(WING) Wingstop - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9741551033
Wings, Boneless Wings, Tenders, Fries, Chicken Sandwich
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.90% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -34.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 63.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 73.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.37 |
| Alpha | -41.45 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.586 |
| Beta | 0.927 |
| Beta Downside | 0.822 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.60% |
| Mean DD | 17.05% |
| Median DD | 13.57% |
Description: WING Wingstop November 04, 2025
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) operates a franchised chain of quick-service restaurants specializing in cooked-to-order chicken wings, boneless wings, tenders, chicken sandwiches, and sides. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the brand emphasizes a limited menu with a focus on flavor variety and fast preparation.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include its same-store sales growth, which has averaged roughly 12% YoY over the past three fiscal years, and its expanding unit count-over 1,800 locations worldwide, with more than 70% owned by franchisees, driving higher royalty margins. The company’s average unit volume (AUV) sits near $1.2 million annually, reflecting strong per-store performance relative to the broader fast-casual segment.
Sector-level drivers influencing Wingstop’s outlook are rising consumer demand for affordable indulgent foods, the resilience of the quick-service restaurant (QSR) model during economic downturns, and exposure to chicken commodity price volatility, which can compress margins if not hedged effectively.
For a deeper dive into Wingstop’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research tools useful for building a more data-driven investment case.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (174.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 41.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -20.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 35.32% (prev 8.01%; Δ 27.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 103.5m <= Net Income 174.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (983.5m) to EBITDA (293.8m) ratio: 3.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (28.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.41% (prev 48.14%; Δ 0.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 113.3% (prev 121.9%; Δ -8.64pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.16 (EBITDA TTM 293.8m / Interest Expense TTM 33.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.47
| (A) 0.33 = (Total Current Assets 320.2m - Total Current Liabilities 79.0m) / Total Assets 721.0m |
| (B) -0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -709.7m / Total Assets 721.0m |
| (C) 0.45 = EBIT TTM 269.3m / Avg Total Assets 602.9m |
| (D) -0.49 = Book Value of Equity -703.7m / Total Liabilities 1.42b |
| Total Rating: 1.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.54
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.79% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.81 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.71)% |
| 7. RoE -25.08% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend 93.80% |
What is the price of WING shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 235.89 with a total of 812,132 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.41%, over one month by -2.10%, over three months by -11.21% and over the past year by -26.63%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.41%, over one month by -2.10%, over three months by -11.21% and over the past year by -26.63%.
Is WING a buy, sell or hold?
Wingstop has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.15.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy WING.
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WING price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 318.1 | 34.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 318.1 | 34.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 260.1 | 10.3% |
WING Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
Market Cap USD = 6.91b (6.91b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 40.2423
P/E Forward = 50.7614
P/S = 10.1187
P/EG = 2.4231
Beta = 1.749
Revenue TTM = 683.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 269.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 293.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 983.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.89b USD (6.91b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 286.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 269.3m / Interest Expense TTM 33.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.79% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Enterprise Value 7.89b)
FCF Margin = 9.16% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Net Margin = 25.51% (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Gross Margin = 48.41% ((Revenue TTM 683.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 352.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.85% (prev 48.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.95 (Enterprise Value 7.89b / Total Assets 721.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 9.20m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 28.14% (11.2m / 39.6m)
NOPAT = 193.5m (EBIT 269.3m * (1 - 28.14%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 320.2m / Total Current Liabilities 79.0m)
Debt / Equity = -1.81 (negative equity) (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -702.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.35 (Net Debt 983.5m / EBITDA 293.8m)
Debt / FCF = 15.73 (Net Debt 983.5m / FCF TTM 62.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -694.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.17% (Net Income 174.3m / Total Assets 721.0m)
RoE = -25.08% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -694.8m)
RoCE = 52.44% (EBIT 269.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -694.8m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 37.76% (NOPAT 193.5m / Invested Capital 512.5m)
WACC = 8.05% (E(6.91b)/V(8.18b) * Re(9.43%) + D(1.27b)/V(8.18b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.07% ; FCFE base≈93.4m ; Y1≈115.2m ; Y5≈196.5m
Fair Price DCF = 93.68 (DCF Value 2.60b / Shares Outstanding 27.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.80 | EPS CAGR: 49.71% | SUE: 1.79 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 97.94 | Revenue CAGR: 26.85% | SUE: -1.78 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-0.104 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=21
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.83 | Chg30d=-0.210 | Revisions Net=-19 | Growth EPS=+23.1% | Growth Revenue=+18.2%
P/E Trailing = 40.2423
P/E Forward = 50.7614
P/S = 10.1187
P/EG = 2.4231
Beta = 1.749
Revenue TTM = 683.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 269.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 293.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 983.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.89b USD (6.91b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 286.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 269.3m / Interest Expense TTM 33.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.79% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Enterprise Value 7.89b)
FCF Margin = 9.16% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Net Margin = 25.51% (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Gross Margin = 48.41% ((Revenue TTM 683.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 352.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.85% (prev 48.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.95 (Enterprise Value 7.89b / Total Assets 721.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 9.20m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 28.14% (11.2m / 39.6m)
NOPAT = 193.5m (EBIT 269.3m * (1 - 28.14%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 320.2m / Total Current Liabilities 79.0m)
Debt / Equity = -1.81 (negative equity) (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -702.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.35 (Net Debt 983.5m / EBITDA 293.8m)
Debt / FCF = 15.73 (Net Debt 983.5m / FCF TTM 62.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -694.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.17% (Net Income 174.3m / Total Assets 721.0m)
RoE = -25.08% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -694.8m)
RoCE = 52.44% (EBIT 269.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -694.8m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 37.76% (NOPAT 193.5m / Invested Capital 512.5m)
WACC = 8.05% (E(6.91b)/V(8.18b) * Re(9.43%) + D(1.27b)/V(8.18b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.07% ; FCFE base≈93.4m ; Y1≈115.2m ; Y5≈196.5m
Fair Price DCF = 93.68 (DCF Value 2.60b / Shares Outstanding 27.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.80 | EPS CAGR: 49.71% | SUE: 1.79 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 97.94 | Revenue CAGR: 26.85% | SUE: -1.78 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-0.104 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=21
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.83 | Chg30d=-0.210 | Revisions Net=-19 | Growth EPS=+23.1% | Growth Revenue=+18.2%
Additional Sources for WING Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle