(UCL) Ucloudlink - Ratings and Ratios
Global Connectivity Solutions, CloudSIM, Roaming Services
UCL EPS (Earnings per Share)
UCL Revenue
Description: UCL Ucloudlink
Ucloudlink Group Inc (NASDAQ:UCL) is a Hong Kong-based company operating in the Integrated Telecommunication Services sub-industry. The companys stock is characterized by high volatility, as evident from its beta of 4.244, indicating that its price movements are significantly more sensitive to market fluctuations compared to the overall market.
The stocks recent price action shows a significant increase, with the last price at $3.91, above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) of $2.98, $2.35, and $1.58, respectively. This suggests a strong uptrend. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.33 represents an 8.57% volatility, indicating a relatively high level of price movement.
From a fundamental perspective, Ucloudlinks market capitalization stands at $144.51 million USD, with a forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 384.62, suggesting high growth expectations. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 8.89% indicates that the company is generating profits from shareholder equity, albeit not exceptionally high. Key drivers for the companys stock performance may include its ability to expand its customer base, increase average revenue per user (ARPU), and improve its operating margins.
To evaluate Ucloudlinks potential, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, customer acquisition costs, and churn rate should be closely monitored. Additionally, the companys ability to navigate the competitive landscape of the Integrated Telecommunication Services industry, regulatory changes, and technological advancements will be crucial in determining its long-term success.
Economic drivers that may impact Ucloudlinks performance include the growth of the global telecommunications market, demand for mobile data services, and the increasing adoption of cloud-based services. The companys exposure to the Hong Kong market and its ability to expand into new geographies will also be important factors in its future growth.
UCL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 102m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Telecommunication Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-06-10 |
UCL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 48.8% |
| Fundamental | 44.8% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 63.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
UCL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUCL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 75.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 58.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -57.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 64.97% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.76 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.95 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.03 |
| Alpha | 0.17 |
| Beta | 0.797 |
| Volatility | 95.06% |
| Current Volume | 87.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 106.1k |
| Stop Loss | 2.4 (-7.7%) |
| Signal | -0.93 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (1.95m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.36m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 17.47% (prev 14.44%; Δ 3.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.89m <= Net Income 1.95m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-20.3m) to EBITDA (2.07m) ratio: -9.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.77m) change vs 12m ago -89.96% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.48% (prev 51.69%; Δ -3.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 146.1% (prev 149.7%; Δ -3.63pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.67 (EBITDA TTM 2.07m / Interest Expense TTM 209.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -14.99
| (A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 57.4m - Total Current Liabilities 41.8m) / Total Assets 64.7m |
| (B) -3.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -221.9m / Total Assets 64.7m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -3.43 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 558.0k / Avg Total Assets 61.1m |
| (D) -5.20 = Book Value of Equity -219.6m / Total Liabilities 42.3m |
| Total Rating: -14.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.82
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.36% = 0.68 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.11% = 0.28 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.45 = 2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.84 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.28)% = -7.85 |
| 7. RoE 8.89% = 0.74 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 30.07% = 2.26 |
| 9. EPS Trend 26.39% = 1.32 |
What is the price of UCL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.70%, over one month by -27.98%, over three months by +38.67% and over the past year by +94.03%.
Is Ucloudlink a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UCL is around 2.14 USD . This means that UCL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -17.69%.
Is UCL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UCL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 207.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 207.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.4 | -8.5% |
Last update: 2025-09-11 04:51
UCL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 38.8m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 70.4225
P/S = 1.1381
P/B = 4.7095
Beta = 4.369
Revenue TTM = 89.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 558.0k USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.07m USD
Long Term Debt = 501.0k USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.50m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.00m USD (Calculated: Short Term 9.50m + Long Term 501.0k)
Net Debt = -20.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 72.8m USD (101.6m + Debt 10.00m - CCE 38.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.67 (Ebit TTM 558.0k / Interest Expense TTM 209.0k)
FCF Yield = 1.36% (FCF TTM 988.0k / Enterprise Value 72.8m)
FCF Margin = 1.11% (FCF TTM 988.0k / Revenue TTM 89.3m)
Net Margin = 2.19% (Net Income TTM 1.95m / Revenue TTM 89.3m)
Gross Margin = 48.48% ((Revenue TTM 89.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 46.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.33 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 72.8m / Book Value Of Equity -219.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.59% (Interest Expense 59.0k / Debt 10.00m)
Taxrate = 1.47% (68.0k / 4.63m)
NOPAT = 549.8k (EBIT 558.0k * (1 - 1.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 57.4m / Total Current Liabilities 41.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.00m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 22.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.84 (Net Debt -20.3m / EBITDA 2.07m)
Debt / FCF = 10.12 (Debt 10.00m / FCF TTM 988.0k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.0m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 1.95m, Total Assets 64.7m )
RoE = 8.89% (Net Income TTM 1.95m / Total Stockholder Equity 22.0m)
RoCE = 2.48% (Ebit 558.0k / (Equity 22.0m + L.T.Debt 501.0k))
RoIC = 1.92% (NOPAT 549.8k / Invested Capital 28.7m)
WACC = 8.20% (E(101.6m)/V(111.6m) * Re(8.95%)) + (D(10.00m)/V(111.6m) * Rd(0.59%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 12.12 | Cagr: -17.31%
Discount Rate = 8.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.46% ; FCFE base≈1.81m ; Y1≈1.19m ; Y5≈543.6k
Fair Price DCF = 0.36 (DCF Value 9.22m / Shares Outstanding 25.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 26.39 | EPS CAGR: 278.3% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.07 | Revenue CAGR: 2.28% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for UCL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle