(VCEL) Vericel Ord - Ratings and Ratios
Cartilage, Skin, Burn, Autologous, Therapy
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 69.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.78% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -41.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.288 |
| Beta | 1.121 |
| Beta Downside | 0.619 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.72% |
| Mean DD | 14.98% |
| Median DD | 10.17% |
Description: VCEL Vericel Ord November 12, 2025
Vericel Corp (NASDAQ: VCEL) is a commercial-stage biopharma focused on autologous cellular therapies for sports-medicine cartilage repair (MACI) and severe-burn treatment (Epicel and NexoBrid) in the U.S. market. The company evolved from Aastrom Biosciences in 2014 and operates out of Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Key operating metrics: FY 2023 net revenue was approximately $71 million, with MACI accounting for roughly 55 % of sales; the burn-care segment grew 12 % YoY driven by increased adoption of NexoBrid. The U.S. sports-medicine market is projected to expand at a 6-7 % CAGR through 2028, while burn-care reimbursements have tightened under Medicare’s prospective payment system, creating pricing pressure.
For a deeper dive into Vericel’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s research platform a useful next step.
VCEL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,016m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 1997-02-04 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -40.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.88 of 5 |
VCEL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidVCEL Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 21.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.41 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.40 |
| Current Volume | 402.9k |
| Average Volume | 499.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (13.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 15.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 68.18% (prev 65.76%; Δ 2.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 59.1m > Net Income 13.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-2.40m) to EBITDA (23.8m) ratio: -0.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (51.9m) change vs 12m ago 5.75% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 73.81% (prev 71.47%; Δ 2.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 61.33% (prev 58.10%; Δ 3.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 22.27 (EBITDA TTM 23.8m / Interest Expense TTM 622.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.47
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 222.0m - Total Current Liabilities 45.6m) / Total Assets 453.3m |
| (B) -0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -399.5m / Total Assets 453.3m |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 13.9m / Avg Total Assets 421.8m |
| (D) 2.45 = Book Value of Equity 321.9m / Total Liabilities 131.4m |
| Total Rating: 2.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.27
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.51% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.19)% |
| 7. RoE 4.30% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 68.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend 12.20% |
What is the price of VCEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.99%, over one month by +5.08%, over three months by +7.04% and over the past year by -33.90%.
Is VCEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VCEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 54.4 | 43.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 54.4 | 43.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 36.1 | -4.6% |
VCEL Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 153.3077
P/E Forward = 53.7634
P/S = 7.7918
P/B = 6.2601
Beta = 1.218
Revenue TTM = 258.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 13.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 23.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 98.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 98.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.40m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.98b USD (2.02b + Debt 98.0m - CCE 135.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.27 (Ebit TTM 13.9m / Interest Expense TTM 622.0k)
FCF Yield = 2.16% (FCF TTM 42.7m / Enterprise Value 1.98b)
FCF Margin = 16.51% (FCF TTM 42.7m / Revenue TTM 258.7m)
Net Margin = 5.06% (Net Income TTM 13.1m / Revenue TTM 258.7m)
Gross Margin = 73.81% ((Revenue TTM 258.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 67.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.46% (prev 73.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.36 (Enterprise Value 1.98b / Total Assets 453.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.16% (Interest Expense 158.0k / Debt 98.0m)
Taxrate = 1.41% (148.0k / 10.5m)
NOPAT = 13.7m (EBIT 13.9m * (1 - 1.41%))
Current Ratio = 4.87 (Total Current Assets 222.0m / Total Current Liabilities 45.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 98.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 321.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.10 (Net Debt -2.40m / EBITDA 23.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.06 (Net Debt -2.40m / FCF TTM 42.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 304.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.89% (Net Income 13.1m / Total Assets 453.3m)
RoE = 4.30% (Net Income TTM 13.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 304.0m)
RoCE = 3.45% (EBIT 13.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 304.0m + L.T.Debt 98.0m))
RoIC = 4.49% (NOPAT 13.7m / Invested Capital 304.0m)
WACC = 9.69% (E(2.02b)/V(2.11b) * Re(10.15%) + D(98.0m)/V(2.11b) * Rd(0.16%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 10.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.34% ; FCFE base≈40.9m ; Y1≈34.1m ; Y5≈25.2m
Fair Price DCF = 6.56 (DCF Value 331.8m / Shares Outstanding 50.6m; 5y FCF grow -20.07% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 12.20 | EPS CAGR: -6.41% | SUE: 2.17 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 68.46 | Revenue CAGR: 9.42% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for VCEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle