WB Stock Analysis: Weibo | NASDAQ
Internet Content & Information | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.897m USD | 12M Return: -16.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.85M
EPS Trend: -77.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 50.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) operates a social media platform headquartered in Beijing, allowing users in the Peoples Republic of China to create, discover, and distribute content. Founded in 2009 and listed on NASDAQ in 2014, the company is classified under the Communication Services sector, specifically the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry, and is commonly described as a Twitter-style microblogging service adapted for the Chinese market.
The business is organized into two reporting segments: Advertising and Marketing Services, and Value-Added Services. Advertising revenue is generated through social display ads, promoted feeds, Fans Headline, Weibo Express, promoted trends, and search-related ad placements, while value-added offerings include video and live streaming tools, content customization, and Weibo Wallet, which enables partner platforms to run promotional activities such as red envelopes and coupons on the Weibo ecosystem.
Its user base spans ordinary consumers, celebrities, opinion leaders, influencers, media outlets, businesses, government agencies, charities, and other organizations, making it a broad public-figure-and-institution platform in addition to a consumer service. The company was originally incorporated as T.CN Corporation before adopting the Weibo name in 2012, and is currently a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $1.77 billion USD.
- Ad revenue pressured by Douyin and Xiaohongshu competition
- Chinese brand ad spending weakens amid economic slowdown
- Regulatory scrutiny on content and data compliance rises
| Net Income: 376.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 139.3% < 20% (prev 116.4%; Δ 22.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 519.5m > Net Income 376.8m |
| Net Debt (-686.3m) to EBITDA (641.3m): -1.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (270.1m) vs 12m ago 1.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.70% > 18% (prev 78.84%; Δ -4.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 25.76% > 50% (prev 26.37%; Δ -0.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 581.4m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m) |
| A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 3.72b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 7.19b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 2.55b / Total Assets 7.19b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 581.4m / Avg Total Assets 6.93b) |
| D: 1.18 (Book Value of Equity 3.86b / Total Liabilities 3.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.23 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 782.3m/810.2m, Revenue 1.78b/1.76b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 78.84% / 74.70%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.48) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.78b / 1.76b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 376.8m - CFO 519.5m) / TA 7.19b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.67 with a total of 476,149 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.32%, over one month by +0.00%, over three months by -7.75% and over the past year by -16.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.40 (which is 3.5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Weibo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold WB.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 9 | 17.9% |
P/E Trailing = 5.3986
P/E Forward = 5.7143
P/S = 1.0645
P/B = 0.4913
P/EG = 4.8479
Revenue TTM = 1.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 581.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 641.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 42.4m
Net Debt = -686.3m USD (calculated: Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.59b)
Enterprise Value = 1.21b USD (1.90b + Debt 1.91b - CCE 2.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.05 (Ebit TTM 581.4m / Interest Expense TTM 82.4m)
EV/FCF = 2.54x (Enterprise Value 1.21b / FCF TTM 477.1m)
FCF Yield = 39.42% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Enterprise Value 1.21b)
FCF Margin = 26.74% (FCF TTM 477.1m / Revenue TTM 1.78b)
Net Margin = 21.11% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Revenue TTM 1.78b)
Gross Margin = 74.70% ((Revenue TTM 1.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 451.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.05% (prev 73.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.17 (Enterprise Value 1.21b / Total Assets 7.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.32% (Interest Expense 82.4m / Debt 1.91b)
Taxrate = 25.94% (136.1m / 524.7m)
NOPAT = 430.6m (EBIT 581.4m * (1 - 25.94%))
Current Ratio = 3.02 (Total Current Assets 3.72b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 1.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.07 (Net Debt -686.3m / EBITDA 641.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.44 (Net Debt -686.3m / FCF TTM 477.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.44% (Net Income 376.8m / Total Assets 7.19b)
RoE = 9.89% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.81b)
RoCE = 10.25% (EBIT 581.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.81b + L.T.Debt 1.87b))
RoIC = 7.30% (NOPAT 430.6m / Invested Capital 5.90b)
WACC = 5.75% (E(1.90b)/V(3.80b) * Re(8.32%) + D(1.91b)/V(3.80b) * Rd(4.32%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -8.37 | Cagr: 1.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈517.6m ; Y1≈453.9m ; Y5≈366.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 41.64 (EV 5.89b - Net Debt -686.3m = Equity 6.57b / Shares 157.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.06 | EPS CAGR: -9.39% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.65 | Revenue CAGR: 1.28% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-13.79% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=-14.96% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.42 | Chg30d=-12.02% | Revisions=-74% | GrowthEPS=-13.8% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-12.90% | Revisions=-80% | GrowthEPS=+3.8% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -86% (up=1, down=31)