TXRH Stock Analysis: Texas Roadhouse | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 12.770m USD | 12M Return: 1.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 207M
EPS Trend: 88.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) is a large-cap U.S. casual dining restaurant operator headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, and listed on NASDAQ. Founded in 1993 and public since its 2004 IPO, the company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the GICS Restaurants sub-industry.
The company operates and franchises restaurants under three brands: Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Jaggers, reporting through Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Others segments. Its menu centers on seasoned and aged steaks, complemented by ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, hamburgers, salads, sandwiches, pizza, wings, appetizers, and dinner entrées.
TXRH uses a hybrid operating model, combining company-owned locations with franchised units across the United States and select international markets. As a casual dining operator, it competes in a segment that includes full-service steakhouse and family dining chains, with revenue driven largely by traffic, average check size, and unit-level economics across both company-operated and franchised restaurants.
- Beef and commodity costs pressure restaurant-level margins
- Same-store sales traffic weakens amid consumer spending pullback
- Aggressive new restaurant unit expansion drives revenue growth
| Net Income: 415.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.03% < 20% (prev -7.25%; Δ 0.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 751.4m > Net Income 415.3m |
| Net Debt (839.7m) to EBITDA (703.9m): 1.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (66.1m) vs 12m ago -0.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 14.01% > 18% (prev 17.43%; Δ -3.41% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 179.2% > 50% (prev 172.3%; Δ 6.90% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: -0.12 (Total Current Assets 362.4m - Total Current Liabilities 788.8m) / Total Assets 3.57b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 1.52b / Total Assets 3.57b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 489.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.38b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 1.52b / Total Liabilities 2.04b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.35 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 53.8m/50.9m, Revenue 6.06b/5.50b) |
| GMI: 1.24 (GM 17.43% / 14.01%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 6.06b / 5.50b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 415.3m - CFO 751.4m) / TA 3.57b) |
| Beneish M = -2.68 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.04 with a total of 802,153 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.32%, over one month by +14.05%, over three months by +14.13% and over the past year by +1.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 179.80 (which is 3.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Texas Roadhouse has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TXRH.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 199 | 6.4% |
P/E Trailing = 30.9363
P/E Forward = 30.03
P/S = 2.106
P/B = 8.4181
P/EG = 2.5062
Revenue TTM = 6.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 489.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 703.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 50.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 31.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.00b already included)
Net Debt = 839.7m USD (calculated: Debt 1.05b - CCE 214.6m)
Enterprise Value = 13.6b USD (12.8b + Debt 1.05b - CCE 214.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 489.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 37.74x (Enterprise Value 13.6b / FCF TTM 360.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.65% (FCF TTM 360.6m / Enterprise Value 13.6b)
FCF Margin = 5.95% (FCF TTM 360.6m / Revenue TTM 6.06b)
Net Margin = 6.85% (Net Income TTM 415.3m / Revenue TTM 6.06b)
Gross Margin = 14.01% ((Revenue TTM 6.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.11% (prev 10.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.81 (Enterprise Value 13.6b / Total Assets 3.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.05b)
Taxrate = 13.68% (67.3m / 491.5m)
NOPAT = 422.2m (EBIT 489.2m * (1 - 13.68%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 362.4m / Total Current Liabilities 788.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 1.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.19 (Net Debt 839.7m / EBITDA 703.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.33 (Net Debt 839.7m / FCF TTM 360.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.28% (Net Income 415.3m / Total Assets 3.57b)
RoE = 28.21% (Net Income TTM 415.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.47b)
RoCE = 32.13% (EBIT 489.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.47b + L.T.Debt 50.0m))
RoIC = 16.22% (NOPAT 422.2m / Invested Capital 2.60b)
WACC = 7.65% (E(12.8b)/V(13.8b) * Re(8.28%) + D(1.05b)/V(13.8b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.11 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.21% ; FCFF base≈373.9m ; Y1≈348.9m ; Y5≈319.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 63.97 (EV 5.04b - Net Debt 839.7m = Equity 4.20b / Shares 65.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -8.44% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 88.61 | EPS CAGR: 17.78% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.54 | Revenue CAGR: 13.33% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.32 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.40 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+5.0% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.64 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+9.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +34% (up=24, down=11)