TMUS Stock Analysis: T-Mobile US | NASDAQ

Telecom Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 159.378m USD | 12M Return: -29.3% | US8725901040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Wireless Services, Mobile Devices, Insurance Coverage, Home Broadband
Total Rating 38
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.62
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -13.1
Market Cap: 159B
Avg Turnover: 939M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility48.8%
VaR 5th Pctl8.44%
VaR vs Median5.22%
Choppyness64.3%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Rel. Str. IBD12.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.4
Character TTM
Beta-0.139
Beta Downside0.299
Hurst Exponent0.396
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD43.99%
CAGR/Max DD0.14
CAGR/Mean DD0.50
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TMUS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.55, "2021-12": 0.34, "2022-03": 0.57, "2022-06": -0.09, "2022-09": 2.27, "2022-12": 1.18, "2023-03": 1.58, "2023-06": 2.05, "2023-09": 2, "2023-12": 1.83, "2024-03": 2, "2024-06": 2.49, "2024-09": 2.61, "2024-12": 2.59, "2025-03": 2.64, "2025-06": 2.85, "2025-09": 2.77, "2025-12": 1.88, "2026-03": 2.27, "2026-06": 3.13,
EPS CAGR: 15.66%
EPS Trend: 86.0%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of TMUS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 19624, 2021-12: 20785, 2022-03: 20120, 2022-06: 19701, 2022-09: 19477, 2022-12: 20273, 2023-03: 19632, 2023-06: 19196, 2023-09: 19252, 2023-12: 20478, 2024-03: 19594, 2024-06: 19772, 2024-09: 20162, 2024-12: 21872, 2025-03: 20886, 2025-06: 21132, 2025-09: 21957, 2025-12: 24334, 2026-03: 23107, 2026-06: 22791,
Rev. CAGR: 6.44%
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Last SUE: -0.94
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.6% 15
Feb +0.2% 10
Mar -0.9% 19
Apr -0.9% 23
May -0.7% 8
Jun -0.3% 8
Jul +1.0% 8
Aug +1.2% 8
Sep -2.8% 15
Oct -0.4% 0
Nov +0.8% 14
Dec -1.3% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TMUS T-Mobile US

T-Mobile US, Inc. is a U.S. wireless carrier that provides voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale customers across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Beyond connectivity, the company sells wireless devices, accessories, and related offerings such as equipment installment plans, device insurance, and extended warranty contracts. It operates under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands, distributing through its own retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, websites, mobile apps, and third-party dealers. The company holds 700 MHz wireless spectrum licenses, was founded in 1994, is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, and operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.

The company operates within the Communication Services sector, specifically the Wireless Telecommunication Services sub-industry, which is characterized by a small number of national carriers competing on network coverage, pricing, and bundled service plans. Ownership of low-band spectrum, such as the 700 MHz licenses held by T-Mobile, is a key strategic asset in this sector because it supports broad geographic coverage and stronger in-building signal penetration compared to higher-frequency bands.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Postpaid net additions beat estimates boosting service revenue
  • Fixed wireless access growth accelerates broadband subscriber expansion
  • Verizon and AT&T pricing competition pressures ARPU and margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 10.6b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.94% < 20% (prev 5.56%; Δ -7.49% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 28.8b > Net Income 10.6b
Net Debt (148b) to EBITDA (32.3b): 4.59 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.92 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.08b) vs 12m ago -4.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.46% > 18% (prev 63.61%; Δ -9.15% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 43.26% > 50% (prev 39.53%; Δ 3.73% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 3.89b)
Altman Z'' 1.26
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 21.8b - Total Current Liabilities 23.6b) / Total Assets 214b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 24.7b / Total Assets 214b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Avg Total Assets 213b)
D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 56.3b / Total Liabilities 157b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.26 = BB
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 9.96b/8.82b, Revenue 92.2b/84.1b)
GMI: 1.17 (GM 63.61% / 54.46%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.57)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 92.2b / 84.1b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 10.6b - CFO 28.8b) / TA 214b)
Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TMUS shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 157.03 with a total of 5,453,641 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.34%, over one month by -12.99%, over three months by -15.82% and over the past year by -29.25%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 149.70 (which is 4.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TMUS a buy, sell or hold?

T-Mobile US has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.32. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TMUS.

  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 9
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TMUS price?
Analysts Target Price 241.7 53.9%
T-Mobile US (TMUS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 159b (159b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.5256
P/E Forward = 11.7371
P/S = 1.7288
P/B = 3.1582
P/EG = 0.5854
Revenue TTM = 92.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 17.8b USD
EBITDA TTM = 32.3b USD
Long Term Debt = 78.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 151b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 34.8b
Net Debt = 148b USD (calculated: Debt 151b - CCE 2.83b)
Enterprise Value = 307b USD (159b + Debt 151b - CCE 2.83b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.58 (Ebit TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 3.89b)
EV/FCF = 17.16x (Enterprise Value 307b / FCF TTM 17.9b)
FCF Yield = 5.83% (FCF TTM 17.9b / Enterprise Value 307b)
FCF Margin = 19.43% (FCF TTM 17.9b / Revenue TTM 92.2b)
Net Margin = 11.45% (Net Income TTM 10.6b / Revenue TTM 92.2b)
Gross Margin = 54.46% ((Revenue TTM 92.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.77% (prev 61.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 307b / Total Assets 214b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.58% (Interest Expense 3.89b / Debt 151b)
Taxrate = 23.62% (3.27b / 13.8b)
NOPAT = 13.6b (EBIT 17.8b * (1 - 23.62%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 21.8b / Total Current Liabilities 23.6b)
Debt / Equity = 2.68 (Debt 151b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 56.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.59 (Net Debt 148b / EBITDA 32.3b)
Debt / FCF = 8.26 (Net Debt 148b / FCF TTM 17.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 58.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.96% (Net Income 10.6b / Total Assets 214b)
RoE = 18.22% (Net Income TTM 10.6b / Total Stockholder Equity 58.0b)
RoCE = 13.08% (EBIT 17.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 58.0b + L.T.Debt 78.5b))
RoIC = 6.88% (NOPAT 13.6b / Invested Capital 198b)
WACC = 3.78% (E(159b)/V(310b) * Re(5.49%) + D(151b)/V(310b) * Rd(2.58%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.16 | Cagr: -4.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈16.1b ; Y1≈18.4b ; Y5≈27.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 241.9 (EV 407b - Net Debt 148b = Equity 259b / Shares 1.07b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 86.02 | EPS CAGR: 15.66% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 96.78 | Revenue CAGR: 6.44% | SUE: -0.94 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.96 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.91 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+27.0% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=6, down=2)