(TIGO) Millicom International - Ratings and Ratios
Mobile, Cable, Broadband, Money, Tv
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 9.65% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 15.00% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 23.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.90% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.55 |
| Alpha | 124.42 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.444 |
| Beta | 0.198 |
| Beta Downside | 0.297 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.97% |
| Mean DD | 8.57% |
| Median DD | 5.48% |
Description: TIGO Millicom International January 08, 2026
Millicom International Cellular S.A. (NASDAQ:TIGO) operates a diversified telecom portfolio across Latin America under the Tigo and Tigo Business brands, delivering mobile voice, data, and financial services (e.g., Tigo Money), as well as fixed broadband, pay-TV, cloud, security, and tower infrastructure to consumers, enterprises, and governments.
Key recent metrics: as of Q3 2024 the company reported ~38 million mobile subscribers and a mobile-money transaction volume exceeding $4 billion annually, reflecting a ~12 % YoY growth driven by rising unbanked populations and digital payments adoption in the region. EBITDA margin has stabilized around 38 % after cost-efficiency initiatives, while average revenue per user (ARPU) remains modest at roughly $5.2 per month, consistent with price-sensitive Latin American markets.
Sector drivers influencing Millicom’s outlook include continued GDP growth of 2-3 % in its core markets, accelerating 4G/5G rollout, and regulatory trends favoring mobile-money ecosystems. Conversely, currency volatility and competitive pressure from larger incumbents pose upside risk to profitability.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models for TIGO.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (1.09b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 335.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.52% (prev -1.52%; Δ -3.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.82b > Net Income 1.09b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.73b) to EBITDA (3.17b) ratio: 2.12 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (168.1m) change vs 12m ago -2.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 71.65% (prev 53.02%; Δ 18.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 37.72% (prev 41.59%; Δ -3.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.39 (EBITDA TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.67
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 3.10b - Total Current Liabilities 3.35b) / Total Assets 15.59b |
| (B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.83b / Total Assets 15.59b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 2.17b / Avg Total Assets 14.83b |
| (D) 0.19 = Book Value of Equity 2.36b / Total Liabilities 12.28b |
| Total Rating: 1.67 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.59
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.29% |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.86% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.53 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.06)% |
| 7. RoE 31.52% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 35.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend 37.34% |
What is the price of TIGO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.98%, over one month by +4.33%, over three months by +10.41% and over the past year by +131.94%.
Is TIGO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TIGO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52.4 | 1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52.4 | 1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 60.6 | 16.9% |
TIGO Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.0647
P/S = 1.6559
P/B = 2.7709
P/EG = 0.4804
Beta = 0.922
Revenue TTM = 5.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 656.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.73b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.00b USD (9.26b + Debt 8.44b - CCE 1.71b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.39 (Ebit TTM 2.17b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.29% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Enterprise Value 16.00b)
FCF Margin = 20.86% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Net Margin = 19.57% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Gross Margin = 71.65% ((Revenue TTM 5.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.96% (prev 76.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 16.00b / Total Assets 15.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.05% (Interest Expense 173.0m / Debt 8.44b)
Taxrate = 29.41% (85.0m / 289.0m)
NOPAT = 1.53b (EBIT 2.17b * (1 - 29.41%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 3.10b / Total Current Liabilities 3.35b)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 8.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.12 (Net Debt 6.73b / EBITDA 3.17b)
Debt / FCF = 5.77 (Net Debt 6.73b / FCF TTM 1.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 1.09b / Total Assets 15.59b)
RoE = 31.52% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.47b)
RoCE = 23.37% (EBIT 2.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.47b + L.T.Debt 5.82b))
RoIC = 16.28% (NOPAT 1.53b / Invested Capital 9.41b)
WACC = 4.22% (E(9.26b)/V(17.71b) * Re(6.74%) + D(8.44b)/V(17.71b) * Rd(2.05%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 6.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.30b ; Y5≈2.22b
Fair Price DCF = 344.5 (EV 64.30b - Net Debt 6.73b = Equity 57.57b / Shares 167.1m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 37.34 | EPS CAGR: -11.31% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.26 | Revenue CAGR: 3.35% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+0.139 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=+0.358 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.6% | Growth Revenue=+9.0%
Additional Sources for TIGO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle