(TWIN) Twin Disc - Ratings and Ratios
marine transmission, power transmission, heavy-duty clutch, gear
TWIN EPS (Earnings per Share)
TWIN Revenue
Description: TWIN Twin Disc
Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ:TWIN) is a US-based company operating in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry. To evaluate its stock performance, we need to examine key financial and operational metrics.
The companys market capitalization stands at $125.49M USD, indicating a relatively small-cap stock. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 30.59, suggesting that the stock might be overvalued relative to its earnings. However, the Forward P/E ratio is significantly lower at 7.48, implying expected earnings growth. Return on Equity (RoE) is 2.69%, a relatively low figure that may indicate inefficient use of shareholder capital.
To further analyze TWINs performance, we should consider key economic drivers such as demand for construction machinery and heavy transportation equipment, which are closely tied to infrastructure spending, GDP growth, and global trade. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor include revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow. A thorough examination of these metrics will help identify potential trading opportunities.
From a trading perspective, its essential to evaluate the stocks price action and volatility. The current price is $8.50, with a 52-week range of $6.24 to $13.06. The Average True Range (ATR) is 3.03%, indicating moderate volatility. The beta of 0.814 suggests that TWINs stock price tends to be less volatile than the overall market.
A comprehensive analysis of TWINs financials, industry trends, and market dynamics is necessary to determine the stocks potential for future growth. By deconstructing the companys fundamentals and identifying leverage points, we can engineer a data-driven trading strategy that maximizes returns while minimizing risk.
TWIN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 170m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-12-31 |
TWIN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -0.03% |
| Fundamental | 62.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 45.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -9.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
TWIN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.39% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.90% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 100.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 75.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.2% |
TWIN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 61% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -42.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 15% |
| CAGR 5y | 4.95% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.22 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.96 |
| Alpha | 0.14 |
| Beta | 0.751 |
| Volatility | 47.29% |
| Current Volume | 26k |
| Average Volume 20d | 39.9k |
| Stop Loss | 12.6 (-6.4%) |
| Signal | 0.41 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-1.89m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 20.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 35.55% (prev 40.70%; Δ -5.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 24.0m > Net Income -1.89m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (33.1m) to EBITDA (19.3m) ratio: 1.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (14.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.21% (prev 28.23%; Δ -1.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 102.1% (prev 94.57%; Δ 7.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.67 (EBITDA TTM 19.3m / Interest Expense TTM 2.65m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.41
| (A) 0.34 = (Total Current Assets 246.9m - Total Current Liabilities 125.8m) / Total Assets 355.6m |
| (B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 125.4m / Total Assets 355.6m |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 4.42m / Avg Total Assets 333.8m |
| (D) 0.90 = Book Value of Equity 171.4m / Total Liabilities 191.2m |
| Total Rating: 4.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.20
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.91% = 1.96 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.59% = 0.65 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.44 = 2.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.72 = -2.44 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.06)% = 5.08 |
| 7. RoE -1.23% = -0.20 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 78.31% = 5.87 |
| 9. EPS Trend -12.41% = -0.62 |
What is the price of TWIN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.81%, over one month by +52.09%, over three months by +77.71% and over the past year by +8.04%.
Is Twin Disc a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TWIN is around 12.26 USD . This means that TWIN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.92%.
Is TWIN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TWIN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.5 | 30% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.5 | 30% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.7 | 1.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-04 02:50
TWIN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 16.1m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 7.4794
P/S = 0.4988
P/B = 1.0901
P/EG = 252.0
Beta = 0.814
Revenue TTM = 340.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 4.42m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 65.4m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 71.8m USD (Calculated: Short Term 6.39m + Long Term 65.4m)
Net Debt = 33.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 225.6m USD (169.9m + Debt 71.8m - CCE 16.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.67 (Ebit TTM 4.42m / Interest Expense TTM 2.65m)
FCF Yield = 3.91% (FCF TTM 8.82m / Enterprise Value 225.6m)
FCF Margin = 2.59% (FCF TTM 8.82m / Revenue TTM 340.7m)
Net Margin = -0.56% (Net Income TTM -1.89m / Revenue TTM 340.7m)
Gross Margin = 27.21% ((Revenue TTM 340.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 248.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 225.6m / Book Value Of Equity 171.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 785.0k / Debt 71.8m)
Taxrate = 190.4% (set to none) (3.37m / 1.77m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 246.9m / Total Current Liabilities 125.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 71.8m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 164.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.72 (Net Debt 33.1m / EBITDA 19.3m)
Debt / FCF = 8.14 (Debt 71.8m / FCF TTM 8.82m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 154.5m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.53% (Net Income -1.89m, Total Assets 355.6m )
RoE = -1.23% (Net Income TTM -1.89m / Total Stockholder Equity 154.5m)
RoCE = 2.01% (Ebit 4.42m / (Equity 154.5m + L.T.Debt 65.4m))
RoIC = 4.06% (Ebit 4.42m / (Assets 355.6m - Current Assets 246.9m))
WACC = unknown (E(169.9m)/V(241.7m) * Re(8.78%)) + (D(71.8m)/V(241.7m) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 54.55 | Cagr: 0.38%
Discount Rate = 8.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.19% ; FCFE base≈15.3m ; Y1≈10.0m ; Y5≈4.59m
Fair Price DCF = 5.65 (DCF Value 80.0m / Shares Outstanding 14.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -12.41 | EPS CAGR: 78.56% | SUE: -2.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.31 | Revenue CAGR: 22.03% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for TWIN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle