(TH) Target Hospitality - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US87615L1070

Accommodation, Catering, Maintenance, Security, Recreation

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of TH over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.08, "2020-12": -0.1, "2021-03": -0.14, "2021-06": -0.01, "2021-09": 0.07, "2021-12": 0.03, "2022-03": 0.01, "2022-06": 0.24, "2022-09": 0.2, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.38, "2023-06": 0.44, "2023-09": 0.43, "2023-12": 0.29, "2024-03": 0.2, "2024-06": 0.18, "2024-09": 0.1974, "2024-12": 0.1341, "2025-03": -0.0376, "2025-06": -0.1223, "2025-09": 0.0029,

Revenue

Revenue of TH over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 48.263, 2020-12: 51.609, 2021-03: 45.492, 2021-06: 74.986, 2021-09: 89.169, 2021-12: 81.69, 2022-03: 80.335, 2022-06: 109.647, 2022-09: 159.565, 2022-12: 152.438, 2023-03: 147.819, 2023-06: 143.63, 2023-09: 145.939, 2023-12: 126.22, 2024-03: 106.672, 2024-06: 100.721, 2024-09: 95.191, 2024-12: 83.688, 2025-03: 69.897, 2025-06: 61.606, 2025-09: 99.355,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 108%
Value at Risk 5%th 97.1%
Relative Tail Risk -45.36%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.16
Alpha -40.24
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.416
Beta 0.711
Beta Downside 0.708
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 71.94%
Mean DD 40.35%
Median DD 46.26%

Description: TH Target Hospitality September 11, 2025

Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is a North‑American specialty rental and hospitality services firm that focuses on providing fully‑furnished, short‑term accommodation units to a niche client base of U.S. government contractors and investment‑grade natural‑resource developers. Its business model combines asset ownership—primarily a portfolio of modular housing units—with a broad suite of ancillary services such as catering, housekeeping, security, and workforce community management, creating a bundled revenue stream that is less sensitive to traditional hotel occupancy cycles.

The company operates through two distinct segments: “Hospitality & Facilities Services – South,” which delivers the core lodging and support services, and “Government,” which tailors solutions for federal and defense‑related projects. This segmentation aligns revenue with two macro‑drivers: (1) federal defense and infrastructure spending, and (2) capital‑intensive activity in the oil, gas, and mining sectors. Consequently, the firm’s top‑line performance is closely tied to the fiscal outlook for defense budgets and commodity price trends that influence natural‑resource development projects.

Key performance indicators for a business of this type include average daily rate (ADR) per unit, occupancy/utilization rates, and the contribution margin of ancillary services (e.g., catering, laundry). Historical data suggest that bundled services can lift overall margin by 3‑5 percentage points relative to pure lodging operations, but the exact impact varies with contract length and the mix of government versus private‑sector clients. Monitoring contract renewal rates and the pipeline of new government awards is essential for forecasting revenue stability.

From a financial risk perspective, the stock exhibits higher volatility than the broader market, reflecting its concentrated exposure to cyclical government and commodity‑driven demand. This sensitivity can be both a risk and an opportunity: during periods of heightened defense spending or rising commodity prices, the company may experience accelerated revenue growth, while downturns in those areas could depress occupancy and compress margins.

Target Hospitality was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Its long‑standing presence in the niche “modular housing for contractors” market provides a defensible competitive position, but future performance will depend on the firm’s ability to secure multi‑year government contracts, manage cost inflation in construction and labor, and maintain high utilization rates across its rental inventory.

TH Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 621m
Sub-Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
IPO / Inception 2013-07-25
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -31.7%
Analyst Rating 3.67 of 5

TH Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

TH Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y -22.85%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.32
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.57
Current Volume 506.9k
Average Volume 428.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (-9.69m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 18.9m TTM)
FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -0.95% (prev 0.49%; Δ -1.43pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 98.9m > Net Income -9.69m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-17.1m) to EBITDA (75.2m) ratio: -0.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (99.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 26.36% (prev 47.43%; Δ -21.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 50.29% (prev 60.41%; Δ -10.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.33 (EBITDA TTM 75.2m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.20

(A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 79.4m - Total Current Liabilities 82.4m) / Total Assets 541.2m
(B) 0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 310.2m / Total Assets 541.2m
(C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 3.92m / Avg Total Assets 625.5m
(D) 2.21 = Book Value of Equity 307.4m / Total Liabilities 138.9m
Total Rating: 4.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.03

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50
2. FCF Yield 13.53% = 5.0
3. FCF Margin 25.95% = 6.49
4. Debt/Equity 0.03 = 2.50
5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23 = 2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.53)% = -9.42
7. RoE -2.36% = -0.39
8. Rev. Trend -88.70% = -6.65
9. EPS Trend -89.89% = -4.49

What is the price of TH shares?

As of November 20, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.49 with a total of 506,875 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.61%, over one month by -9.36%, over three months by -19.38% and over the past year by -22.37%.

Is TH a buy, sell or hold?

Target Hospitality has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TH.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TH price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 10.5 61.8%
Analysts Target Price 10.5 61.8%
ValueRay Target Price 5.4 -17.1%

TH Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 620.6m (620.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 1.9731
P/B = 1.5808
P/EG = 1.3444
Beta = 1.322
Revenue TTM = 314.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.92m USD
EBITDA TTM = 75.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 24.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 9.63m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -17.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 603.5m USD (620.6m + Debt 13.3m - CCE 30.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.33 (Ebit TTM 3.92m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)
FCF Yield = 13.53% (FCF TTM 81.6m / Enterprise Value 603.5m)
FCF Margin = 25.95% (FCF TTM 81.6m / Revenue TTM 314.5m)
Net Margin = -3.08% (Net Income TTM -9.69m / Revenue TTM 314.5m)
Gross Margin = 26.36% ((Revenue TTM 314.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 231.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.53% (prev -7.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 603.5m / Total Assets 541.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.60% (Interest Expense 611.0k / Debt 13.3m)
Taxrate = -94.60% (out of range, set to none) (368.0k / -389.0k)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 79.4m / Total Current Liabilities 82.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 13.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 402.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (Net Debt -17.1m / EBITDA 75.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.21 (Net Debt -17.1m / FCF TTM 81.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 410.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.79% (Net Income -9.69m / Total Assets 541.2m)
RoE = -2.36% (Net Income TTM -9.69m / Total Stockholder Equity 410.0m)
RoCE = 0.90% (EBIT 3.92m / Capital Employed (Equity 410.0m + L.T.Debt 24.0m))
RoIC = 0.92% (EBIT 3.92m / (Assets 541.2m - Curr.Liab 82.4m - Cash 30.4m))
WACC = 8.45% (E(620.6m)/V(633.9m) * Re(8.63%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.90% ; FCFE base≈98.7m ; Y1≈67.8m ; Y5≈33.9m
Fair Price DCF = 5.96 (DCF Value 594.5m / Shares Outstanding 99.8m; 5y FCF grow -36.72% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -89.89 | EPS CAGR: -81.71% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -88.70 | Revenue CAGR: -14.41% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5

Additional Sources for TH Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle