(TTWO) Take-Two Interactive - Ratings and Ratios
Action, Sports, Mobile, Simulation, Puzzle
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 |
| Alpha | 21.03 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.76 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.378 |
| Beta | 0.612 |
| Beta Downside | 0.789 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.01% |
| Mean DD | 5.04% |
| Median DD | 3.76% |
Description: TTWO Take-Two Interactive December 03, 2025
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) creates, publishes, and markets a broad portfolio of interactive entertainment across consoles, PCs, and mobile devices. Its flagship action-adventure franchises include Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, and Max Payne, while its diversified catalog spans shooter, RPG, strategy, sports, and casual titles such as BioShock, Civilization, XCOM, Borderlands, NBA 2K, WWE 2K, and a suite of free-to-play mobile games (e.g., FarmVille, Merge Dragons, Words With Friends). Distribution channels cover physical retail, digital downloads, online platforms, and emerging cloud-streaming services.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show TTWO generated roughly $5.7 billion in revenue, with digital sales (including online downloads and live-service monetization) accounting for about 45 % and growing at a 12 % year-over-year rate. The company’s operating margin hovered near 23 %, reflecting high-margin digital distribution, while free-to-play mobile titles contributed an estimated $350 million in net bookings, driven by in-app purchases. Sector-wide, the global interactive entertainment market is projected to expand at a CAGR of ~10 % through 2029, buoyed by continued console refresh cycles, rising broadband penetration, and the shift toward subscription-based and live-service revenue models.
If you want a data-rich, quantitative perspective on TTWO’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst page can provide useful benchmarks and model inputs.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-4.00b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 373.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.17% (prev -9.07%; Δ 17.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 357.9m > Net Income -4.00b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (184.6m) change vs 12m ago 5.25% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 56.09% (prev 48.49%; Δ 7.60pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 53.72% (prev 41.74%; Δ 11.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -62.78 (EBITDA TTM -2.75b / Interest Expense TTM 63.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.46
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 3.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.31b) / Total Assets 10.08b |
| (B) -0.71 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -7.20b / Total Assets 10.08b |
| (C) -0.34 = EBIT TTM -3.99b / Avg Total Assets 11.58b |
| (D) -1.09 = Book Value of Equity -7.25b / Total Liabilities 6.65b |
| Total Rating: -5.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.96
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.09% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.60 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -73.25)% |
| 7. RoE -108.4% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 78.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend -68.91% |
What is the price of TTWO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.59%, over one month by -1.95%, over three months by +2.85% and over the past year by +31.51%.
Is TTWO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TTWO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 276.5 | 11.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 276.5 | 11.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 278.4 | 12.5% |
TTWO Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 97.0874
P/S = 6.9953
P/B = 12.6781
P/EG = 9.6663
Beta = 0.954
Revenue TTM = 6.22b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.99b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 615.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.64b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 44.91b USD (43.51b + Debt 3.51b - CCE 2.12b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -62.78 (Ebit TTM -3.99b / Interest Expense TTM 63.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.43% (FCF TTM 192.0m / Enterprise Value 44.91b)
FCF Margin = 3.09% (FCF TTM 192.0m / Revenue TTM 6.22b)
Net Margin = -64.26% (Net Income TTM -4.00b / Revenue TTM 6.22b)
Gross Margin = 56.09% ((Revenue TTM 6.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.28% (prev 62.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.45 (Enterprise Value 44.91b / Total Assets 10.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.50% (Interest Expense 17.5m / Debt 3.51b)
Taxrate = -15.93% (negative due to tax credits) (18.4m / -115.5m)
NOPAT = -4.62b (EBIT -3.99b * (1 - -15.93%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 3.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.31b)
Debt / Equity = 1.02 (Debt 3.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.60 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.64b / EBITDA -2.75b)
Debt / FCF = 8.56 (Net Debt 1.64b / FCF TTM 192.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -39.65% (Net Income -4.00b / Total Assets 10.08b)
RoE = -108.4% (Net Income TTM -4.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.69b)
RoCE = -64.25% (EBIT -3.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.69b + L.T.Debt 2.52b))
RoIC = -65.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.62b / Invested Capital 7.05b)
WACC = 7.70% (E(43.51b)/V(47.02b) * Re(8.27%) + D(3.51b)/V(47.02b) * Rd(0.50%) * (1-Tc(-0.16)))
Discount Rate = 8.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.45% ; FCFE base≈192.0m ; Y1≈126.1m ; Y5≈57.6m
Fair Price DCF = 5.90 (DCF Value 1.09b / Shares Outstanding 184.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -68.91 | EPS CAGR: -2.52% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.94 | Revenue CAGR: 19.72% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=-1.90 | Chg30d=+0.177 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=+92.6% | Growth Revenue=+15.0%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=-1.293 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+275.4% | Growth Revenue=+39.3%
Additional Sources for TTWO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle