(URBN) Urban Outfitters - Overview
Stock: Apparel, Accessories, Home Goods, Beauty, Footwear
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.60 |
| Alpha | 11.98 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.290 |
| Beta Downside | 0.758 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.53% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.39 |
Description: URBN Urban Outfitters January 10, 2026
Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) operates a diversified retail portfolio across three primary segments-Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription-under multiple brand banners. Its Urban Outfitters stores target 18-28-year-old shoppers with apparel, activewear, footwear, accessories, home goods, electronics, and beauty products; Anthropologie serves women 28-45 with apparel, home décor, and wellness items; Terrain focuses on lifestyle home and garden merchandise; Free People and FP Movement cater to young women 25-30 with contemporary casual apparel and accessories; and the Nuuly brand offers a subscription-based rental service for women’s fashion. The company reaches consumers through brick-and-mortar locations, e-commerce sites, mobile apps, catalogs, and third-party digital platforms, supplemented by franchise and wholesale relationships.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show total revenue of approximately $4.2 billion, with digital sales accounting for roughly 30 % of that total and a year-over-year comparable-store sales growth of ~2 %. Inventory turnover improved to 4.5 times, while operating margin compressed to 5.5 % amid higher labor and freight costs. The business remains sensitive to macro-economic factors that drive discretionary spending among younger consumers, such as real-wage growth, inflation expectations, and the continued shift toward online shopping-a sector trend that has lifted e-commerce penetration across the apparel retail industry.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of URBN’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income: 489.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.88% < 20% (prev 9.48%; Δ 0.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 632.7m > Net Income 489.0m |
| Net Debt (877.5m) to EBITDA (651.1m): 1.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.0m) vs 12m ago -2.70% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.81% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3547 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 127.8% > 50% (prev 120.4%; Δ 7.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 963.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 651.1m / Interest Expense TTM 487.0k) |
Altman Z'' 4.55
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 1.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.17b) / Total Assets 4.91b |
| B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 2.72b / Total Assets 4.91b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 469.3m / Avg Total Assets 4.70b) |
| D: 1.22 (Book Value of Equity 2.69b / Total Liabilities 2.20b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.55 = AA |
Beneish M -3.04
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 96.0m/97.0m, Revenue 6.00b/5.40b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 35.81% / 34.03%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 6.00b / 5.40b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 489.0m - CFO 632.7m) / TA 4.91b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of URBN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.70%, over one month by -7.25%, over three months by +10.34% and over the past year by +25.13%.
Is URBN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the URBN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 85.3 | 19.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 85.3 | 19.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 89.3 | 25.5% |
URBN Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.4844
P/S = 1.0854
P/B = 2.35
P/EG = 1.3145
Revenue TTM = 6.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 469.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 651.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 223.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 877.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.08b USD (6.51b + Debt 1.18b - CCE 611.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 963.6 (Ebit TTM 469.3m / Interest Expense TTM 487.0k)
EV/FCF = 13.88x (Enterprise Value 7.08b / FCF TTM 510.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.20% (FCF TTM 510.2m / Enterprise Value 7.08b)
FCF Margin = 8.50% (FCF TTM 510.2m / Revenue TTM 6.00b)
Net Margin = 8.15% (Net Income TTM 489.0m / Revenue TTM 6.00b)
Gross Margin = 35.81% ((Revenue TTM 6.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.96% (prev 37.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 7.08b / Total Assets 4.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 246.0k / Debt 1.18b)
Taxrate = 23.62% (36.0m / 152.4m)
NOPAT = 358.5m (EBIT 469.3m * (1 - 23.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 1.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 1.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.35 (Net Debt 877.5m / EBITDA 651.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.72 (Net Debt 877.5m / FCF TTM 510.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.41% (Net Income 489.0m / Total Assets 4.91b)
RoE = 19.20% (Net Income TTM 489.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.55b)
RoCE = 12.58% (EBIT 469.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.55b + L.T.Debt 1.18b))
RoIC = 14.07% (NOPAT 358.5m / Invested Capital 2.55b)
WACC = 9.03% (E(6.51b)/V(7.70b) * Re(10.67%) + D(1.18b)/V(7.70b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.61% ; FCFF base≈393.7m ; Y1≈375.7m ; Y5≈362.4m
Fair Price DCF = 50.01 (EV 5.36b - Net Debt 877.5m = Equity 4.49b / Shares 89.7m; r=9.03% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -5.99% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 42.24 | EPS CAGR: -35.50% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.28 | Revenue CAGR: 3.75% | SUE: 2.88 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.73 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+9.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%