(UCTT) Ultra Clean Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Subsystems, Modules, Cleaning, Components, Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 92.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.18 |
| Alpha | -61.03 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.347 |
| Beta | 2.266 |
| Beta Downside | 1.820 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.24% |
| Mean DD | 29.28% |
| Median DD | 29.40% |
Description: UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings November 18, 2025
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UCTT) designs and manufactures ultra-high-purity subsystems and components-such as valves, connectors, pneumatic actuators, and gas-delivery modules-that are essential for semiconductor wafer-fabrication equipment, as well as providing cleaning, contamination-analysis, and life-extension services for tool parts across the semiconductor and related high-tech industries.
Key operational metrics show the company generated $274 million in revenue for FY 2023, a 12 % year-over-year increase driven by strong demand for 5-nm and emerging 3-nm node equipment. Gross margins have hovered around 38 %, reflecting the premium pricing of its ultra-clean solutions. The broader semiconductor equipment market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of roughly 8 % through 2029, underpinned by rising capital-expenditure cycles in advanced logic and memory fabs and the rollout of EUV lithography.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of Ultra Clean’s valuation metrics, you may find the analysis on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-158.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 126.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.70% (prev 31.68%; Δ -0.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 74.6m > Net Income -158.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.89% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.99% (prev 16.95%; Δ -0.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.1% (prev 101.6%; Δ 13.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.04 (EBITDA TTM -6.90m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.74
| (A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 941.4m - Total Current Liabilities 293.4m) / Total Assets 1.72b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 192.5m / Total Assets 1.72b |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -82.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.83b |
| (D) 0.20 = Book Value of Equity 185.5m / Total Liabilities 939.2m |
| Total Rating: 2.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.29
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.14% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.92 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -48.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -16.64)% |
| 7. RoE -20.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -30.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend -46.00% |
What is the price of UCTT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.68%, over one month by +5.14%, over three months by -2.93% and over the past year by -29.40%.
Is UCTT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UCTT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 35 | 33.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 35 | 33.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 25.2 | -3.9% |
UCTT Fundamental Data Overview December 23, 2025
P/E Forward = 18.9753
P/S = 0.5505
P/B = 1.638
P/EG = 0.5422
Beta = 1.939
Revenue TTM = 2.11b USD
EBIT TTM = -82.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -6.90m USD
Long Term Debt = 466.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 650.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 336.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.50b USD (1.16b + Debt 650.1m - CCE 314.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.04 (Ebit TTM -82.7m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.14% (FCF TTM 17.1m / Enterprise Value 1.50b)
FCF Margin = 0.81% (FCF TTM 17.1m / Revenue TTM 2.11b)
Net Margin = -7.52% (Net Income TTM -158.8m / Revenue TTM 2.11b)
Gross Margin = 15.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.12% (prev 15.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 1.50b / Total Assets 1.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.52% (Interest Expense 9.90m / Debt 650.1m)
Taxrate = 1450 % (out of range, set to none) (8.70m / 600.0k)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 3.21 (Total Current Assets 941.4m / Total Current Liabilities 293.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 650.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 709.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -48.70 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 336.0m / EBITDA -6.90m)
Debt / FCF = 19.65 (Net Debt 336.0m / FCF TTM 17.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 793.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.23% (Net Income -158.8m / Total Assets 1.72b)
RoE = -20.01% (Net Income TTM -158.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 793.7m)
RoCE = -6.56% (EBIT -82.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 793.7m + L.T.Debt 466.5m))
RoIC = -7.43% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -82.7m / (Assets 1.72b - Curr.Liab 293.4m - Cash 314.1m))
WACC = 9.21% (E(1.16b)/V(1.81b) * Re(14.37%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.78%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 47.73% ; FCFE base≈18.3m ; Y1≈12.0m ; Y5≈5.49m
Fair Price DCF = 1.17 (DCF Value 53.3m / Shares Outstanding 45.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.00 | EPS CAGR: -32.46% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.40 | Revenue CAGR: -4.87% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.052 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+41.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
Additional Sources for UCTT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle