(TH) Target Hospitality - Ratings and Ratios
Rental Accommodations, Catering, Maintenance, Housekeeping, Security, Recreation
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 115% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 106% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -43.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 |
| Alpha | -6.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.502 |
| Beta | 0.723 |
| Beta Downside | 0.682 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.94% |
| Mean DD | 41.26% |
| Median DD | 46.72% |
Description: TH Target Hospitality December 01, 2025
Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is a North-American specialty-rental and hospitality services firm that operates two primary segments: Hospitality & Facilities Services – South and Government. The business owns and manages a portfolio of modular rental accommodation units and delivers a full suite of ancillary services-including catering, housekeeping, security, and workforce community management-to U.S. government contractors and investment-grade natural-resource developers.
Key performance indicators that investors typically watch include the occupancy rate of its rental units (historically in the high-70% range), average daily rate (ADR) trends relative to inflation, and the renewal rate of government contracts, which has averaged above 85% over the past three years. The company’s revenue exposure is heavily tied to two macro-drivers: (1) federal defense and infrastructure spending, which underpins the Government segment, and (2) capital-expenditure cycles in the oil-and-gas sector, which influence demand for its South-region accommodations.
Founded in 1978 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, Target Hospitality benefits from a niche positioning within the GICS sub-industry “Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines,” but its business model diverges from traditional hotel operators by focusing on long-term, contract-based occupancy rather than transient leisure travel.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-9.69m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 18.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.97pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.95% (prev 0.49%; Δ -1.43pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 98.9m > Net Income -9.69m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-17.1m) to EBITDA (75.2m) ratio: -0.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (99.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.36% (prev 47.43%; Δ -21.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 50.29% (prev 60.41%; Δ -10.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.33 (EBITDA TTM 75.2m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.20
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 79.4m - Total Current Liabilities 82.4m) / Total Assets 541.2m |
| (B) 0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 310.2m / Total Assets 541.2m |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 3.92m / Avg Total Assets 625.5m |
| (D) 2.21 = Book Value of Equity 307.4m / Total Liabilities 138.9m |
| Total Rating: 4.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.23
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.98% |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.95% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.60)% |
| 7. RoE -2.36% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -41.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.11% |
What is the price of TH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.64%, over one month by +6.74%, over three months by -6.15% and over the past year by +4.30%.
Is TH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.5 | 27.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.5 | 27.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.3 | -11.3% |
TH Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 2.2205
P/B = 1.7383
P/EG = 1.3444
Beta = 1.322
Revenue TTM = 314.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.92m USD
EBITDA TTM = 75.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 24.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 9.63m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -17.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 681.4m USD (698.5m + Debt 13.3m - CCE 30.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.33 (Ebit TTM 3.92m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)
FCF Yield = 11.98% (FCF TTM 81.6m / Enterprise Value 681.4m)
FCF Margin = 25.95% (FCF TTM 81.6m / Revenue TTM 314.5m)
Net Margin = -3.08% (Net Income TTM -9.69m / Revenue TTM 314.5m)
Gross Margin = 26.36% ((Revenue TTM 314.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 231.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.53% (prev -7.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 681.4m / Total Assets 541.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.60% (Interest Expense 611.0k / Debt 13.3m)
Taxrate = -94.60% (out of range, set to none) (368.0k / -389.0k)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 79.4m / Total Current Liabilities 82.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 13.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 402.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (Net Debt -17.1m / EBITDA 75.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.21 (Net Debt -17.1m / FCF TTM 81.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 410.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.79% (Net Income -9.69m / Total Assets 541.2m)
RoE = -2.36% (Net Income TTM -9.69m / Total Stockholder Equity 410.0m)
RoCE = 0.90% (EBIT 3.92m / Capital Employed (Equity 410.0m + L.T.Debt 24.0m))
RoIC = 0.92% (EBIT 3.92m / (Assets 541.2m - Curr.Liab 82.4m - Cash 30.4m))
WACC = 8.52% (E(698.5m)/V(711.7m) * Re(8.68%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.67% ; FCFE base≈100.3m ; Y1≈68.8m ; Y5≈34.3m
Fair Price DCF = 5.99 (DCF Value 597.7m / Shares Outstanding 99.8m; 5y FCF grow -36.77% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.11 | EPS CAGR: -46.37% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -41.38 | Revenue CAGR: 5.36% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=-0.073 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+20.0% | Growth Revenue=-18.2%
Additional Sources for TH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle