(VCTR) Victory Capital Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Mutual Funds, ETFs, Separate Accounts, Alternative Investments, 529 Plans
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.60% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 38.32% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -8.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.310 |
| Beta | 1.323 |
| Beta Downside | 1.403 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.06% |
| Mean DD | 6.59% |
| Median DD | 5.35% |
Description: VCTR Victory Capital Holdings January 09, 2026
Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VCTR) is a U.S.–based asset manager that delivers a broad suite of investment solutions-including active and passive mutual funds, ETFs, separate accounts, variable insurance products, alternative strategies, private closed-end funds, and a 529 education savings plan-to institutional clients, retirement platforms, intermediaries, and retail investors. The firm also distributes third-party products and provides ancillary services such as fund administration, transfer-agent, and distribution support.
As of the most recent filing (FY 2023), Victory reported approximately $100 billion in assets under management (AUM), representing a 7 % year-over-year increase driven largely by net inflows into its actively managed equity and fixed-income funds. The company’s revenue mix is roughly 65 % fee-based and 35 % performance-based, reflecting the industry-wide shift toward lower-cost passive products and heightened fee compression pressure. A key macro driver for Victory’s outlook is the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate policy: higher rates tend to boost demand for fixed-income solutions while also increasing the cost of capital for leveraged alternative strategies.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on Victory Capital’s valuation and risk profile, you might find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (294.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 69.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.01% (prev 10.64%; Δ 1.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 332.2m > Net Income 294.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (903.3m) to EBITDA (522.2m) ratio: 1.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (67.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 61.24% (prev 57.69%; Δ 3.54pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.12% (prev 33.19%; Δ 0.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.15 (EBITDA TTM 522.2m / Interest Expense TTM 64.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.52
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 305.5m - Total Current Liabilities 165.7m) / Total Assets 4.21b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.03b / Total Assets 4.21b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 463.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.41b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 1.04b / Total Liabilities 1.81b |
| Total Rating: 2.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.77
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.34% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.21% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.64)% |
| 7. RoE 16.50% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 58.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend -14.10% |
What is the price of VCTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.19%, over one month by +9.76%, over three months by +2.73% and over the past year by +15.30%.
Is VCTR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VCTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 72.2 | 5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 72.2 | 5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 89.9 | 30.8% |
VCTR Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.0416
P/S = 3.6765
P/B = 1.7078
Beta = 1.122
Revenue TTM = 1.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 463.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 522.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 972.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.36m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 903.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.18b USD (4.28b + Debt 1.02b - CCE 115.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.15 (Ebit TTM 463.4m / Interest Expense TTM 64.8m)
EV/FCF = 15.78x (Enterprise Value 5.18b / FCF TTM 328.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.34% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Enterprise Value 5.18b)
FCF Margin = 28.21% (FCF TTM 328.5m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Net Margin = 25.27% (Net Income TTM 294.2m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Gross Margin = 61.24% ((Revenue TTM 1.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 451.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.18% (prev 70.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 5.18b / Total Assets 4.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.66% (Interest Expense 16.9m / Debt 1.02b)
Taxrate = 25.32% (32.7m / 129.3m)
NOPAT = 346.1m (EBIT 463.4m * (1 - 25.32%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 305.5m / Total Current Liabilities 165.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 1.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 903.3m / EBITDA 522.2m)
Debt / FCF = 2.75 (Net Debt 903.3m / FCF TTM 328.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.62% (Net Income 294.2m / Total Assets 4.21b)
RoE = 16.50% (Net Income TTM 294.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.78b)
RoCE = 16.82% (EBIT 463.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.78b + L.T.Debt 972.0m))
RoIC = 12.59% (NOPAT 346.1m / Invested Capital 2.75b)
WACC = 8.95% (E(4.28b)/V(5.30b) * Re(10.79%) + D(1.02b)/V(5.30b) * Rd(1.66%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.33% ; FCFF base≈334.8m ; Y1≈327.9m ; Y5≈333.1m
Fair Price DCF = 62.51 (EV 4.96b - Net Debt 903.3m = Equity 4.06b / Shares 64.9m; r=8.95% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.01% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -14.10 | EPS CAGR: -47.93% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 58.55 | Revenue CAGR: 12.91% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.92 | Chg30d=-0.048 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+16.4%
Additional Sources for VCTR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle