UFPI Stock Analysis: Ufp Industries | NASDAQ

Lumber & Wood Production | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.363m USD | 12M Return: -10.3% | US90278Q1085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Treated Lumber, Composite Decking, Structural Trusses, Packaging Pallets
Total Rating 39
Safety 79
Buy Signal -1.16
Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Rotation: +2.1
Market Cap: 4.36B
Avg Turnover: 38.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.7%
VaR 5th Pctl5.84%
VaR vs Median-3.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Rel. Str. IBD16.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.1 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.512
Beta Downside0.749
Hurst Exponent0.567
Choppyness62.3%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD45.06%
CAGR/Max DD-0.21
CAGR/Mean DD-0.44
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UFPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.93, "2021-12": 2.21, "2022-03": 3, "2022-06": 3.23, "2022-09": 2.66, "2022-12": 2.1, "2023-03": 1.98, "2023-06": 2.36, "2023-09": 2.1, "2023-12": 1.62, "2024-03": 1.96, "2024-06": 2.05, "2024-09": 1.64, "2024-12": 1.12, "2025-03": 1.3, "2025-06": 1.7, "2025-09": 1.29, "2025-12": 0.7, "2026-03": 0.89, "2026-06": 1.48, "2026-09": 1.05,
EPS CAGR: -23.51%
EPS Trend: -99.4%
Last SUE: -1.02
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of UFPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2093.784, 2021-12: 2016.805, 2022-03: 2489.313, 2022-06: 2900.874, 2022-09: 2322.855, 2022-12: 1913.697, 2023-03: 1822.476, 2023-06: 2043.918, 2023-09: 1827.637, 2023-12: 1524.353, 2024-03: 1638.966, 2024-06: 1901.959, 2024-09: 1649.383, 2024-12: 1462.001, 2025-03: 1595.519, 2025-06: 1835.374, 2025-09: 1559.627, 2025-12: 1329.823, 2026-03: 1461.267, 2026-06: 1882.937, 2026-09: 1732.836,
Rev. CAGR: -4.86%
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Last SUE: 1.88
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 14
Feb +0.5% 7
Mar -0.4% 7
Apr -0.6% 8
May +2.1% 8
Jun +1.8% 17
Jul +6.8% 20
Aug +0.1% 5
Sep -5.1% 35
Oct -3.6% 27
Nov +4.8% 45
Dec -2.1% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UFPI Ufp Industries
UFP Industries, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer that designs, produces, and supplies wood and non-wood composite materials to customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three reportable segments-Retail, Construction, and Packaging-each serving distinct end-markets within the broader building products and materials industry.

The Retail segment markets branded products such as ProWood pressure-treated and fire-retardant lumber, Outdoor Essentials lawn and garden offerings, and Surestone composite decking and railing systems, alongside fencing, siding, and trim products. The Packaging segment produces custom wood and metal packaging, pallets, and complementary supplies such as corrugate, foam, labels, strapping, and films. The Construction segment manufactures structural components including roof and floor trusses, wall panels, I-joists, dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board, and also produces custom architectural millwork and concrete forming products for residential, commercial, and infrastructure projects.

Within the Building Products sub-industry, UFP Industries benefits from a diversified multi-segment, multi-brand model that addresses demand drivers across new construction, repair-and-remodel, outdoor living, and industrial packaging markets-reducing reliance on any single downstream vertical. The company was incorporated in 1955, is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan, and rebranded from Universal Forest Products to UFP Industries in April 2020.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Housing starts decline pressures construction segment volumes
  • Lumber price volatility squeezes segment margins
  • Retail segment grows on decking and fencing demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 231.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.81 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.11% < 20% (prev 28.75%; Δ -2.63% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 381.1m > Net Income 231.6m
Net Debt (-314.6m) to EBITDA (484.9m): -0.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (55.2m) vs 12m ago -3.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.41% > 18% (prev 16.79%; Δ -1.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 155.0% > 50% (prev 156.0%; Δ -1.07% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 30.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 313.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.1m)
Altman Z'' 8.12
A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 2.26b - Total Current Liabilities 584.2m) / Total Assets 4.13b
B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 2.51b / Total Assets 4.13b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 313.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.13b)
D: 2.84 (Book Value of Equity 3.06b / Total Liabilities 1.08b)
Altman-Z'' = 8.12 = AAA
Beneish M -2.70
DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 684.6m/607.5m, Revenue 6.41b/6.45b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 16.79% / 15.41%)
AQI: 1.24 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 6.41b / 6.45b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 231.6m - CFO 381.1m) / TA 4.13b)
Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of UFPI shares?

As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 80.79 with a total of 273,976 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.46%, over one month by +6.78%, over three months by -10.74% and over the past year by -10.25%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 76.20 (which is 5.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is UFPI a buy, sell or hold?

Ufp Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UFPI.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UFPI price?
Analysts Target Price 94.6 17.1%
Ufp Industries (UFPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.36b (4.36b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.3043
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 0.681
P/B = 1.4373
P/EG = 2.6726
Revenue TTM = 6.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 313.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 484.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 229.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.25m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 411.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 177.1m
Net Debt = -314.6m USD (calculated: Debt 411.4m - CCE 726.1m)
Enterprise Value = 4.05b USD (4.36b + Debt 411.4m - CCE 726.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 30.99 (Ebit TTM 313.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.1m)
EV/FCF = 20.81x (Enterprise Value 4.05b / FCF TTM 194.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.81% (FCF TTM 194.5m / Enterprise Value 4.05b)
FCF Margin = 3.04% (FCF TTM 194.5m / Revenue TTM 6.41b)
Net Margin = 3.61% (Net Income TTM 231.6m / Revenue TTM 6.41b)
Gross Margin = 15.41% ((Revenue TTM 6.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.42b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.13% (prev 15.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 4.05b / Total Assets 4.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.46% (Interest Expense 10.1m / Debt 411.4m)
Taxrate = 26.52% (84.1m / 317.2m)
NOPAT = 230.3m (EBIT 313.4m * (1 - 26.52%))
Current Ratio = 3.86 (Total Current Assets 2.26b / Total Current Liabilities 584.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 411.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.65 (Net Debt -314.6m / EBITDA 484.9m)
Debt / FCF = -1.62 (Net Debt -314.6m / FCF TTM 194.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.60% (Net Income 231.6m / Total Assets 4.13b)
RoE = 7.53% (Net Income TTM 231.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.08b)
RoCE = 9.49% (EBIT 313.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.08b + L.T.Debt 229.1m))
RoIC = 7.12% (NOPAT 230.3m / Invested Capital 3.23b)
WACC = 6.88% (E(4.36b)/V(4.77b) * Re(7.36%) + D(411.4m)/V(4.77b) * Rd(2.46%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.31 | Cagr: -3.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈224.5m ; Y1≈196.8m ; Y5≈159.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.52 (EV 2.55b - Net Debt -314.6m = Equity 2.87b / Shares 54.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -99.40 | EPS CAGR: -23.51% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -93.92 | Revenue CAGR: -4.86% | SUE: 1.88 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.94 | Chg30d=-22.79% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.21 | Chg30d=-7.07% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-15.8% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.65 | Chg30d=-15.82% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+10.3% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -77% (up=0, down=10)