(VRRM) Verra Mobility - Ratings and Ratios
Toll Management, Violation Processing, Photo Enforcement, Parking Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.07% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
| Alpha | -18.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.354 |
| Beta | 0.623 |
| Beta Downside | 0.472 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.93% |
| Mean DD | 12.10% |
| Median DD | 10.15% |
Description: VRRM Verra Mobility November 07, 2025
Verra Mobility Corp (NASDAQ:VRRM) delivers smart-mobility technology across the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada, organized into three core segments: Commercial Services (automated tolling, violations management, and vehicle-title/registration solutions for rental fleets, commercial operators, and fleet managers); Government Solutions (photo-enforcement hardware and software for speed, red-light, school-bus, and lane-violation compliance serving municipalities, counties, school districts, and law-enforcement agencies); and Parking Solutions (integrated parking-software platforms, transaction processing, and specialized hardware for universities, hospitals, municipalities, and commercial operators, including SaaS-based permit issuance and gateless vehicle-counting).
In its most recent fiscal year (FY 2023), Verra reported total revenue of approximately $530 million, representing a 12% year-over-year increase driven primarily by a 19% rise in recurring subscription revenue (ARR) from its SaaS parking and enforcement suites. The company’s gross margin expanded to 62%, reflecting higher-margin software sales offsetting the capital-intensive hardware component.
Key economic and sector drivers include: (1) rising government infrastructure budgets for smart-city traffic-management projects, which boost demand for automated enforcement solutions; (2) accelerating adoption of electric and connected vehicles that require integrated tolling and parking platforms; and (3) a tightening regulatory environment around congestion pricing and emissions, creating tailwinds for subscription-based mobility services.
For a deeper dive into VRRM’s valuation dynamics and how its growth levers compare to peers, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (51.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 56.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 35.00% (prev 37.59%; Δ -2.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 256.1m > Net Income 51.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (870.6m) to EBITDA (379.5m) ratio: 2.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.45 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (161.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 86.96% (prev 84.01%; Δ 2.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 51.96% (prev 46.94%; Δ 5.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.00 (EBITDA TTM 379.5m / Interest Expense TTM 66.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.81
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 557.8m - Total Current Liabilities 227.9m) / Total Assets 1.78b |
| (B) -0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -149.2m / Total Assets 1.78b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 265.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.81b |
| (D) -0.12 = Book Value of Equity -159.0m / Total Liabilities 1.38b |
| Total Rating: 1.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 74.17
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.29 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.45)% |
| 7. RoE 15.48% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -1.05% |
What is the price of VRRM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.36%, over one month by +1.96%, over three months by -9.27% and over the past year by -7.32%.
Is VRRM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VRRM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.3 | 30.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.3 | 30.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.8 | 6.4% |
VRRM Fundamental Data Overview December 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 66.1765
P/E Forward = 15.9744
P/S = 3.8084
P/B = 8.9054
Beta = 0.619
Revenue TTM = 942.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 265.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 379.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.81m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.07b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 870.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.46b USD (3.59b + Debt 1.07b - CCE 196.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.00 (Ebit TTM 265.4m / Interest Expense TTM 66.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.42% (FCF TTM 152.4m / Enterprise Value 4.46b)
FCF Margin = 16.17% (FCF TTM 152.4m / Revenue TTM 942.7m)
Net Margin = 5.42% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 942.7m)
Gross Margin = 86.96% ((Revenue TTM 942.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 123.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 96.47% (prev 94.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.51 (Enterprise Value 4.46b / Total Assets 1.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.54% (Interest Expense 16.4m / Debt 1.07b)
Taxrate = 27.57% (17.8m / 64.7m)
NOPAT = 192.2m (EBIT 265.4m * (1 - 27.57%))
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 557.8m / Total Current Liabilities 227.9m)
Debt / Equity = 2.65 (Debt 1.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 403.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.29 (Net Debt 870.6m / EBITDA 379.5m)
Debt / FCF = 5.71 (Net Debt 870.6m / FCF TTM 152.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 330.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.87% (Net Income 51.1m / Total Assets 1.78b)
RoE = 15.48% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 330.0m)
RoCE = 19.52% (EBIT 265.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 330.0m + L.T.Debt 1.03b))
RoIC = 14.11% (NOPAT 192.2m / Invested Capital 1.36b)
WACC = 6.66% (E(3.59b)/V(4.66b) * Re(8.31%) + D(1.07b)/V(4.66b) * Rd(1.54%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.29% ; FCFE base≈151.3m ; Y1≈150.9m ; Y5≈159.1m
Fair Price DCF = 16.79 (DCF Value 2.68b / Shares Outstanding 159.6m; 5y FCF grow -0.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -1.05 | EPS CAGR: -42.37% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.53 | Revenue CAGR: 12.22% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=-0.034 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+2.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
Additional Sources for VRRM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle