Overview Dividends

(TSCO) Tractor Supply - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8923561067

Animal Feed, Pet Supplies, Hardware, Clothing, Lawn Equipment

TSCO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -44.14%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -75.0%

TSCO Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -2.67%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 14.0%

Description: TSCO Tractor Supply October 14, 2025

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) is the leading U.S. retailer of rural-lifestyle products, serving recreational farmers, ranchers, and pet owners through a mix of brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce sites. Its merchandise spans livestock and equine feed, companion-animal supplies, seasonal recreation items (e.g., tractors, lawn & garden equipment), truck and hardware accessories, and a broad assortment of clothing, gifts, and décor. The firm markets these products under proprietary brands such as 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, and Red Shed, and operates stores under the Tractor Supply, Petsense, and Orscheln Farm & Home banners.

As of the most recent fiscal year (FY 2024), TSCO reported net sales of roughly $5.0 billion, a 5.5 % year-over-year comparable-store sales increase, and a 12 % growth in e-commerce revenue, reflecting a rising share of online orders (now ~23 % of total sales). The company operates approximately 1,800 stores across 49 states, with a same-store traffic lift of 3.2 % in Q2 2025, and maintains an adjusted operating margin near 7.8 %.

Key drivers of TSCO’s performance include (1) sustained growth in U.S. pet ownership-pet-related spending has risen ~4 % annually over the past five years, bolstering the companion-animal category; (2) favorable rural consumer confidence, which tends to outpace urban trends during periods of moderate inflation; and (3) the broader specialty-retail sector’s resilience, as discretionary spending on home-improvement and outdoor recreation remains robust despite tightening credit conditions.

For a deeper dive into TSCO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research platform worth exploring.

TSCO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	28,114m
Sub-Industry	Other Specialty Retail
IPO / Inception	1994-02-17

TSCO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	46.5%
Fundamental	66.2%
Dividend Rating	72.1%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-16.4%
Analyst Rating	3.67 of 5

TSCO Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	1.68%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.80%
Annual Growth 5y	30.87%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	43.8%

TSCO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-88.6%
Growth Correlation 12m	27.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	89.2%
CAGR 5y	11.12%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.46
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	1.37
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.34
Alpha	-14.11
Beta	0.720
Volatility	24.97%
Current Volume	3568.6k
Average Volume 20d	4674.3k
Stop Loss	52.6 (-3.1%)
Signal	0.59

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 924.0m TTM)

FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 5.49% (prev 7.70%; Δ -2.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.83b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.54b) to EBITDA (1.97b) ratio: 2.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (532.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.04% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 35.67% (prev 36.29%; Δ -0.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 149.2% (prev 151.2%; Δ -2.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 21.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.64

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 3.65b - Total Current Liabilities 2.80b) / Total Assets 10.88b

(B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.41b / Total Assets 10.88b

(D) 0.89 = Book Value of Equity 7.42b / Total Liabilities 8.30b

Total Rating: 4.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.22

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0

2. FCF Yield 2.83% = 1.42

3. FCF Margin 6.18% = 1.55

4. Debt/Equity 2.22 = 0.43

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.80 = -1.48

6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.79)% = 12.50

7. RoE 46.18% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend 14.00% = 1.05

9. EPS Trend -74.97% = -3.75

What is the price of TSCO shares?

As of November 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 54.27 with a total of 3,568,600 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.30%, over one month by +1.04%, over three months by -9.24% and over the past year by -4.66%.

Is Tractor Supply a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 66.22 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TSCO is around 50.92 USD . This means that TSCO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.17%.

Is TSCO a buy, sell or hold?

Tractor Supply has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TSCO.

Strong Buy: 10
Buy: 5
Hold: 16
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the TSCO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	63.3	16.7%
Analysts Target Price	63.3	16.7%
ValueRay Target Price	56.1	3.4%

TSCO Fundamental Data Overview November 06, 2025

Market Cap USD = 28.11b (28.11b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.3828
P/E Forward = 24.0385
P/S = 1.8257
P/B = 11.9661
P/EG = 2.3559
Beta = 0.72
Revenue TTM = 15.40b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.97b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 421.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 33.65b USD (28.11b + Debt 5.72b - CCE 184.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.41 (Ebit TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.83% (FCF TTM 952.4m / Enterprise Value 33.65b)
FCF Margin = 6.18% (FCF TTM 952.4m / Revenue TTM 15.40b)
Net Margin = 7.18% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 15.40b)
Gross Margin = 35.67% ((Revenue TTM 15.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.35% (prev 34.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.09 (Enterprise Value 33.65b / Total Assets 10.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.26% (Interest Expense 14.7m / Debt 5.72b)
Taxrate = 20.96% (68.8m / 328.0m)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.49b * (1 - 20.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 3.65b / Total Current Liabilities 2.80b)
Debt / Equity = 2.22 (Debt 5.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.80 (Net Debt 5.54b / EBITDA 1.97b)
Debt / FCF = 5.81 (Net Debt 5.54b / FCF TTM 952.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.16% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 10.88b)
RoE = 46.18% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.39b)
RoCE = 35.22% (EBIT 1.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.39b + L.T.Debt 1.83b))
RoIC = 28.03% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 4.20b)
WACC = 7.24% (E(28.11b)/V(33.84b) * Re(8.67%) + D(5.72b)/V(33.84b) * Rd(0.26%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.18% ; FCFE base≈785.3m ; Y1≈952.0m ; Y5≈1.56b
Fair Price DCF = 44.57 (DCF Value 23.62b / Shares Outstanding 530.0m; 5y FCF grow 22.68% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -74.97 | EPS CAGR: -44.14% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 14.00 | Revenue CAGR: -2.67% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for TSCO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle