(TH) Target Hospitality - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Specialty Business Services | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.793m USD | Total Return: 138.1% in 12m

Modular Housing, Catering, Facility Management, Construction Services
Total Rating 49
Safety 38
Buy Signal 0.81
Specialty Business Services
Industry Rotation: +0.6
Market Cap: 1.79B
Avg Turnover: 18.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility78.9%
VaR 5th Pctl8.11%
VaR vs Median-64.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.64
Rel. Str. IBD96.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group98.1
Character TTM
Beta0.243
Beta Downside0.015
Hurst Exponent0.495
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD69.13%
CAGR/Max DD0.06
CAGR/Mean DD0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.14, "2021-06": -0.01, "2021-09": 0.07, "2021-12": 0.03, "2022-03": 0.01, "2022-06": 0.24, "2022-09": 0.2, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.38, "2023-06": 0.44, "2023-09": 0.43, "2023-12": 0.29, "2024-03": 0.2, "2024-06": 0.18, "2024-09": 0.1974, "2024-12": 0.1341, "2025-03": -0.0376, "2025-06": -0.15, "2025-09": -0.01, "2025-12": -0.1169, "2026-03": -0.1036,
Last SUE: -0.49
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 45.492, 2021-06: 74.986, 2021-09: 89.169, 2021-12: 81.69, 2022-03: 80.335, 2022-06: 109.647, 2022-09: 159.565, 2022-12: 152.438, 2023-03: 147.819, 2023-06: 143.63, 2023-09: 145.939, 2023-12: 126.22, 2024-03: 106.672, 2024-06: 100.721, 2024-09: 95.191, 2024-12: 83.688, 2025-03: 69.897, 2025-06: 61.606, 2025-09: 99.355, 2025-12: 89.777, 2026-03: 72.781,
Rev. CAGR: -24.49%
Rev. Trend: -96.6%
Last SUE: -0.31
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -13.8 is critical

Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20, Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: TH Target Hospitality

Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is a specialty rental and hospitality services provider operating primarily in North America. The company manages a network of modular accommodation units and provides comprehensive facility services, including catering, site maintenance, security, and workforce community management. Its business model relies on long-term service contracts with government agencies and large-scale natural resource developers.

The company operates through three core segments: South, Workforce Hospitality, and Government. Unlike traditional consumer-facing hotels, specialty rental firms in this sector focus on remote workforce housing and mission-critical infrastructure for industrial and federal projects. This niche allows for high asset utilization rates by serving investment-grade clients in the energy and defense sectors.

Investors can find more detailed financial metrics and valuation trends on ValueRay. Target Hospitality remains headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and maintains a vertically integrated approach by offering both construction and operational management services for its facilities.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Government contract renewals and occupancy levels drive stable recurring revenue streams
  • Volatility in Permian Basin oil production impacts workforce housing demand
  • Termination or modification of large-scale humanitarian aid contracts reduces margins
  • High operating leverage creates significant earnings sensitivity to asset utilization rates
  • Strategic pivot toward government services diversification reduces dependence on energy cycles
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -43.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.86 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.28% < 20% (prev 14.04%; Δ -17.32% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 77.2m > Net Income -43.6m
Net Debt (42.5m) to EBITDA (48.9m): 0.87 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (99.9m) vs 12m ago 0.83% < -2%
Gross Margin: 0.57% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 17.23% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 58.71% > 50% (prev 62.13%; Δ -3.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -13.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 48.9m / Interest Expense TTM 3.11m)
Altman Z'' 2.86
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 58.6m - Total Current Liabilities 69.2m) / Total Assets 539.5m
B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 282.3m / Total Assets 539.5m)
C: -0.08 (EBIT TTM -42.8m / Avg Total Assets 551.0m)
D: 1.72 (Book Value of Equity 279.5m / Total Liabilities 162.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 2.86 = A
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 45.6m/56.9m, Revenue 323.5m/349.5m)
GMI: 69.88 (GM 0.57% / 39.98%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 323.5m / 349.5m)
TATA: -0.22 (NI -43.6m - CFO 77.2m) / TA 539.5m)
Beneish M = 58.97 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of TH shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.36 with a total of 2,412,547 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.72%, over one month by +22.34%, over three months by +122.85% and over the past year by +138.13%.

Is TH a buy, sell or hold?

Target Hospitality has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TH.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TH price?
Analysts Target Price 22 26.7%
Target Hospitality (TH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.79b (1.79b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 5.542
P/B = 4.7567
P/EG = 1.3444
Revenue TTM = 323.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -42.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.86m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 48.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.99m
Net Debt = 42.5m USD (calculated: Debt 48.0m - CCE 5.46m)
Enterprise Value = 1.84b USD (1.79b + Debt 48.0m - CCE 5.46m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.77 (Ebit TTM -42.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.11m)
EV/FCF = 30.87x (Enterprise Value 1.84b / FCF TTM 59.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.24% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Enterprise Value 1.84b)
FCF Margin = 18.38% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Revenue TTM 323.5m)
Net Margin = -13.47% (Net Income TTM -43.6m / Revenue TTM 323.5m)
Gross Margin = 0.57% ((Revenue TTM 323.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 321.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -0.69% (prev -0.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.40 (Enterprise Value 1.84b / Total Assets 539.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.47% (Interest Expense 3.11m / Debt 48.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -33.8m (EBIT -42.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 58.6m / Total Current Liabilities 69.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 48.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 376.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.87 (Net Debt 42.5m / EBITDA 48.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.72 (Net Debt 42.5m / FCF TTM 59.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 392.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.91% (Net Income -43.6m / Total Assets 539.5m)
RoE = -11.10% (Net Income TTM -43.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 392.5m)
RoCE = -10.13% (EBIT -42.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 392.5m + L.T.Debt 30.0m))
 RoIC = -7.17% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -33.8m / Invested Capital 471.7m)
 WACC = 6.80% (E(1.79b)/V(1.84b) * Re(6.84%) + D(48.0m)/V(1.84b) * Rd(6.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -62.87 | Cagr: -2.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈64.7m ; Y1≈56.7m ; Y5≈45.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.92 (EV 735.3m - Net Debt 42.5m = Equity 692.8m / Shares 100.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.49 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.60 | Revenue CAGR: -24.49% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=-42.27% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.3% | GrowthRev=+17.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=+102.94% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+476.4% | GrowthRev=+67.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%