TRIN Stock Analysis: Trinity Capital | NASDAQ

Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.579m USD | 12M Return: 39.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Term Loans, Equipment Financing, Tech Lending, Sponsor Finance
Total Rating 44
Safety 46
Buy Signal -0.33
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +7.7
Market Cap: 1.58B
Avg Turnover: 16.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.73%
VaR vs Median6.50%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.54
Rel. Str. IBD72.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group78.2
Character TTM
Beta0.550
Beta Downside0.392
Hurst Exponent0.491
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD15.58%
CAGR/Max DD1.63
CAGR/Mean DD6.56
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TRIN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.38, "2021-09": 0.4, "2021-12": 0.38, "2022-03": 0.54, "2022-06": 0.48, "2022-09": 0.53, "2022-12": 0.57, "2023-03": 0.52, "2023-06": 0.58, "2023-09": 0.55, "2023-12": 0.54, "2024-03": 0.52, "2024-06": 0.51, "2024-09": 0.52, "2024-12": 0.56, "2025-03": 0.52, "2025-06": 0.53, "2025-09": 0.52, "2025-12": 0.52, "2026-03": 0.53,
EPS CAGR: -1.93%
EPS Trend: -80.9%
Last SUE: 1.25
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TRIN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 34.101, 2021-09: 37.848, 2021-12: 68.14, 2022-03: 7.171, 2022-06: 10.021, 2022-09: 8.059, 2022-12: 18.288, 2023-03: 44.693, 2023-06: 43.83, 2023-09: 39.853, 2023-12: 40.471, 2024-03: 39.804, 2024-06: 58.726, 2024-09: 56.806, 2024-12: 63.054, 2025-03: 60.089, 2025-06: 76.093, 2025-09: 66.229, 2025-12: 50.407, 2026-03: 83.319,
Rev. CAGR: 33.98%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 5.5 years of data

Jan +2.9% 10
Feb +0.9% 25
Mar +0.4% 10
Apr -3.4% 30
May -0.7% 10
Jun -0.7% 9
Jul +2.2% 11
Aug -0.1% 0
Sep -2.2% 45
Oct -2.5% 44
Nov +1.3% 0
Dec +1.4% 41

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TRIN Trinity Capital

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) is a Phoenix-based business development company (BDC) founded in 2008 that provides debt financing to growth-stage companies across a wide range of industries. Its core offerings include term loans, equipment financing, and private credit investments, with activity spanning sectors such as aerospace, software, life sciences, clean technology, semiconductors, robotics, and consumer and retail. The firm operates as a BDC, a regulated investment vehicle required to invest primarily in private or thinly traded U.S. companies, making it a participant in the private credit market rather than traditional banking.

Headquartered in Phoenix with additional offices in Solana Beach and San Diego, Trinity Capital went public on NASDAQ on January 29, 2021. The company sits within the Financials sector and the Asset Management & Custody Banks sub-industry, and markets itself as an industry-agnostic lender targeting venture-backed and growth-oriented businesses. As a BDC, it is generally structured to distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders, positioning its common stock as a yield-oriented vehicle for investors seeking access to private credit returns.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Floating-rate loan portfolio margins expand with elevated rate environment
  • Origination activity accelerates in tech and life sciences lending verticals
  • Credit quality deteriorates as non-accruals rise in growth-stage portfolio
  • Private credit competition intensifies from direct lenders and alternative managers
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 154.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.15% < 20% (prev -3.17%; Δ 16.32% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.03 > 3% & CFO -79.4m > Net Income 154.0m
Net Debt (1.34b) to EBITDA (157.1m): 8.52 < 3
Current Ratio: 26.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (83.6m) vs 12m ago 33.71% < -2%
Gross Margin: 81.52% > 18% (prev 74.05%; Δ 7.47% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 12.51% > 50% (prev 12.85%; Δ -0.34% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.25 > 6 (EBIT TTM 195.4m / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.54
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 37.7m - Total Current Liabilities 1.40m) / Total Assets 2.56b
B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -19.3m / Total Assets 2.56b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 195.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.21b)
D: 0.84 (Book Value of Equity 1.17b / Total Liabilities 1.39b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.54 = BB
What is the price of TRIN shares?

As of August 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.16 with a total of 1,254,116 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.60%, over one month by +4.01%, over three months by +11.29% and over the past year by +39.88%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.60 (which is 3.1% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is TRIN a buy, sell or hold?

Trinity Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TRIN.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the TRIN price?
Analysts Target Price 18 -0.7%
Trinity Capital (TRIN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.58b (1.58b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.3457
P/E Forward = 8.5324
P/S = 5.2616
P/B = 1.3642
P/EG = 5.1395
Revenue TTM = 276.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 195.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 157.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.36b USD (estimated: total debt 1.36b - short term 1.40m)
Short Term Debt = 1.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.34b USD (calculated: Debt 1.36b - CCE 19.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.92b USD (1.58b + Debt 1.36b - CCE 19.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.25 (Ebit TTM 195.4m / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m)
EV/FCF = -36.35x (Enterprise Value 2.92b / FCF TTM -80.3m)
FCF Yield = -2.75% (FCF TTM -80.3m / Enterprise Value 2.92b)
FCF Margin = -29.08% (FCF TTM -80.3m / Revenue TTM 276.0m)
Net Margin = 55.80% (Net Income TTM 154.0m / Revenue TTM 276.0m)
Gross Margin = 81.52% ((Revenue TTM 276.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 51.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.27% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 2.92b / Total Assets 2.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.41% (Interest Expense 87.0m / Debt 1.36b)
Taxrate = 1.94% (3.01m / 155.3m)
NOPAT = 191.6m (EBIT 195.4m * (1 - 1.94%))
Current Ratio = 26.89 (Total Current Assets 37.7m / Total Current Liabilities 1.40m)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 1.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.52 (Net Debt 1.34b / EBITDA 157.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -16.67 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.34b / FCF TTM -80.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.98% (Net Income 154.0m / Total Assets 2.56b)
RoE = 14.73% (Net Income TTM 154.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.05b)
RoCE = 8.13% (EBIT 195.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.05b + L.T.Debt 1.36b))
RoIC = 7.54% (NOPAT 191.6m / Invested Capital 2.54b)
WACC = 7.16% (E(1.58b)/V(2.94b) * Re(7.92%) + D(1.36b)/V(2.94b) * Rd(6.41%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 7.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.43 | Cagr: 27.87%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -80.3m)
 EPS Correlation: -80.90 | EPS CAGR: -1.93% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.36 | Revenue CAGR: 33.98% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+0.5% | GrowthRev=+27.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.07 | Chg30d=-0.67% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-0.9% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +19% (up=14, down=9)