VCYT Stock Analysis: Veracyte | NASDAQ

Diagnostics & Research | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.043m USD | 12M Return: 45.4% | US92337F1075 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Thyroid Diagnostics, Prostate Diagnostics, Bladder Diagnostics, Lung Diagnostics
Total Rating 64
Safety 84
Buy Signal 0.41
Diagnostics & Research
Industry Rotation: -5.8
Market Cap: 4.04B
Avg Turnover: 50.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.5%
VaR 5th Pctl8.70%
VaR vs Median-4.72%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.83
Rel. Str. IBD91.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.3 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.862
Beta Downside0.991
Hurst Exponent0.390
Choppyness59.4%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.09%
CAGR/Max DD0.63
CAGR/Mean DD1.60
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VCYT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.2, "2021-12": -0.15, "2022-03": -0.2, "2022-06": -0.13, "2022-09": -0.12, "2022-12": -0.05, "2023-03": -0.11, "2023-06": -0.12, "2023-09": -0.41, "2023-12": -0.39, "2024-03": 0.04, "2024-06": 0.3, "2024-09": 0.33, "2024-12": 0.36, "2025-03": 0.31, "2025-06": 0.44, "2025-09": 0.51, "2025-12": 0.53, "2026-03": 0.52, "2026-06": 0.37, "2026-09": null,
Last SUE: 1.21
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of VCYT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 60.37, 2021-12: 67.336, 2022-03: 67.783, 2022-06: 72.864, 2022-09: 75.592, 2022-12: 80.297, 2023-03: 82.422, 2023-06: 90.322, 2023-09: 90.108, 2023-12: 98.199, 2024-03: 96.844, 2024-06: 114.428, 2024-09: 115.86, 2024-12: 118.632, 2025-03: 114.473, 2025-06: 130.164, 2025-09: 131.872, 2025-12: 140.636, 2026-03: 139.071, 2026-06: 150.321, 2026-09: 151.754,
Rev. CAGR: 18.83%
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Last SUE: 1.97
Qual. Beats: 7

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -4.2% 8
Feb -2.4% 51
Mar -3.8% 21
Apr -2.2% 8
May -4.0% 16
Jun +7.8% 32
Jul +7.8% 19
Aug +0.5% 5
Sep +0.2% 7
Oct -1.6% 0
Nov +22.4% 33
Dec -2.5% 39

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VCYT Veracyte

Veracyte, Inc. is a molecular diagnostics company that develops and commercializes genomic tests designed to resolve diagnostic ambiguity in cancer. The companys test portfolio targets several of the most common cancers, including thyroid (Afirma), prostate (Decipher Prostate), bladder (Decipher Bladder), breast (Prosigna), and lung (Percepta Nasal Swab). In addition to its proprietary assays, Veracyte offers nCounter analysis system services, which provide laboratories with gene expression analysis capabilities. The company sells its tests in the United States and internationally, reflecting a global commercialization strategy typical of specialty diagnostics firms.

Originally incorporated in 2006 as Calderome, Inc., the company adopted the Veracyte name in March 2008 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California. Veracyte trades on NASDAQ under the ticker VCYT and is classified within the GICS Health Care sector, specifically the Biotechnology sub-industry. Its business model centers on selling high-value genomic tests to clinicians and hospital laboratories, where reimbursement is typically secured from public and private payers, a defining feature of the molecular diagnostics industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Decipher Prostate test volume drives double-digit revenue growth
  • Medicare expands reimbursement coverage for Afirma and Decipher genomic classifiers
  • Prosigna breast cancer assay acquisition broadens oncology diagnostics portfolio
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 126.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 65.95% < 20% (prev 76.15%; Δ -10.21% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 173.9m > Net Income 126.8m
Net Debt (-329.8m) to EBITDA (110.8m): -2.98 < 3
Current Ratio: 5.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (82.8m) vs 12m ago 3.88% < -2%
Gross Margin: 72.35% > 18% (prev 68.53%; Δ 3.82% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 39.56% > 50% (prev 36.20%; Δ 3.36% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 89.3k > 6 (EBIT TTM 89.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.00k)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 467.9m - Total Current Liabilities 84.2m) / Total Assets 1.57b
B: -0.24 (Retained Earnings -377.6m / Total Assets 1.57b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 89.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.47b)
D: 10.24 (Book Value of Equity 1.43b / Total Liabilities 140.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 11.98 = AAA
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 56.8m/47.8m, Revenue 581.8m/495.1m)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 68.53% / 72.35%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.63)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 581.8m / 495.1m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 126.8m - CFO 173.9m) / TA 1.57b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of VCYT shares?

As of November 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.52 with a total of 1,834,513 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.39%, over one month by +10.17%, over three months by +13.17% and over the past year by +45.40%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 49.60 (which is 5.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is VCYT a buy, sell or hold?

Veracyte has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VCYT.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VCYT price?
Analysts Target Price 59.7 13.7%
Veracyte (VCYT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.04b (4.04b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.9214
P/E Forward = 26.3158
P/S = 7.195
P/B = 2.8366
Revenue TTM = 581.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 89.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 110.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 33.9m USD (estimated: total debt 40.7m - short term 6.81m)
Short Term Debt = 6.81m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 40.1m already included)
Net Debt = -329.8m USD (calculated: Debt 40.7m - CCE 370.5m)
Enterprise Value = 3.71b USD (4.04b + Debt 40.7m - CCE 370.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 89.3k (Ebit TTM 89.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.00k)
EV/FCF = 23.00x (Enterprise Value 3.71b / FCF TTM 161.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.35% (FCF TTM 161.4m / Enterprise Value 3.71b)
FCF Margin = 27.74% (FCF TTM 161.4m / Revenue TTM 581.8m)
Net Margin = 21.80% (Net Income TTM 126.8m / Revenue TTM 581.8m)
Gross Margin = 72.35% ((Revenue TTM 581.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 160.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.58% (prev 72.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.36 (Enterprise Value 3.71b / Total Assets 1.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1.00k / Debt 40.7m)
Taxrate = 2.71% (1.85m / 68.2m)
NOPAT = 86.9m (EBIT 89.3m * (1 - 2.71%))
Current Ratio = 5.56 (Total Current Assets 467.9m / Total Current Liabilities 84.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 40.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.98 (Net Debt -329.8m / EBITDA 110.8m)
Debt / FCF = -2.04 (Net Debt -329.8m / FCF TTM 161.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.63% (Net Income 126.8m / Total Assets 1.57b)
RoE = 9.27% (Net Income TTM 126.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
RoCE = 6.37% (EBIT 89.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.37b + L.T.Debt 33.9m))
RoIC = 5.93% (NOPAT 86.9m / Invested Capital 1.47b)
WACC = 8.45% (E(4.04b)/V(4.08b) * Re(8.54%) + D(40.7m)/V(4.08b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.65 | Cagr: 3.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.63% ; FCFF base≈136.1m ; Y1≈156.1m ; Y5≈229.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 46.32 (EV 3.39b - Net Debt -329.8m = Equity 3.72b / Shares 80.4m; r=8.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.21 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.61 | Revenue CAGR: 18.83% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 7
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=-0.46% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+14.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=-0.40% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+1.8% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -22% (up=2, down=4)