TW Stock Analysis: Tradeweb Markets | NASDAQ

Capital Markets | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 23.201m USD | 12M Return: 2.6% | US8926721064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Rates, Credit, Equities, Money Markets
Total Rating 50
Safety 73
Buy Signal -0.07
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: -18.9
Market Cap: 23.2B
Avg Turnover: 134M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.76%
VaR vs Median4.05%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.10
Rel. Str. IBD56.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group55.9
Character TTM
Beta-0.106
Beta Downside0.050
Hurst Exponent0.378
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.26%
CAGR/Max DD0.28
CAGR/Mean DD0.86
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.39, "2021-12": 0.42, "2022-03": 0.48, "2022-06": 0.47, "2022-09": 0.45, "2022-12": 0.49, "2023-03": 0.54, "2023-06": 0.52, "2023-09": 0.55, "2023-12": 0.64, "2024-03": 0.71, "2024-06": 0.7, "2024-09": 0.75, "2024-12": 0.76, "2025-03": 0.86, "2025-06": 0.87, "2025-09": 0.87, "2025-12": 0.87, "2026-03": 1.08, "2026-06": 0.97,
EPS CAGR: 23.76%
EPS Trend: 99.2%
Last SUE: 0.62
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 265.325, 2021-12: 276.883, 2022-03: 311.486, 2022-06: 297.138, 2022-09: 287.115, 2022-12: 293.042, 2023-03: 329.249, 2023-06: 310.613, 2023-09: 328.357, 2023-12: 370, 2024-03: 408.739, 2024-06: 404.951, 2024-09: 448.915, 2024-12: 463.344, 2025-03: 509.677, 2025-06: 512.971, 2025-09: 508.598, 2025-12: 521.183, 2026-03: 617.764, 2026-06: 558.946,
Rev. CAGR: 23.35%
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: -0.10
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Extended 1w

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 7.5 years of data

Jan -3.5% 18
Feb +4.1% 17
Mar +0.5% 2
Apr -5.8% 14
May -0.1% 11
Jun -1.4% 6
Jul +0.2% 11
Aug +0.7% 9
Sep -9.1% 59
Oct -1.8% 17
Nov +5.8% 60
Dec +1.2% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TW Tradeweb Markets

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ: TW) operates electronic marketplaces that facilitate trading across multiple asset classes, including rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients worldwide. The platform offers pre-trade data and analytics, trade execution tools (such as request-for-quote, portfolio trading, and central limit order books), and post-trade processing, analytics, and reporting services. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in New York, Tradeweb is a subsidiary of Refinitiv Parent Limited. As a large-cap stock in the financial exchanges and data sub-industry, it operates within the broader financial sector and generates revenue primarily through transaction fees and data subscriptions tied to electronic fixed-income and derivatives trading volumes.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate volatility drives rates trading volume
  • Credit portfolio trading adoption accelerates revenue growth
  • Equities platform faces competition from Bloomberg and ICE
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 897.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.60 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 89.56% < 20% (prev 82.84%; Δ 6.72% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.14b > Net Income 897.2m
Net Debt (-1.91b) to EBITDA (1.52b): -1.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 6.05 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.8m) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.14% > 18% (prev 65.94%; Δ 2.20% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.06% > 50% (prev 24.02%; Δ 3.04% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 617.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 2.37b - Total Current Liabilities 391.2m) / Total Assets 8.25b
B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 1.69b / Total Assets 8.25b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 1.27b / Avg Total Assets 8.15b)
D: 7.27 (Book Value of Equity 6.63b / Total Liabilities 912.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 10.92 = AAA
Beneish M -3.49
DSRI: 0.34 (Receivables 309.4m/807.9m, Revenue 2.21b/1.93b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 65.94% / 68.14%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.68)
SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 2.21b / 1.93b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 897.2m - CFO 1.14b) / TA 8.25b)
Beneish M = -3.49 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TW shares?

As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 111.08 with a total of 973,895 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.67%, over one month by +7.91%, over three months by +14.52% and over the past year by +2.63%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 107.20 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TW a buy, sell or hold?

Tradeweb Markets has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the TW price?
Analysts Target Price 123.7 11.3%
Tradeweb Markets (TW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 23.2b (23.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.6938
P/E Forward = 25.974
P/S = 10.5249
P/B = 3.1885
P/EG = 1.6235
Revenue TTM = 2.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.52b USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 150.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 150.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 150.3m already included)
Net Debt = -1.91b USD (calculated: Debt 150.3m - CCE 2.06b)
Enterprise Value = 21.3b USD (23.2b + Debt 150.3m - CCE 2.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 617.7 (Ebit TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05m)
EV/FCF = 20.19x (Enterprise Value 21.3b / FCF TTM 1.05b)
FCF Yield = 4.95% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Enterprise Value 21.3b)
FCF Margin = 47.79% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Net Margin = 40.66% (Net Income TTM 897.2m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Gross Margin = 68.14% ((Revenue TTM 2.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 702.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.65% (prev 67.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.58 (Enterprise Value 21.3b / Total Assets 8.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 2.05m / Debt 150.3m)
Taxrate = 21.69% (281.9m / 1.30b)
NOPAT = 993.5m (EBIT 1.27b * (1 - 21.69%))
Current Ratio = 6.05 (Total Current Assets 2.37b / Total Current Liabilities 391.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 150.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.26 (Net Debt -1.91b / EBITDA 1.52b)
Debt / FCF = -1.81 (Net Debt -1.91b / FCF TTM 1.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.00% (Net Income 897.2m / Total Assets 8.25b)
RoE = 13.78% (Net Income TTM 897.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.51b)
RoCE = 19.49% (EBIT 1.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.51b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 12.58% (NOPAT 993.5m / Invested Capital 7.90b)
WACC = 5.58% (E(23.2b)/V(23.4b) * Re(5.61%) + D(150.3m)/V(23.4b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 5.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -67.78 | Cagr: -0.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.37% ; FCFF base≈1.03b ; Y1≈1.09b ; Y5≈1.30b
[DCF] Fair Price = 192.5 (EV 20.0b - Net Debt -1.91b = Equity 22.0b / Shares 114.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 7.44% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.20 | EPS CAGR: 23.76% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.14 | Revenue CAGR: 23.35% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.00 | Chg30d=+0.68% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.06 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.1% | GrowthRev=+14.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.63 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+14.0% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +13% (up=7, down=5)