TLT Stock Analysis: 20+ Year Treasury Bond | NASDAQ

NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 47.007m USD | 12M Return: -6.9% | US4642874329 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Long-Term Bonds, Government Securities, Treasury Notes, Federal Debt
Total Rating 29
Safety 49
Buy Signal -0.54
AUM: 47.0B
Avg Turnover: 3.35B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility10.0%
VaR 5th Pctl1.83%
VaR vs Median1.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.12
Rel. Str. IBD29.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group- pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.156
Beta Downside0.224
Hurst Exponent0.572
Choppyness56.5%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD16.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.22
CAGR/Mean DD0.44

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 7
Feb +0.0% 7
Mar +0.3% 5
Apr -0.8% 20
May +0.6% 17
Jun +1.0% 67
Jul +0.0% 7
Aug +0.3% 8
Sep -2.5% 37
Oct -2.8% 46
Nov +0.4% 29
Dec -1.0% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond

TLT is an ETF that tracks an index of U.S. Treasury securities with more than 20 years of remaining maturity and at least $300 million in outstanding face value, excluding Fed holdings. The fund commits at least 80% of its assets to the indexs component securities and at least 90% to U.S. Treasuries that support tracking the underlying index.

As a long-government bond ETF, TLT offers exposure to long-dated U.S. sovereign debt, making it sensitive to interest-rate movements and often used by investors seeking duration or a hedge against equity risk. The ETF structure provides intraday liquidity and transparent holdings, distinguishing it from directly holding individual Treasury bonds.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed signals prolonged rate cuts lower long-term yields
  • Hot inflation data lifts Treasury yields and pressures bond prices
  • Surge in long-dated Treasury issuance raises duration risk
  • Recession fears drive safe-haven demand into long bonds
What is the price of TLT shares?

As of October 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 81.63 with a total of 19,521,824 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.87%, over one month by +4.25%, over three months by -1.37% and over the past year by -6.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 80.50 (which is 1.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TLT a buy, sell or hold?

20+ Year Treasury Bond has no consensus analysts rating.