(VITL) Vital Farms - Ratings and Ratios
Shell Eggs, Butter, Hard-Boiled Eggs, Liquid Eggs
VITL EPS (Earnings per Share)
VITL Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 |
| Alpha | 1.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.645 |
| Beta | 0.597 |
| Beta Downside | 0.584 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.03% |
| Mean DD | 19.30% |
| Median DD | 19.74% |
Description: VITL Vital Farms November 11, 2025
Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: VITL) is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes a range of shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, and liquid whole eggs under its own brand and assorted private-label names. The firm sources its products from animals raised on family-owned farms, emphasizing “free-range” and “pasture-raised” credentials, and sells through a mix of third-party distributors, direct retailer relationships, and food-service channels. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, Vital operates within the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $260 million, a year-over-year increase of about 12 % driven by strong demand for premium egg products and modest expansion into butter. Gross margin hovered near 38 %, reflecting higher input costs for feed and labor that have pressured profitability across the egg sector. A critical driver of Vital’s outlook is the broader consumer shift toward “ethical” protein, which has lifted average selling prices for free-range eggs by 6-8 % annually, while feed-price volatility remains a downside risk.
For a deeper quantitative view of Vital Farms’ valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking.
VITL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,553m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-07-31 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 0.55% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.80 of 5 |
VITL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidVITL Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 32.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.78 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.69 |
| Current Volume | 868.4k |
| Average Volume | 1284.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (60.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 42.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -17.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.79% (prev 30.18%; Δ -6.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 29.3m <= Net Income 60.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-37.5m) to EBITDA (100.2m) ratio: -0.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.65 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.81% (prev 37.36%; Δ 0.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 172.3% (prev 167.2%; Δ 5.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 92.99 (EBITDA TTM 100.2m / Interest Expense TTM 904.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.51
| (A) 0.35 = (Total Current Assets 272.0m - Total Current Liabilities 102.6m) / Total Assets 481.5m |
| (B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 133.1m / Total Assets 481.5m |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 84.1m / Avg Total Assets 413.1m |
| (D) 0.89 = Book Value of Equity 133.1m / Total Liabilities 150.3m |
| Total Rating: 5.51 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.87
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.17% = -0.08 |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.35% = -0.13 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.17 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.37 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.13)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 20.19% = 1.68 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.12% = 7.13 |
| 9. EPS Trend 75.55% = 3.78 |
What is the price of VITL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.00%, over one month by -21.46%, over three months by -31.63% and over the past year by +14.53%.
Is Vital Farms a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VITL is around 30.00 USD . This means that VITL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.09%.
Is VITL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VITL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.7 | 64.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.7 | 64.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33.8 | 3.5% |
VITL Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.2727
P/E Forward = 208.3333
P/S = 2.1812
P/B = 5.9446
Beta = 1.061
Revenue TTM = 711.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 84.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 100.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 18.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 56.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -37.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.46b USD (1.55b + Debt 56.3m - CCE 145.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 92.99 (Ebit TTM 84.1m / Interest Expense TTM 904.0k)
FCF Yield = -0.17% (FCF TTM -2.47m / Enterprise Value 1.46b)
FCF Margin = -0.35% (FCF TTM -2.47m / Revenue TTM 711.9m)
Net Margin = 8.50% (Net Income TTM 60.5m / Revenue TTM 711.9m)
Gross Margin = 37.81% ((Revenue TTM 711.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 442.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.68% (prev 38.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.04 (Enterprise Value 1.46b / Total Assets 481.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 213.0k / Debt 56.3m)
Taxrate = 25.26% (5.55m / 22.0m)
NOPAT = 62.8m (EBIT 84.1m * (1 - 25.26%))
Current Ratio = 2.65 (Total Current Assets 272.0m / Total Current Liabilities 102.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 56.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 331.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.37 (Net Debt -37.5m / EBITDA 100.2m)
Debt / FCF = 15.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -37.5m / FCF TTM -2.47m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 299.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.57% (Net Income 60.5m / Total Assets 481.5m)
RoE = 20.19% (Net Income TTM 60.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 299.8m)
RoCE = 26.39% (EBIT 84.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 299.8m + L.T.Debt 18.7m))
RoIC = 21.72% (NOPAT 62.8m / Invested Capital 289.3m)
WACC = 9.58% (E(1.55b)/V(1.61b) * Re(9.92%) + D(56.3m)/V(1.61b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.23%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.47m)
EPS Correlation: 75.55 | EPS CAGR: 122.3% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 95.12 | Revenue CAGR: 24.01% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for VITL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle