(URBN) Urban Outfitters - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Accessories, Home Décor, Beauty Products, Subscription
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.85 |
| Alpha | 30.77 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.440 |
| Beta | 1.335 |
| Beta Downside | 0.824 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.53% |
| Mean DD | 9.27% |
| Median DD | 8.03% |
Description: URBN Urban Outfitters November 07, 2025
Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) operates a diversified retail portfolio across three segments-Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription-targeting distinct demographic cohorts: Urban Outfitters (ages 18-28), Anthropologie (ages 28-45), Free People (ages 25-30), and the Terrain lifestyle concept. The company also runs Nuuly, a women’s apparel rental service, and leverages multiple sales channels including brick-and-mortar stores, e-commerce platforms, mobile apps, catalogs, and third-party digital venues.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): total revenue of approximately $4.5 billion, comparable-store sales up 5 % year-over-year, and digital sales contributing roughly 30 % of total revenue, reflecting the ongoing shift toward omnichannel consumption. Inventory turnover improved to 3.2×, indicating tighter supply-chain management amid lingering post-pandemic disruptions.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect URBN include discretionary consumer spending trends tied to inflation and employment rates, the growing preference of Gen Z and Millennials for experiential retail and sustainable fashion, and the competitive pressure from fast-fashion and direct-to-consumer brands accelerating the need for agile inventory and digital integration.
For a deeper quantitative view of URBN’s valuation and risk profile, consider reviewing the detailed analysis available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (489.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 360.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.88% (prev 9.48%; Δ 0.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 632.7m > Net Income 489.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (877.5m) to EBITDA (651.1m) ratio: 1.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.51 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (92.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.81% (prev 34.03%; Δ 1.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 127.8% (prev 120.4%; Δ 7.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 963.6 (EBITDA TTM 651.1m / Interest Expense TTM 487.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.55
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 1.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.17b) / Total Assets 4.91b |
| (B) 0.55 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.72b / Total Assets 4.91b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 469.3m / Avg Total Assets 4.70b |
| (D) 1.22 = Book Value of Equity 2.69b / Total Liabilities 2.20b |
| Total Rating: 4.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.67
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.23% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.90% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.09)% |
| 7. RoE 19.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 68.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend 87.31% |
What is the price of URBN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by +18.45%, over three months by +3.67% and over the past year by +53.78%.
Is URBN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the URBN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 83.5 | 10.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 83.5 | 10.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 98 | 29.5% |
URBN Fundamental Data Overview November 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.0284
P/E Forward = 14.0647
P/S = 1.1076
P/B = 2.5717
P/EG = 1.6363
Beta = 1.214
Revenue TTM = 6.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 469.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 651.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.10b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 223.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 877.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.22b USD (6.65b + Debt 1.18b - CCE 611.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 963.6 (Ebit TTM 469.3m / Interest Expense TTM 487.0k)
FCF Yield = 8.23% (FCF TTM 594.1m / Enterprise Value 7.22b)
FCF Margin = 9.90% (FCF TTM 594.1m / Revenue TTM 6.00b)
Net Margin = 8.15% (Net Income TTM 489.0m / Revenue TTM 6.00b)
Gross Margin = 35.81% ((Revenue TTM 6.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.96% (prev 37.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 7.22b / Total Assets 4.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 246.0k / Debt 1.18b)
Taxrate = 23.62% (36.0m / 152.4m)
NOPAT = 358.5m (EBIT 469.3m * (1 - 23.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 1.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 1.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.35 (Net Debt 877.5m / EBITDA 651.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.48 (Net Debt 877.5m / FCF TTM 594.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.96% (Net Income 489.0m / Total Assets 4.91b)
RoE = 19.20% (Net Income TTM 489.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.55b)
RoCE = 12.87% (EBIT 469.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.55b + L.T.Debt 1.10b))
RoIC = 14.37% (NOPAT 358.5m / Invested Capital 2.49b)
WACC = 9.28% (E(6.65b)/V(7.83b) * Re(10.93%) + D(1.18b)/V(7.83b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.54% ; FCFE base≈444.0m ; Y1≈423.8m ; Y5≈409.7m
Fair Price DCF = 52.29 (DCF Value 4.69b / Shares Outstanding 89.7m; 5y FCF grow -5.99% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 87.31 | EPS CAGR: 35.47% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.28 | Revenue CAGR: 3.75% | SUE: 2.88 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.23 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.70 | Chg30d=+0.084 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+8.0% | Growth Revenue=+7.3%
Additional Sources for URBN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle