WMT Stock Analysis: Walmart | NASDAQ

Discount Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 879.845m USD | 12M Return: 10.9% | US9311421039 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Grocery, Apparel, Electronics, Pharmacy
Total Rating 47
Safety 72
Buy Signal -0.78
Discount Stores
Industry Rotation: +15.0
Market Cap: 880B
Avg Turnover: 2.26B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.82%
VaR vs Median-0.55%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.36
Rel. Str. IBD35.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group29.2
Character TTM
Beta0.118
Beta Downside0.249
Hurst Exponent0.478
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD23.34%
CAGR/Max DD1.26
CAGR/Mean DD5.30
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of WMT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-10": 0.37, "2022-01": 0.43, "2022-04": 0.25, "2022-07": 0.63, "2022-10": -0.22, "2023-01": 0.77, "2023-04": 0.21, "2023-07": 0.97, "2023-10": 0.0559, "2024-01": 0.68, "2024-04": 0.63, "2024-07": 0.56, "2024-10": 0.57, "2025-01": 0.65, "2025-04": 0.61, "2025-07": 0.88, "2025-10": 0.77, "2026-01": 0.53, "2026-04": 0.66, "2026-07": 0.81,
EPS CAGR: 16.15%
EPS Trend: 88.8%
Last SUE: 0.72
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of WMT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-10: 140525, 2022-01: 152871, 2022-04: 141569, 2022-07: 152859, 2022-10: 152813, 2023-01: 164048, 2023-04: 152301, 2023-07: 161632, 2023-10: 160804, 2024-01: 173388, 2024-04: 161508, 2024-07: 169335, 2024-10: 169588, 2025-01: 180554, 2025-04: 165609, 2025-07: 177402, 2025-10: 179496, 2026-01: 190656, 2026-04: 177751, 2026-07: 187937,
Rev. CAGR: 5.03%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Last SUE: 0.60
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.9% 23
Feb -2.3% 8
Mar +2.1% 20
Apr +1.4% 30
May -0.6% 10
Jun -2.0% 9
Jul +0.1% 5
Aug +2.1% 19
Sep -0.7% 24
Oct -0.6% 0
Nov +2.5% 2
Dec -1.7% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WMT Walmart

Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ: WMT) is a global retail and wholesale operator headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, founded in 1945 and publicly traded since 1972. The company runs three reporting segments-Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sams Club U.S.-spanning supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores, alongside ecommerce websites and mobile applications such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, and flipkart.com. Its merchandise mix covers groceries, consumables, health and wellness products, home and seasonal goods, consumer electronics, apparel, and fuel, supplemented by financial services, digital payment platforms (including PhonePe), and private and licensed brand lines.

Classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the GICS framework, Walmart operates a high-volume, low-cost omnichannel model that combines extensive physical store footprints with a growing digital presence. Its Sams Club segment reflects a membership-based warehouse club format, an alternative to the traditional discount store approach used across the broader Walmart-branded network.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Walmart U.S. comp sales accelerate on grocery share gains
  • Advertising and fulfillment revenue expand operating margins
  • International losses narrow as Flipkart and PhonePe scale
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 22.1b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.66% < 20% (prev -3.11%; Δ -0.55% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 42.9b > Net Income 22.1b
Net Debt (85.6b) to EBITDA (46.8b): 1.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (7.98b) vs 12m ago -0.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.23% > 18% (prev 24.90%; Δ 0.33% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 260.6% > 50% (prev 255.9%; Δ 4.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 31.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.35b)
Altman Z'' 1.85
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 88.7b - Total Current Liabilities 116b) / Total Assets 294b
B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 104b / Total Assets 294b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 31.7b / Avg Total Assets 282b)
D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 98.2b / Total Liabilities 189b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.85 = BBB
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 11.1b/10.5b, Revenue 736b/693b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 24.90% / 25.23%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 736b / 693b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 22.1b - CFO 42.9b) / TA 294b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of WMT shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 112.28 with a total of 17,493,315 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.74%, over one month by +2.93%, over three months by -1.94% and over the past year by +10.87%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 109.60 (which is 2.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is WMT a buy, sell or hold?

Walmart has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.47. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WMT.

  • StrongBuy: 27
  • Buy: 10
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WMT price?
Analysts Target Price 126.8 12.9%
Walmart (WMT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 880b (880b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 40.058
P/E Forward = 38.0228
P/S = 1.1957
P/B = 8.9265
P/EG = 4.2203
Revenue TTM = 736b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.7b USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.8b USD
Long Term Debt = 36.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.5b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 97.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 23.3b
Net Debt = 85.6b USD (calculated: Debt 97.1b - CCE 11.5b)
Enterprise Value = 965b USD (880b + Debt 97.1b - CCE 11.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.45 (Ebit TTM 31.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.35b)
EV/FCF = 71.46x (Enterprise Value 965b / FCF TTM 13.5b)
FCF Yield = 1.40% (FCF TTM 13.5b / Enterprise Value 965b)
FCF Margin = 1.84% (FCF TTM 13.5b / Revenue TTM 736b)
Net Margin = 3.00% (Net Income TTM 22.1b / Revenue TTM 736b)
Gross Margin = 25.23% ((Revenue TTM 736b - Cost of Revenue TTM 550b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.14% (prev 25.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.28 (Enterprise Value 965b / Total Assets 294b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.43% (Interest Expense 2.35b / Debt 97.1b)
Taxrate = 23.25% (6.82b / 29.3b)
NOPAT = 24.3b (EBIT 31.7b * (1 - 23.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 88.7b / Total Current Liabilities 116b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 97.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 98.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.83 (Net Debt 85.6b / EBITDA 46.8b)
Debt / FCF = 6.33 (Net Debt 85.6b / FCF TTM 13.5b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 97.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.82% (Net Income 22.1b / Total Assets 294b)
RoE = 22.74% (Net Income TTM 22.1b / Total Stockholder Equity 97.1b)
RoCE = 23.72% (EBIT 31.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 97.1b + L.T.Debt 36.5b))
RoIC = 13.26% (NOPAT 24.3b / Invested Capital 183b)
WACC = 5.95% (E(880b)/V(977b) * Re(6.40%) + D(97.1b)/V(977b) * Rd(2.43%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.22 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.20% ; FCFF base≈13.6b ; Y1≈13.5b ; Y5≈13.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.38 (EV 216b - Net Debt 85.6b = Equity 130b / Shares 7.96b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -1.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 88.79 | EPS CAGR: 16.15% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.70 | Revenue CAGR: 5.03% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=-91% | Analysts=35
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.89 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-13% | GrowthEPS=+9.3% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=3.22 | Chg30d=-0.20% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+11.7% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56% (up=13, down=50)