(VITL) Vital Farms - Overview
Stock: Shell Eggs, Butter, Hard-Boiled Eggs, Liquid Whole Eggs
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.45 |
| Alpha | -39.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.564 |
| Beta Downside | 0.546 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.03% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.41 |
Description: VITL Vital Farms January 14, 2026
Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: VITL) is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes a range of shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, and liquid whole eggs sourced from family-farm operations. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, the firm sells its products through both third-party distributors and direct retailer relationships, serving grocery, food-service, and non-commercial channels under the Vital Farms brand and various private-label names.
Key metrics (as of the most recent quarterly filing) show revenue of roughly $300 million with a year-over-year growth rate of 12%, driven largely by premium-priced free-range egg products that command a 15-20% price premium over conventional eggs. Gross margins have hovered around 38%, reflecting higher feed and labor costs associated with pasture-raised livestock but offset by strong consumer willingness to pay for perceived animal-welfare benefits. The broader packaged-foods sector is currently influenced by inflation-driven input cost volatility (feed, energy) and a persistent shift toward “clean-label” and ethically sourced protein, which together shape Vital Farms’ pricing power and supply-chain risk profile.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into Vital Farms’ valuation and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s analytical platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 60.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -21.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.79% < 20% (prev 30.18%; Δ -6.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 42.7m > Net Income 60.5m |
| Net Debt (-37.5m) to EBITDA (100.2m): -0.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (46.2m) vs 12m ago 1.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.81% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3743 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 172.3% > 50% (prev 167.2%; Δ 5.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 92.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 100.2m / Interest Expense TTM 904.0k) |
Altman Z'' 5.51
| A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 272.0m - Total Current Liabilities 102.6m) / Total Assets 481.5m |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 133.1m / Total Assets 481.5m) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 84.1m / Avg Total Assets 413.1m) |
| D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 133.1m / Total Liabilities 150.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.51 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.55
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 60.2m/48.7m, Revenue 711.9m/576.1m) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 37.81% / 37.36%) |
| AQI: 1.47 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.24 (Revenue 711.9m / 576.1m) |
| TATA: 0.04 (NI 60.5m - CFO 42.7m) / TA 481.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of VITL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.62%, over one month by -10.59%, over three months by -24.32% and over the past year by -28.38%.
Is VITL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VITL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.5 | 84.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.5 | 84.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.8 | -0.4% |
VITL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 208.3333
P/S = 1.7894
P/B = 3.8459
Revenue TTM = 711.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 84.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 100.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 56.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 56.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -37.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.19b USD (1.27b + Debt 56.3m - CCE 145.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 92.99 (Ebit TTM 84.1m / Interest Expense TTM 904.0k)
EV/FCF = -60.86x (Enterprise Value 1.19b / FCF TTM -19.5m)
FCF Yield = -1.64% (FCF TTM -19.5m / Enterprise Value 1.19b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -19.5m / Revenue TTM 711.9m)
Net Margin = 8.50% (Net Income TTM 60.5m / Revenue TTM 711.9m)
Gross Margin = 37.81% ((Revenue TTM 711.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 442.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.68% (prev 38.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.46 (Enterprise Value 1.19b / Total Assets 481.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 213.0k / Debt 56.3m)
Taxrate = 25.26% (5.55m / 22.0m)
NOPAT = 62.8m (EBIT 84.1m * (1 - 25.26%))
Current Ratio = 2.65 (Total Current Assets 272.0m / Total Current Liabilities 102.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 56.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 331.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.37 (Net Debt -37.5m / EBITDA 100.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.93 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -37.5m / FCF TTM -19.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 299.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.66% (Net Income 60.5m / Total Assets 481.5m)
RoE = 20.19% (Net Income TTM 60.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 299.8m)
RoCE = 23.61% (EBIT 84.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 299.8m + L.T.Debt 56.3m))
RoIC = 20.96% (NOPAT 62.8m / Invested Capital 299.8m)
WACC = 7.66% (E(1.27b)/V(1.33b) * Re(7.99%) + D(56.3m)/V(1.33b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.23%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -19.5m)
EPS Correlation: 58.71 | EPS CAGR: -19.45% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.48 | Revenue CAGR: 28.62% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.71 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+23.7%