VSEC Stock Analysis: VSE | NASDAQ

Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.106m USD | 12M Return: 30.4% | US9182841000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Aviation Parts, Maintenance Services, Repair Services, Overhaul Services
Total Rating 47
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.22
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Market Cap: 6.11B
Avg Turnover: 82.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility70.5%
VaR 5th Pctl10.1%
VaR vs Median-9.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.66
Rel. Str. IBD69.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group66
Character TTM
Beta1.763
Beta Downside1.270
Hurst Exponent0.557
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.31%
CAGR/Max DD1.97
CAGR/Mean DD8.81
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VSEC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.6, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 0.53, "2022-03": 0.72, "2022-06": 0.75, "2022-09": 0.76, "2022-12": 0.68, "2023-03": 0.83, "2023-06": 0.82, "2023-09": 0.92, "2023-12": 0.85, "2024-03": 0.87, "2024-06": 0.64, "2024-09": 0.71, "2024-12": 0.9, "2025-03": 0.78, "2025-06": 0.97, "2025-09": 0.99, "2025-12": 1.16, "2026-03": 1.17, "2026-06": 1.75,
EPS CAGR: 12.67%
EPS Trend: 70.8%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 5
Revenue Revenue of VSEC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 175.112, 2021-09: 200.582, 2021-12: 210.178, 2022-03: 231.239, 2022-06: 169.761, 2022-09: 167.379, 2022-12: 171.988, 2023-03: 188.587, 2023-06: 205.223, 2023-09: 231.353, 2023-12: 235.325, 2024-03: 162.383, 2024-06: 192.828, 2024-09: 203.642, 2024-12: 299.021, 2025-03: 256.045, 2025-06: 272.139, 2025-09: 282.909, 2025-12: 301.182, 2026-03: 324.58, 2026-06: 449.137,
Rev. CAGR: 20.12%
Rev. Trend: 92.7%
Last SUE: 0.70
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Volatile
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.2% 5
Feb +6.5% 35
Mar -3.8% 33
Apr -4.1% 25
May +2.6% 8
Jun +1.5% 8
Jul -3.6% 18
Aug -1.3% 14
Sep -4.9% 31
Oct +2.3% 19
Nov +3.4% 15
Dec -0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VSEC VSE

VSE Corporation (NASDAQ: VSEC) is a U.S.-based provider of aviation aftermarket parts distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, operating within the Industrials sector and classified under Diversified Support Services. The company serves both commercial and government markets, with a global client base that includes commercial airlines, regional airlines, air cargo transporters, MRO integrators, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators. Headquartered in Miramar, Florida, and incorporated in 1959, VSE operates in the aviation aftermarket segment, which generally benefits from extended aircraft service lifecycles and the ongoing need for parts replacement and maintenance support across aging fleets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Commercial aviation aftermarket parts demand accelerates with fleet recovery
  • Government and defense aviation MRO contract wins expand segment revenue
  • Acquisitions broaden parts distribution and maintenance capabilities
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 74.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.86 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 71.71% < 20% (prev 53.51%; Δ 18.20% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 27.0m > Net Income 74.9m
Net Debt (1.03b) to EBITDA (177.1m): 5.81 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.77 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.4m) vs 12m ago 51.36% < -2%
Gross Margin: 13.97% > 18% (prev 10.87%; Δ 3.10% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 45.26% > 50% (prev 64.35%; Δ -19.08% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 119.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.50m)
Altman Z'' 4.16
A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 1.33b - Total Current Liabilities 351.8m) / Total Assets 4.40b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 447.6m / Total Assets 4.40b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 119.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.00b)
D: 2.00 (Book Value of Equity 2.93b / Total Liabilities 1.46b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.16 = AA
Beneish M -2.53
DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 362.5m/217.3m, Revenue 1.36b/1.03b)
GMI: 0.78 (GM 10.87% / 13.97%)
AQI: 1.41 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.45)
SGI: 1.32 (Revenue 1.36b / 1.03b)
TATA: 0.01 (NI 74.9m - CFO 27.0m) / TA 4.40b)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of VSEC shares?

As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 215.00 with a total of 388,713 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.70%, over one month by +10.02%, over three months by +23.61% and over the past year by +30.43%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 200.90 (which is 6.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is VSEC a buy, sell or hold?

VSE has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VSEC.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VSEC price?
Analysts Target Price 270 25.6%
VSE (VSEC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.11b (6.11b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 69.5144
P/E Forward = 41.6667
P/S = 4.4972
P/B = 2.053
P/EG = 3.004
Revenue TTM = 1.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 119.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 177.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 915.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 78.6m
Net Debt = 1.03b USD (calculated: Debt 1.10b - CCE 75.4m)
Enterprise Value = 7.14b USD (6.11b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 75.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.56 (Ebit TTM 119.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.50m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 7.14b / FCF TTM -1.12m)
FCF Yield = -0.02% (FCF TTM -1.12m / Enterprise Value 7.14b)
FCF Margin = -0.08% (FCF TTM -1.12m / Revenue TTM 1.36b)
Net Margin = 5.52% (Net Income TTM 74.9m / Revenue TTM 1.36b)
Gross Margin = 13.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.02% (prev 12.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.62 (Enterprise Value 7.14b / Total Assets 4.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 9.50m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 23.99% (26.3m / 109.8m)
NOPAT = 90.7m (EBIT 119.3m * (1 - 23.99%))
Current Ratio = 3.77 (Total Current Assets 1.33b / Total Current Liabilities 351.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.81 (Net Debt 1.03b / EBITDA 177.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -918.6 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM -1.12m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 74.9m / Total Assets 4.40b)
RoE = 3.73% (Net Income TTM 74.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 4.09% (EBIT 119.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 915.0m))
RoIC = 2.26% (NOPAT 90.7m / Invested Capital 4.01b)
WACC = 10.41% (E(6.11b)/V(7.21b) * Re(12.18%) + D(1.10b)/V(7.21b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.70 | Cagr: 35.73%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12m)
 EPS Correlation: 70.77 | EPS CAGR: 12.67% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 92.66 | Revenue CAGR: 20.12% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=+57.11% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.81 | Chg30d=+55.74% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+73.7% | GrowthRev=+62.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.01 | Chg30d=+41.00% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=+21.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=7, down=0)