WING Stock Analysis: Wingstop | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.145m USD | 12M Return: -63.2% | US9741551033 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 165M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 7
Rev. Trend: 95.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is a Dallas, Texas-based restaurant operator founded in 1994 that franchises and operates locations under the Wingstop brand across the United States and international markets, including Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and The Netherlands. Its menu centers on chicken wings-offered in classic, boneless, and tender varieties with hand-sauced-and-tossed preparation-alongside chicken sandwiches, fries, and side items such as hand-cut carrots and celery, all cooked to order.
Operating within the Consumer Discretionary sectors restaurants sub-industry, Wingstop follows an asset-light, franchise-driven business model that generates revenue through royalty fees, advertising contributions, and sales from company-operated stores, a structure common among quick-service and fast-casual chicken concepts. The company has been publicly traded since its 2015 IPO.
- Domestic same-store sales accelerate on digital and loyalty growth
- Chicken wing commodity costs pressure restaurant-level margins
- International unit expansion in Europe and Middle East drives revenue growth
| Net Income: 116.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.65 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.16% < 20% (prev 36.02%; Δ -16.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 189.5m > Net Income 116.4m |
| Net Debt (1.21b) to EBITDA (227.3m): 5.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.3m) vs 12m ago -2.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 73.13% > 18% (prev 65.82%; Δ 7.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.5% > 50% (prev 94.56%; Δ 10.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.28 > 6 (EBIT TTM 200.6m / Interest Expense TTM 38.0m) |
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 208.3m - Total Current Liabilities 70.2m) / Total Assets 658.0m |
| B: -1.18 (Retained Earnings -779.2m / Total Assets 658.0m) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 200.6m / Avg Total Assets 683.1m) |
| D: -0.54 (Book Value of Equity -773.0m / Total Liabilities 1.43b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.08 = CCC |
| DSRI: 0.82 (Receivables 25.1m/28.4m, Revenue 720.7m/669.7m) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 65.82% / 73.13%) |
| AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.33) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 720.7m / 669.7m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 116.4m - CFO 189.5m) / TA 658.0m) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 116.84 with a total of 774,764 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.97%, over one month by -13.33%, over three months by -16.68% and over the past year by -63.20%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 106.80 (which is 8.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Wingstop has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WING.
- StrongBuy: 20
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 206.6 | 76.8% |
P/E Trailing = 27.3531
P/E Forward = 26.6667
P/S = 4.3632
P/EG = 1.7852
Revenue TTM = 720.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 200.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.71m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 61.9m
Net Debt = 1.21b USD (calculated: Debt 1.33b - CCE 127.5m)
Enterprise Value = 4.35b USD (3.14b + Debt 1.33b - CCE 127.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.28 (Ebit TTM 200.6m / Interest Expense TTM 38.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.87x (Enterprise Value 4.35b / FCF TTM 128.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.95% (FCF TTM 128.5m / Enterprise Value 4.35b)
FCF Margin = 17.83% (FCF TTM 128.5m / Revenue TTM 720.7m)
Net Margin = 16.15% (Net Income TTM 116.4m / Revenue TTM 720.7m)
Gross Margin = 73.13% ((Revenue TTM 720.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 193.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.73% (prev 82.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.61 (Enterprise Value 4.35b / Total Assets 658.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.85% (Interest Expense 38.0m / Debt 1.33b)
Taxrate = 28.34% (46.0m / 162.5m)
NOPAT = 143.7m (EBIT 200.6m * (1 - 28.34%))
Current Ratio = 2.97 (Total Current Assets 208.3m / Total Current Liabilities 70.2m)
Debt / Equity = -1.73 (negative equity) (Debt 1.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -773.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.31 (Net Debt 1.21b / EBITDA 227.3m)
Debt / FCF = 9.39 (Net Debt 1.21b / FCF TTM 128.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -752.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.04% (Net Income 116.4m / Total Assets 658.0m)
RoE = -15.46% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 116.4m / Total Stockholder Equity -752.9m)
RoCE = 43.83% (EBIT 200.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -752.9m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 25.88% (NOPAT 143.7m / Invested Capital 555.5m)
WACC = 7.66% (E(3.14b)/V(4.48b) * Re(10.04%) + D(1.33b)/V(4.48b) * Rd(2.85%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.33 | Cagr: -3.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈99.4m ; Y1≈114.0m ; Y5≈167.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.35 (EV 2.52b - Net Debt 1.21b = Equity 1.32b / Shares 27.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.74 | EPS CAGR: 24.09% | SUE: 1.94 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 95.83 | Revenue CAGR: 20.41% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-9.61% | Revisions=-74% | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.45 | Chg30d=-2.40% | Revisions=-68% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+9.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.36 | Chg30d=-3.85% | Revisions=-76% | GrowthEPS=+20.6% | GrowthRev=+16.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -78% (up=7, down=68)