(WING) Wingstop - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.824m USD | Total Return: -58.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 204M
EPS Trend: 96.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' -1.42 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is a Dallas-based franchisor and operator of restaurants specializing in cooked-to-order chicken wings, tenders, and sandwiches. Founded in 1994, the company maintains a global footprint with operations across North America, the Middle East, Europe, and Australia.
The business model primarily utilizes a franchise-heavy structure, which typically allows for lower capital expenditures and higher margins compared to company-owned models. Within the restaurant sector, Wingstop competes in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) category, benefitng from a streamlined menu that optimizes kitchen efficiency and facilitates high off-premise sales volume.
Investors can further evaluate these operational metrics and valuation trends on ValueRay. For more comprehensive data on the companys historical growth, consult the latest filings and industry reports.
- Aggressive domestic and international franchise expansion accelerates high-margin royalty revenue growth
- Strategic shift to direct chicken wing sourcing mitigates volatile poultry commodity costs
- Digital sales penetration and delivery partnerships sustain industry-leading same-store sales growth
- Elevated interest rates increase debt servicing costs for highly leveraged capital structure
| Net Income: 111.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.94% < 20% (prev 35.82%; Δ -18.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 189.2m > Net Income 111.9m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (224.6m): 5.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.6m) vs 12m ago -3.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 82.58% > 18% (prev 0.57%; Δ 8.20k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.4% > 50% (prev 93.44%; Δ 12.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 224.6m / Interest Expense TTM 36.6m) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 216.9m - Total Current Liabilities 96.7m) / Total Assets 648.9m |
| B: -1.24 (Retained Earnings -804.3m / Total Assets 648.9m) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 198.9m / Avg Total Assets 672.8m) |
| D: -0.55 (Book Value of Equity -799.4m / Total Liabilities 1.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.42 = CCC |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 23.5m/18.5m, Revenue 709.5m/651.1m) |
| GMI: 0.69 (GM 82.58% / 57.07%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 709.5m / 651.1m) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 111.9m - CFO 189.2m) / TA 648.9m) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 132.65 with a total of 1,148,098 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.67%,
over one month by -25.67%,
over three months by -42.86% and
over the past year by -58.29%.
Wingstop has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.15. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WING.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 237.6 | 79.1% |
P/E Forward = 31.25
P/S = 5.3894
P/EG = 2.078
Revenue TTM = 709.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 198.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 224.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.21b + ST Debt 3.40m) + Leases 60.6m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.27b - CCE 128.8m)
Enterprise Value = 4.97b USD (3.82b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 128.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.43 (Ebit TTM 198.9m / Interest Expense TTM 36.6m)
EV/FCF = 37.64x (Enterprise Value 4.97b / FCF TTM 132.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.66% (FCF TTM 132.0m / Enterprise Value 4.97b)
FCF Margin = 18.61% (FCF TTM 132.0m / Revenue TTM 709.5m)
Net Margin = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 111.9m / Revenue TTM 709.5m)
Gross Margin = 82.58% ((Revenue TTM 709.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 123.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 82.82% (prev 82.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.66 (Enterprise Value 4.97b / Total Assets 648.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.88% (Interest Expense 36.6m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 26.35% (10.7m / 40.6m)
NOPAT = 146.5m (EBIT 198.9m * (1 - 26.35%))
Current Ratio = 2.24 (Total Current Assets 216.9m / Total Current Liabilities 96.7m)
Debt / Equity = -1.59 (negative equity) (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -799.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.10 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 224.6m)
Debt / FCF = 8.67 (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM 132.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -731.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.63% (Net Income 111.9m / Total Assets 648.9m)
RoE = 153.0% (Net Income TTM 111.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 73.1m)
RoCE = 15.50% (EBIT 198.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 73.1m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 26.37% (NOPAT 146.5m / Invested Capital 555.5m)
WACC = 8.50% (E(3.82b)/V(5.10b) * Re(10.62%) + D(1.27b)/V(5.10b) * Rd(2.88%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.28 | Cagr: -3.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.50% ; FCFF base≈115.0m ; Y1≈131.8m ; Y5≈194.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 62.48 (EV 2.85b - Net Debt 1.15b = Equity 1.70b / Shares 27.2m; r=8.50% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.43 | EPS CAGR: 27.47% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.28 | Revenue CAGR: 23.28% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=-6.32% | Revisions=-60% | Analysts=28
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=-5.13% | Revisions=-68% | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=-0.98% | Revisions=-27% | GrowthEPS=+11.9% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.60 | Chg30d=-3.50% | Revisions=-56% | GrowthEPS=+22.5% | GrowthRev=+15.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -68%