(TMUS) T-Mobile US - Ratings and Ratios
Voice, Messaging, Data, Devices, Internet
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.76% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.85% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 335.38% |
| Payout Consistency | 23.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 35.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.04% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.54 |
| Alpha | -20.63 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.347 |
| Beta | 0.258 |
| Beta Downside | 0.421 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.79% |
| Mean DD | 6.06% |
| Median DD | 4.39% |
Description: TMUS T-Mobile US December 02, 2025
T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) operates a nationwide wireless network serving postpaid, prepaid, wholesale and other customers across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Its portfolio includes voice, messaging, and high-speed data plans, as well as a broad array of devices-smartphones, wearables, tablets, and home broadband routers-sold through its T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands via owned stores, third-party retailers, and digital channels.
Beyond connectivity, the company generates ancillary revenue from equipment installment financing, device-insurance (re-insurance) contracts, and extended warranties. It also offers wholesale wholesale-network capacity to other carriers and MVNOs, a segment that contributes roughly 10 % of total revenue and helps offset fixed-cost exposure.
Key recent metrics (Q3 2024): core wireless subscriber base at 115 million, net churn ≈ 0.9 % YoY, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 38 %, reflecting continued pricing power amid a competitive 5G rollout. The rollout of 5G mid-band spectrum and the ongoing “5G for All” initiative are primary sector drivers, while macro-economic factors such as discretionary-spending trends and the Fed’s interest-rate outlook influence device-financing demand.
For a data-driven deep-dive into TMUS’s valuation sensitivities, the ValueRay platform provides granular scenario analysis and comparable peer metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (11.87b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.15b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.03% (prev 1.97%; Δ -5.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 26.84b > Net Income 11.87b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (116.86b) to EBITDA (31.93b) ratio: 3.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.13b) change vs 12m ago -3.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.59% (prev 63.42%; Δ -3.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.12% (prev 37.96%; Δ 2.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.38 (EBITDA TTM 31.93b / Interest Expense TTM 3.54b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.95
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 21.70b - Total Current Liabilities 24.30b) / Total Assets 217.18b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 20.16b / Total Assets 217.18b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 19.02b / Avg Total Assets 213.96b |
| (D) 0.12 = Book Value of Equity 19.27b / Total Liabilities 156.70b |
| Total Rating: 0.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.34
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.40)% |
| 7. RoE 19.42% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 54.45% |
| 9. EPS Trend 88.66% |
What is the price of TMUS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.48%, over one month by +1.33%, over three months by -17.09% and over the past year by -13.09%.
Is TMUS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TMUS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 274 | 31.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 274 | 31.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 226.5 | 8.9% |
TMUS Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.9257
P/E Forward = 16.8634
P/S = 2.7088
P/B = 3.8656
P/EG = 0.7741
Beta = 0.435
Revenue TTM = 85.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 19.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 31.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 77.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.04b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 120.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 116.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 349.40b USD (232.55b + Debt 120.44b - CCE 3.58b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.38 (Ebit TTM 19.02b / Interest Expense TTM 3.54b)
FCF Yield = 4.67% (FCF TTM 16.31b / Enterprise Value 349.40b)
FCF Margin = 19.00% (FCF TTM 16.31b / Revenue TTM 85.85b)
Net Margin = 13.83% (Net Income TTM 11.87b / Revenue TTM 85.85b)
Gross Margin = 59.59% ((Revenue TTM 85.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 34.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.29% (prev 65.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.61 (Enterprise Value 349.40b / Total Assets 217.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 860.0m / Debt 120.44b)
Taxrate = 23.07% (814.0m / 3.53b)
NOPAT = 14.63b (EBIT 19.02b * (1 - 23.07%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 21.70b / Total Current Liabilities 24.30b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 120.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 60.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.66 (Net Debt 116.86b / EBITDA 31.93b)
Debt / FCF = 7.16 (Net Debt 116.86b / FCF TTM 16.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 61.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.47% (Net Income 11.87b / Total Assets 217.18b)
RoE = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 11.87b / Total Stockholder Equity 61.11b)
RoCE = 13.69% (EBIT 19.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 61.11b + L.T.Debt 77.86b))
RoIC = 10.17% (NOPAT 14.63b / Invested Capital 143.89b)
WACC = 4.77% (E(232.55b)/V(352.98b) * Re(6.96%) + D(120.44b)/V(352.98b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.31%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.41% ; FCFE base≈13.77b ; Y1≈16.98b ; Y5≈28.91b
Fair Price DCF = 439.6 (DCF Value 491.74b / Shares Outstanding 1.12b; 5y FCF grow 24.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 88.66 | EPS CAGR: 68.58% | SUE: -2.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.45 | Revenue CAGR: 1.47% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=-0.237 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.76 | Chg30d=-0.641 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+16.0% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%
Additional Sources for TMUS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle