(TLT) iShares 20+ Year Treasury - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: USA • Currency: USD • Type: Etf • ISIN: US4642874329 • Long Government

TLT: Government, Bonds, Long-term, Securities

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) is designed to track the performance of U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of 20 years or more. The fund invests at least 80% of its assets in securities included in its underlying index, which measures the performance of long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds. Additionally, the fund allocates at least 90% of its assets to U.S. Treasury securities, further aligning its portfolio with the target index. This investment strategy aims to provide exposure to the long end of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, making it sensitive to changes in interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The fund is widely used as a tool for hedging against interest rate risk and as a safe haven during periods of market uncertainty.

From a technical perspective, TLT is currently trading below its key moving averages, with the SMA 20 at 89.33, SMA 50 at 89.53, and SMA 200 at 90.86. This indicates bearish momentum in the short to long term. The Average True Range (ATR) of 1.33 suggests moderate volatility, while the last price of 87.53 is testing the lower end of its recent trading range. Support levels at 87.1 and 85.8 are critical to maintaining the current price structure, while resistance levels at 88.5, 90.1, and 91.0 pose significant barriers to upward movement.

From a fundamental perspective, TLT has assets under management (AUM) of $47,978.89 million, making it one of the largest and most liquid long-duration Treasury ETFs available. This scale provides tight bid-ask spreads and efficient trading, appealing to both institutional and retail investors. The funds performance is closely tied to the direction of U.S. Treasury yields, which are influenced by Federal Reserve policy, inflation expectations, and broader economic conditions.

Over the next three months, TLT is likely to face headwinds as the SMA 20 and SMA 50 remain below the SMA 200, signaling continued bearish momentum. The rising ATR suggests increasing volatility, potentially leading to deeper price swings. Support at 87.1 and 85.8 will be critical in determining whether the fund can stabilize or if further downside is ahead. Resistance levels at 88.5 and 90.1 will need to be breached for any meaningful recovery. Fundamentally, the outlook for TLT is challenged by the expectation of rising interest rates, which would reduce the value of its long-duration Treasury holdings. However, its large AUM and liquidity make it a resilient option for investors seeking exposure to the long end of the yield curve. The funds performance will closely track changes in inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policy, with any unexpected shifts in monetary policy potentially leading to significant price movements.

Additional Sources for TLT ETF

TLT ETF Overview

Market Cap in USD 47,987m
Category Long Government
TER 0.15%
IPO / Inception 2002-07-22

TLT ETF Ratings

Growth Rating -53.0
Fundamental -
Dividend Rating 71.7
Rel. Strength -4.06
Analysts -
Fair Price Momentum 81.65 USD
Fair Price DCF -

TLT Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 4.18%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.56%
Annual Growth 5y 9.69%
Payout Consistency 94.3%

TLT Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 5.6%
Growth Correlation 12m -15.5%
Growth Correlation 5y -89.4%
CAGR 5y -9.33%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.19
Sharpe Ratio 12m 1.91
Alpha 2.14
Beta -0.127
Volatility 17.27%
Current Volume 22083.2k
Average Volume 20d 39571.7k
What is the price of TLT stocks?
As of April 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 90.20 with a total of 22,083,176 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.30%, over one month by -0.56%, over three months by +3.55% and over the past year by +5.60%.
Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury a good stock to buy?
No, based on ValueRay Analyses, iShares 20+ Year Treasury (NASDAQ:TLT) is currently (April 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of -53.02 and therefor a clear technical negative rating according to historical growth.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of TLT as of April 2025 is 81.65. This means that TLT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.48%.
Is TLT a buy, sell or hold?
iShares 20+ Year Treasury has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecast for TLT stock price target?
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury will be worth about 88.2 in April 2026. The stock is currently trading at 90.20. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -2.24%.
Issuer Forecast Upside
Wallstreet Target Price - -
Analysts Target Price - -
ValueRay Target Price 88.2 -2.2%