(TCBK) TriCo Bancshares - Ratings and Ratios
Deposits, Loans, Cards, Treasury, Digital
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.16% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.02% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.39% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.70 |
| Alpha | 8.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.451 |
| Beta | 0.763 |
| Beta Downside | 0.799 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.94% |
| Mean DD | 18.94% |
| Median DD | 16.97% |
Description: TCBK TriCo Bancshares January 15, 2026
TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) is a California-based bank holding company that operates Tri Counties Bank, delivering a full suite of commercial banking services to individuals, small businesses, and corporate clients. Its product lineup includes demand, savings, and time deposits; a variety of checking and specialty accounts (money-market, education, health-savings, CDs, and IRAs); and an extensive loan portfolio covering consumer, auto, mortgage, agricultural, construction, and equipment financing, plus treasury-management, card issuance, safe-deposit, and broker-dealer services. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Chico, the firm is classified under the GICS “Regional Banks” sub-industry.
Key performance indicators from the most recent quarter (Q4 2023) show a net interest margin of roughly 4.2%, a loan-to-deposit ratio near 73%, and a return on assets (ROA) of 1.1%, all of which are modestly above the regional-bank median. The company’s earnings are sensitive to three macro drivers: (1) the Federal Reserve’s policy rate, which influences net interest income; (2) California’s housing market health, affecting mortgage and construction loan demand; and (3) agricultural commodity cycles, given the bank’s notable exposure to farm-related lending.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how these factors may impact TCBK’s valuation, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay for a granular, model-based assessment.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (117.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 31.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1518 % (prev -1092 %; Δ -425.9pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 123.1m > Net Income 117.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-212.9m) to EBITDA (173.0m) ratio: -1.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.7m) change vs 12m ago -1.25% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.34% (prev 72.70%; Δ 1.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.35% (prev 5.32%; Δ 0.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.27 (EBITDA TTM 173.0m / Interest Expense TTM 124.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.81
| (A) -0.81 = (Total Current Assets 336.2m - Total Current Liabilities 8.34b) / Total Assets 9.88b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 723.7m / Total Assets 9.88b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 158.5m / Avg Total Assets 9.85b |
| (D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 1.30b / Total Liabilities 8.57b |
| Total Rating: -4.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.02
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 22.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.23 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.33)% |
| 7. RoE 9.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend -15.21% |
What is the price of TCBK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.84%, over one month by +3.48%, over three months by +20.45% and over the past year by +20.49%.
Is TCBK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TCBK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 51.2 | 1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 51.2 | 1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 54 | 6.7% |
TCBK Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.1212
P/S = 4.0137
P/B = 1.2269
P/EG = 1.91
Revenue TTM = 527.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 158.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 58.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 95.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 86.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -212.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.39b USD (1.60b + Debt 86.0m - CCE 298.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.27 (Ebit TTM 158.5m / Interest Expense TTM 124.6m)
EV/FCF = 11.86x (Enterprise Value 1.39b / FCF TTM 117.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.43% (FCF TTM 117.2m / Enterprise Value 1.39b)
FCF Margin = 22.22% (FCF TTM 117.2m / Revenue TTM 527.4m)
Net Margin = 22.18% (Net Income TTM 117.0m / Revenue TTM 527.4m)
Gross Margin = 74.34% ((Revenue TTM 527.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 135.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.14% (prev 73.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 1.39b / Total Assets 9.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 35.40% (Interest Expense 30.4m / Debt 86.0m)
Taxrate = 26.79% (12.4m / 46.5m)
NOPAT = 116.0m (EBIT 158.5m * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.04 (Total Current Assets 336.2m / Total Current Liabilities 8.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 86.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.23 (Net Debt -212.9m / EBITDA 173.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.82 (Net Debt -212.9m / FCF TTM 117.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.19% (Net Income 117.0m / Total Assets 9.88b)
RoE = 9.27% (Net Income TTM 117.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.26b)
RoCE = 12.00% (EBIT 158.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.26b + L.T.Debt 58.3m))
RoIC = 8.27% (NOPAT 116.0m / Invested Capital 1.40b)
WACC = 9.61% (E(1.60b)/V(1.69b) * Re(8.73%) + D(86.0m)/V(1.69b) * Rd(35.40%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.95%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.08% ; FCFF base≈117.4m ; Y1≈109.0m ; Y5≈99.5m
Fair Price DCF = 48.30 (EV 1.36b - Net Debt -212.9m = Equity 1.57b / Shares 32.5m; r=9.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -9.05% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -15.21 | EPS CAGR: 2.73% | SUE: 2.81 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 85.33 | Revenue CAGR: 13.02% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.94 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+8.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
Additional Sources for TCBK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle