(UFPI) Ufp Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Lumber, Decking, Trusses, Packaging, Panels
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.54% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.60% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.26 |
| Alpha | -20.70 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.390 |
| Beta | 0.720 |
| Beta Downside | 0.303 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.81% |
| Mean DD | 14.66% |
| Median DD | 12.44% |
Description: UFPI Ufp Industries January 08, 2026
UFP Industries (NASDAQ: UFPI) designs, manufactures, and distributes wood-based and composite building products across three operating segments-Retail, Packaging, and Construction-serving both U.S. and international markets.
The Retail segment focuses on pressure-treated lumber, wood-plastic composites, and related decking and landscaping accessories; the Packaging segment provides custom pallets, corrugated boxes, foam, labels, and films; and the Construction segment supplies roof trusses, dimensional lumber, engineered wood components, metal trusses, and a range of interior millwork and concrete-form products.
According to the company’s FY 2023 results, UFPI generated roughly $2.2 billion in revenue, posted an adjusted earnings-per-share of $2.45, and maintained an operating margin near 9%, with a debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.6-metrics that place it in line with the mid-range of the Building Products sub-industry.
Key economic drivers for UFPI include U.S. housing-starts trends (which have been rising ~5% YoY in 2024), residential-renovation spending (bolstered by a 7% annual increase in home-improvement retail sales), and the price dynamics of softwood lumber, which remain volatile due to supply-chain constraints and global demand fluctuations.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of UFPI’s valuation and risk profile, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 320.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.75% < 20% (prev 29.90%; Δ -1.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 541.6m > Net Income 320.0m |
| Net Debt (-639.4m) to EBITDA (592.0m): -1.08 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.2m) vs 12m ago -6.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.79% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1659 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 154.5% > 50% (prev 159.2%; Δ -4.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 37.47 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 592.0m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m) |
Altman Z'' 8.87
| A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 2.39b - Total Current Liabilities 532.2m) / Total Assets 4.14b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 2.69b / Total Assets 4.14b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 434.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.18b) |
| D: 2.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.75b / Total Liabilities 927.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 8.87 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.91
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 607.5m/691.8m, Revenue 6.45b/6.71b) |
| GMI: 1.14 (GM 16.79% / 19.11%) |
| AQI: 1.24 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 6.45b / 6.71b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 320.0m - CFO 541.6m) / TA 4.14b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.46
| 1. Piotroski: 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.80% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 4.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -1.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 1.52% |
| 7. RoE: 10.01% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -75.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -81.06% |
What is the price of UFPI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by +15.35%, over three months by +16.94% and over the past year by -7.93%.
Is UFPI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UFPI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 109.8 | 2.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 109.8 | 2.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 112.2 | 5% |
UFPI Fundamental Data Overview January 18, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.9808
P/S = 0.9741
P/B = 1.9763
P/EG = 1.88
Revenue TTM = 6.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 434.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 592.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 229.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 369.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -639.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.61b USD (6.29b + Debt 369.3m - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 37.47 (Ebit TTM 434.4m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m)
EV/FCF = 20.82x (Enterprise Value 5.61b / FCF TTM 269.3m)
FCF Yield = 4.80% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Enterprise Value 5.61b)
FCF Margin = 4.17% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Net Margin = 4.96% (Net Income TTM 320.0m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Gross Margin = 16.79% ((Revenue TTM 6.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.84% (prev 17.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 5.61b / Total Assets 4.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 2.76m / Debt 369.3m)
Taxrate = 23.80% (23.6m / 99.1m)
NOPAT = 331.0m (EBIT 434.4m * (1 - 23.80%))
Current Ratio = 4.49 (Total Current Assets 2.39b / Total Current Liabilities 532.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 369.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.08 (Net Debt -639.4m / EBITDA 592.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.37 (Net Debt -639.4m / FCF TTM 269.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.66% (Net Income 320.0m / Total Assets 4.14b)
RoE = 10.01% (Net Income TTM 320.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.20b)
RoCE = 12.68% (EBIT 434.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.20b + L.T.Debt 229.0m))
RoIC = 9.65% (NOPAT 331.0m / Invested Capital 3.43b)
WACC = 8.13% (E(6.29b)/V(6.65b) * Re(8.57%) + D(369.3m)/V(6.65b) * Rd(0.75%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.47% ; FCFF base≈373.9m ; Y1≈327.0m ; Y5≈264.9m
Fair Price DCF = 91.24 (EV 4.68b - Net Debt -639.4m = Equity 5.32b / Shares 58.3m; r=8.13% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.34% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -81.06 | EPS CAGR: -52.44% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -75.47 | Revenue CAGR: -6.63% | SUE: -0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.73 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.5% | Growth Revenue=+1.9%
Additional Sources for UFPI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle