(WB) Weibo - Overview
Stock: Social Media, Advertising, Marketing, Live Streaming, Wallet
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.28% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -1.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 |
| Alpha | 4.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.859 |
| Beta Downside | 0.913 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.31% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
Description: WB Weibo January 13, 2026
Weibo Corp (NASDAQ:WB) runs China’s leading micro-blogging platform, delivering content discovery, self-expression, and social interaction tools to a broad user base that includes everyday users, influencers, media, and government entities. The business is split into two primary segments: Advertising & Marketing Services, which monetizes through display ads, promoted trends, and branded content solutions; and Value-Added Services, which encompass video/live streaming, e-commerce features like Weibo Wallet, and an open API for third-party integrations.
Key recent metrics (as of Q4 2023) show approximately 620 million monthly active users (MAU) and total revenue of $1.12 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase driven largely by higher ad spend in China’s digital advertising market, which is projected to grow ~10% annually. The platform’s average revenue per user (ARPU) rose to $1.80, supported by expanding e-commerce partnerships and premium services. A sector-wide driver is the continued shift of Chinese advertisers toward short-form video and influencer-led campaigns, which aligns with Weibo’s recent rollout of enhanced live-stream shopping tools.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of Weibo’s valuation metrics and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 462.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 128.0% < 20% (prev 147.0%; Δ -19.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 639.9m > Net Income 462.6m |
| Net Debt (780.2m) to EBITDA (373.2m): 2.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (269.4m) vs 12m ago 1.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 77.08% > 18% (prev 0.79%; Δ 7629 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 25.75% > 50% (prev 25.56%; Δ 0.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.69 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 373.2m / Interest Expense TTM 209.3m) |
Altman Z'' 4.46
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 3.18b - Total Current Liabilities 949.7m) / Total Assets 6.90b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 2.29b / Total Assets 6.90b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 564.1m / Avg Total Assets 6.76b) |
| D: 0.67 (Book Value of Equity 1.98b / Total Liabilities 2.96b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.46 = AA |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 819.4m/885.0m, Revenue 1.74b/1.69b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 77.08% / 78.99%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 1.74b / 1.69b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 462.6m - CFO 639.9m) / TA 6.90b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of WB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.85%, over one month by +0.38%, over three months by -2.13% and over the past year by +17.44%.
Is WB a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.7 | 10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.7 | 10.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.5 | -0.6% |
WB Fundamental Data Overview January 27, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.1881
P/S = 1.5255
P/B = 0.684
P/EG = 4.8479
Revenue TTM = 1.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 564.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 373.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 780.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.47b USD (2.66b + Debt 1.86b - CCE 2.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.69 (Ebit TTM 564.1m / Interest Expense TTM 209.3m)
EV/FCF = 4.27x (Enterprise Value 2.47b / FCF TTM 578.4m)
FCF Yield = 23.39% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Enterprise Value 2.47b)
FCF Margin = 33.22% (FCF TTM 578.4m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Net Margin = 26.57% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Gross Margin = 77.08% ((Revenue TTM 1.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 399.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.99% (prev 76.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.36 (Enterprise Value 2.47b / Total Assets 6.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.62% (Interest Expense 104.7m / Debt 1.86b)
Taxrate = 20.39% (57.3m / 281.1m)
NOPAT = 449.1m (EBIT 564.1m * (1 - 20.39%))
Current Ratio = 3.35 (Total Current Assets 3.18b / Total Current Liabilities 949.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (Net Debt 780.2m / EBITDA 373.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.35 (Net Debt 780.2m / FCF TTM 578.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.84% (Net Income 462.6m / Total Assets 6.90b)
RoE = 12.88% (Net Income TTM 462.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 10.34% (EBIT 564.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 1.86b))
RoIC = 8.23% (NOPAT 449.1m / Invested Capital 5.45b)
WACC = 7.18% (E(2.66b)/V(4.52b) * Re(9.08%) + D(1.86b)/V(4.52b) * Rd(5.62%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.97% ; FCFF base≈431.3m ; Y1≈532.1m ; Y5≈906.2m
Fair Price DCF = 111.8 (EV 18.33b - Net Debt 780.2m = Equity 17.55b / Shares 157.0m; r=7.18% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -56.23 | EPS CAGR: -49.32% | SUE: -3.90 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -48.88 | Revenue CAGR: -8.43% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-13 | Growth EPS=+0.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%