TPG Stock Analysis: TPG | NASDAQ

Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 18.329m USD | 12M Return: -23.8% | US8726571016 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Private Equity, Real Estate, Credit, Advisory
Total Rating 35
Safety 34
Buy Signal -0.81
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: -3.5
Market Cap: 18.3B
Avg Turnover: 125M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility37.5%
VaR 5th Pctl6.70%
VaR vs Median8.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Rel. Str. IBD27.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group32.1
Character TTM
Beta1.635
Beta Downside1.570
Hurst Exponent0.520
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.85%
CAGR/Max DD0.45
CAGR/Mean DD1.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TPG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.94, "2021-12": 0.44, "2022-03": 0.11, "2022-06": -0.15, "2022-09": 0.3, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": 0.24, "2023-06": 0.02, "2023-09": 0.56, "2023-12": 0.51, "2024-03": 0.5, "2024-06": 0.49, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": 0.62, "2025-03": 0.07, "2025-06": 0.69, "2025-09": 0.53, "2025-12": 0.29, "2026-03": -0.05, "2026-06": 0.69,
EPS CAGR: 7.53%
EPS Trend: 30.9%
Last SUE: 0.31
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TPG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 511.264, 2021-12: 1131.589, 2022-03: 1110.71, 2022-06: -108.282, 2022-09: 561.124, 2022-12: 386.743, 2023-03: 446.553, 2023-06: 445.827, 2023-09: 290.512, 2023-12: 672.888, 2024-03: 635.343, 2024-06: 607.605, 2024-09: 635.953, 2024-12: 744.545, 2025-03: 743.332, 2025-06: 696.031, 2025-09: 840.039, 2025-12: 1491.1, 2026-03: 496.151, 2026-06: 1841.424,
Rev. CAGR: 39.81%
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Last SUE: 1.43
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.5 years of data

Jan +0.6% 0
Feb -9.2% 21
Mar -10.6% 28
Apr -2.8% 24
May -3.1% 23
Jun +1.8% 0
Jul +7.5% 24
Aug -0.5% 12
Sep +4.7% 13
Oct -5.0% 15
Nov +7.0% 37
Dec +2.3% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TPG TPG

TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset manager founded in 1992 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. The firm offers investment management services across a range of vehicles, including TPG Funds, limited partnerships, and separately managed accounts, and also provides advisory, capital structuring, and underwriting/placement services. In addition, TPG invests across multiple alternative strategies, including private equity, real estate, hedge funds, and credit.

Alternative asset managers like TPG typically generate revenue through a combination of management fees on assets under management and performance-based fees, such as carried interest from successful fund investments. The firm went public in January 2022 and is classified within the asset management and custody banks sub-industry of the financials sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Private credit and insurance partnerships accelerate AUM growth
  • Fund realizations lift performance fees and distributable earnings
  • Share repurchase program returns capital and supports EPS growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 218.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.83 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -95.42% < 20% (prev 41.17%; Δ -136.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 972.6m > Net Income 218.4m
Net Debt (2.05b) to EBITDA (1.00b): 2.05 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.17 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (369.4m) vs 12m ago -0.21% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 35.92% > 50% (prev 23.56%; Δ 12.36% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.37 > 6 (EBIT TTM 838.4m / Interest Expense TTM 131.7m)
Altman Z'' -1.62
A: -0.32 (Total Current Assets 944.7m - Total Current Liabilities 5.40b) / Total Assets 14.0b
B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -406.3m / Total Assets 14.0b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 838.4m / Avg Total Assets 13.0b)
D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 1.24b / Total Liabilities 10.3b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.62 = D
What is the price of TPG shares?

As of September 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.47 with a total of 2,472,822 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.56%, over one month by -10.67%, over three months by +11.71% and over the past year by -23.75%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.80 (which is 5.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TPG a buy, sell or hold?

TPG has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TPG.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TPG price?
Analysts Target Price 60.4 30.1%
TPG (TPG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 18.3b (18.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 73.3281
P/E Forward = 13.4771
P/S = 3.9483
P/B = 6.5969
Revenue TTM = 4.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 838.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.00b USD (estimated: total debt 2.99b - short term -9.62m)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 3.00b USD (corrected: LT Debt 3.00b + ST Debt none)
Net Debt = 2.05b USD (calculated: Debt 3.00b - CCE 944.7m)
Enterprise Value = 20.4b USD (18.3b + Debt 3.00b - CCE 944.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.37 (Ebit TTM 838.4m / Interest Expense TTM 131.7m)
EV/FCF = 22.22x (Enterprise Value 20.4b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.50% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 20.4b)
FCF Margin = 19.65% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
Net Margin = 4.68% (Net Income TTM 218.4m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 4.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 193.4m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.45 (Enterprise Value 20.4b / Total Assets 14.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.39% (Interest Expense 131.7m / Debt 3.00b)
Taxrate = 16.03% (129.4m / 807.5m)
NOPAT = 704.0m (EBIT 838.4m * (1 - 16.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.17 (Total Current Assets 944.7m / Total Current Liabilities 5.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.43 (Debt 3.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.05 (Net Debt 2.05b / EBITDA 1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.24 (Net Debt 2.05b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.68% (Net Income 218.4m / Total Assets 14.0b)
RoE = 18.59% (Net Income TTM 218.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.17b)
RoCE = 20.09% (EBIT 838.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.17b + L.T.Debt 3.00b))
RoIC = 5.10% (NOPAT 704.0m / Invested Capital 13.8b)
WACC = 10.61% (E(18.3b)/V(21.3b) * Re(11.74%) + D(3.00b)/V(21.3b) * Rd(4.39%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 11.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 75.30 | Cagr: 0.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.02% ; FCFF base≈727.9m ; Y1≈834.4m ; Y5≈1.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 69.63 (EV 13.2b - Net Debt 2.05b = Equity 11.1b / Shares 160.1m; r=10.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 30.85 | EPS CAGR: 7.53% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.69 | Revenue CAGR: 39.81% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=-0.69% | Revisions=-44% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.86 | Chg30d=+1.57% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+18.6% | GrowthRev=+19.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.63 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+26.9% | GrowthRev=+18.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +34% (up=22, down=10)