URBN Stock Analysis: Urban Outfitters | NASDAQ

Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.932m USD | 12M Return: -5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Apparel, Accessories, Footwear, Home Decor
Total Rating 54
Safety 89
Buy Signal -0.35
Apparel Retail
Industry Rotation: -7.6
Market Cap: 5.93B
Avg Turnover: 83.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.53%
VaR vs Median-3.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.00
Rel. Str. IBD23.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group37
Character TTM
Beta1.532
Beta Downside1.284
Hurst Exponent0.518
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.53%
CAGR/Max DD0.91
CAGR/Mean DD2.39
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of URBN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 1.28, "2021-10": 0.89, "2022-01": 0.41, "2022-04": 0.33, "2022-07": 0.64, "2022-10": 0.4, "2023-01": 0.34, "2023-04": 0.56, "2023-07": 1.1, "2023-10": 0.88, "2024-01": 0.5, "2024-04": 0.69, "2024-07": 1.24, "2024-10": 1.1, "2025-01": 1.28, "2025-04": 1.16, "2025-07": 1.58, "2025-10": 1.29, "2026-01": 1.43, "2026-04": 1.3,
EPS CAGR: 37.33%
EPS Trend: 98.1%
Last SUE: 1.75
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of URBN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 1157.725, 2021-10: 1131.424, 2022-01: 1332.199, 2022-04: 1051.934, 2022-07: 1183.388, 2022-10: 1175.349, 2023-01: 1384.573, 2023-04: 1113.674, 2023-07: 1272.195, 2023-10: 1281.174, 2024-01: 1486.194, 2024-04: 1200.732, 2024-07: 1351.959, 2024-10: 1361.855, 2025-01: 1636.12, 2025-04: 1329.501, 2025-07: 1504.755, 2025-10: 1529.35, 2026-01: 1801.77, 2026-04: 1481.345,
Rev. CAGR: 9.22%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 1.65
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -3.2% 28
Feb +0.3% 13
Mar -2.6% 30
Apr -0.3% 5
May -0.3% 0
Jun -1.1% 17
Jul +8.1% 44
Aug -0.0% 11
Sep +0.5% 8
Oct +1.5% 19
Nov +10.5% 25
Dec -2.2% 22

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: URBN Urban Outfitters

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) is a U.S.-based lifestyle retailer that operates three reportable segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription. The Retail segment encompasses the companys owned-store concepts, including Urban Outfitters (targeting young adults aged 18–28), Anthropologie (women aged 28–45), Terrain (home, garden, and outdoor living), and Free People (young women aged 25–30), as well as restaurants and event venues. The Wholesale segment designs, develops, and markets Free People, FP Movement, and Urban Outfitters branded apparel to department stores, specialty retailers, and franchisees. The Subscription segment consists of Nuuly, a womens apparel rental service.

The company distributes its products through an omnichannel model that combines retail stores, brand websites, mobile applications, catalogs, customer contact centers, social media, and third-party digital platforms. Urban Outfitters was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and has been publicly traded on NASDAQ since its 1993 IPO. As a multi-brand specialty apparel retailer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, URBNs performance is closely tied to discretionary consumer spending and fashion cycles, while its diverse brand portfolio allows it to address distinct demographic and lifestyle segments simultaneously.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Free People and FP Movement drive double-digit segment revenue growth
  • Anthropologie comparable sales recovery boosts overall margins
  • China tariffs pressure gross margins on apparel imports
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 472.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.61 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.85% < 20% (prev 7.22%; Δ 0.63% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 557.6m > Net Income 472.3m
Net Debt (791.3m) to EBITDA (739.9m): 1.07 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.8m) vs 12m ago -5.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.98% > 18% (prev 35.34%; Δ 0.64% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 137.0% > 50% (prev 127.4%; Δ 9.58% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 123.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 604.9m / Interest Expense TTM 4.92m)
Altman Z'' 4.64
A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 1.54b - Total Current Liabilities 1.04b) / Total Assets 4.76b
B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 2.64b / Total Assets 4.76b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 604.9m / Avg Total Assets 4.61b)
D: 1.21 (Book Value of Equity 2.61b / Total Liabilities 2.15b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.64 = AA
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 115.9m/93.2m, Revenue 6.32b/5.68b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 35.34% / 35.98%)
AQI: 0.76 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 6.32b / 5.68b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 472.3m - CFO 557.6m) / TA 4.76b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of URBN shares?

As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 68.83 with a total of 1,073,930 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.67%, over one month by -5.31%, over three months by +0.34% and over the past year by -5.02%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 63.90 (which is 7.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is URBN a buy, sell or hold?

Urban Outfitters has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefore, it is recommended to hold URBN.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the URBN price?
Analysts Target Price 84.9 23.3%
Urban Outfitters (URBN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.93b (5.93b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.0945
P/E Forward = 10.9769
P/S = 0.939
P/B = 2.2312
P/EG = 1.261
Revenue TTM = 6.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 604.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 739.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 979.6m USD (estimated: total debt 1.20b - short term 225.0m)
Short Term Debt = 225.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.20b already included)
Net Debt = 791.3m USD (calculated: Debt 1.20b - CCE 413.3m)
Enterprise Value = 6.72b USD (5.93b + Debt 1.20b - CCE 413.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 123.0 (Ebit TTM 604.9m / Interest Expense TTM 4.92m)
EV/FCF = 23.97x (Enterprise Value 6.72b / FCF TTM 280.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.17% (FCF TTM 280.5m / Enterprise Value 6.72b)
FCF Margin = 4.44% (FCF TTM 280.5m / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Net Margin = 7.48% (Net Income TTM 472.3m / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Gross Margin = 35.98% ((Revenue TTM 6.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.63% (prev 33.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 6.72b / Total Assets 4.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.41% (Interest Expense 4.92m / Debt 1.20b)
Taxrate = 21.92% (132.6m / 604.9m)
NOPAT = 472.3m (EBIT 604.9m * (1 - 21.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 1.54b / Total Current Liabilities 1.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 1.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.07 (Net Debt 791.3m / EBITDA 739.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.82 (Net Debt 791.3m / FCF TTM 280.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.24% (Net Income 472.3m / Total Assets 4.76b)
RoE = 17.64% (Net Income TTM 472.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.68b)
RoCE = 16.54% (EBIT 604.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.68b + L.T.Debt 979.6m))
RoIC = 13.00% (NOPAT 472.3m / Invested Capital 3.63b)
WACC = 9.50% (E(5.93b)/V(7.14b) * Re(11.37%) + D(1.20b)/V(7.14b) * Rd(0.41%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 11.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -2.87%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.00% ; FCFF base≈284.2m ; Y1≈277.8m ; Y5≈278.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 33.39 (EV 3.65b - Net Debt 791.3m = Equity 2.86b / Shares 85.6m; r=9.50% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.16% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.13 | EPS CAGR: 37.33% | SUE: 1.75 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.48 | Revenue CAGR: 9.22% | SUE: 1.65 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.17 | Chg30d=+1.68% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+21.9% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=6.67 | Chg30d=+1.60% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +71% (up=13, down=1)