(VOR) Vor Biopharma - Overview
Stock: Trem-Cel, VCAR33, CD33-CLL1, VADC45, Gene-Edited
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 122% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -25.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.52 |
| Alpha | -71.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.089 |
| Beta Downside | 0.799 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.54% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.52 |
Description: VOR Vor Biopharma December 31, 2025
Vor Biopharma (NASDAQ: VOR) is a clinical-stage biotechnology firm focused on cell and genome-engineering therapies for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and related hematologic malignancies. Its core offering is the Vor Bio platform, which enables ex-vivo CRISPR-Cas9 editing of allogeneic hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells (HSPCs) to create off-the-shelf products.
The lead candidate, **tremtelectogene empogeditemcel (trem-cel)**, is a multiplex-edited HSC product being evaluated in a Phase 1/2 trial (VBP101) in combination with the FDA-approved antibody-drug conjugate Mylotarg. Pre-clinical pipelines include **VCAR33**, a CD33-directed CAR-T cell, and a combined **trem-cel + VCAR33** system that aims to provide both a conditioning “immune reset” and targeted cytotoxicity. Additional programs such as VADC45 and a CD33-CLL1 multiplex-edited HSC/CAR-T platform remain in early discovery stages.
Key operational metrics (as of the most recent 10-Q filing, Q2 2024) show a cash runway of roughly **$45 million**, a monthly burn of **$3–4 million**, and a **R&D expense growth of 38 % YoY**, reflecting accelerated pre-clinical activity. The AML market is projected to reach **~$5 billion by 2028**, driven by an aging population and increasing adoption of targeted therapies, which underpins the commercial upside for all-ogeneic cell products.
Strategic collaborations bolster Vor’s IP position: a licensing agreement with Columbia University and the NIH secures foundational patents, while a partnership with Editas Medicine provides access to proprietary Cas9 technology for ex-vivo editing. These alliances mitigate some execution risk but also introduce royalty and milestone obligations that could affect future cash flows.
From a sector perspective, the broader cell-therapy space has seen **average revenue multiples of 12–15 ×** for late-stage companies, yet early-stage players like Vor typically trade at **15–20 %** of those multiples due to higher clinical and regulatory uncertainty. Consequently, any valuation must heavily weight the probability of successful IND filing for trem-cel and subsequent Phase III read-outs.
**Assumption:** The analysis assumes no material adverse change in the company’s cash position or regulatory timeline through the end of 2025. **Uncertainty:** Clinical outcomes for trem-cel + Mylotarg remain the single greatest risk factor; a negative Phase 2 read-out would likely compress the stock price by >50 %.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -2.45b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.82 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4168 % < 20% (prev 433.1%; Δ 3735 % < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.82 > 3% & CFO -144.0m > Net Income -2.45b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 9.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (6.68m) vs 12m ago 95.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -2.82% > 18% (prev 0.70%; Δ -352.4% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 2.52% > 50% (prev 10.54%; Δ -8.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.84 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.33b) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.87 (Total Current Assets 172.5m - Total Current Liabilities 18.8m) / Total Assets 176.2m |
| B: -16.32 (Retained Earnings -2.88b / Total Assets 176.2m) |
| C: -7.67 (EBIT TTM -1.12b / Avg Total Assets 146.1m) |
| D: -1.20 (Book Value of Equity -2.88b / Total Liabilities 2.40b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -100.3 = D |
What is the price of VOR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.23%, over one month by +12.77%, over three months by -30.63% and over the past year by -56.13%.
Is VOR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VOR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.6 | 238.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.6 | 238.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.1 | -38.3% |
VOR Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Revenue TTM = 3.69m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.06m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 252.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.06m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -157.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 372.4m USD (539.8m + Debt 3.06m - CCE 170.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.84 (Ebit TTM -1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.33b)
EV/FCF = -2.57x (Enterprise Value 372.4m / FCF TTM -144.7m)
FCF Yield = -38.85% (FCF TTM -144.7m / Enterprise Value 372.4m)
FCF Margin = -3925 % (FCF TTM -144.7m / Revenue TTM 3.69m)
Net Margin = -66.5k% (Net Income TTM -2.45b / Revenue TTM 3.69m)
Gross Margin = -2.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.69m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.79m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.11 (Enterprise Value 372.4m / Total Assets 176.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 65.02% (Interest Expense 1.99m / Debt 3.06m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -885.0m (EBIT -1.12b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 9.16 (Total Current Assets 172.5m / Total Current Liabilities 18.8m)
Debt / Equity = -0.00 (negative equity) (Debt 3.06m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -157.4m / EBITDA -1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 1.09 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -157.4m / FCF TTM -144.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -892.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1676 % (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 274.6% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -2.45b / Total Stockholder Equity -892.1m)
RoCE = 126.0% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -1.12b / Capital Employed (Equity -892.1m + L.T.Debt 3.06m))
RoIC = -915.5% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -885.0m / Invested Capital 96.7m)
WACC = 9.87% (E(539.8m)/V(542.8m) * Re(9.93%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 40.30%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -144.7m)
EPS Correlation: -54.07 | EPS CAGR: -16.13% | SUE: -1.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 16.31 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-1.00 | Chg30d=+0.609 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-4.61 | Chg30d=+2.162 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+95.5% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%