TW Stock Analysis: Tradeweb Markets | NASDAQ

Capital Markets | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 20.309m USD | 12M Return: -25.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Rates, Credit, Equities, Money Markets
Total Rating 51
Safety 75
Buy Signal -0.69
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: -2.1
Market Cap: 20.3B
Avg Turnover: 173M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.90%
VaR vs Median2.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.99
Rel. Str. IBD10
Rel. Str. Peer Group30.6
Character TTM
Beta0.130
Beta Downside0.172
Hurst Exponent0.353
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.26%
CAGR/Max DD0.44
CAGR/Mean DD1.71
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.39, "2021-09": 0.39, "2021-12": 0.42, "2022-03": 0.48, "2022-06": 0.47, "2022-09": 0.45, "2022-12": 0.49, "2023-03": 0.54, "2023-06": 0.52, "2023-09": 0.55, "2023-12": 0.64, "2024-03": 0.71, "2024-06": 0.7, "2024-09": 0.75, "2024-12": 0.76, "2025-03": 0.86, "2025-06": 0.87, "2025-09": 0.87, "2025-12": 0.87, "2026-03": 0.96,
EPS CAGR: 24.56%
EPS Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 4
Revenue Revenue of TW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 260.84, 2021-09: 265.325, 2021-12: 276.883, 2022-03: 311.486, 2022-06: 297.138, 2022-09: 287.115, 2022-12: 293.042, 2023-03: 329.249, 2023-06: 310.613, 2023-09: 328.357, 2023-12: 370, 2024-03: 408.739, 2024-06: 404.951, 2024-09: 448.915, 2024-12: 463.344, 2025-03: 509.677, 2025-06: 512.971, 2025-09: 508.598, 2025-12: 521.183, 2026-03: 617.764,
Rev. CAGR: 24.45%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.39
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Extended 1w
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 7.2 years of data

Jan -3.5% 15
Feb +4.1% 14
Mar +0.5% 0
Apr -5.8% 0
May -0.1% 0
Jun -3.0% 29
Jul -0.1% 0
Aug -0.4% 0
Sep -9.1% 57
Oct -1.8% 14
Nov +5.8% 58
Dec +1.2% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TW Tradeweb Markets

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) operates electronic marketplaces that facilitate trading across multiple asset classes, including rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients such as asset managers, hedge funds, banks, and central banks. The companys platform spans the full trade lifecycle, offering pre-trade data and analytics (e.g., AI-Pricing, market data integrations), trade execution across a wide range of protocols (including request-for-quote, central limit order book, portfolio trading, and voice), trade processing, and post-trade services such as transaction cost analysis and regulatory reporting.

Founded in 1996 and headquartered in New York, Tradeweb is majority-owned by Refinitiv Parent Limited, which is itself controlled by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG). The company operates within the Financial Exchanges & Data sub-industry, a sector characterized by network-based business models where scale, multi-asset connectivity, and data products are central to competitive positioning. The company went public in April 2019.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rates trading volumes swing with Federal Reserve policy shifts
  • Credit market share gains pressure Bloomberg and MarketAxess
  • Equity ETF platform expansion accelerates client growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 869.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.13 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 83.30% < 20% (prev 78.76%; Δ 4.54% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.21b > Net Income 869.7m
Net Debt (-1.79b) to EBITDA (1.51b): -1.19 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (213.3m) vs 12m ago -0.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 67.98% > 18% (prev 65.71%; Δ 2.27% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.58% > 50% (prev 24.79%; Δ 2.79% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 636.1 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 1.98m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 2.48b - Total Current Liabilities 681.4m) / Total Assets 8.30b
B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 1.73b / Total Assets 8.30b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 1.26b / Avg Total Assets 7.83b)
D: 6.71 (Book Value of Equity 6.62b / Total Liabilities 986.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 10.23 = AAA
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 485.5m/407.3m, Revenue 2.16b/1.83b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 65.71% / 67.98%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.68 / AQ_t-1 0.74)
SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 2.16b / 1.83b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 869.7m - CFO 1.21b) / TA 8.30b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TW shares?

As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 102.79 with a total of 1,141,700 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.34%, over one month by +2.35%, over three months by -16.69% and over the past year by -25.70%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 98.20 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is TW a buy, sell or hold?

Tradeweb Markets has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TW.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TW price?
Analysts Target Price 133.4 29.7%
Tradeweb Markets (TW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 20.3b (20.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.0
P/E Forward = 28.169
P/S = 9.4461
P/B = 3.0085
P/EG = 1.8779
Revenue TTM = 2.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.26b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.51b USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 142.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 142.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 142.8m already included)
Net Debt = -1.79b USD (calculated: Debt 142.8m - CCE 1.94b)
Enterprise Value = 18.5b USD (20.3b + Debt 142.8m - CCE 1.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 636.1 (Ebit TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 1.98m)
EV/FCF = 16.38x (Enterprise Value 18.5b / FCF TTM 1.13b)
FCF Yield = 6.10% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Enterprise Value 18.5b)
FCF Margin = 52.30% (FCF TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Net Margin = 40.25% (Net Income TTM 869.7m / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Gross Margin = 67.98% ((Revenue TTM 2.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 691.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.98% (prev 69.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.23 (Enterprise Value 18.5b / Total Assets 8.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.38% (Interest Expense 1.98m / Debt 142.8m)
Taxrate = 21.49% (270.0m / 1.26b)
NOPAT = 987.9m (EBIT 1.26b * (1 - 21.49%))
Current Ratio = 3.64 (Total Current Assets 2.48b / Total Current Liabilities 681.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 142.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.19 (Net Debt -1.79b / EBITDA 1.51b)
Debt / FCF = -1.59 (Net Debt -1.79b / FCF TTM 1.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.10% (Net Income 869.7m / Total Assets 8.30b)
RoE = 13.64% (Net Income TTM 869.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.38b)
RoCE = 19.73% (EBIT 1.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.38b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 12.92% (NOPAT 987.9m / Invested Capital 7.65b)
WACC = 6.40% (E(20.3b)/V(20.5b) * Re(6.44%) + D(142.8m)/V(20.5b) * Rd(1.38%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.67 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.02b ; Y1≈1.17b ; Y5≈1.72b
[DCF] Fair Price = 237.9 (EV 25.8b - Net Debt -1.79b = Equity 27.6b / Shares 116.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.11 | EPS CAGR: 24.56% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 99.52 | Revenue CAGR: 24.45% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.96 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.05 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+16.8% | GrowthRev=+14.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+10.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +46% (up=8, down=2)