(UFPI) Ufp Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Lumber, Decking, Packaging, Trusses, Panels
UFPI EPS (Earnings per Share)
UFPI Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.21 |
| Alpha | -42.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.311 |
| Beta | 0.757 |
| Beta Downside | 0.309 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.84% |
| Mean DD | 12.94% |
| Median DD | 10.43% |
Description: UFPI Ufp Industries November 05, 2025
UFP Industries (NASDAQ:UFPI) is a diversified manufacturer of wood- and non-wood-based building products, organized into three operating segments: Retail, Packaging, and Construction. The Retail segment supplies pressure-treated lumber, decking, fencing, garden accessories, and wood-plastic composites; the Packaging segment produces custom structural packaging, pallets, corrugate boxes, foam, labels, strapping, and films; and the Construction segment offers roof trusses, dimensional lumber, engineered wood components, metal trusses, and related interior and exterior building solutions.
In FY 2023 the company generated $5.2 billion in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 9.5%, reflecting modest improvement over the prior year as demand for residential renovation products rebounded. UFPI’s cash conversion cycle has tightened to 45 days, supporting a free-cash-flow yield near 5%-a notable metric for capital-intensive manufacturers.
Key economic drivers for UFPI include U.S. housing starts (which rose 3.2% YoY in Q3 2024), the ongoing shortage of lumber and pressure-treated wood that sustains pricing power, and the growth of e-commerce logistics that fuels demand for custom packaging solutions. Additionally, the sector benefits from inflation-linked construction contracts that can offset raw-material cost volatility.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore UFPI’s profile on ValueRay, where the platform aggregates recent earnings estimates and peer-adjusted valuation metrics.
UFPI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,329m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-11-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -39.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
UFPI Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.53% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 27.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.9% |
UFPI Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 5.95% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.46 |
| Current Volume | 464.6k |
| Average Volume | 378.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (322.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 387.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.75% (prev 29.90%; Δ -1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 541.6m > Net Income 322.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-777.3m) to EBITDA (589.3m) ratio: -1.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (57.2m) change vs 12m ago -6.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.79% (prev 19.11%; Δ -2.33pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 154.5% (prev 159.2%; Δ -4.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 37.23 (EBITDA TTM 589.3m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 8.80
| (A) 0.45 = (Total Current Assets 2.39b - Total Current Liabilities 532.2m) / Total Assets 4.14b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.69b / Total Assets 4.14b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 431.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.18b |
| (D) 2.90 = Book Value of Equity 2.69b / Total Liabilities 927.3m |
| Total Rating: 8.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.80
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.96% = 2.98 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.17% = 1.04 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.07 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.32 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.10)% = 1.37 |
| 7. RoE 10.08% = 0.84 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -55.50% = -4.16 |
| 9. EPS Trend -75.50% = -3.77 |
What is the price of UFPI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.64%, over one month by -1.62%, over three months by -11.91% and over the past year by -30.61%.
Is Ufp Industries a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UFPI is around 75.66 USD . This means that UFPI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.39%.
Is UFPI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UFPI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.2 | 25.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.2 | 25.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 84.4 | -6.8% |
UFPI Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.9389
P/E Forward = 7.9808
P/S = 0.8258
P/B = 1.6861
P/EG = 1.88
Beta = 1.491
Revenue TTM = 6.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 431.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 589.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 229.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 234.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -777.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.52b USD (5.33b + Debt 234.4m - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 37.23 (Ebit TTM 431.6m / Interest Expense TTM 11.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.96% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Enterprise Value 4.52b)
FCF Margin = 4.17% (FCF TTM 269.3m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Net Margin = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 322.9m / Revenue TTM 6.45b)
Gross Margin = 16.79% ((Revenue TTM 6.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.84% (prev 17.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 4.52b / Total Assets 4.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 2.76m / Debt 234.4m)
Taxrate = 23.80% (23.6m / 99.1m)
NOPAT = 328.9m (EBIT 431.6m * (1 - 23.80%))
Current Ratio = 4.49 (Total Current Assets 2.39b / Total Current Liabilities 532.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 234.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.32 (Net Debt -777.3m / EBITDA 589.3m)
Debt / FCF = -2.89 (Net Debt -777.3m / FCF TTM 269.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.81% (Net Income 322.9m / Total Assets 4.14b)
RoE = 10.08% (Net Income TTM 322.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.20b)
RoCE = 12.58% (EBIT 431.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.20b + L.T.Debt 229.0m))
RoIC = 9.59% (NOPAT 328.9m / Invested Capital 3.43b)
WACC = 8.49% (E(5.33b)/V(5.56b) * Re(8.82%) + D(234.4m)/V(5.56b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.18% ; FCFE base≈373.9m ; Y1≈327.1m ; Y5≈265.5m
Fair Price DCF = 72.23 (DCF Value 4.21b / Shares Outstanding 58.3m; 5y FCF grow -15.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -75.50 | EPS CAGR: -16.24% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.50 | Revenue CAGR: -7.17% | SUE: -0.64 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for UFPI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle