VRRM Stock Analysis: Verra Mobility | NASDAQ
Information Technology Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 653m USD | 12M Return: -83.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 28.4M
EPS Trend: 92.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 9.3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM) is a provider of smart mobility technology solutions operating across the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada through three core segments: Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions. Its Commercial Services arm delivers automated toll, violations management, and title and registration services to rental car firms, commercial fleet operators, and fleet management companies. The Government Solutions segment supplies photo enforcement systems (speed, red-light, school bus stop arm, and bus lane) along with related hardware, software, and maintenance to municipalities, counties, school districts, and law enforcement agencies. The Parking Solutions segment offers an integrated suite of parking software, transaction processing, and hardware-including gateless vehicle counting, permit issuance, and citation services-to universities, municipalities, healthcare facilities, and commercial parking operators, marketed partly through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model. Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Mesa, Arizona, Verra Mobility completed its IPO in March 2017 and is classified within the Information Technology sector.
The company sits at the intersection of the intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and smart city infrastructure markets, generating revenue through a mix of government contracts, enterprise service agreements, and recurring SaaS subscriptions. Its photo enforcement and toll management businesses depend on long-term municipal and fleet relationships, while its parking software platform represents a higher-margin, scalable component of its overall offering.
- Rental car fleet volumes drive Commercial Services segment growth
- School bus stop-arm camera adoption boosts Government Solutions revenue
- Redflex acquisition expands international traffic enforcement footprint
| Net Income: 131.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.13% < 20% (prev 25.90%; Δ -4.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 232.9m > Net Income 131.0m |
| Net Debt (1.05b) to EBITDA (371.8m): 2.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (153.7m) vs 12m ago -5.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.37% > 50% (prev 54.33%; Δ 5.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 254.0m / Interest Expense TTM 63.4m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 438.9m - Total Current Liabilities 231.9m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -259.9m / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 254.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.65b) |
| D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 272.0m / Total Liabilities 1.38b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.55 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 348.2m/262.8m, Revenue 979.4m/892.7m) |
| GMI: 0.89 (GM 86.78% / 97.46%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.61) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 979.4m / 892.7m) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 131.0m - CFO 232.9m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.22 with a total of 3,786,124 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -8.46%, over three months by -71.70% and over the past year by -83.35%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.70 (which is 12.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Verra Mobility has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VRRM.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 9.7 | 130.1% |
P/E Trailing = 5.2439
P/E Forward = 10.5485
P/S = 0.6669
P/B = 2.4015
Revenue TTM = 979.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 254.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 371.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.02b + ST Debt 34.1m) + Leases 46.2m
Net Debt = 1.05b USD (calculated: Debt 1.10b - CCE 46.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.71b USD (653.2m + Debt 1.10b - CCE 46.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.01 (Ebit TTM 254.0m / Interest Expense TTM 63.4m)
EV/FCF = 16.45x (Enterprise Value 1.71b / FCF TTM 103.9m)
FCF Yield = 6.08% (FCF TTM 103.9m / Enterprise Value 1.71b)
FCF Margin = 10.60% (FCF TTM 103.9m / Revenue TTM 979.4m)
Net Margin = 13.38% (Net Income TTM 131.0m / Revenue TTM 979.4m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 979.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 1.71b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.75% (Interest Expense 63.4m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 31.26% (59.6m / 190.6m)
NOPAT = 174.6m (EBIT 254.0m * (1 - 31.26%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 438.9m / Total Current Liabilities 231.9m)
Debt / Equity = 4.05 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.84 (Net Debt 1.05b / EBITDA 371.8m)
Debt / FCF = 10.16 (Net Debt 1.05b / FCF TTM 103.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 330.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 131.0m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 39.70% (Net Income TTM 131.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 330.1m)
RoCE = 18.80% (EBIT 254.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 330.1m + L.T.Debt 1.02b))
RoIC = 12.37% (NOPAT 174.6m / Invested Capital 1.41b)
WACC = 5.20% (E(653.2m)/V(1.76b) * Re(7.30%) + D(1.10b)/V(1.76b) * Rd(5.75%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -4.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈132.1m ; Y1≈115.8m ; Y5≈93.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.94 (EV 1.50b - Net Debt 1.05b = Equity 446.9m / Shares 151.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.52 | EPS CAGR: 9.15% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.27 | Revenue CAGR: 8.70% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=+2.01% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-9.59% | Revisions=-70% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.23 | Chg30d=-9.42% | Revisions=-73% | GrowthEPS=-7.0% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=-34.51% | Revisions=-73% | GrowthEPS=-16.2% | GrowthRev=-4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -72% (up=3, down=26)