TOI Stock Analysis: Oncology Institute | NASDAQ

Medical Care Facilities | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 528m USD | 12M Return: 105.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Infusion Therapy, Specialty Pharmacy, Clinical Trials, Radiation Therapy
Total Rating 46
Safety 34
Buy Signal 1.03
Medical Care Facilities
Industry Rotation: +11.6
Market Cap: 528M
Avg Turnover: 9.37M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility78.0%
VaR 5th Pctl12.6%
VaR vs Median-1.77%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.25
Rel. Str. IBD95.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group93.7
Character TTM
Beta0.698
Beta Downside-0.227
Hurst Exponent0.450
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD94.82%
CAGR/Max DD1.09
CAGR/Mean DD2.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TOI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.21, "2021-09": -0.02, "2021-12": -0.14, "2022-03": 0.25, "2022-06": -0.09, "2022-09": -0.25, "2022-12": -0.25, "2023-03": -0.33, "2023-06": -0.19, "2023-09": -0.19, "2023-12": -0.21, "2024-03": -0.22, "2024-06": -0.17, "2024-09": -0.1751, "2024-12": -0.143, "2025-03": -0.2085, "2025-06": -0.15, "2025-09": -0.14, "2025-12": -0.0633, "2026-03": -0.02,
Last SUE: 1.53
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TOI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 49.844, 2021-09: 52.275, 2021-12: 52.304, 2022-03: 55.161, 2022-06: 60.921, 2022-09: 64.977, 2022-12: 71.424, 2023-03: 76.192, 2023-06: 80.224, 2023-09: 82.035, 2023-12: 85.788, 2024-03: 94.666, 2024-06: 98.578, 2024-09: 99.901, 2024-12: 100.267, 2025-03: 104.406, 2025-06: 119.802, 2025-09: 136.564, 2025-12: 141.957, 2026-03: 147.441,
Rev. CAGR: 23.52%
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: 0.04
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses: Insolvent Profile
Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 6.1 years of data

Jan -8.6% 26
Feb -3.0% 39
Mar -0.2% 9
Apr +10.2% 10
May +14.2% 13
Jun -1.8% 2
Jul +27.2% 29
Aug -2.0% 9
Sep -0.6% 23
Oct +0.5% 9
Nov -42.7% 63
Dec +19.2% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TOI Oncology Institute

The Oncology Institute, Inc. (NASDAQ: TOI) is a US-based oncology care provider founded in 2007 and headquartered in Cerritos, California. The company operates through three segments-Specialty Pharmacy, Patient Services, and Clinical Trials & Other-delivering physician services, in-house infusion, radiation therapy, specialty pharmacy dispensing (both in-office and mail-order), outpatient blood product transfusions, clinical trial management, and palliative care programs. It also offers patient support services such as educational seminars, support groups, counseling, and 24/7 assistance, and runs combined community clinics with infusion suites. The company primarily serves adult and senior cancer patients.

TOI went public in November 2021 and is classified as a small-cap stock within the Health Care sector. Its integrated, value-based model combines clinical care with in-house pharmacy dispensing, a structure that aims to streamline treatment delivery in the outpatient setting. Demand for community-based oncology services has been supported by long-term trends including an aging US population and a broader shift of cancer care away from hospital inpatient settings toward outpatient clinics.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Specialty pharmacy revenue expansion drives higher contribution margins
  • Medicare reimbursement rate changes pressure patient services profitability
  • Clinical trials revenue grows on increased pharma sponsor activity
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: -43.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.87% < 20% (prev 11.73%; Δ -4.85% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.13 > 3% & CFO -21.8m > Net Income -43.5m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.02b) vs 12m ago 1.22k% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.82% > 18% (prev 14.70%; Δ 0.12% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 328.5% > 50% (prev 245.8%; Δ 82.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.71 > 6 (EBIT TTM -36.0m / Interest Expense TTM 7.64m)
Altman Z'' -5.39
A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 116.9m - Total Current Liabilities 79.4m) / Total Assets 168.2m
B: -1.63 (Retained Earnings -273.9m / Total Assets 168.2m)
C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -36.0m / Avg Total Assets 166.1m)
D: -0.09 (Book Value of Equity -16.3m / Total Liabilities 184.5m)
Altman-Z'' = -5.39 = D
Beneish M -3.00
DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 59.5m/49.7m, Revenue 545.8m/403.2m)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 14.70% / 14.82%)
AQI: 0.81 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 545.8m / 403.2m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI -43.5m - CFO -21.8m) / TA 168.2m)
Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TOI shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.89 with a total of 3,928,104 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.55%, over one month by +25.85%, over three months by +91.23% and over the past year by +105.23%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.20 (which is 11.7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is TOI a buy, sell or hold?

Oncology Institute has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TOI.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TOI price?
Analysts Target Price 7.8 31.6%
Oncology Institute (TOI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 527.9m (527.9m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 0.9673
P/B = 0.7617
Revenue TTM = 545.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -36.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -29.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 78.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 131.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.2m
Net Debt = 100.8m USD (calculated: Debt 131.1m - CCE 30.3m)
Enterprise Value = 628.7m USD (527.9m + Debt 131.1m - CCE 30.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.71 (Ebit TTM -36.0m / Interest Expense TTM 7.64m)
EV/FCF = -24.44x (Enterprise Value 628.7m / FCF TTM -25.7m)
FCF Yield = -4.09% (FCF TTM -25.7m / Enterprise Value 628.7m)
FCF Margin = -4.71% (FCF TTM -25.7m / Revenue TTM 545.8m)
Net Margin = -7.97% (Net Income TTM -43.5m / Revenue TTM 545.8m)
Gross Margin = 14.82% ((Revenue TTM 545.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 464.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.72% (prev 16.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.74 (Enterprise Value 628.7m / Total Assets 168.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.83% (Interest Expense 7.64m / Debt 131.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -28.4m (EBIT -36.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 116.9m / Total Current Liabilities 79.4m)
 Debt / Equity = -8.05 (negative equity) (Debt 131.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -16.3m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -3.45 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 100.8m / EBITDA -29.2m)
 Debt / FCF = -3.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 100.8m / FCF TTM -25.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = -13.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -26.19% (Net Income -43.5m / Total Assets 168.2m)
 RoE = 326.8% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -43.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -13.3m)
 RoCE = -55.14% (EBIT -36.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -13.3m + L.T.Debt 78.6m))
 RoIC = -41.23% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -28.4m / Invested Capital 69.0m)
 WACC = 7.68% (E(527.9m)/V(659.0m) * Re(8.44%) + D(131.1m)/V(659.0m) * Rd(5.83%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 221.7%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -25.7m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.11 | Revenue CAGR: 23.52% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=-12.50% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-3.45% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+72.2% | GrowthRev=+31.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+11.11% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+46.7% | GrowthRev=+24.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=8, down=1)