(TTWO) Take-Two Interactive - Overview
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 37.011m USD | Total Return: -0.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Avg Turnover: 364M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 38.9
EPS Trend: -43.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 77.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -69.9 is critical
Altman Z'' -5.59 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) develops and publishes interactive entertainment globally. The company operates in the video game sector, which relies heavily on intellectual property (IP) and recurring revenue from popular franchises.
TTWOs portfolio includes action/adventure titles like Grand Theft Auto and Red Dead Redemption, alongside other genres such as shooter (BioShock, Borderlands) and strategy (Sid Meiers Civilization). Sports simulations, including NBA 2K and WWE 2K, also form a significant part of its offerings. The video game industry has seen increasing diversification into sports and simulation genres.
The company also publishes numerous free-to-play mobile games, including popular titles like Empires & Puzzles and Zynga Poker, and hyper-casual mobile games. Mobile gaming is a rapidly expanding segment within interactive entertainment, characterized by microtransactions and advertising revenue.
TTWO distributes its products across console, mobile, and PC platforms. Distribution channels include physical retail, digital downloads, online platforms, and cloud streaming services. Digital distribution has become the dominant method for video game sales, offering higher margins and direct consumer access. Further research on ValueRay can provide deeper insights into TTWOs financial performance and market position.
- Grand Theft Auto franchise sales drive significant revenue
- Mobile gaming growth boosts recurring consumer spending
- Development costs for new titles impact profitability
- Regulatory scrutiny of loot boxes and in-game purchases
- Economic downturns reduce consumer discretionary spending
| Net Income: -3.96b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.75% < 20% (prev -9.06%; Δ 15.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 667.9m > Net Income -3.96b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (183.4m) vs 12m ago 4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 55.27% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 5.48k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 57.81% > 50% (prev 42.99%; Δ 14.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -69.94 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.74b / Interest Expense TTM 56.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 3.68b - Total Current Liabilities 3.24b) / Total Assets 10.01b |
| B: -0.73 (Retained Earnings -7.30b / Total Assets 10.01b) |
| C: -0.35 (EBIT TTM -3.92b / Avg Total Assets 11.35b) |
| D: -1.13 (Book Value of Equity -7.33b / Total Liabilities 6.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.59 = D |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 824.1m/739.4m, Revenue 6.56b/5.45b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 55.27% / 50.05%) |
| AQI: 0.74 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.75) |
| SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 6.56b / 5.45b) |
| TATA: -0.46 (NI -3.96b - CFO 667.9m) / TA 10.01b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.66 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.87%, over one month by -7.00%, over three months by -22.67% and over the past year by -0.43%.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 276.8 | 40.7% |
P/S = 5.6427
P/B = 10.5879
P/EG = 2.124
Revenue TTM = 6.56b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.92b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 651.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.52b USD (37.01b + Debt 3.88b - CCE 2.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -69.94 (Ebit TTM -3.92b / Interest Expense TTM 56.0m)
EV/FCF = 78.97x (Enterprise Value 38.52b / FCF TTM 487.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.27% (FCF TTM 487.8m / Enterprise Value 38.52b)
FCF Margin = 7.44% (FCF TTM 487.8m / Revenue TTM 6.56b)
Net Margin = -60.45% (Net Income TTM -3.96b / Revenue TTM 6.56b)
Gross Margin = 55.27% ((Revenue TTM 6.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.76% (prev 55.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.85 (Enterprise Value 38.52b / Total Assets 10.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 17.1m / Debt 3.88b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.09b (EBIT -3.92b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 3.68b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 3.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.62 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.71b / EBITDA -2.74b)
Debt / FCF = 3.51 (Net Debt 1.71b / FCF TTM 487.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -34.95% (Net Income -3.96b / Total Assets 10.01b)
RoE = -126.4% (Net Income TTM -3.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.14b)
RoCE = -69.64% (EBIT -3.92b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.14b + L.T.Debt 2.49b))
RoIC = -48.71% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.09b / Invested Capital 6.35b)
WACC = 8.07% (E(37.01b)/V(40.90b) * Re(8.88%) + D(3.88b)/V(40.90b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.37% ; FCFF base≈487.8m ; Y1≈320.3m ; Y5≈146.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.25 (EV 2.87b - Net Debt 1.71b = Equity 1.16b / Shares 185.2m; r=8.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -43.40 | EPS CAGR: -0.91% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.71 | Revenue CAGR: 17.43% | SUE: 1.49 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.22 | Chg7d=+0.188 | Chg30d=+0.235 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.77 | Chg7d=+0.006 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+303.9% | Growth Revenue=+38.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)