UFPI Stock Analysis: Ufp Industries | NASDAQ
Lumber & Wood Production | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.037m USD | 12M Return: -18.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 43.2M
EPS Trend: -98.8%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -95.1%
Qual. Beats: -2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) is a Grand Rapids, Michigan-based manufacturer of wood and non-wood composite products serving customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three business segments: Retail, Construction, and Packaging, allowing it to generate revenue from a mix of end markets including new home construction, home improvement, commercial building, and industrial supply.
The Retail segment supplies branded consumer products such as ProWood pressure-treated lumber, Outdoor Essentials lawn and garden items, and Surestone decking and railing systems. The Construction segment produces structural building components including roof trusses, wall panels, I-joists, engineered wood, and architectural millwork, while the Packaging segment makes custom wood and metal packaging, pallets, and related protective materials such as corrugate, foam, strapping, and films. The companys name was changed from Universal Forest Products, Inc. to UFP Industries, Inc. in April 2020 to reflect its expansion beyond traditional lumber into composites and engineered products.
As a mid-cap industrial company in the Building Products sub-industry, UFP Industries combines a manufacturing-and-distribution business model with both proprietary branded products and custom-made-to-order components, providing diversified exposure to residential and commercial construction cycles as well as industrial packaging demand.
- Housing starts slowdown pressures Construction segment trusses revenue
- Lumber and OSB input costs compress packaging and building margins
- Retail decking demand softens as elevated rates curb home improvement spending
| Net Income: 264.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.79% < 20% (prev 29.78%; Δ -0.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 548.5m > Net Income 264.0m |
| Net Debt (-405.6m) to EBITDA (532.1m): -0.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.0m) vs 12m ago -5.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.62% > 18% (prev 17.69%; Δ -1.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 151.2% > 50% (prev 159.2%; Δ -8.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 33.98 > 6 (EBIT TTM 369.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.9m) |
| A: 0.44 (Total Current Assets 2.27b - Total Current Liabilities 488.9m) / Total Assets 4.03b |
| B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 2.56b / Total Assets 4.03b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 369.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.09b) |
| D: 3.33 (Book Value of Equity 3.10b / Total Liabilities 930.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.07 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 674.2m/714.8m, Revenue 6.19b/6.61b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 17.69% / 16.62%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 6.19b / 6.61b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 264.0m - CFO 548.5m) / TA 4.03b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.55 with a total of 376,658 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.14%, over one month by -0.12%, over three months by -12.17% and over the past year by -18.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.30 (which is 3.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Ufp Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UFPI.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 103 | 21.8% |
P/E Trailing = 19.4314
P/E Forward = 7.446
P/S = 0.8143
P/B = 1.6358
P/EG = 2.6726
Revenue TTM = 6.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 369.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 532.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 228.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 362.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 128.6m
Net Debt = -405.6m USD (calculated: Debt 362.9m - CCE 768.5m)
Enterprise Value = 4.63b USD (5.04b + Debt 362.9m - CCE 768.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 33.98 (Ebit TTM 369.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.9m)
EV/FCF = 15.54x (Enterprise Value 4.63b / FCF TTM 298.2m)
FCF Yield = 6.44% (FCF TTM 298.2m / Enterprise Value 4.63b)
FCF Margin = 4.82% (FCF TTM 298.2m / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Net Margin = 4.27% (Net Income TTM 264.0m / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Gross Margin = 16.62% ((Revenue TTM 6.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.14% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 4.63b / Total Assets 4.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.00% (Interest Expense 10.9m / Debt 362.9m)
Taxrate = 25.34% (90.8m / 358.5m)
NOPAT = 275.8m (EBIT 369.4m * (1 - 25.34%))
Current Ratio = 4.64 (Total Current Assets 2.27b / Total Current Liabilities 488.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 362.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.76 (Net Debt -405.6m / EBITDA 532.1m)
Debt / FCF = -1.36 (Net Debt -405.6m / FCF TTM 298.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.45% (Net Income 264.0m / Total Assets 4.03b)
RoE = 8.44% (Net Income TTM 264.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.13b)
RoCE = 11.01% (EBIT 369.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.13b + L.T.Debt 228.3m))
RoIC = 8.51% (NOPAT 275.8m / Invested Capital 3.24b)
WACC = 8.25% (E(5.04b)/V(5.40b) * Re(8.68%) + D(362.9m)/V(5.40b) * Rd(3.00%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -70.47 | Cagr: -3.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.35% ; FCFF base≈299.0m ; Y1≈298.5m ; Y5≈312.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 93.39 (EV 4.87b - Net Debt -405.6m = Equity 5.27b / Shares 56.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -0.67% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -98.84 | EPS CAGR: -21.85% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -95.09 | Revenue CAGR: -7.95% | SUE: -0.99 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=-12.91% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-14.32% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.61 | Chg30d=-13.35% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-7.8% | GrowthRev=-1.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.50 | Chg30d=-9.78% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+19.3% | GrowthRev=+7.9%