(TSLA) Tesla - NASDAQ

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.504.130m USD | Total Return: 14.5% in 12m

Electric Vehicles, Energy Storage, Solar Energy, Self-Driving Software
Total Rating 46
Safety 76
Buy Signal -0.88
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -20.7
Market Cap: 1,504B
Avg Turnover: 18.8B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility49.8%
VaR 5th Pctl8.47%
VaR vs Median3.26%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.43
Rel. Str. IBD20.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group70
Character TTM
Beta2.397
Beta Downside2.510
Hurst Exponent0.458
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.25
CAGR/Mean DD0.59
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TSLA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.48, "2021-09": 0.62, "2021-12": 0.85, "2022-03": 1.07, "2022-06": 0.76, "2022-09": 1.05, "2022-12": 1.19, "2023-03": 0.85, "2023-06": 0.91, "2023-09": 0.66, "2023-12": 0.71, "2024-03": 0.45, "2024-06": 0.52, "2024-09": 0.72, "2024-12": 0.73, "2025-03": 0.27, "2025-06": 0.4, "2025-09": 0.5, "2025-12": 0.5, "2026-03": 0.41,
EPS CAGR: -24.97%
EPS Trend: -96.2%
Last SUE: 0.77
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TSLA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 11958, 2021-09: 13757, 2021-12: 17719, 2022-03: 18756, 2022-06: 16934, 2022-09: 21454, 2022-12: 24318, 2023-03: 23329, 2023-06: 24927, 2023-09: 23350, 2023-12: 25167, 2024-03: 21301, 2024-06: 25500, 2024-09: 25182, 2024-12: 25707, 2025-03: 19335, 2025-06: 22496, 2025-09: 28095, 2025-12: 24901, 2026-03: 22387,
Rev. CAGR: 0.23%
Rev. Trend: 13.1%
Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E ratio 367.4

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: TSLA Tesla

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a U.S.-based automaker and energy company operating through two main segments: Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment designs, manufactures, and sells battery-electric vehicles, including sedans and SUVs, distributed through direct sales, used vehicle channels, and a proprietary Supercharger network, while also offering financing, leasing, insurance, maintenance, and vehicle software/in-app upgrades. The Energy Generation and Storage segment produces and installs solar panels, Solar Roof, and lithium-ion battery products (Powerwall and Megapack) for residential, commercial, industrial, and utility customers via direct channels and partners.

Beyond vehicle and hardware sales, Tesla generates recurring revenue streams through software services (including its Full Self-Driving/Autopilot advanced driver-assistance suite), automotive regulatory credit sales, extended service plans, and energy storage product financing. The company is also developing humanoid robotics (Optimus) and AI/robotaxi services, positioning itself as an integrated clean-energy and artificial intelligence platform rather than a pure-play automaker. Tesla was incorporated in 2003, IPOd on NASDAQ in June 2010, and is headquartered in Austin, Texas, with operations in the U.S., China, and other international markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive margins compress on repeated vehicle price cuts
  • Energy storage revenue accelerates with Megapack deployments
  • Chinese EV competition intensifies from BYD and Xiaomi
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 3.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.55 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 36.38% < 20% (prev 30.96%; Δ 5.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 16.5b > Net Income 3.88b
Net Debt (-28.6b) to EBITDA (12.1b): -2.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.54b) vs 12m ago 0.48% < -2%
Gross Margin: 19.07% > 18% (prev 17.66%; Δ 1.40% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.82% > 50% (prev 76.51%; Δ -3.69% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 17.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.78b / Interest Expense TTM 339.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.31
A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 69.7b - Total Current Liabilities 34.1b) / Total Assets 144b
B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 39.5b / Total Assets 144b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 5.78b / Avg Total Assets 134b)
D: 1.43 (Book Value of Equity 84.1b / Total Liabilities 59.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.31 = AA
Beneish M -3.05
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 3.96b/3.78b, Revenue 97.9b/95.7b)
GMI: 0.93 (GM 17.66% / 19.07%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 97.9b / 95.7b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 3.88b - CFO 16.5b) / TA 144b)
Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TSLA shares?

As of June 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 375.12 with a total of 28,803,361 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.36%, over one month by -13.49%, over three months by -2.81% and over the past year by +14.52%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 352.40 (which is 6.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is TSLA a buy, sell or hold?

Tesla has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.38. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TSLA.

  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 16
  • Sell: 3
  • StrongSell: 7

What are the forecasts/targets for the TSLA price?
Analysts Target Price 420.6 12.1%
Tesla (TSLA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1504b (1504b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 367.422
P/E Forward = 200.0
P/S = 15.3672
P/B = 17.6981
P/EG = 5.6626
Revenue TTM = 97.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.78b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.1b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.64b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.45b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.87b
Net Debt = -28.6b USD (calculated: Debt 16.1b - CCE 44.7b)
Enterprise Value = 1475b USD (1504b + Debt 16.1b - CCE 44.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.04 (Ebit TTM 5.78b / Interest Expense TTM 339.0m)
EV/FCF = 210.8x (Enterprise Value 1475b / FCF TTM 7.00b)
FCF Yield = 0.47% (FCF TTM 7.00b / Enterprise Value 1475b)
FCF Margin = 7.15% (FCF TTM 7.00b / Revenue TTM 97.9b)
Net Margin = 3.96% (Net Income TTM 3.88b / Revenue TTM 97.9b)
Gross Margin = 19.07% ((Revenue TTM 97.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 79.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.08% (prev 20.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.27 (Enterprise Value 1475b / Total Assets 144b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.11% (Interest Expense 339.0m / Debt 16.1b)
Taxrate = 27.79% (1.51b / 5.44b)
NOPAT = 4.17b (EBIT 5.78b * (1 - 27.79%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 69.7b / Total Current Liabilities 34.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 16.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 84.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.37 (Net Debt -28.6b / EBITDA 12.1b)
Debt / FCF = -4.09 (Net Debt -28.6b / FCF TTM 7.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 80.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.88% (Net Income 3.88b / Total Assets 144b)
RoE = 4.79% (Net Income TTM 3.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 80.9b)
RoCE = 6.52% (EBIT 5.78b / Capital Employed (Equity 80.9b + L.T.Debt 7.64b))
RoIC = 3.93% (NOPAT 4.17b / Invested Capital 106b)
WACC = 14.27% (E(1504b)/V(1520b) * Re(14.41%) + D(16.1b)/V(1520b) * Rd(2.11%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 14.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.78 | Cagr: 0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 58.20% ; FCFF base≈6.91b ; Y1≈7.13b ; Y5≈7.96b
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.90 (EV 61.1b - Net Debt -28.6b = Equity 89.8b / Shares 3.76b; r=14.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.24% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -96.21 | EPS CAGR: -24.97% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.07 | Revenue CAGR: 0.23% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+24.1% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.50 | Chg30d=-0.39% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+21.3% | GrowthRev=+15.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%