URBN Stock Analysis: Urban Outfitters | NASDAQ

Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.040m USD | 12M Return: 29.4% | US9170471026 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Apparel, Footwear, Home Décor, Beauty
Total Rating 71
Safety 97
Buy Signal 1.27
Apparel Retail
Industry Rotation: +23.0
Market Cap: 7.04B
Avg Turnover: 84.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.1%
VaR 5th Pctl6.80%
VaR vs Median-4.23%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.73
Rel. Str. IBD83.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group84.1 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.286
Beta Downside0.702
Hurst Exponent0.503
Choppyness64.7%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.53%
CAGR/Max DD1.33
CAGR/Mean DD3.55
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of URBN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-10": 0.89, "2022-01": 0.41, "2022-04": 0.33, "2022-07": 0.64, "2022-10": 0.4, "2023-01": 0.34, "2023-04": 0.56, "2023-07": 1.1, "2023-10": 0.88, "2024-01": 0.5, "2024-04": 0.69, "2024-07": 1.24, "2024-10": 1.1, "2025-01": 1.28, "2025-04": 1.16, "2025-07": 1.58, "2025-10": 1.29, "2026-01": 1.05, "2026-04": 1.3, "2026-07": 1.72,
EPS CAGR: 29.68%
EPS Trend: 95.2%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of URBN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-10: 1131.424, 2022-01: 1332.199, 2022-04: 1051.934, 2022-07: 1183.388, 2022-10: 1175.349, 2023-01: 1384.573, 2023-04: 1113.674, 2023-07: 1272.195, 2023-10: 1281.174, 2024-01: 1486.194, 2024-04: 1200.732, 2024-07: 1351.959, 2024-10: 1361.855, 2025-01: 1636.12, 2025-04: 1329.501, 2025-07: 1504.755, 2025-10: 1529.35, 2026-01: 1801.77, 2026-04: 1481.345, 2026-07: 1661.915,
Rev. CAGR: 9.60%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 1.00
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence
Tailwind

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -3.1% 20
Feb +0.4% 17
Mar -0.9% 20
Apr -0.5% 10
May -1.3% 2
Jun -0.6% 10
Jul +8.1% 55
Aug +1.9% 5
Sep -1.1% 0
Oct +1.4% 14
Nov +5.2% 17
Dec -2.5% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: URBN Urban Outfitters

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) is a multi-brand specialty retailer founded in 1970 and headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The company operates through three segments-Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription-and serves young adult and adult women through a portfolio of lifestyle-oriented brands, including Urban Outfitters, Anthropologie, Terrain, Free People, and FP Movement. Its product assortment spans fashion apparel, activewear, intimates, footwear, accessories, home goods, beauty and wellness products, and garden and outdoor living items. The company also operates restaurants and event venues alongside its Nuuly womens apparel subscription rental service. Distribution is conducted through an omnichannel network that includes retail stores, e-commerce websites and mobile applications, catalogs, customer contact centers, franchise locations, and department and specialty stores, as well as social media and third-party digital platforms.

As a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Apparel Retail sub-industry, URBN operates a multi-brand, multi-channel lifestyle retail model that targets distinct demographic segments by brand. The inclusion of a Subscription segment (Nuuly) highlights the companys participation in the growing apparel rental market, an alternative ownership model that complements traditional wholesale and direct-to-consumer sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • FP Movement activewear fuels Free People segment revenue growth
  • Tariffs on Asia imports pressure apparel gross margins
  • Anthropologie comparable sales anchor consolidated holiday revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 569.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.70 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.35% < 20% (prev 8.97%; Δ 1.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 715.9m > Net Income 569.1m
Net Debt (497.2m) to EBITDA (851.1m): 0.58 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.7m) vs 12m ago -6.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.51% > 18% (prev 35.67%; Δ 1.84% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 131.7% > 50% (prev 123.8%; Δ 7.87% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 144.5 > 6 (EBIT TTM 710.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.92m)
Altman Z'' 4.98
A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.82b - Total Current Liabilities 1.15b) / Total Assets 5.12b
B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 2.88b / Total Assets 5.12b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 710.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.92b)
D: 1.26 (Book Value of Equity 2.85b / Total Liabilities 2.27b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.98 = AAA
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 103.0m/86.9m, Revenue 6.47b/5.83b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 35.67% / 37.51%)
AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 6.47b / 5.83b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 569.1m - CFO 715.9m) / TA 5.12b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of URBN shares?

As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 86.57 with a total of 1,286,157 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.34%, over one month by +14.15%, over three months by +18.62% and over the past year by +29.42%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 83.40 (which is 3.7% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is URBN a buy, sell or hold?

Urban Outfitters has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold URBN.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the URBN price?
Analysts Target Price 89.4 3.3%
Urban Outfitters (URBN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 19 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.04b (7.04b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8607
P/E Forward = 11.9332
P/S = 1.0873
P/B = 2.2455
P/EG = 1.243
Revenue TTM = 6.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 710.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 851.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 990.2m USD (estimated: total debt 1.21b - short term 223.2m)
Short Term Debt = 223.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.21b already included)
Net Debt = 497.2m USD (calculated: Debt 1.21b - CCE 716.1m)
Enterprise Value = 7.54b USD (7.04b + Debt 1.21b - CCE 716.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 144.5 (Ebit TTM 710.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.92m)
EV/FCF = 25.53x (Enterprise Value 7.54b / FCF TTM 295.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.92% (FCF TTM 295.2m / Enterprise Value 7.54b)
FCF Margin = 4.56% (FCF TTM 295.2m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Net Margin = 8.79% (Net Income TTM 569.1m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Gross Margin = 37.51% ((Revenue TTM 6.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.42% (prev 36.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 7.54b / Total Assets 5.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.41% (Interest Expense 4.92m / Debt 1.21b)
Taxrate = 20.98% (151.1m / 720.2m)
NOPAT = 561.3m (EBIT 710.4m * (1 - 20.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 1.82b / Total Current Liabilities 1.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 1.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.58 (Net Debt 497.2m / EBITDA 851.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.68 (Net Debt 497.2m / FCF TTM 295.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.57% (Net Income 569.1m / Total Assets 5.12b)
RoE = 20.72% (Net Income TTM 569.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.75b)
RoCE = 19.01% (EBIT 710.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.75b + L.T.Debt 990.2m))
RoIC = 14.51% (NOPAT 561.3m / Invested Capital 3.87b)
WACC = 8.54% (E(7.04b)/V(8.25b) * Re(9.96%) + D(1.21b)/V(8.25b) * Rd(0.41%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.44 | Cagr: -4.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.38% ; FCFF base≈336.6m ; Y1≈295.2m ; Y5≈238.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.51 (EV 3.71b - Net Debt 497.2m = Equity 3.21b / Shares 85.7m; r=8.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.24 | EPS CAGR: 29.68% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.53 | Revenue CAGR: 9.60% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+2.51% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.11 | Chg30d=+15.05% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+40.5% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=6.85 | Chg30d=+2.15% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=-3.6% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +81% (up=13, down=0)