VRDN Stock Analysis: Viridian Therapeutics | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.644m USD | 12M Return: 4.3% | US92790C1045 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Thyroid Eye Disease, Graves Disease, FcRn Inhibitors, Monoclonal Antibodies
Total Rating 25
Safety 37
Buy Signal -0.19
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +6.0
Market Cap: 2.64B
Avg Turnover: 40.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility61.4%
VaR 5th Pctl9.71%
VaR vs Median-3.92%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.37
Rel. Str. IBD84
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.593
Beta Downside0.219
Hurst Exponent0.621
Choppyness52.6%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.63%
CAGR/Max DD0.29
CAGR/Mean DD0.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VRDN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -1.25, "2021-12": -1.32, "2022-03": -0.98, "2022-06": -1.06, "2022-09": -0.86, "2022-12": -1.13, "2023-03": -1.61, "2023-06": -1.27, "2023-09": -1.09, "2023-12": -1.35, "2024-03": -0.79, "2024-06": -1.02, "2024-09": -1.15, "2024-12": -0.81, "2025-03": -0.87, "2025-06": -1, "2025-09": -0.34, "2025-12": -1.08, "2026-03": -0.9, "2026-06": -1.05,
Last SUE: -0.37
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VRDN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 0.208, 2021-12: 0.214, 2022-03: 0.216, 2022-06: 0.256, 2022-09: 1.195, 2022-12: 0.105, 2023-03: 0.098, 2023-06: 0.072, 2023-09: 0.072, 2023-12: 0.072, 2024-03: 0.072, 2024-06: 0.072, 2024-09: 0.086, 2024-12: 0.072, 2025-03: 0.072, 2025-06: 0.075, 2025-09: 70.57, 2025-12: 0.132, 2026-03: 0.141, 2026-06: 0.284,
Rev. CAGR: 1030.74%
Rev. Trend: 81.5%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +3.3% 30
Feb -10.0% 22
Mar -1.7% 11
Apr +4.0% 26
May -0.7% 7
Jun -1.1% 8
Jul +7.2% 30
Aug -5.1% 16
Sep -4.6% 19
Oct -1.8% 13
Nov +15.7% 33
Dec -3.5% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VRDN Viridian Therapeutics

Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: VRDN) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing treatments for serious and rare diseases. The companys lead therapeutic area is thyroid eye disease (TED), where it is developing IGF-1R-targeted therapies including Veligrotrug, an intravenously administered humanized monoclonal antibody, and Elegrobart, a subcutaneous, low-volume, and infrequently dosed IGF-1R antibody. Its pipeline also includes an anti-thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor (TSHR) candidate for Graves disease and TED, alongside a portfolio of engineered neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) inhibitors (VRDN-006 and VRDN-008) designed to suppress IgG-mediated diseases.

The company was originally incorporated in 2010 as Miragen Therapeutics, rebranding to Viridian Therapeutics in January 2021 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. As a mid-cap biotechnology company listed on NASDAQ, Viridian operates within a sector characterized by high research and development intensity, reliance on clinical trial outcomes for value creation, and a common strategic focus on rare and underserved diseases-areas that often benefit from orphan drug designation pathways and premium pricing upon approval.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Veligrotrug Phase 3 TED data readout approaches
  • Tepezza competition pressures TED market share outlook
  • Cash burn raises dilution risk as pipeline advances
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -387.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.30 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 21.94 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.43k% < 20% (prev 173k%; Δ -171k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.30 > 3% & CFO -333.3m > Net Income -387.0m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 16.95 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (107.9m) vs 12m ago 32.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 8.47% > 50% (prev 0.05%; Δ 8.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -19.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM -368.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.9m)
Altman Z'' 0.07
A: 0.93 (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 63.8m) / Total Assets 1.10b
B: -1.43 (Retained Earnings -1.57b / Total Assets 1.10b)
C: -0.44 (EBIT TTM -368.0m / Avg Total Assets 839.8m)
D: 1.52 (Book Value of Equity 662.1m / Total Liabilities 435.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.07 = B
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 75.0m/70.0m, Revenue 71.1m/305k)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 11.66 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 233.2 (Revenue 71.1m / 305k)
TATA: -0.05 (NI -387.0m - CFO -333.3m) / TA 1.10b)
Beneish M = 169.0 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of VRDN shares?

As of November 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.67 with a total of 1,709,583 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.28%, over one month by +23.38%, over three months by +23.97% and over the past year by +4.27%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 22.80 (which is 7.6% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is VRDN a buy, sell or hold?

Viridian Therapeutics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.82. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VRDN.

  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VRDN price?
Analysts Target Price 36.2 46.7%
Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.64b (2.64b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 1.0072
P/S = 37.1763
P/B = 4.4919
Revenue TTM = 71.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -368.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -367.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 242.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 722k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 243.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 722k
Net Debt = -661.4m USD (calculated: Debt 243.6m - CCE 905.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.98b USD (2.64b + Debt 243.6m - CCE 905.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -19.43 (Ebit TTM -368.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.9m)
EV/FCF = -5.93x (Enterprise Value 1.98b / FCF TTM -334.6m)
FCF Yield = -16.87% (FCF TTM -334.6m / Enterprise Value 1.98b)
 FCF Margin = -470.4% (FCF TTM -334.6m / Revenue TTM 71.1m)
 Net Margin = -544.1% (Net Income TTM -387.0m / Revenue TTM 71.1m)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 71.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 1.98b / Total Assets 1.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.77% (Interest Expense 18.9m / Debt 243.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -290.7m (EBIT -368.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 14.93 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 72.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 243.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 662.1m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -661.4m / EBITDA -367.6m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -661.4m / FCF TTM -334.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 630.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -46.08% (Net Income -387.0m / Total Assets 1.10b)
RoE = -61.35% (Net Income TTM -387.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 630.8m)
RoCE = -42.16% (EBIT -368.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 630.8m + L.T.Debt 242.2m))
 RoIC = -28.21% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -290.7m / Invested Capital 1.03b)
 WACC = 7.51% (E(2.64b)/V(2.89b) * Re(7.64%) + D(243.6m)/V(2.89b) * Rd(7.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.72 | Cagr: 28.75%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -334.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.50 | Revenue CAGR: 1.03k% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.02 | Chg30d=-3.49% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.94 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-18.7% | GrowthRev=-65.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.75 | Chg30d=+0.66% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+30.1% | GrowthRev=+858.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)