(VFS) VinFast Auto Ordinary Shares - Ratings and Ratios
Electric Suv, E-Scooter, E-Bus, Electric Bike, Battery
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -23.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.33 |
| Alpha | -28.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.283 |
| Beta | 0.786 |
| Beta Downside | 0.746 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.06% |
| Mean DD | 76.04% |
| Median DD | 95.01% |
Description: VFS VinFast Auto Ordinary Shares January 07, 2026
VinFast Auto Ltd. (NASDAQ:VFS) designs, manufactures, and sells a range of electric vehicles-including SUVs, a mini-car, a mid-size pickup, a 7-seat MPV, e-buses, e-scooters, and electric bikes-across Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The firm also provides battery-lease and charging services for its vehicle lineup.
Operating as a subsidiary of Vingroup, VinFast is organized into three segments: Cars, E-Scooters, and E-Bus. Its product portfolio is anchored by the VF e34 compact SUV (the company’s first mass-produced EV) and the upcoming VF 8 and VF 9 models, which together aim to support a projected annual production capacity of roughly 200,000 units by 2025.
Key quantitative signals (as of the latest filings) include a cash burn of about $1.2 billion in the last twelve months, a net-loss margin near 70 % of revenue, and a working-capital deficit that has forced the company to tap the public markets for financing. The firm’s growth outlook is heavily tied to the global EV adoption curve-driven by tightening emissions regulations in the U.S. and Europe, as well as expanding government subsidies in emerging markets.
Sector-level data suggest that EV sales are expected to grow at a CAGR of ~27 % through 2030, but supply-chain bottlenecks (e.g., lithium-ion battery shortages) and the need for scalable charging infrastructure remain material risks for new entrants like VinFast.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of VinFast and its competitive positioning, you may find the ValueRay analysis worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -92402.64b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -128.3% < 20% (prev -327.2%; Δ 199.0% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.20 > 3% & CFO -36858.50b > Net Income -92402.64b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.34b) vs 12m ago 0.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -53.00% > 18% (prev -0.46%; Δ -5254 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.26% > 50% (prev 22.92%; Δ 17.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.31 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -34704.80b / Interest Expense TTM 18592.01b) |
Altman Z'' -11.91
| A: -0.47 (Total Current Assets 87809.93b - Total Current Liabilities 174284.92b) / Total Assets 183183.80b |
| B: -1.80 (Retained Earnings -329732.86b / Total Assets 183183.80b) |
| C: -0.26 (EBIT TTM -42937.64b / Avg Total Assets 167495.51b) |
| D: -1.17 (Book Value of Equity -329732.86b / Total Liabilities 282465.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -11.91= D |
Beneish M -3.70
| DSRI: 0.09 (Receivables 2760.33b/15519.97b, Revenue 67426.41b/34787.11b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.52 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.94 (Revenue 67426.41b / 34787.11b) |
| TATA: -0.30 (NI -92402.64b - CFO -36858.50b) / TA 183183.80b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.70 = AAA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.12
| 1. Piotroski: 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -16.66% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -86.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: -0.97 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: data missing |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 36.28% |
| 7. RoE: 54.90% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 86.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -56.96% |
What is the price of VFS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.86%, over one month by -0.29%, over three months by +7.81% and over the past year by -16.26%.
Is VFS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VFS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.4 | 84.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.4 | 84.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.9 | -17.1% |
VFS Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/S = 3.1739
Revenue TTM = 67426.41b VND
EBIT TTM = -42937.64b VND
EBITDA TTM = -34704.80b VND
Long Term Debt = 46844.93b VND (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 33336.92b VND (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 146396.47b VND (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 71381.79b VND (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 351107.35b VND (213510.94b + Debt 146396.47b - CCE 8800.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.31 (Ebit TTM -42937.64b / Interest Expense TTM 18592.01b)
EV/FCF = -6.00x (Enterprise Value 351107.35b / FCF TTM -58499.61b)
FCF Yield = -16.66% (FCF TTM -58499.61b / Enterprise Value 351107.35b)
FCF Margin = -86.76% (FCF TTM -58499.61b / Revenue TTM 67426.41b)
Net Margin = -137.0% (Net Income TTM -92402.64b / Revenue TTM 67426.41b)
Gross Margin = -53.00% ((Revenue TTM 67426.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 103161.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -56.17% (prev -41.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.92 (Enterprise Value 351107.35b / Total Assets 183183.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.08% (Interest Expense 5967.04b / Debt 146396.47b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -33920.74b (EBIT -42937.64b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 87809.93b / Total Current Liabilities 174284.92b)
Debt / Equity = -0.97 (negative equity) (Debt 146396.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -150915.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.06 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 71381.79b / EBITDA -34704.80b)
Debt / FCF = -1.22 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 71381.79b / FCF TTM -58499.61b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -168319.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -55.17% (Net Income -92402.64b / Total Assets 183183.80b)
RoE = 54.90% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -92402.64b / Total Stockholder Equity -168319.14b)
RoCE = 35.35% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -42937.64b / Capital Employed (Equity -168319.14b + L.T.Debt 46844.93b))
RoIC = 42.82% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -33920.74b / Invested Capital -79216.59b)
WACC = 6.54% (E(213510.94b)/V(359907.42b) * Re(8.81%) + D(146396.47b)/V(359907.42b) * Rd(4.08%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.03%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -58499.61b)
EPS Correlation: -56.96 | EPS CAGR: 19.88% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 86.26 | Revenue CAGR: 41.89% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.25 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.89 | Chg30d=+0.033 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+35.9% | Growth Revenue=+54.0%
Additional Sources for VFS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle