TMUS Stock Analysis: T-Mobile US | NASDAQ
Telecom Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 203.032m USD | 12M Return: -13.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 999M
EPS Trend: 84.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 94.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
T-Mobile US, Inc. is a major U.S. wireless communications provider offering voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale customers across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The company generates revenue from both mobile service subscriptions and the sale of wireless devices such as smartphones, wearables, tablets, and home broadband gateways, often financed through equipment installment plans. It also earns ancillary income from device insurance, extended warranty contracts, and equipment financing.
The company operates under three brands-T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile-distributing through its own retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, websites, and mobile apps, as well as through third-party dealers and distributors. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, T-Mobile US is a publicly traded subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG, the German telecommunications conglomerate.
T-Mobile operates within the Wireless Telecommunication Services sub-industry of the Communication Services sector. The U.S. wireless market is structured as an oligopoly dominated by a small number of nationwide carriers, with T-Mobile competing primarily against Verizon and AT&T. The industrys business model relies on a combination of recurring monthly service revenue, device sales, and an increasing emphasis on fixed wireless and broadband offerings as carriers expand beyond traditional mobile connectivity.
- Postpaid net adds and fixed wireless drive core service revenue
- Competitive pricing from Verizon and AT&T pressures service margins
- Share buybacks accelerate as Sprint merger synergies fully materialize
| Net Income: 10.5b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.96% < 20% (prev 4.61%; Δ -2.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 28.3b > Net Income 10.5b |
| Net Debt (149b) to EBITDA (31.8b): 4.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.10b) vs 12m ago -3.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.34% > 18% (prev 63.76%; Δ -9.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.18% > 50% (prev 38.53%; Δ 3.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.70 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.7b / Interest Expense TTM 3.76b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 22.1b - Total Current Liabilities 20.3b) / Total Assets 215b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 22.5b / Total Assets 215b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 17.7b / Avg Total Assets 215b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 55.9b / Total Liabilities 159b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 9.79b/8.69b, Revenue 90.5b/82.7b) |
| GMI: 1.17 (GM 63.76% / 54.34%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.57) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 90.5b / 82.7b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 10.5b - CFO 28.3b) / TA 215b) |
| Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 192.43 with a total of 4,465,455 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.57%, over one month by +6.13%, over three months by -2.12% and over the past year by -13.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 182.60 (which is 5.1% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
T-Mobile US has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TMUS.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 254.9 | 32.4% |
P/E Trailing = 19.9161
P/E Forward = 17.8891
P/S = 2.2427
P/B = 3.6334
P/EG = 0.744
Revenue TTM = 90.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 17.7b USD
EBITDA TTM = 31.8b USD
Long Term Debt = 83.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.03b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 153b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.2b
Net Debt = 149b USD (calculated: Debt 153b - CCE 3.52b)
Enterprise Value = 352b USD (203b + Debt 153b - CCE 3.52b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.70 (Ebit TTM 17.7b / Interest Expense TTM 3.76b)
EV/FCF = 22.55x (Enterprise Value 352b / FCF TTM 15.6b)
FCF Yield = 4.44% (FCF TTM 15.6b / Enterprise Value 352b)
FCF Margin = 17.26% (FCF TTM 15.6b / Revenue TTM 90.5b)
Net Margin = 11.65% (Net Income TTM 10.5b / Revenue TTM 90.5b)
Gross Margin = 54.34% ((Revenue TTM 90.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 41.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.80% (prev 42.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.64 (Enterprise Value 352b / Total Assets 215b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.46% (Interest Expense 3.76b / Debt 153b)
Taxrate = 23.47% (3.23b / 13.8b)
NOPAT = 13.5b (EBIT 17.7b * (1 - 23.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.09 (Total Current Assets 22.1b / Total Current Liabilities 20.3b)
Debt / Equity = 2.74 (Debt 153b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 55.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.70 (Net Debt 149b / EBITDA 31.8b)
Debt / FCF = 9.56 (Net Debt 149b / FCF TTM 15.6b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 59.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.91% (Net Income 10.5b / Total Assets 215b)
RoE = 17.82% (Net Income TTM 10.5b / Total Stockholder Equity 59.2b)
RoCE = 12.36% (EBIT 17.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 59.2b + L.T.Debt 83.8b))
RoIC = 6.83% (NOPAT 13.5b / Invested Capital 198b)
WACC = 3.95% (E(203b)/V(356b) * Re(5.51%) + D(153b)/V(356b) * Rd(2.46%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.44 | Cagr: -3.89%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈14.2b ; Y1≈16.2b ; Y5≈23.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 194.4 (EV 360b - Net Debt 149b = Equity 210b / Shares 1.08b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 84.87 | EPS CAGR: 13.72% | SUE: 1.94 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.23 | Revenue CAGR: 5.38% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.87 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.45 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.5% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.51 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+29.3% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -13% (up=5, down=7)