TLT ETF Analysis: 20+ Year Treasury Bond | NASDAQ

Long Government | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 47.197m USD | 12M Return: -9.5% | US4642874329 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Long-Term Bonds, Government Securities, Treasury Notes, Federal Debt
Total Rating 30
Safety 46
Buy Signal -0.35
Long Government
Category Rotation: -1.2
TER: 0.15%
AUM: 47.2B
Avg Turnover: 3.52B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility10.4%
VaR 5th Pctl1.91%
VaR vs Median2.33%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.49
Rel. Str. IBD23.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta0.178
Beta Downside0.266
Hurst Exponent0.433
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD16.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.09
CAGR/Mean DD0.19

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 7
Feb +0.0% 7
Mar +0.3% 5
Apr -0.8% 20
May +0.6% 17
Jun +1.0% 66
Jul +0.0% 7
Aug +0.3% 8
Sep -2.3% 30
Oct -2.8% 46
Nov +0.4% 29
Dec -1.0% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond

TLT is an ETF that tracks an index of U.S. Treasury securities with more than 20 years of remaining maturity and at least $300 million in outstanding face value, excluding Fed holdings. The fund commits at least 80% of its assets to the indexs component securities and at least 90% to U.S. Treasuries that support tracking the underlying index.

As a long-government bond ETF, TLT offers exposure to long-dated U.S. sovereign debt, making it sensitive to interest-rate movements and often used by investors seeking duration or a hedge against equity risk. The ETF structure provides intraday liquidity and transparent holdings, distinguishing it from directly holding individual Treasury bonds.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed signals prolonged rate cuts lower long-term yields
  • Hot inflation data lifts Treasury yields and pressures bond prices
  • Surge in long-dated Treasury issuance raises duration risk
  • Recession fears drive safe-haven demand into long bonds
What is the price of TLT shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 78.37 with a total of 29,149,160 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.41%, over one month by -2.77%, over three months by -5.56% and over the past year by -9.46%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 77.40 (which is 1.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is TLT a buy, sell or hold?

20+ Year Treasury Bond has no consensus analysts rating.