WMT Stock Analysis: Walmart | NASDAQ

Discount Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 816.738m USD | 12M Return: 8.2% | US9311421039 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Groceries, Consumer Electronics, Health Wellness, Home Goods
Total Rating 50
Safety 65
Buy Signal -0.84
Discount Stores
Industry Rotation: -1.3
Market Cap: 817B
Avg Turnover: 2.78B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.2%
VaR 5th Pctl5.79%
VaR vs Median-0.03%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.27
Rel. Str. IBD13.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group15.3
Character TTM
Beta0.092
Beta Downside0.237
Hurst Exponent0.492
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD23.34%
CAGR/Max DD1.10
CAGR/Mean DD5.31
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of WMT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 0.51, "2021-10": 0.37, "2022-01": 0.43, "2022-04": 0.25, "2022-07": 0.63, "2022-10": -0.22, "2023-01": 0.77, "2023-04": 0.21, "2023-07": 0.97, "2023-10": 0.0559, "2024-01": 0.68, "2024-04": 0.63, "2024-07": 0.56, "2024-10": 0.57, "2025-01": 0.65, "2025-04": 0.61, "2025-07": 0.88, "2025-10": 0.77, "2026-01": 0.53, "2026-04": 0.66, "2026-07": 0.81,
EPS CAGR: 16.15%
EPS Trend: 88.8%
Last SUE: 0.72
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of WMT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 141048, 2021-10: 140525, 2022-01: 152871, 2022-04: 141569, 2022-07: 152859, 2022-10: 152813, 2023-01: 164048, 2023-04: 152301, 2023-07: 161632, 2023-10: 160804, 2024-01: 173388, 2024-04: 161508, 2024-07: 169335, 2024-10: 169588, 2025-01: 180554, 2025-04: 165609, 2025-07: 177402, 2025-10: 179496, 2026-01: 190656, 2026-04: 177751, 2026-07: 187937,
Rev. CAGR: 5.03%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Last SUE: 0.60
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.9% 23
Feb -2.3% 8
Mar +2.1% 20
Apr +1.4% 30
May -0.6% 10
Jun -2.0% 9
Jul +0.1% 5
Aug +2.4% 30
Sep -0.7% 24
Oct -0.6% 0
Nov +2.5% 2
Dec -1.7% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WMT Walmart

Walmart Inc. is a global mass-market retailer that operates physical stores, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications, organized through three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sams Club U.S. The company runs a mix of supercenters, supermarkets, discount stores, warehouse clubs, and cash-and-carry outlets, alongside a growing digital footprint that includes sites such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, and flipkart.com.

Its merchandise spans groceries, consumables, health and wellness, apparel, home goods, electronics, and fuel, supplemented by pharmacy, optical, and hearing services. Walmart also operates digital payment and financial services platforms-including money transfers, bill payments, co-branded credit cards, and earned wage access-and sells under both private and licensed brands.

Founded in 1945 and headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, the company was renamed from Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. As a mega-cap member of the Consumer Staples sector, it operates a defensive, high-volume, omnichannel business model that combines everyday-low-price brick-and-mortar retail with expanding digital commerce and adjacent financial services.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Grocery and private brand gains drive Walmart U.S. traffic
  • E-commerce and advertising revenue expands high-margin segments
  • Consumers trade down boosting market share against premium retailers
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 22.1b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.66% < 20% (prev -3.11%; Δ -0.55% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 42.9b > Net Income 22.1b
Net Debt (84.9b) to EBITDA (46.5b): 1.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (7.98b) vs 12m ago -0.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.23% > 18% (prev 24.90%; Δ 0.33% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 260.6% > 50% (prev 255.9%; Δ 4.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.71 > 6 (EBIT TTM 32.3b / Interest Expense TTM 2.35b)
Altman Z'' 1.86
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 88.7b - Total Current Liabilities 116b) / Total Assets 294b
B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 104b / Total Assets 294b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 32.3b / Avg Total Assets 282b)
D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 98.2b / Total Liabilities 189b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.86 = BBB
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 11.1b/10.5b, Revenue 736b/693b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 24.90% / 25.23%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 736b / 693b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 22.1b - CFO 42.9b) / TA 294b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of WMT shares?

As of August 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 103.09 with a total of 19,350,259 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.59%, over one month by -8.63%, over three months by -13.09% and over the past year by +8.17%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.50 (which is 3.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is WMT a buy, sell or hold?

Walmart has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.49. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WMT.

  • StrongBuy: 27
  • Buy: 12
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the WMT price?
Analysts Target Price 128 24.1%
Walmart (WMT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 29 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 817b (817b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 37.0505
P/E Forward = 35.8423
P/S = 1.1099
P/B = 8.4524
P/EG = 3.9771
Revenue TTM = 736b USD
EBIT TTM = 32.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 34.6b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 16.5b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 96.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 22.7b
Net Debt = 84.9b USD (calculated: Debt 96.5b - CCE 11.5b)
Enterprise Value = 902b USD (817b + Debt 96.5b - CCE 11.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.71 (Ebit TTM 32.3b / Interest Expense TTM 2.35b)
EV/FCF = 66.75x (Enterprise Value 902b / FCF TTM 13.5b)
FCF Yield = 1.50% (FCF TTM 13.5b / Enterprise Value 902b)
FCF Margin = 1.84% (FCF TTM 13.5b / Revenue TTM 736b)
Net Margin = 3.00% (Net Income TTM 22.1b / Revenue TTM 736b)
Gross Margin = 25.23% ((Revenue TTM 736b - Cost of Revenue TTM 550b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.14% (prev 25.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.07 (Enterprise Value 902b / Total Assets 294b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.44% (Interest Expense 2.35b / Debt 96.5b)
Taxrate = 23.25% (6.82b / 29.3b)
NOPAT = 24.8b (EBIT 32.3b * (1 - 23.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 88.7b / Total Current Liabilities 116b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 96.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 98.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.83 (Net Debt 84.9b / EBITDA 46.5b)
Debt / FCF = 6.29 (Net Debt 84.9b / FCF TTM 13.5b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 97.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.82% (Net Income 22.1b / Total Assets 294b)
RoE = 22.74% (Net Income TTM 22.1b / Total Stockholder Equity 97.1b)
RoCE = 24.51% (EBIT 32.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 97.1b + L.T.Debt 34.6b))
RoIC = 13.52% (NOPAT 24.8b / Invested Capital 183b)
WACC = 5.84% (E(817b)/V(913b) * Re(6.31%) + D(96.5b)/V(913b) * Rd(2.44%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.22 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.20% ; FCFF base≈13.6b ; Y1≈13.5b ; Y5≈13.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.46 (EV 216b - Net Debt 84.9b = Equity 131b / Shares 7.96b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -1.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 88.79 | EPS CAGR: 16.15% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.70 | Revenue CAGR: 5.03% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-7.09% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=30
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.88 | Chg30d=-0.75% | Revisions=-73% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=3.22 | Chg30d=-1.76% | Revisions=-55% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=3, down=18)