(UFPI) Ufp Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Lumber, Decking, Packaging, Trusses, Panels
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.76% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 27.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.24 |
| Alpha | -42.05 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.304 |
| Beta | 0.744 |
| Beta Downside | 0.297 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.60% |
| Mean DD | 13.57% |
| Median DD | 11.00% |
Description: UFPI Ufp Industries November 05, 2025
UFP Industries (NASDAQ:UFPI) is a diversified manufacturer of wood- and non-wood-based building products, organized into three operating segments: Retail, Packaging, and Construction. The Retail segment supplies pressure-treated lumber, decking, fencing, garden accessories, and wood-plastic composites; the Packaging segment produces custom structural packaging, pallets, corrugate boxes, foam, labels, strapping, and films; and the Construction segment offers roof trusses, dimensional lumber, engineered wood components, metal trusses, and related interior and exterior building solutions.
In FY 2023 the company generated $5.2 billion in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 9.5%, reflecting modest improvement over the prior year as demand for residential renovation products rebounded. UFPI’s cash conversion cycle has tightened to 45 days, supporting a free-cash-flow yield near 5%-a notable metric for capital-intensive manufacturers.
Key economic drivers for UFPI include U.S. housing starts (which rose 3.2% YoY in Q3 2024), the ongoing shortage of lumber and pressure-treated wood that sustains pricing power, and the growth of e-commerce logistics that fuels demand for custom packaging solutions. Additionally, the sector benefits from inflation-linked construction contracts that can offset raw-material cost volatility.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore UFPI’s profile on ValueRay, where the platform aggregates recent earnings estimates and peer-adjusted valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (320.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 387.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.75% (prev 29.90%; Δ -1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 541.6m > Net Income 320.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-639.4m) to EBITDA (592.0m) ratio: -1.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (57.2m) change vs 12m ago -6.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.79% (prev 19.11%; Δ -2.33pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 154.5% (prev 159.2%; Δ -4.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 37.47 (EBITDA TTM 592.0m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 8.87
| (A) 0.45 = (Total Current Assets 2.39b - Total Current Liabilities 532.2m) / Total Assets 4.14b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.69b / Total Assets 4.14b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 434.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.18b |
| (D) 2.96 = Book Value of Equity 2.75b / Total Liabilities 927.3m |
| Total Rating: 8.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.65
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.42)% |
| 7. RoE 10.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -75.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend -75.21% |
What is the price of UFPI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.63%, over one month by -1.20%, over three months by -11.92% and over the past year by -31.63%.
Is UFPI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UFPI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.7 | 26.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.7 | 26.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 82.9 | -7.9% |
UFPI Fundamental Data Overview December 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.7963
P/E Forward = 7.9808
P/S = 0.8189
P/B = 1.6614
P/EG = 1.88
Beta = 1.49
Revenue TTM = 6.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 434.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 592.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 229.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 369.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -639.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.61b USD (5.28b + Debt 369.3m - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 37.47 (Ebit TTM 434.4m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.85% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Enterprise Value 4.61b)
FCF Margin = 4.17% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Net Margin = 4.96% (Net Income TTM 320.0m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Gross Margin = 16.79% ((Revenue TTM 6.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.84% (prev 17.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 4.61b / Total Assets 4.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 2.76m / Debt 369.3m)
Taxrate = 23.80% (23.6m / 99.1m)
NOPAT = 331.0m (EBIT 434.4m * (1 - 23.80%))
Current Ratio = 4.49 (Total Current Assets 2.39b / Total Current Liabilities 532.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 369.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.08 (Net Debt -639.4m / EBITDA 592.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.37 (Net Debt -639.4m / FCF TTM 269.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.74% (Net Income 320.0m / Total Assets 4.14b)
RoE = 10.01% (Net Income TTM 320.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.20b)
RoCE = 12.68% (EBIT 434.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.20b + L.T.Debt 229.0m))
RoIC = 9.65% (NOPAT 331.0m / Invested Capital 3.43b)
WACC = 8.22% (E(5.28b)/V(5.65b) * Re(8.76%) + D(369.3m)/V(5.65b) * Rd(0.75%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.41% ; FCFE base≈373.9m ; Y1≈327.1m ; Y5≈265.5m
Fair Price DCF = 72.95 (DCF Value 4.25b / Shares Outstanding 58.3m; 5y FCF grow -15.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -75.21 | EPS CAGR: -13.37% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -75.47 | Revenue CAGR: -6.63% | SUE: -0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.79 | Chg30d=-0.032 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+2.6%
Additional Sources for UFPI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle