TTWO Stock Analysis: Take-Two Interactive | NASDAQ
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 39.909m USD | 12M Return: -18.7% | US8740541094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 495M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Take-Two Interactive Software is a global publisher and developer of interactive entertainment, operating across console, PC, and mobile platforms. Its portfolio spans major franchises including Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, NBA 2K, Civilization, BioShock, and Borderlands, alongside a broad lineup of free-to-play mobile titles such as CSR Racing, Empires & Puzzles, Words With Friends, and Toon Blast-reflecting the companys expansion into mobile gaming following its acquisition of Zynga. Distribution occurs through physical retail, digital downloads, online platforms, and cloud streaming services. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in New York.
As a member of the Communication Services sector under the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry, Take-Two operates a diversified revenue model that combines premium console and PC game sales with recurring mobile free-to-play monetization and live-service content. The industry has increasingly shifted toward digital distribution and ongoing in-game engagement, and major publishers like Take-Two rely on flagship franchises to anchor both initial sales and long-tail revenue streams.
- Grand Theft Auto VI release timing drives bookings and engagement
- NBA 2K and sports franchise live services revenue growth
- Zynga mobile ad weakness pressures digital segment margins
- Take-Two stock underperforms on delayed pipeline and project cancellations
| Net Income: -320.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.59% < 20% (prev 8.00%; Δ -5.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 500.2m > Net Income -320.4m |
| Net Debt (1.54b) to EBITDA (986.2m): 1.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (186.2m) vs 12m ago 2.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.04% > 18% (prev 55.80%; Δ 0.24% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.33% > 50% (prev 59.88%; Δ 11.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.83 > 6 (EBIT TTM -77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 93.2m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 2.96b - Total Current Liabilities 2.78b) / Total Assets 9.06b |
| B: -0.82 (Retained Earnings -7.39b / Total Assets 9.06b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -77.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.37b) |
| D: 0.66 (Book Value of Equity 3.61b / Total Liabilities 5.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.89 = D |
| DSRI: 0.71 (Receivables 606.9m/741.9m, Revenue 6.69b/5.80b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 55.80% / 56.04%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 6.69b / 5.80b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -320.4m - CFO 500.2m) / TA 9.06b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 208.82 with a total of 1,891,100 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.63%, over one month by -6.32%, over three months by -14.45% and over the past year by -18.65%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 201.20 (which is 3.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Take-Two Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.79. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TTWO.
- StrongBuy: 25
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 286.4 | 37.2% |
P/E Forward = 28.169
P/S = 5.9686
P/B = 10.6502
P/EG = 2.8155
Revenue TTM = 6.69b USD
EBIT TTM = -77.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 986.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.89b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 701.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 425.0m
Net Debt = 1.54b USD (calculated: Debt 3.37b - CCE 1.83b)
Enterprise Value = 41.5b USD (39.9b + Debt 3.37b - CCE 1.83b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.83 (Ebit TTM -77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 93.2m)
EV/FCF = 127.1x (Enterprise Value 41.5b / FCF TTM 326.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.79% (FCF TTM 326.1m / Enterprise Value 41.5b)
FCF Margin = 4.88% (FCF TTM 326.1m / Revenue TTM 6.69b)
Net Margin = -4.79% (Net Income TTM -320.4m / Revenue TTM 6.69b)
Gross Margin = 56.04% ((Revenue TTM 6.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.53% (prev 55.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.57 (Enterprise Value 41.5b / Total Assets 9.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.77% (Interest Expense 93.2m / Debt 3.37b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -60.8m (EBIT -77.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 2.96b / Total Current Liabilities 2.78b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 3.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.56 (Net Debt 1.54b / EBITDA 986.2m)
Debt / FCF = 4.73 (Net Debt 1.54b / FCF TTM 326.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.42% (Net Income -320.4m / Total Assets 9.06b)
RoE = -9.12% (Net Income TTM -320.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.51b)
RoCE = -1.43% (EBIT -77.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.51b + L.T.Debt 1.89b))
RoIC = -0.92% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -60.8m / Invested Capital 6.65b)
WACC = 7.49% (E(39.9b)/V(43.3b) * Re(7.94%) + D(3.37b)/V(43.3b) * Rd(2.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.78 | Cagr: 3.97%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈326.1m ; Y1≈327.4m ; Y5≈346.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 20.60 (EV 5.39b - Net Debt 1.54b = Equity 3.85b / Shares 187.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.49 | Revenue CAGR: 9.53% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.88 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.82 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+213.7% | GrowthRev=+26.5%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+187.0% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=12, down=12)