TPG Stock Analysis: TPG | NASDAQ
Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 16.607m USD | 12M Return: -19% | US8726571016 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 112M
EPS Trend: 30.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 4.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
TPG Inc. (NASDAQ: TPG) is a U.S.-based alternative asset manager that provides investment management, advisory, capital structuring, and underwriting services to a global client base. Founded in 1992 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, the firm invests across private equity, real estate, hedge funds, and credit strategies, managing capital for institutional limited partners, separately managed accounts, and commingled funds. The company went public in January 2022 and is classified as a large-cap stock within the Financials sector.
As an alternative asset manager, TPG operates under a fee-based business model, typically earning management fees on assets under management (AUM) and performance fees (carried interest) on investment gains. Its classification under the GICS Asset Management & Custody Banks sub-industry places it among publicly traded peers focused on actively managed investment products rather than traditional banking services.
- Capital Solutions segment revenue scales on private credit demand
- Fee-related earnings margin expands as AUM crosses key milestone
- Performance realizations remain pressured by muted exit activity
| Net Income: 218.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -95.42% < 20% (prev 41.17%; Δ -136.6% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 972.6m > Net Income 218.4m |
| Net Debt (2.05b) to EBITDA (1.00b): 2.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (369.4m) vs 12m ago -0.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.92% > 50% (prev 23.56%; Δ 12.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.37 > 6 (EBIT TTM 838.4m / Interest Expense TTM 131.7m) |
| A: -0.32 (Total Current Assets 944.7m - Total Current Liabilities 5.40b) / Total Assets 14.0b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -406.3m / Total Assets 14.0b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 838.4m / Avg Total Assets 13.0b) |
| D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 1.24b / Total Liabilities 10.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.62 = D |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.52 with a total of 3,788,280 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.05%, over one month by -8.01%, over three months by -1.74% and over the past year by -19.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.20 (which is 5.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
TPG has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TPG.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 57.7 | 35.6% |
P/E Trailing = 63.4627
P/E Forward = 12.6743
P/S = 3.5773
P/B = 6.1531
Revenue TTM = 4.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 838.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.00b USD (estimated: total debt 2.99b - short term -9.62m)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.00b USD (corrected: LT Debt 3.00b + ST Debt none)
Net Debt = 2.05b USD (calculated: Debt 3.00b - CCE 944.7m)
Enterprise Value = 18.7b USD (16.6b + Debt 3.00b - CCE 944.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.37 (Ebit TTM 838.4m / Interest Expense TTM 131.7m)
EV/FCF = 20.34x (Enterprise Value 18.7b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.92% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 18.7b)
FCF Margin = 19.65% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
Net Margin = 4.68% (Net Income TTM 218.4m / Revenue TTM 4.67b)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 4.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 193.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 18.7b / Total Assets 14.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.39% (Interest Expense 131.7m / Debt 3.00b)
Taxrate = 16.03% (129.4m / 807.5m)
NOPAT = 704.0m (EBIT 838.4m * (1 - 16.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.17 (Total Current Assets 944.7m / Total Current Liabilities 5.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.43 (Debt 3.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.05 (Net Debt 2.05b / EBITDA 1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.24 (Net Debt 2.05b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.68% (Net Income 218.4m / Total Assets 14.0b)
RoE = 18.59% (Net Income TTM 218.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.17b)
RoCE = 20.09% (EBIT 838.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.17b + L.T.Debt 3.00b))
RoIC = 5.10% (NOPAT 704.0m / Invested Capital 13.8b)
WACC = 9.96% (E(16.6b)/V(19.6b) * Re(11.09%) + D(3.00b)/V(19.6b) * Rd(4.39%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 11.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 75.30 | Cagr: 0.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.95% ; FCFF base≈727.9m ; Y1≈834.4m ; Y5≈1.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 77.07 (EV 14.4b - Net Debt 2.05b = Equity 12.3b / Shares 160.1m; r=9.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 30.85 | EPS CAGR: 7.53% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.69 | Revenue CAGR: 39.81% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-8.09% | Revisions=-70% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.97 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+337.8% | GrowthRev=+17.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.75 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+90.4% | GrowthRev=+18.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -42% (up=2, down=7)