(TXRH) Texas Roadhouse - Ratings and Ratios
Steaks, Burgers, Ribs, Sides, Salads
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.63% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 61.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 41.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.07% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.25 |
| Alpha | -21.79 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.98 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.524 |
| Beta | 0.697 |
| Beta Downside | 0.701 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.82% |
| Mean DD | 7.18% |
| Median DD | 4.50% |
Description: TXRH Texas Roadhouse October 31, 2025
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: TXRH) is a Louisville-based casual-dining operator founded in 1993, running company-owned and franchised restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Jaggers brands across the United States and select international markets.
Recent financials show FY 2024 revenue of roughly $2.1 billion with same-store sales (comps) increasing about 5-6 % year-over-year, driven by a modest rise in average check size and continued menu-price discipline. The chain’s cost structure remains sensitive to labor-hour inflation and commodity price volatility-key macro levers for the broader casual-dining sector, which historically tracks consumer discretionary spending trends.
For a deeper quantitative dive into TXRH’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-rich toolkit worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (436.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 350.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.53% (prev -6.28%; Δ -1.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 747.1m > Net Income 436.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (825.6m) to EBITDA (719.0m) ratio: 1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (66.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.72% (prev 17.24%; Δ -0.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 188.8% (prev 175.0%; Δ 13.77pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 76.41 (EBITDA TTM 719.0m / Interest Expense TTM 6.77m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.56
| (A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 249.4m - Total Current Liabilities 688.8m) / Total Assets 3.27b |
| (B) 0.45 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.46b / Total Assets 3.27b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 517.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.09b |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 1.46b / Total Liabilities 1.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.21
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.72% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.84% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 23.85)% |
| 7. RoE 30.92% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend 76.26% |
What is the price of TXRH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.83%, over one month by -1.68%, over three months by +5.14% and over the past year by -5.90%.
Is TXRH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TXRH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 190.5 | 13.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 190.5 | 13.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 199.9 | 19.6% |
TXRH Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.7942
P/E Forward = 26.3852
P/S = 2.0021
P/B = 7.8929
P/EG = 2.197
Beta = 0.889
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 517.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 719.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 933.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 933.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 825.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.51b USD (11.68b + Debt 933.7m - CCE 108.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 76.41 (Ebit TTM 517.6m / Interest Expense TTM 6.77m)
FCF Yield = 2.72% (FCF TTM 340.5m / Enterprise Value 12.51b)
FCF Margin = 5.84% (FCF TTM 340.5m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = 7.49% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 16.72% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.73% (prev 17.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.83 (Enterprise Value 12.51b / Total Assets 3.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 6.77m / Debt 933.7m)
Taxrate = 13.11% (12.8m / 97.7m)
NOPAT = 449.7m (EBIT 517.6m * (1 - 13.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 249.4m / Total Current Liabilities 688.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 933.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 825.6m / EBITDA 719.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.42 (Net Debt 825.6m / FCF TTM 340.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.37% (Net Income 436.8m / Total Assets 3.27b)
RoE = 30.92% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.41b)
RoCE = 22.06% (EBIT 517.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.41b + L.T.Debt 933.7m))
RoIC = 31.84% (NOPAT 449.7m / Invested Capital 1.41b)
WACC = 7.99% (E(11.68b)/V(12.61b) * Re(8.58%) + D(933.7m)/V(12.61b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.74%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.75% ; FCFE base≈340.6m ; Y1≈349.3m ; Y5≈389.7m
Fair Price DCF = 93.89 (DCF Value 6.21b / Shares Outstanding 66.1m; 5y FCF grow 2.46% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.26 | EPS CAGR: 14.19% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.33 | Revenue CAGR: 13.42% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=25
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.65 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.6%
Additional Sources for TXRH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle