TXRH Stock Analysis: Texas Roadhouse | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.249m USD | 12M Return: -0.2% | US8826811098 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 221M
EPS Trend: 81.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: TXRH) is a U.S.-based operator of casual dining restaurants with a presence both domestically and internationally. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company runs its business through three segments-Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Others-and operates or franchises locations under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubbas 33, and Jaggers brands. Its menu centers on value-priced, moderately-priced steaks and American comfort fare, including ribs, chicken, pork chops, seafood, burgers, salads, sandwiches, pizza, wings, and appetizers.
As a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, TXRH follows a hybrid company-owned and franchised restaurant model, which is common among large casual dining chains and helps balance capital expenditure with unit growth. The company has been publicly traded since its 2004 IPO and is classified as a large-cap stock.
- Same-store sales traffic and menu pricing drive quarterly revenue
- Beef and commodity input costs pressure restaurant-level margins
- New restaurant unit expansion fuels long-term comparable sales growth
| Net Income: 413.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.88% < 20% (prev -6.86%; Δ -0.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 803.3m > Net Income 413.2m |
| Net Debt (885.1m) to EBITDA (765.8m): 1.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (65.9m) vs 12m ago -1.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.30% > 18% (prev 17.17%; Δ -1.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 179.9% > 50% (prev 174.2%; Δ 5.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: -0.12 (Total Current Assets 361.9m - Total Current Liabilities 790.8m) / Total Assets 3.67b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 1.56b / Total Assets 3.67b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 486.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.46b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 1.56b / Total Liabilities 2.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.34 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 74.1m/65.0m, Revenue 6.23b/5.67b) |
| GMI: 1.12 (GM 17.17% / 15.30%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 6.23b / 5.67b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 413.2m - CFO 803.3m) / TA 3.67b) |
| Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 162.76 with a total of 1,414,162 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.87%, over one month by -10.98%, over three months by -10.07% and over the past year by -0.24%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 153.60 (which is 5.6% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Texas Roadhouse has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TXRH.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 217.2 | 33.5% |
P/E Trailing = 24.9824
P/E Forward = 21.0084
P/S = 1.6447
P/B = 6.9446
P/EG = 1.641
Revenue TTM = 6.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 486.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 765.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 50.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.04b already included)
Net Debt = 885.1m USD (calculated: Debt 1.09b - CCE 202.4m)
Enterprise Value = 11.1b USD (10.2b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 202.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 486.7m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 27.40x (Enterprise Value 11.1b / FCF TTM 406.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.65% (FCF TTM 406.4m / Enterprise Value 11.1b)
FCF Margin = 6.52% (FCF TTM 406.4m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Net Margin = 6.63% (Net Income TTM 413.2m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Gross Margin = 15.30% ((Revenue TTM 6.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.98% (prev 13.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.03 (Enterprise Value 11.1b / Total Assets 3.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = 13.28% (64.6m / 486.7m)
NOPAT = 422.1m (EBIT 486.7m * (1 - 13.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 361.9m / Total Current Liabilities 790.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.16 (Net Debt 885.1m / EBITDA 765.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.18 (Net Debt 885.1m / FCF TTM 406.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.93% (Net Income 413.2m / Total Assets 3.67b)
RoE = 27.56% (Net Income TTM 413.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 31.42% (EBIT 486.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 50.0m))
RoIC = 15.57% (NOPAT 422.1m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
WACC = 6.96% (E(10.2b)/V(11.3b) * Re(7.70%) + D(1.09b)/V(11.3b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 7.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.91 | Cagr: -0.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFF base≈393.2m ; Y1≈423.6m ; Y5≈516.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 107.2 (EV 7.92b - Net Debt 885.1m = Equity 7.03b / Shares 65.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 8.81% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.90 | EPS CAGR: 14.37% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.43 | Revenue CAGR: 12.90% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=+76% | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.59 | Chg30d=-0.19% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.77 | Chg30d=-0.20% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+18.1% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=30, down=4)