TPG Stock Analysis: TPG | NASDAQ
Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 16.326m USD | 12M Return: -18.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 84.8M
EPS Trend: -9.4%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 4.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset manager founded in 1992 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. The firm offers investment management services across a range of vehicles, including TPG Funds, limited partnerships, and separately managed accounts, and also provides advisory, capital structuring, and underwriting/placement services. In addition, TPG invests across multiple alternative strategies, including private equity, real estate, hedge funds, and credit.
Alternative asset managers like TPG typically generate revenue through a combination of management fees on assets under management and performance-based fees, such as carried interest from successful fund investments. The firm went public in January 2022 and is classified within the asset management and custody banks sub-industry of the financials sector.
- Private credit and insurance partnerships accelerate AUM growth
- Fund realizations lift performance fees and distributable earnings
- Share repurchase program returns capital and supports EPS growth
| Net Income: 139.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.93 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -118.3% < 20% (prev 32.58%; Δ -150.9% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.01b > Net Income 139.9m |
| Net Debt (2.13b) to EBITDA (610.7m): 3.49 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (383.7m) vs 12m ago 3.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 94.82% > 18% (prev 96.69%; Δ -1.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 28.62% > 50% (prev 24.14%; Δ 4.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.78 > 6 (EBIT TTM 456.1m / Interest Expense TTM 120.8m) |
| A: -0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.23b - Total Current Liabilities 5.40b) / Total Assets 13.3b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -397.7m / Total Assets 13.3b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 456.1m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b) |
| D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 1.13b / Total Liabilities 9.58b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.78 = D |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 367.7m/308.0m, Revenue 3.52b/2.73b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 96.69% / 94.82%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.86 / AQ_t-1 0.85) |
| SGI: 1.29 (Revenue 3.52b / 2.73b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 139.9m - CFO 1.01b) / TA 13.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.97 with a total of 1,680,815 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.15%, over one month by +4.32%, over three months by -2.54% and over the past year by -18.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.50 (which is 5.7% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
TPG has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TPG.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 55.7 | 29.6% |
P/E Trailing = 184.6957
P/E Forward = 15.015
P/S = 4.3744
P/B = 6.0142
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 456.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 610.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.99b USD (estimated: total debt 2.98b - short term -8.32m)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 2.99b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.99b + ST Debt none)
Net Debt = 2.13b USD (calculated: Debt 2.99b - CCE 864.6m)
Enterprise Value = 18.5b USD (16.3b + Debt 2.99b - CCE 864.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.78 (Ebit TTM 456.1m / Interest Expense TTM 120.8m)
EV/FCF = 18.99x (Enterprise Value 18.5b / FCF TTM 972.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.27% (FCF TTM 972.0m / Enterprise Value 18.5b)
FCF Margin = 27.59% (FCF TTM 972.0m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 3.97% (Net Income TTM 139.9m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 94.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 182.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.17% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 18.5b / Total Assets 13.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.04% (Interest Expense 120.8m / Debt 2.99b)
Taxrate = 10.01% (43.2m / 431.7m)
NOPAT = 410.5m (EBIT 456.1m * (1 - 10.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.23 (Total Current Assets 1.23b / Total Current Liabilities 5.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.64 (Debt 2.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.49 (Net Debt 2.13b / EBITDA 610.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.19 (Net Debt 2.13b / FCF TTM 972.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.14% (Net Income 139.9m / Total Assets 13.3b)
RoE = 12.56% (Net Income TTM 139.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.11b)
RoCE = 11.11% (EBIT 456.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.11b + L.T.Debt 2.99b))
RoIC = 3.13% (NOPAT 410.5m / Invested Capital 13.1b)
WACC = 10.74% (E(16.3b)/V(19.3b) * Re(12.04%) + D(2.99b)/V(19.3b) * Rd(4.04%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 12.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -27.67 | Cagr: 4.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.65% ; FCFF base≈690.7m ; Y1≈791.8m ; Y5≈1.17b
[DCF] Fair Price = 66.28 (EV 12.3b - Net Debt 2.13b = Equity 10.2b / Shares 153.9m; r=10.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -9.36 | EPS CAGR: -68.44% | SUE: -2.37 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 96.84 | Revenue CAGR: 33.62% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=-10.90% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+2.52% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-20.18% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+412.2% | GrowthRev=+14.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.66 | Chg30d=-0.43% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+58.9% | GrowthRev=+20.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)