(VRTX) Vertex Pharmaceuticals - Overview
Sector: Healthcare | Industry: Biotechnology | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 113.007m USD | Total Return: -10.3% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +1.7
Avg Turnover: 548M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 16.8
EPS Trend: -1.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Vertex Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: VRTX) is a biotech firm that develops and markets transformative therapies for high-need specialty diseases, primarily cystic fibrosis (CF) and blood-disorder indications such as sickle cell disease (SCD) and transfusion-dependent beta thalassemia (TDT). Its flagship CF portfolio includes TRIKAFTA/KAFTRIO, ALYFTREK, SYMDEKO/SYMKEVI, ORKAMBI and KALYDECO, while its pipeline extends to CASGEVY (SCD/TDT), JOURNAVX (acute pain), and several mRNA or small-molecule programs targeting CF, kidney disease, type-1 diabetes, myotonic dystrophy and polycystic kidney disease.
In the most recent quarter (Q2 2024), Vertex reported revenue of $2.31 billion, up 18 % year-over-year, driven by continued growth of its CF franchise and early sales of CASGEVY. The company ended the quarter with $7.5 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, and R&D spending reached $1.22 billion, reflecting its aggressive pipeline investment. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.45, beating consensus estimates.
Key sector drivers supporting Vertex’s outlook include the expanding global CF patient pool-estimated to exceed 100,000 individuals after universal newborn screening adoption-and sustained biotech capital inflows, with U.S. biotech IPO proceeds hitting a 12-month high of $12 billion in early 2024. Additionally, the FDA’s accelerated-approval pathways for gene-editing and mRNA therapeutics are expected to shorten time-to-market for Vertex’s next-generation candidates such as VX-522 and inaxaplin.
For a deeper dive into how these dynamics translate into valuation metrics, you might want to explore ValueRay’s analytical tools.
- Cystic fibrosis drug sales drive revenue growth
- Pipeline success in non-CF indications expands market
- Regulatory approvals for new therapies impact stock
- Competition in CF and gene editing therapies poses risk
| Net Income: 3.95b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 16.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 60.97% < 20% (prev 54.75%; Δ 6.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 3.63b > Net Income 3.95b |
| Net Debt (-1.21b) to EBITDA (4.83b): -0.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (256.1m) vs 12m ago -1.69% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 86.28% > 18% (prev 0.86%; Δ 8.54k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.46% > 50% (prev 48.89%; Δ 0.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 347.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.83b / Interest Expense TTM 13.3m) |
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 11.20b - Total Current Liabilities 3.86b) / Total Assets 26.14b |
| B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 13.56b / Total Assets 26.14b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 4.62b / Avg Total Assets 24.34b) |
| D: 1.81 (Book Value of Equity 13.55b / Total Liabilities 7.48b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.71 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 2.05b/1.61b, Revenue 12.04b/11.02b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 86.28% / 86.11%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.04b / 11.02b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 3.95b - CFO 3.63b) / TA 26.14b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.49%, over one month by -6.53%, over three months by -1.29% and over the past year by -10.34%.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 548.5 | 25.9% |
P/E Forward = 23.0947
P/S = 9.4162
P/B = 5.9966
P/EG = 2.1486
Revenue TTM = 12.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.83b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.03b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.21b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 110.28b USD (113.01b + Debt 3.88b - CCE 6.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 347.6 (Ebit TTM 4.62b / Interest Expense TTM 13.3m)
EV/FCF = 34.53x (Enterprise Value 110.28b / FCF TTM 3.19b)
FCF Yield = 2.90% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Enterprise Value 110.28b)
FCF Margin = 26.53% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Net Margin = 32.84% (Net Income TTM 3.95b / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Gross Margin = 86.28% ((Revenue TTM 12.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.56% (prev 86.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.22 (Enterprise Value 110.28b / Total Assets 26.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.08% (Interest Expense 3.30m / Debt 3.88b)
Taxrate = 10.51% (139.9m / 1.33b)
NOPAT = 4.14b (EBIT 4.62b * (1 - 10.51%))
Current Ratio = 2.90 (Total Current Assets 11.20b / Total Current Liabilities 3.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 3.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.25 (Net Debt -1.21b / EBITDA 4.83b)
Debt / FCF = -0.38 (Net Debt -1.21b / FCF TTM 3.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.24% (Net Income 3.95b / Total Assets 26.14b)
RoE = 22.70% (Net Income TTM 3.95b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.41b)
RoCE = 23.77% (EBIT 4.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.41b + L.T.Debt 2.03b))
RoIC = 23.76% (NOPAT 4.14b / Invested Capital 17.41b)
WACC = 7.43% (E(113.01b)/V(116.89b) * Re(7.68%) + D(3.88b)/V(116.89b) * Rd(0.08%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 7.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.41% ; FCFF base≈3.19b ; Y1≈2.10b ; Y5≈958.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.24 (EV 21.24b - Net Debt -1.21b = Equity 22.44b / Shares 254.4m; r=7.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -1.46 | EPS CAGR: 9.99% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.40 | Revenue CAGR: 12.18% | SUE: 1.27 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.73 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.15 | Chg7d=-0.013 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.0% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.86 | Chg7d=-0.091 | Chg30d=-0.036 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+10.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.5% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 3.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +4.1% (Analyst 8.5% - Implied 4.5%)