(TITN) Titan Machinery - Overview
Stock: Tractors, Combines, Excavators, Loaders, Parts
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -21.55 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.271 |
| Beta Downside | 1.009 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 72.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.34 |
Description: TITN Titan Machinery December 28, 2025
Titan Machinery Inc. (NASDAQ:TITN) operates a dealer network that sells, rents, and services new and used agricultural and construction equipment across the United States, Europe, and Australia. Its product mix is dominated by CNH Industrial brands (e.g., Case IH, New Holland) but also includes third-party manufacturers. Revenue streams come from equipment sales, parts and service contracts, equipment rentals, and ancillary services such as precision-farming data subscriptions and financing.
Key quantitative points (as of FY 2023) include total revenue of roughly **$2.2 billion**, a **5 % year-over-year increase** driven primarily by higher construction equipment sales, and an **operating margin of ~6 %** after a modest rise in parts-and-service contribution. The business is sensitive to two macro drivers: (1) **U.S. farm income trends**-higher commodity prices boost farmer capital spending on tractors and implements; (2) **interest-rate environment**-elevated rates can suppress equipment financing demand, especially in the construction segment. A recent sector-wide benchmark shows dealer-level inventory turns averaging **3.2×**, indicating Titan’s inventory efficiency is near the industry median.
If you want a data-rich, independent view of Titan’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions and stress-test the upside potential.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -61.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 16.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.73% < 20% (prev 13.77%; Δ -1.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 210.4m > Net Income -61.8m |
| Net Debt (62.7m) to EBITDA (3.67m): 17.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.7m) vs 12m ago 0.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.62% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1345 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 131.2% > 50% (prev 132.5%; Δ -1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.73 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.67m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.03
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.23b - Total Current Liabilities 904.1m) / Total Assets 1.77b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 342.3m / Total Assets 1.77b) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -34.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.94b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 347.0m / Total Liabilities 1.16b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.03 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.77
| DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 146.7m/140.3m, Revenue 2.55b/2.79b) |
| GMI: 1.24 (GM 13.62% / 16.95%) |
| AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 2.55b / 2.79b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI -61.8m - CFO 210.4m) / TA 1.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of TITN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.32%, over one month by +14.67%, over three months by +15.24% and over the past year by -1.48%.
Is TITN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TITN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 23.3 | 25% |
| Analysts Target Price | 23.3 | 25% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.1 | -13.6% |
TITN Fundamental Data Overview February 09, 2026
P/B = 0.6405
P/EG = -2.8
Revenue TTM = 2.55b USD
EBIT TTM = -34.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.67m USD
Long Term Debt = 154.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 765.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.01b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 62.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.34b USD (380.3m + Debt 1.01b - CCE 48.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.73 (Ebit TTM -34.4m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
EV/FCF = 7.82x (Enterprise Value 1.34b / FCF TTM 170.9m)
FCF Yield = 12.78% (FCF TTM 170.9m / Enterprise Value 1.34b)
FCF Margin = 6.72% (FCF TTM 170.9m / Revenue TTM 2.55b)
Net Margin = -2.43% (Net Income TTM -61.8m / Revenue TTM 2.55b)
Gross Margin = 13.62% ((Revenue TTM 2.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.20b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.22% (prev 17.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 1.34b / Total Assets 1.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 10.9m / Debt 1.01b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -27.2m (EBIT -34.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 1.23b / Total Current Liabilities 904.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.64 (Debt 1.01b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 612.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.09 (Net Debt 62.7m / EBITDA 3.67m)
Debt / FCF = 0.37 (Net Debt 62.7m / FCF TTM 170.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 610.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.18% (Net Income -61.8m / Total Assets 1.77b)
RoE = -10.12% (Net Income TTM -61.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 610.6m)
RoCE = -4.50% (EBIT -34.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 610.6m + L.T.Debt 154.8m))
RoIC = -1.74% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -27.2m / Invested Capital 1.56b)
WACC = 3.53% (E(380.3m)/V(1.39b) * Re(10.60%) + D(1.01b)/V(1.39b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.49%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈170.9m ; Y1≈112.2m ; Y5≈51.2m
Fair Price DCF = 67.12 (EV 1.63b - Net Debt 62.7m = Equity 1.57b / Shares 23.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -72.69 | EPS CAGR: -54.90% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 47.59 | Revenue CAGR: 6.58% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.49 | Chg30d=-0.047 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=-0.88 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+50.7% | Growth Revenue=-7.7%