TXRH Stock Analysis: Texas Roadhouse | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 13.206m USD | 12M Return: 18.1% | US8826811098 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 167M
EPS Trend: 81.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) is a large-cap U.S. casual dining restaurant operator headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, and listed on NASDAQ. Founded in 1993 and public since its 2004 IPO, the company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the GICS Restaurants sub-industry.
The company operates and franchises restaurants under three brands: Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Jaggers, reporting through Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Others segments. Its menu centers on seasoned and aged steaks, complemented by ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, hamburgers, salads, sandwiches, pizza, wings, appetizers, and dinner entrées.
TXRH uses a hybrid operating model, combining company-owned locations with franchised units across the United States and select international markets. As a casual dining operator, it competes in a segment that includes full-service steakhouse and family dining chains, with revenue driven largely by traffic, average check size, and unit-level economics across both company-operated and franchised restaurants.
- Beef and commodity costs pressure restaurant-level margins
- Same-store sales traffic weakens amid consumer spending pullback
- Aggressive new restaurant unit expansion drives revenue growth
| Net Income: 413.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.88% < 20% (prev -6.86%; Δ -0.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 803.3m > Net Income 413.2m |
| Net Debt (885.1m) to EBITDA (765.8m): 1.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (65.9m) vs 12m ago -1.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.30% > 18% (prev 17.17%; Δ -1.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 179.9% > 50% (prev 174.2%; Δ 5.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: -0.12 (Total Current Assets 361.9m - Total Current Liabilities 790.8m) / Total Assets 3.67b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 1.56b / Total Assets 3.67b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 486.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.46b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 1.56b / Total Liabilities 2.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.34 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 74.1m/65.0m, Revenue 6.23b/5.67b) |
| GMI: 1.12 (GM 17.17% / 15.30%) |
| AQI: 3.28 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 6.23b / 5.67b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 413.2m - CFO 803.3m) / TA 3.67b) |
| Beneish M = -1.47 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 205.29 with a total of 614,498 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.44%, over one month by +6.22%, over three months by +13.16% and over the past year by +18.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 199.00 (which is 3.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Texas Roadhouse has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TXRH.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 217.7 | 6.1% |
P/E Trailing = 32.45
P/E Forward = 30.9598
P/S = 2.1193
P/B = 8.5445
P/EG = 2.4448
Revenue TTM = 6.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 486.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 765.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 50.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.04b already included)
Net Debt = 885.1m USD (calculated: Debt 1.09b - CCE 202.4m)
Enterprise Value = 14.1b USD (13.2b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 202.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 486.7m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 34.68x (Enterprise Value 14.1b / FCF TTM 406.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.88% (FCF TTM 406.4m / Enterprise Value 14.1b)
FCF Margin = 6.52% (FCF TTM 406.4m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Net Margin = 6.63% (Net Income TTM 413.2m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Gross Margin = 15.30% ((Revenue TTM 6.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.98% (prev 13.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.84 (Enterprise Value 14.1b / Total Assets 3.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = 13.28% (64.6m / 486.7m)
NOPAT = 422.1m (EBIT 486.7m * (1 - 13.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 361.9m / Total Current Liabilities 790.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.16 (Net Debt 885.1m / EBITDA 765.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.18 (Net Debt 885.1m / FCF TTM 406.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.93% (Net Income 413.2m / Total Assets 3.67b)
RoE = 27.56% (Net Income TTM 413.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 31.42% (EBIT 486.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 50.0m))
RoIC = 15.57% (NOPAT 422.1m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
WACC = 7.05% (E(13.2b)/V(14.3b) * Re(7.63%) + D(1.09b)/V(14.3b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 7.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.91 | Cagr: -0.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFF base≈393.2m ; Y1≈423.6m ; Y5≈516.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 107.2 (EV 7.92b - Net Debt 885.1m = Equity 7.03b / Shares 65.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 8.81% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.90 | EPS CAGR: 14.37% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.43 | Revenue CAGR: 12.90% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=+13.98% | Revisions=+72% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.59 | Chg30d=+2.61% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.78 | Chg30d=+1.93% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+18.1% | GrowthRev=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +90% (up=48, down=1)