VSEC Stock Analysis: VSE | NASDAQ
Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.519m USD | 12M Return: 70% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 113M
EPS Trend: 63.8%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
VSE Corporation (NASDAQ: VSEC) is a U.S.-based provider of aviation aftermarket parts distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, operating within the Industrials sector and classified under Diversified Support Services. The company serves both commercial and government markets, with a global client base that includes commercial airlines, regional airlines, air cargo transporters, MRO integrators, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators. Headquartered in Miramar, Florida, and incorporated in 1959, VSE operates in the aviation aftermarket segment, which generally benefits from extended aircraft service lifecycles and the ongoing need for parts replacement and maintenance support across aging fleets.
- Commercial aviation aftermarket parts demand accelerates with fleet recovery
- Government and defense aviation MRO contract wins expand segment revenue
- Acquisitions broaden parts distribution and maintenance capabilities
| Net Income: 62.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 162.2% < 20% (prev 75.73%; Δ 86.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 11.4m > Net Income 62.8m |
| Net Debt (-795.3m) to EBITDA (141.3m): -5.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 8.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.8m) vs 12m ago 34.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.22% > 18% (prev 10.54%; Δ 1.68% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 46.82% > 50% (prev 54.91%; Δ -8.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 97.8m / Interest Expense TTM 11.2m) |
| A: 0.58 (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 246.2m) / Total Assets 3.31b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 421.9m / Total Assets 3.31b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 97.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.52b) |
| D: 4.14 (Book Value of Equity 2.67b / Total Liabilities 644.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.81 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 262.2m/200.4m, Revenue 1.18b/951.5m) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 10.54% / 12.22%) |
| AQI: 0.81 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.24 (Revenue 1.18b / 951.5m) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 62.8m - CFO 11.4m) / TA 3.31b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 214.37 with a total of 436,204 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.29%, over one month by +20.01%, over three months by -1.75% and over the past year by +70.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 200.30 (which is 6.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
VSE has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VSEC.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 255.7 | 19.3% |
P/E Trailing = 80.6701
P/E Forward = 57.4713
P/S = 5.5204
P/B = 2.4072
P/EG = 3.004
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 97.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 141.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 331.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 444.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 41.6m
Net Debt = -795.3m USD (calculated: Debt 444.1m - CCE 1.24b)
Enterprise Value = 5.72b USD (6.52b + Debt 444.1m - CCE 1.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.72 (Ebit TTM 97.8m / Interest Expense TTM 11.2m)
EV/FCF = -423.8x (Enterprise Value 5.72b / FCF TTM -13.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.24% (FCF TTM -13.5m / Enterprise Value 5.72b)
FCF Margin = -1.14% (FCF TTM -13.5m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = 5.32% (Net Income TTM 62.8m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 12.22% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.00% (prev 13.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.73 (Enterprise Value 5.72b / Total Assets 3.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.53% (Interest Expense 11.2m / Debt 444.1m)
Taxrate = 20.83% (18.0m / 86.6m)
NOPAT = 77.5m (EBIT 97.8m * (1 - 20.83%))
Current Ratio = 8.78 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 246.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 444.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.63 (Net Debt -795.3m / EBITDA 141.3m)
Debt / FCF = 58.89 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -795.3m / FCF TTM -13.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.49% (Net Income 62.8m / Total Assets 3.31b)
RoE = 4.14% (Net Income TTM 62.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.52b)
RoCE = 5.29% (EBIT 97.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.52b + L.T.Debt 331.1m))
RoIC = 2.55% (NOPAT 77.5m / Invested Capital 3.04b)
WACC = 10.65% (E(6.52b)/V(6.96b) * Re(11.24%) + D(444.1m)/V(6.96b) * Rd(2.53%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 28.60%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -13.5m)
EPS Correlation: 63.80 | EPS CAGR: 7.72% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 92.92 | Revenue CAGR: 17.61% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+0.19% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-1.72% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.35 | Chg30d=-0.98% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+11.0% | GrowthRev=+59.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.72 | Chg30d=-1.52% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+31.5% | GrowthRev=+21.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -26% (up=7, down=13)