan Drug” incentives). Additionally, the global rare-disease market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~11 % through 2030, driven by higher prevalence awareness and premium pricing power.
For a deeper dive into Savara’s valuation dynamics and how its cash position stacks up against peers, you might find ValueRay’s analyst notes useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-115.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.3k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.70 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -36.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.70 (>3.0%) and CFO -99.3m > Net Income -115.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 7.65 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (216.5m) change vs 12m ago 2.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.14% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.14pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -57.38 (EBITDA TTM -117.5m / Interest Expense TTM -2.05m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -25.29
| (A) 0.79 = (Total Current Assets 128.2m - Total Current Liabilities 16.8m) / Total Assets 140.9m |
| (B) -4.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -575.9m / Total Assets 140.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -4.09 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.62 = EBIT TTM -117.7m / Avg Total Assets 189.9m |
| (D) -12.37 = Book Value of Equity -575.8m / Total Liabilities 46.5m |
| Total Rating: -25.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.08
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -10.95% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -66.24)% |
| 7. RoE -86.60% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 25.21% |
| 9. EPS Trend -95.30% |
What is the price of SVRA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.27%, over one month by +54.24%, over three months by +77.93% and over the past year by +85.71%.
Is SVRA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SVRA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.3 | 61.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.3 | 61.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9 | 41.3% |
SVRA Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/S = 131146.0
P/B = 10.606
Beta = 0.269
Revenue TTM = 272.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -117.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -117.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 29.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 49.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 906.5m USD (1.00b + Debt 29.8m - CCE 124.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -57.38 (Ebit TTM -117.7m / Interest Expense TTM -2.05m)
FCF Yield = -10.95% (FCF TTM -99.3m / Enterprise Value 906.5m)
FCF Margin = -36.5k% (FCF TTM -99.3m / Revenue TTM 272.0k)
Net Margin = -42.5k% (Net Income TTM -115.6m / Revenue TTM 272.0k)
Gross Margin = -400.0% ((Revenue TTM 272.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.36m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.43 (Enterprise Value 906.5m / Total Assets 140.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.84% (Interest Expense 1.44m / Debt 29.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -93.0m (EBIT -117.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.65 (Total Current Assets 128.2m / Total Current Liabilities 16.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 29.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 94.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.12 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 13.6m / EBITDA -117.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 13.6m / FCF TTM -99.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 133.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -82.06% (Net Income -115.6m / Total Assets 140.9m)
RoE = -86.60% (Net Income TTM -115.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 133.5m)
RoCE = -72.06% (EBIT -117.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 133.5m + L.T.Debt 29.8m))
RoIC = -57.24% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -93.0m / Invested Capital 162.4m)
WACC = 9.00% (E(1.00b)/V(1.03b) * Re(9.15%) + D(29.8m)/V(1.03b) * Rd(4.84%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.71%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -99.3m)
EPS Correlation: -95.30 | EPS CAGR: -43.25% | SUE: -0.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 25.21 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.40 | Chg30d=+0.117 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+22.6% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
Additional Sources for SVRA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle