TLT ETF Analysis: 20+ Year Treasury Bond | NASDAQ
US Government Bonds | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 48.328m USD | 12M Return: -5.4% | US4642874329 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 2.96B
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
TLT is an ETF that tracks an index of U.S. Treasury securities with more than 20 years of remaining maturity and at least $300 million in outstanding face value, excluding Fed holdings. The fund commits at least 80% of its assets to the indexs component securities and at least 90% to U.S. Treasuries that support tracking the underlying index.
As a long-government bond ETF, TLT offers exposure to long-dated U.S. sovereign debt, making it sensitive to interest-rate movements and often used by investors seeking duration or a hedge against equity risk. The ETF structure provides intraday liquidity and transparent holdings, distinguishing it from directly holding individual Treasury bonds.
- Fed signals prolonged rate cuts lower long-term yields
- Hot inflation data lifts Treasury yields and pressures bond prices
- Surge in long-dated Treasury issuance raises duration risk
- Recession fears drive safe-haven demand into long bonds
As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 80.88 with a total of 39,049,925 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.28%, over one month by +4.06%, over three months by -0.24% and over the past year by -5.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 79.90 (which is 1.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
20+ Year Treasury Bond has no consensus analysts rating.