(TH) Target Hospitality - Ratings and Ratios
Accommodation, Catering, Maintenance, Security, Recreation
TH EPS (Earnings per Share)
TH Revenue
Description: TH Target Hospitality
Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is a North‑American specialty rental and hospitality services firm that focuses on providing fully‑furnished, short‑term accommodation units to a niche client base of U.S. government contractors and investment‑grade natural‑resource developers. Its business model combines asset ownership—primarily a portfolio of modular housing units—with a broad suite of ancillary services such as catering, housekeeping, security, and workforce community management, creating a bundled revenue stream that is less sensitive to traditional hotel occupancy cycles.
The company operates through two distinct segments: “Hospitality & Facilities Services – South,” which delivers the core lodging and support services, and “Government,” which tailors solutions for federal and defense‑related projects. This segmentation aligns revenue with two macro‑drivers: (1) federal defense and infrastructure spending, and (2) capital‑intensive activity in the oil, gas, and mining sectors. Consequently, the firm’s top‑line performance is closely tied to the fiscal outlook for defense budgets and commodity price trends that influence natural‑resource development projects.
Key performance indicators for a business of this type include average daily rate (ADR) per unit, occupancy/utilization rates, and the contribution margin of ancillary services (e.g., catering, laundry). Historical data suggest that bundled services can lift overall margin by 3‑5 percentage points relative to pure lodging operations, but the exact impact varies with contract length and the mix of government versus private‑sector clients. Monitoring contract renewal rates and the pipeline of new government awards is essential for forecasting revenue stability.
From a financial risk perspective, the stock exhibits higher volatility than the broader market, reflecting its concentrated exposure to cyclical government and commodity‑driven demand. This sensitivity can be both a risk and an opportunity: during periods of heightened defense spending or rising commodity prices, the company may experience accelerated revenue growth, while downturns in those areas could depress occupancy and compress margins.
Target Hospitality was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Its long‑standing presence in the niche “modular housing for contractors” market provides a defensible competitive position, but future performance will depend on the firm’s ability to secure multi‑year government contracts, manage cost inflation in construction and labor, and maintain high utilization rates across its rental inventory.
TH Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 890m |
Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
IPO / Inception | 2013-07-25 |
TH Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -21.3% |
Fundamental | 49.2% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.2% |
Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
TH Dividends
Currently no dividends paidTH Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 85.8% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -25.6% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 50.9% |
CAGR 5y | -13.10% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.18 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.30 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.57 |
Alpha | 0.53 |
Beta | 0.213 |
Volatility | 63.84% |
Current Volume | 273.9k |
Average Volume 20d | 347.2k |
Stop Loss | 8.3 (-4.3%) |
Signal | -0.46 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
Net Income (11.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 18.6m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 8.51% (prev -5.56%; Δ 14.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 77.0m > Net Income 11.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (4.76m) to EBITDA (104.5m) ratio: 0.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (99.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 30.86% (prev 49.31%; Δ -18.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 50.44% (prev 68.80%; Δ -18.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.26 (EBITDA TTM 104.5m / Interest Expense TTM 14.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.75
(A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 83.0m - Total Current Liabilities 56.6m) / Total Assets 533.7m |
(B) 0.58 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 311.0m / Total Assets 533.7m |
(C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 33.7m / Avg Total Assets 615.4m |
(D) 3.01 = Book Value of Equity 398.5m / Total Liabilities 132.5m |
Total Rating: 5.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.24
1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
2. FCF Yield 7.54% = 3.77 |
3. FCF Margin 21.97% = 5.49 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.08 = 2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.32 = 2.42 |
6. ROIC - WACC -1.64% = -2.06 |
7. RoE 2.68% = 0.22 |
8. Rev. Trend -96.84% = -7.26 |
9. EPS Trend -76.88% = -3.84 |
What is the price of TH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.46%, over one month by +7.70%, over three months by +24.03% and over the past year by -13.56%.
Is Target Hospitality a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TH is around 7.44 USD . This means that TH is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.19%.
Is TH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TH price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 10.5 | 21.1% |
Analysts Target Price | 10.5 | 21.1% |
ValueRay Target Price | 8.2 | -5.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-05 05:04
TH Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 19.2m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 88.0
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 2.8659
P/B = 2.1882
P/EG = 1.3444
Beta = 1.924
Revenue TTM = 310.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 33.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 24.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.52m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.5m USD (Calculated: Short Term 9.52m + Long Term 24.0m)
Net Debt = 4.76m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 903.8m USD (889.5m + Debt 33.5m - CCE 19.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.26 (Ebit TTM 33.7m / Interest Expense TTM 14.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.54% (FCF TTM 68.2m / Enterprise Value 903.8m)
FCF Margin = 21.97% (FCF TTM 68.2m / Revenue TTM 310.4m)
Net Margin = 3.58% (Net Income TTM 11.1m / Revenue TTM 310.4m)
Gross Margin = 30.86% ((Revenue TTM 310.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 214.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.27 (Enterprise Value 903.8m / Book Value Of Equity 398.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.80% (Interest Expense 937.0k / Debt 33.5m)
Taxrate = 23.08% (21.4m / 92.8m)
NOPAT = 25.9m (EBIT 33.7m * (1 - 23.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 83.0m / Total Current Liabilities 56.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 33.5m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 401.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.32 (Net Debt 4.76m / EBITDA 104.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.49 (Debt 33.5m / FCF TTM 68.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 413.8m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.08% (Net Income 11.1m, Total Assets 533.7m )
RoE = 2.68% (Net Income TTM 11.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 413.8m)
RoCE = 7.70% (Ebit 33.7m / (Equity 413.8m + L.T.Debt 24.0m))
RoIC = 4.99% (NOPAT 25.9m / Invested Capital 520.1m)
WACC = 6.63% (E(889.5m)/V(923.0m) * Re(6.80%)) + (D(33.5m)/V(923.0m) * Rd(2.80%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -42.42 | Cagr: 0.20%
Discount Rate = 6.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.71% ; FCFE base≈96.2m ; Y1≈70.0m ; Y5≈39.4m
Fair Price DCF = 7.52 (DCF Value 750.2m / Shares Outstanding 99.8m; 5y FCF grow -32.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -76.88 | EPS CAGR: -99.01% | SUE: -0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.84 | Revenue CAGR: -29.25%
Additional Sources for TH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle