(TSCO) Tractor Supply - Ratings and Ratios
Animal Feed, Pet Supplies, Hardware, Clothing, Lawn Equipment
TSCO EPS (Earnings per Share)
TSCO Revenue
Description: TSCO Tractor Supply
Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) is the leading U.S. retailer of rural-lifestyle products, serving recreational farmers, ranchers, and pet owners through a mix of brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce sites. Its merchandise spans livestock and equine feed, companion-animal supplies, seasonal recreation items (e.g., tractors, lawn & garden equipment), truck and hardware accessories, and a broad assortment of clothing, gifts, and décor. The firm markets these products under proprietary brands such as 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, and Red Shed, and operates stores under the Tractor Supply, Petsense, and Orscheln Farm & Home banners.
As of the most recent fiscal year (FY 2024), TSCO reported net sales of roughly $5.0 billion, a 5.5 % year-over-year comparable-store sales increase, and a 12 % growth in e-commerce revenue, reflecting a rising share of online orders (now ~23 % of total sales). The company operates approximately 1,800 stores across 49 states, with a same-store traffic lift of 3.2 % in Q2 2025, and maintains an adjusted operating margin near 7.8 %.
Key drivers of TSCO’s performance include (1) sustained growth in U.S. pet ownership-pet-related spending has risen ~4 % annually over the past five years, bolstering the companion-animal category; (2) favorable rural consumer confidence, which tends to outpace urban trends during periods of moderate inflation; and (3) the broader specialty-retail sector’s resilience, as discretionary spending on home-improvement and outdoor recreation remains robust despite tightening credit conditions.
For a deeper dive into TSCO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research platform worth exploring.
TSCO Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 29,587m |
Sub-Industry | Other Specialty Retail |
IPO / Inception | 1994-02-17 |
TSCO Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 51.9% |
Fundamental | 67.1% |
Dividend Rating | 71.3% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.8% |
Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
TSCO Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 1.63% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 3.27% |
Annual Growth 5y | 30.87% |
Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
Payout Ratio | 44.6% |
TSCO Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -41.2% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 23.4% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 89.4% |
CAGR 5y | 14.56% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.60 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.83 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.01 |
Alpha | -19.37 |
Beta | 0.724 |
Volatility | 24.39% |
Current Volume | 6604.6k |
Average Volume 20d | 4335.7k |
Stop Loss | 54.1 (-3.1%) |
Signal | -0.12 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
Net Income (1.09b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 908.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 5.16% (prev 7.44%; Δ -2.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.61b > Net Income 1.09b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (5.33b) to EBITDA (1.95b) ratio: 2.74 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (532.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.66% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 35.60% (prev 36.16%; Δ -0.55pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 148.9% (prev 150.4%; Δ -1.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 21.40 (EBITDA TTM 1.95b / Interest Expense TTM 68.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.65
(A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 3.54b - Total Current Liabilities 2.76b) / Total Assets 10.56b |
(B) 0.69 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.28b / Total Assets 10.56b |
(C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 1.47b / Avg Total Assets 10.17b |
(D) 0.90 = Book Value of Equity 7.28b / Total Liabilities 8.07b |
Total Rating: 4.65 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.07
1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
2. FCF Yield 2.35% = 1.17 |
3. FCF Margin 5.41% = 1.35 |
4. Debt/Equity 2.23 = 0.42 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.74 = -1.37 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.69)% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 46.83% = 2.50 |
8. Rev. Trend 31.26% = 2.34 |
9. EPS Trend -76.90% = -3.85 |
What is the price of TSCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.51%, over one month by -6.37%, over three months by -0.57% and over the past year by -5.72%.
Is Tractor Supply a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TSCO is around 56.76 USD . This means that TSCO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 1.7%.
Is TSCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TSCO price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 62.7 | 12.3% |
Analysts Target Price | 62.7 | 12.3% |
ValueRay Target Price | 62.6 | 12.2% |
Last update: 2025-10-06 02:02
TSCO Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 27.5025
P/E Forward = 24.0385
P/S = 1.9531
P/B = 11.9661
P/EG = 2.3559
Beta = 0.724
Revenue TTM = 15.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 413.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.56b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.92b USD (29.59b + Debt 5.56b - CCE 225.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.40 (Ebit TTM 1.47b / Interest Expense TTM 68.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.35% (FCF TTM 820.2m / Enterprise Value 34.92b)
FCF Margin = 5.41% (FCF TTM 820.2m / Revenue TTM 15.15b)
Net Margin = 7.18% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 15.15b)
Gross Margin = 35.60% ((Revenue TTM 15.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.19% (prev 36.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.31 (Enterprise Value 34.92b / Total Assets 10.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.32% (Interest Expense 18.0m / Debt 5.56b)
Taxrate = 23.18% (129.8m / 559.8m)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.47b * (1 - 23.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 3.54b / Total Current Liabilities 2.76b)
Debt / Equity = 2.23 (Debt 5.56b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.74 (Net Debt 5.33b / EBITDA 1.95b)
Debt / FCF = 6.50 (Net Debt 5.33b / FCF TTM 820.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.30% (Net Income 1.09b / Total Assets 10.56b)
RoE = 46.83% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.32b)
RoCE = 36.79% (EBIT 1.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.32b + L.T.Debt 1.67b))
RoIC = 27.03% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 4.18b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(29.59b)/V(35.14b) * Re(8.68%) + D(5.56b)/V(35.14b) * Rd(0.32%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.50% ; FCFE base≈738.1m ; Y1≈815.6m ; Y5≈1.06b
Fair Price DCF = 30.77 (DCF Value 16.30b / Shares Outstanding 530.0m; 5y FCF grow 12.07% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -76.90 | EPS CAGR: -62.62% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.26 | Revenue CAGR: 11.75% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for TSCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle