(WB) Weibo - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9485961018
Social Media, Advertising Services, Marketing Solutions, Value-Added Services
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.57% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -3.53% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -1.96 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.548 |
| Beta | 0.843 |
| Beta Downside | 0.994 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.18% |
| Mean DD | 48.44% |
| Median DD | 50.99% |
Description: WB Weibo November 10, 2025
Weibo Corp (NASDAQ:WB) runs China’s leading micro-blogging platform, delivering content discovery, self-expression, and social interaction tools to a broad user base that includes everyday users, influencers, media, and enterprises. The business is split into two revenue streams: Advertising & Marketing Services (display ads, promoted trends, Fans Headline, etc.) and Value-Added Services (live streaming, video, Weibo Wallet, and third-party login integrations).
Key operating metrics as of Q3 2024 show ~620 million MAUs, a 12% YoY increase in average revenue per user (ARPU) to ¥22, and total revenue of ¥7.9 billion, driven primarily by a rebound in digital ad spend after the 2023 regulatory slowdown. The platform’s growth is closely tied to macro-level factors such as China’s GDP growth (≈5% YoY) and the expanding e-commerce ecosystem, which fuels demand for performance-based advertising and in-app commerce features.
Given the competitive landscape with TikTok (Douyin) and Kuaishou, Weibo’s ability to monetize its influencer ecosystem and diversify through services like Weibo Wallet will be critical to sustaining margins. For a deeper, data-driven look at how these dynamics translate into valuation, the analyst notes on ValueRay provide a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (462.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 104.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 128.0% (prev 147.0%; Δ -19.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 639.9m > Net Income 462.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (780.2m) to EBITDA (373.2m) ratio: 2.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (269.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.34% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 77.08% (prev 78.99%; Δ -1.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 25.75% (prev 25.56%; Δ 0.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.69 (EBITDA TTM 373.2m / Interest Expense TTM 209.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.46
| (A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 3.18b - Total Current Liabilities 949.7m) / Total Assets 6.90b |
| (B) 0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.29b / Total Assets 6.90b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 564.1m / Avg Total Assets 6.76b |
| (D) 0.67 = Book Value of Equity 1.98b / Total Liabilities 2.96b |
| Total Rating: 4.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.27
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 24.70% |
| 3. FCF Margin 33.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.09)% |
| 7. RoE 12.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -48.88% |
| 9. EPS Trend -54.09% |
What is the price of WB shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 10.24 with a total of 1,030,387 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.73%, over one month by -3.12%, over three months by -16.41% and over the past year by +9.32%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.73%, over one month by -3.12%, over three months by -16.41% and over the past year by +9.32%.
Is WB a buy, sell or hold?
Weibo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold WB.
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.7 | 14.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.7 | 14.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.6 | 3.4% |
WB Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 2.52b (2.52b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 5.8514
P/E Forward = 6.8587
P/S = 1.4504
P/B = 0.6618
P/EG = 4.8479
Beta = 0.152
Revenue TTM = 1.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 564.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 373.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 780.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.34b USD (2.52b + Debt 1.86b - CCE 2.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.69 (Ebit TTM 564.1m / Interest Expense TTM 209.3m)
FCF Yield = 24.70% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Enterprise Value 2.34b)
FCF Margin = 33.22% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Net Margin = 26.57% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Gross Margin = 77.08% ((Revenue TTM 1.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 399.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.99% (prev 76.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 2.34b / Total Assets 6.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.62% (Interest Expense 104.7m / Debt 1.86b)
Taxrate = 20.39% (57.3m / 281.1m)
NOPAT = 449.1m (EBIT 564.1m * (1 - 20.39%))
Current Ratio = 3.35 (Total Current Assets 3.18b / Total Current Liabilities 949.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (Net Debt 780.2m / EBITDA 373.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.35 (Net Debt 780.2m / FCF TTM 578.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.71% (Net Income 462.6m / Total Assets 6.90b)
RoE = 12.88% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 10.34% (EBIT 564.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 1.86b))
RoIC = 8.23% (NOPAT 449.1m / Invested Capital 5.45b)
WACC = 7.15% (E(2.52b)/V(4.39b) * Re(9.12%) + D(1.86b)/V(4.39b) * Rd(5.62%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.02% ; FCFE base≈431.3m ; Y1≈532.1m ; Y5≈907.9m
Fair Price DCF = 80.62 (DCF Value 12.66b / Shares Outstanding 157.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.09 | EPS CAGR: -16.61% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -48.88 | Revenue CAGR: -8.43% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+0.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
P/E Trailing = 5.8514
P/E Forward = 6.8587
P/S = 1.4504
P/B = 0.6618
P/EG = 4.8479
Beta = 0.152
Revenue TTM = 1.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 564.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 373.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 780.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.34b USD (2.52b + Debt 1.86b - CCE 2.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.69 (Ebit TTM 564.1m / Interest Expense TTM 209.3m)
FCF Yield = 24.70% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Enterprise Value 2.34b)
FCF Margin = 33.22% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Net Margin = 26.57% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Gross Margin = 77.08% ((Revenue TTM 1.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 399.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.99% (prev 76.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 2.34b / Total Assets 6.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.62% (Interest Expense 104.7m / Debt 1.86b)
Taxrate = 20.39% (57.3m / 281.1m)
NOPAT = 449.1m (EBIT 564.1m * (1 - 20.39%))
Current Ratio = 3.35 (Total Current Assets 3.18b / Total Current Liabilities 949.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (Net Debt 780.2m / EBITDA 373.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.35 (Net Debt 780.2m / FCF TTM 578.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.71% (Net Income 462.6m / Total Assets 6.90b)
RoE = 12.88% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 10.34% (EBIT 564.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 1.86b))
RoIC = 8.23% (NOPAT 449.1m / Invested Capital 5.45b)
WACC = 7.15% (E(2.52b)/V(4.39b) * Re(9.12%) + D(1.86b)/V(4.39b) * Rd(5.62%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.02% ; FCFE base≈431.3m ; Y1≈532.1m ; Y5≈907.9m
Fair Price DCF = 80.62 (DCF Value 12.66b / Shares Outstanding 157.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.09 | EPS CAGR: -16.61% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -48.88 | Revenue CAGR: -8.43% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+0.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
Additional Sources for WB Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle