UFPI Stock Analysis: Ufp Industries | NASDAQ

Treated Lumber, Composite Decking, Structural Trusses, Packaging Pallets

Total Rating 38

Safety 80

Buy Signal -0.53

Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Rotation: -4.2

Market Cap: 4.22B
Avg Turnover: 36.5M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility30.5%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.89%

VaR vs Median-2.83%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.58

Rel. Str. IBD13.4

Rel. Str. Peer Group26.6

Character TTM

Beta0.564

Beta Downside0.750

Hurst Exponent0.564

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD45.06%

CAGR/Max DD-0.17

CAGR/Mean DD-0.37

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -22.70%
EPS Trend: -99.0%

Last SUE: 0.32
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -6.42%
Rev. Trend: -96.7%

Last SUE: 1.62
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 14

Feb +0.5% 7

Mar -0.4% 7

Apr -0.6% 8

May +2.1% 8

Jun +1.8% 17

Jul +6.8% 20

Aug +0.1% 5

Sep -5.5% 32

Oct -3.6% 27

Nov +4.8% 45

Dec -2.1% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UFPI Ufp Industries

UFP Industries, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer that designs, produces, and supplies wood and non-wood composite materials to customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three reportable segments-Retail, Construction, and Packaging-each serving distinct end-markets within the broader building products and materials industry.

The Retail segment markets branded products such as ProWood pressure-treated and fire-retardant lumber, Outdoor Essentials lawn and garden offerings, and Surestone composite decking and railing systems, alongside fencing, siding, and trim products. The Packaging segment produces custom wood and metal packaging, pallets, and complementary supplies such as corrugate, foam, labels, strapping, and films. The Construction segment manufactures structural components including roof and floor trusses, wall panels, I-joists, dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board, and also produces custom architectural millwork and concrete forming products for residential, commercial, and infrastructure projects.

Within the Building Products sub-industry, UFP Industries benefits from a diversified multi-segment, multi-brand model that addresses demand drivers across new construction, repair-and-remodel, outdoor living, and industrial packaging markets-reducing reliance on any single downstream vertical. The company was incorporated in 1955, is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan, and rebranded from Universal Forest Products to UFP Industries in April 2020.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Housing starts decline pressures construction segment volumes
Lumber price volatility squeezes segment margins
Retail segment grows on decking and fencing demand

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 246.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.07 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.66% < 20% (prev 28.22%; Δ -1.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 490.8m > Net Income 246.1m
Net Debt (-236.8m) to EBITDA (505.0m): -0.47 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.98 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (56.0m) vs 12m ago -2.08% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.13% > 18% (prev 17.10%; Δ -0.97% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 152.0% > 50% (prev 159.7%; Δ -7.67% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 33.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 338.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)

Altman Z'' 8.28

A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 2.22b - Total Current Liabilities 557.5m) / Total Assets 4.10b
B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 2.51b / Total Assets 4.10b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 338.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.10b)
D: 2.93 (Book Value of Equity 3.06b / Total Liabilities 1.04b)
Altman-Z'' = 8.28 = AAA

Beneish M -2.91

DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 751.8m/715.2m, Revenue 6.23b/6.54b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 17.10% / 16.13%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.19)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 6.23b / 6.54b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 246.1m - CFO 490.8m) / TA 4.10b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of UFPI shares?

As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 74.21 with a total of 477,392 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.81%, over one month by -9.57%, over three months by -10.22% and over the past year by -16.23%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 71.30 (which is 3.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is UFPI a buy, sell or hold?

Ufp Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UFPI.

StrongBuy: 3
Buy: 0
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UFPI price?

Analysts Target Price	102.6	38.3%

Ufp Industries (UFPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 4.22b (4.22b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.0709
P/E Forward = 7.446
P/S = 0.6764
P/B = 1.5082
P/EG = 2.6726
Revenue TTM = 6.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 338.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 505.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 228.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.49m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 408.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 174.1m
Net Debt = -236.8m USD (calculated: Debt 408.4m - CCE 645.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.98b USD (4.22b + Debt 408.4m - CCE 645.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 33.30 (Ebit TTM 338.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)
EV/FCF = 15.04x (Enterprise Value 3.98b / FCF TTM 264.6m)
FCF Yield = 6.65% (FCF TTM 264.6m / Enterprise Value 3.98b)
FCF Margin = 4.25% (FCF TTM 264.6m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Net Margin = 3.95% (Net Income TTM 246.1m / Revenue TTM 6.23b)
Gross Margin = 16.13% ((Revenue TTM 6.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.41% (prev 16.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 3.98b / Total Assets 4.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 10.2m / Debt 408.4m)
Taxrate = 26.36% (89.5m / 339.4m)
NOPAT = 249.2m (EBIT 338.4m * (1 - 26.36%))
Current Ratio = 3.98 (Total Current Assets 2.22b / Total Current Liabilities 557.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 408.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.47 (Net Debt -236.8m / EBITDA 505.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.89 (Net Debt -236.8m / FCF TTM 264.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.00% (Net Income 246.1m / Total Assets 4.10b)
RoE = 7.92% (Net Income TTM 246.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.11b)
RoCE = 10.15% (EBIT 338.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.11b + L.T.Debt 228.8m))
RoIC = 7.69% (NOPAT 249.2m / Invested Capital 3.24b)
WACC = 7.43% (E(4.22b)/V(4.62b) * Re(7.97%) + D(408.4m)/V(4.62b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -77.49 | Cagr: -2.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.61% ; FCFF base≈263.3m ; Y1≈267.3m ; Y5≈289.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 85.70 (EV 4.49b - Net Debt -236.8m = Equity 4.73b / Shares 55.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.32% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -99.04 | EPS CAGR: -22.70% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.71 | Revenue CAGR: -6.42% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-0.60% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.53 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-9.3% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.52 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+21.8% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=3, down=2)