WB Stock Analysis: Weibo | NASDAQ

Social Media, Advertising, Streaming, Digital Wallet

Total Rating 36

Safety 87

Buy Signal -1.00

Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: +12.0

Market Cap: 1.59B
Avg Turnover: 5.95M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility19.8%

VaR 5^th Pctl3.16%

VaR vs Median-3.33%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-1.94

Rel. Str. IBD7.1

Rel. Str. Peer Group17.7

Character TTM

Beta0.669

Beta Downside0.925

Hurst Exponent0.527

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD47.19%

CAGR/Max DD-0.24

CAGR/Mean DD-0.53

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -10.49%
EPS Trend: -77.5%

Last SUE: 0.63
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.08%
Rev. Trend: 75.5%

Last SUE: 0.97
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +7.9% 35

Feb -2.9% 20

Mar -6.5% 31

Apr +0.1% 16

May -1.4% 5

Jun +1.2% 17

Jul +2.1% 8

Aug +2.4% 5

Sep -1.5% 0

Oct -10.9% 53

Nov +1.4% 0

Dec -1.0% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WB Weibo

Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) is a China-based social media platform headquartered in Beijing, founded in 2009 (originally as T.CN Corporation, renamed Weibo Corporation in 2012). The company operates through two reportable segments: Advertising and Marketing Services, and Value-Added Services. Its platform enables users to create, discover, and distribute content, supported by discovery, self-expression, and social interaction products. Weibo monetizes primarily through social display ads and a suite of promoted marketing offerings (Fans Headline, Weibo Express, promoted feeds, promoted trends, and search products), and complements this with value-added services such as live streaming, video, premium content, and Weibo Wallet (used for red envelopes, coupons, and partner engagement). Its users range from individuals and influencers to media outlets, businesses, government agencies, and charities. The company went public on April 17, 2014, and is classified within the Communication Services sector under the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry, competing in the broader Chinese digital advertising market alongside platforms such as WeChat (Tencent), Douyin (ByteDance), and Xiaohongshu, where growth is driven by mobile ad spending, e-commerce integrations, and KOL/influencer monetization.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Advertising revenue pressured by Douyin and Xiaohongshu competition
China ad market weakness dampens marketing services growth
Content regulation raises compliance costs and platform risk

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 318.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.17 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 151.0% < 20% (prev 135.1%; Δ 15.91% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 519.5m > Net Income 318.6m
Net Debt (-729.2m) to EBITDA (615.7m): -1.18 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (271.6m) vs 12m ago 1.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 73.36% > 18% (prev 78.15%; Δ -4.80% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 26.22% > 50% (prev 26.96%; Δ -0.74% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 554.9m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m)

Altman Z'' 5.55

A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 3.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.05b) / Total Assets 7.15b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 2.55b / Total Assets 7.15b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 554.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.84b)
D: 1.30 (Book Value of Equity 3.99b / Total Liabilities 3.08b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.55 = AAA

Beneish M -3.05

DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 777.9m/829.5m, Revenue 1.79b/1.76b)
GMI: 1.07 (GM 78.15% / 73.36%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.79b / 1.76b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 318.6m - CFO 519.5m) / TA 7.15b)
Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of WB shares?

As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.55 with a total of 599,053 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.00%, over one month by -1.43%, over three months by -14.67% and over the past year by -39.66%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.30 (which is 3.8% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is WB a buy, sell or hold?

Weibo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefore, it is recommended to hold WB.

StrongBuy: 5
Buy: 2
Hold: 8
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the WB price?

Analysts Target Price	8.2	25.8%

Weibo (WB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 1.59b (1.59b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 5.3554
P/E Forward = 6.8587
P/S = 0.889
P/B = 0.4038
P/EG = 4.8479
Revenue TTM = 1.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 554.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 615.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 42.4m
Net Debt = -729.2m USD (calculated: Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.64b)
Enterprise Value = 862.8m USD (1.59b + Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 554.9m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m)
EV/FCF = 1.81x (Enterprise Value 862.8m / FCF TTM 477.1m)
FCF Yield = 55.30% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Enterprise Value 862.8m)
FCF Margin = 26.59% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Net Margin = 17.76% (Net Income TTM 318.6m / Revenue TTM 1.79b)
Gross Margin = 73.36% ((Revenue TTM 1.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 478.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.40% (prev 72.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 862.8m / Total Assets 7.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.32% (Interest Expense 82.4m / Debt 1.91b)
Taxrate = 27.85% (127.4m / 457.5m)
NOPAT = 400.3m (EBIT 554.9m * (1 - 27.85%))
Current Ratio = 3.59 (Total Current Assets 3.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.18 (Net Debt -729.2m / EBITDA 615.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.53 (Net Debt -729.2m / FCF TTM 477.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 318.6m / Total Assets 7.15b)
RoE = 8.15% (Net Income TTM 318.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.91b)
RoCE = 9.61% (EBIT 554.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.91b + L.T.Debt 1.87b))
RoIC = 6.65% (NOPAT 400.3m / Invested Capital 6.02b)
WACC = 5.49% (E(1.59b)/V(3.50b) * Re(8.34%) + D(1.91b)/V(3.50b) * Rd(4.32%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 10.29 | Cagr: 1.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈517.6m ; Y1≈453.9m ; Y5≈366.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 41.91 (EV 5.89b - Net Debt -729.2m = Equity 6.62b / Shares 157.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.45 | EPS CAGR: -10.49% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.54 | Revenue CAGR: 2.08% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=-26.83% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+1.51% | Revisions=-81% | GrowthEPS=-25.1% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-69% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+0.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -85% (up=1, down=29)