WB Stock Analysis: Weibo | NASDAQ
Internet Content & Information | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.715m USD | 12M Return: -33% | US9485961018 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.37M
EPS Trend: -77.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 75.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) operates a social media platform headquartered in Beijing, allowing users in the Peoples Republic of China to create, discover, and distribute content. Founded in 2009 and listed on NASDAQ in 2014, the company is classified under the Communication Services sector, specifically the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry, and is commonly described as a Twitter-style microblogging service adapted for the Chinese market.
The business is organized into two reporting segments: Advertising and Marketing Services, and Value-Added Services. Advertising revenue is generated through social display ads, promoted feeds, Fans Headline, Weibo Express, promoted trends, and search-related ad placements, while value-added offerings include video and live streaming tools, content customization, and Weibo Wallet, which enables partner platforms to run promotional activities such as red envelopes and coupons on the Weibo ecosystem.
Its user base spans ordinary consumers, celebrities, opinion leaders, influencers, media outlets, businesses, government agencies, charities, and other organizations, making it a broad public-figure-and-institution platform in addition to a consumer service. The company was originally incorporated as T.CN Corporation before adopting the Weibo name in 2012, and is currently a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $1.77 billion USD.
- Ad revenue pressured by Douyin and Xiaohongshu competition
- Chinese brand ad spending weakens amid economic slowdown
- Regulatory scrutiny on content and data compliance rises
| Net Income: 318.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 151.0% < 20% (prev 135.1%; Δ 15.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 519.5m > Net Income 318.6m |
| Net Debt (-729.2m) to EBITDA (615.7m): -1.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.59 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (271.6m) vs 12m ago 1.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 73.36% > 18% (prev 78.15%; Δ -4.80% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 26.22% > 50% (prev 26.96%; Δ -0.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 554.9m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m) |
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 3.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.05b) / Total Assets 7.15b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 2.55b / Total Assets 7.15b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 554.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.84b) |
| D: 1.30 (Book Value of Equity 3.99b / Total Liabilities 3.08b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.55 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 777.9m/829.5m, Revenue 1.79b/1.76b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 78.15% / 73.36%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.79b / 1.76b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 318.6m - CFO 519.5m) / TA 7.15b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.99 with a total of 796,154 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.57%, over one month by -12.08%, over three months by -10.84% and over the past year by -33.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.70 (which is 4.1% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Weibo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold WB.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 8.4 | 19.6% |
P/E Trailing = 5.7686
P/E Forward = 6.8587
P/S = 0.9576
P/B = 0.4333
P/EG = 4.8479
Revenue TTM = 1.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 554.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 615.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 42.4m
Net Debt = -729.2m USD (calculated: Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.64b)
Enterprise Value = 985.6m USD (1.71b + Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 554.9m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m)
EV/FCF = 2.07x (Enterprise Value 985.6m / FCF TTM 477.1m)
FCF Yield = 48.41% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Enterprise Value 985.6m)
FCF Margin = 26.59% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Net Margin = 17.76% (Net Income TTM 318.6m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Gross Margin = 73.36% ((Revenue TTM 1.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 478.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.40% (prev 72.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 985.6m / Total Assets 7.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.32% (Interest Expense 82.4m / Debt 1.91b)
Taxrate = 27.85% (127.4m / 457.5m)
NOPAT = 400.3m (EBIT 554.9m * (1 - 27.85%))
Current Ratio = 3.59 (Total Current Assets 3.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.18 (Net Debt -729.2m / EBITDA 615.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.53 (Net Debt -729.2m / FCF TTM 477.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 318.6m / Total Assets 7.15b)
RoE = 8.15% (Net Income TTM 318.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.91b)
RoCE = 9.62% (EBIT 554.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.91b + L.T.Debt 1.86b))
RoIC = 6.65% (NOPAT 400.3m / Invested Capital 6.02b)
WACC = 5.48% (E(1.71b)/V(3.62b) * Re(8.12%) + D(1.91b)/V(3.62b) * Rd(4.32%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 10.29 | Cagr: 1.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈517.6m ; Y1≈453.9m ; Y5≈366.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 41.91 (EV 5.89b - Net Debt -729.2m = Equity 6.62b / Shares 157.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.45 | EPS CAGR: -10.49% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.54 | Revenue CAGR: 2.08% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=-26.83% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=-14.42% | Revisions=-74% | GrowthEPS=-26.2% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-13.08% | Revisions=-80% | GrowthEPS=+5.5% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -85% (up=1, down=29)