TXN Stock Analysis: Texas Instruments | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 259.125m USD | 12M Return: 68.6% | US8825081040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Analog, Embedded Processing, Power Management, Signal Chain
Total Rating 75
Safety 87
Buy Signal 0.50
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: +0.1
Market Cap: 259B
Avg Turnover: 1.39B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.07%
VaR vs Median-2.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.34
Rel. Str. IBD87.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.9
Character TTM
Beta1.520
Beta Downside1.728
Hurst Exponent0.508
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD33.41%
CAGR/Max DD0.81
CAGR/Mean DD2.73
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TXN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.12, "2021-12": 2.33, "2022-03": 2.35, "2022-06": 2.52, "2022-09": 2.56, "2022-12": 2.19, "2023-03": 1.85, "2023-06": 1.87, "2023-09": 1.85, "2023-12": 1.49, "2024-03": 1.2, "2024-06": 1.17, "2024-09": 1.44, "2024-12": 1.3, "2025-03": 1.28, "2025-06": 1.41, "2025-09": 1.57, "2025-12": 1.27, "2026-03": 1.68, "2026-06": 2.14,
EPS CAGR: -5.88%
EPS Trend: -41.2%
Last SUE: 2.04
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of TXN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 4643, 2021-12: 4832, 2022-03: 4905, 2022-06: 5212, 2022-09: 5241, 2022-12: 4670, 2023-03: 4379, 2023-06: 4531, 2023-09: 4532, 2023-12: 4077, 2024-03: 3661, 2024-06: 3822, 2024-09: 4151, 2024-12: 4007, 2025-03: 4069, 2025-06: 4448, 2025-09: 4742, 2025-12: 4423, 2026-03: 4825, 2026-06: 5463,
Rev. CAGR: 3.07%
Rev. Trend: 39.9%
Last SUE: 2.24
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.2% 7
Feb -0.9% 8
Mar +2.0% 8
Apr -3.4% 33
May +4.6% 63
Jun -0.6% 19
Jul -0.1% 7
Aug -1.5% 20
Sep -2.2% 53
Oct -4.2% 19
Nov +5.9% 34
Dec -1.2% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TXN Texas Instruments

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a U.S.-based semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells chips to electronics designers and manufacturers worldwide, with operations spanning the United States, China, the rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Japan. The company runs two reporting segments: Analog, which supplies power management and signal chain components such as battery management solutions, DC/DC regulators, amplifiers, data converters, and sensors; and Embedded Processing, which offers microcontrollers, processors, wireless connectivity, and radar products. Beyond these core segments, TXN also produces DLP projection technology, calculators, and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), and serves end markets including industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, and enterprise systems. Products are sold through direct sales, distributors, and the companys website. The firm was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and has been listed on the NASDAQ since 1953.

The analog semiconductor segment is the companys primary revenue driver, and analog chips are generally characterized by long product lifecycles and customer-specific customization, which supports stable, recurring design-in revenue across the industrial and automotive end markets. Texas Instruments operates its own internal wafer fabrication facilities, a capital-intensive model that differentiates it from many fabless competitors and gives it greater control over supply and manufacturing costs.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Industrial weakness pressures Analog segment margins and factory utilization rates
  • 300mm fab expansion lifts spending, pressures near-term free cash flow
  • China revenue concentration faces escalating US semiconductor export controls
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 6.05b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 64.32% < 20% (prev 71.92%; Δ -7.59% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 8.67b > Net Income 6.05b
Net Debt (7.73b) to EBITDA (9.68b): 0.80 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (920.0m) vs 12m ago 0.88% < -2%
Gross Margin: 58.33% > 18% (prev 58.03%; Δ 0.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.94% > 50% (prev 47.73%; Δ 7.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.25 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.47b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m)
Altman Z'' 9.59
A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 15.8b - Total Current Liabilities 3.24b) / Total Assets 35.9b
B: 1.48 (Retained Earnings 53.2b / Total Assets 35.9b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 7.47b / Avg Total Assets 35.4b)
D: 1.01 (Book Value of Equity 18.0b / Total Liabilities 17.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 9.59 = AAA
Beneish M -3.30
DSRI: 0.55 (Receivables 2.52b/3.96b, Revenue 19.5b/16.7b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 58.03% / 58.33%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 19.5b / 16.7b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 6.05b - CFO 8.67b) / TA 35.9b)
Beneish M = -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TXN shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 287.85 with a total of 5,600,379 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.16%, over one month by +9.27%, over three months by -3.10% and over the past year by +68.64%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 278.00 (which is 3.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is TXN a buy, sell or hold?

Texas Instruments has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.92. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TXN.

  • StrongBuy: 17
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the TXN price?
Analysts Target Price 324.7 12.8%
Texas Instruments (TXN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 259b (259b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 43.8547
P/E Forward = 27.5482
P/S = 13.3206
P/B = 13.8263
P/EG = 0.9708
Revenue TTM = 19.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.68b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.7b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 681.0m
Net Debt = 7.73b USD (calculated: Debt 14.7b - CCE 7.00b)
Enterprise Value = 267b USD (259b + Debt 14.7b - CCE 7.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.25 (Ebit TTM 7.47b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m)
EV/FCF = 49.83x (Enterprise Value 267b / FCF TTM 5.36b)
FCF Yield = 2.01% (FCF TTM 5.36b / Enterprise Value 267b)
FCF Margin = 27.53% (FCF TTM 5.36b / Revenue TTM 19.5b)
Net Margin = 31.11% (Net Income TTM 6.05b / Revenue TTM 19.5b)
Gross Margin = 58.33% ((Revenue TTM 19.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.36% (prev 58.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.44 (Enterprise Value 267b / Total Assets 35.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.83% (Interest Expense 564.0m / Debt 14.7b)
Taxrate = 12.39% (856.0m / 6.91b)
NOPAT = 6.55b (EBIT 7.47b * (1 - 12.39%))
Current Ratio = 4.86 (Total Current Assets 15.8b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 14.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.80 (Net Debt 7.73b / EBITDA 9.68b)
Debt / FCF = 1.44 (Net Debt 7.73b / FCF TTM 5.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.09% (Net Income 6.05b / Total Assets 35.9b)
RoE = 35.77% (Net Income TTM 6.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.9b)
RoCE = 25.05% (EBIT 7.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.9b + L.T.Debt 12.9b))
RoIC = 19.95% (NOPAT 6.55b / Invested Capital 32.8b)
WACC = 10.90% (E(259b)/V(274b) * Re(11.33%) + D(14.7b)/V(274b) * Rd(3.83%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 11.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -37.60 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.18% ; FCFF base≈3.81b ; Y1≈4.37b ; Y5≈6.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 64.56 (EV 66.7b - Net Debt 7.73b = Equity 59.0b / Shares 913.2m; r=10.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -41.21 | EPS CAGR: -5.88% | SUE: 2.04 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 39.92 | Revenue CAGR: 3.07% | SUE: 2.24 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+89% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.50 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+89% | GrowthEPS=+56.0% | GrowthRev=+23.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.13 | Chg30d=+0.32% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+13.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +96% (up=72, down=0)