WMT Stock Analysis: Walmart | NASDAQ
Discount Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 890.032m USD | 12M Return: 14.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 2.83B
EPS Trend: 92.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Walmart Inc. is a global mass-market retailer that operates physical stores, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications, organized through three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sams Club U.S. The company runs a mix of supercenters, supermarkets, discount stores, warehouse clubs, and cash-and-carry outlets, alongside a growing digital footprint that includes sites such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, and flipkart.com.
Its merchandise spans groceries, consumables, health and wellness, apparel, home goods, electronics, and fuel, supplemented by pharmacy, optical, and hearing services. Walmart also operates digital payment and financial services platforms-including money transfers, bill payments, co-branded credit cards, and earned wage access-and sells under both private and licensed brands.
Founded in 1945 and headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, the company was renamed from Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. As a mega-cap member of the Consumer Staples sector, it operates a defensive, high-volume, omnichannel business model that combines everyday-low-price brick-and-mortar retail with expanding digital commerce and adjacent financial services.
- Grocery and private brand gains drive Walmart U.S. traffic
- E-commerce and advertising revenue expands high-margin segments
- Consumers trade down boosting market share against premium retailers
| Net Income: 23.1b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.61% < 20% (prev -3.31%; Δ -0.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 40.9b > Net Income 23.1b |
| Net Debt (86.2b) to EBITDA (48.1b): 1.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (8.00b) vs 12m ago -0.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.98% > 18% (prev 24.88%; Δ 0.09% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 262.8% > 50% (prev 261.1%; Δ 1.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.70 > 6 (EBIT TTM 33.5b / Interest Expense TTM 2.86b) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 88.4b - Total Current Liabilities 115b) / Total Assets 290b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 100b / Total Assets 290b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 33.5b / Avg Total Assets 276b) |
| D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 94.3b / Total Liabilities 189b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.88 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 10.7b/9.69b, Revenue 725b/685b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 24.88% / 24.98%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 725b / 685b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 23.1b - CFO 40.9b) / TA 290b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 111.84 with a total of 29,526,200 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.40%, over one month by -4.32%, over three months by -11.62% and over the past year by +14.66%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.10 (which is 3.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Walmart has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.49. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WMT.
- StrongBuy: 27
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 138.6 | 23.9% |
P/E Trailing = 39.3803
P/E Forward = 37.3134
P/S = 1.2271
P/B = 9.1805
P/EG = 4.1408
Revenue TTM = 725b USD
EBIT TTM = 33.5b USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.1b USD
Long Term Debt = 36.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.1b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 96.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 22.7b
Net Debt = 86.2b USD (calculated: Debt 96.9b - CCE 10.7b)
Enterprise Value = 976b USD (890b + Debt 96.9b - CCE 10.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.70 (Ebit TTM 33.5b / Interest Expense TTM 2.86b)
EV/FCF = 77.77x (Enterprise Value 976b / FCF TTM 12.6b)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 12.6b / Enterprise Value 976b)
FCF Margin = 1.73% (FCF TTM 12.6b / Revenue TTM 725b)
Net Margin = 3.18% (Net Income TTM 23.1b / Revenue TTM 725b)
Gross Margin = 24.98% ((Revenue TTM 725b - Cost of Revenue TTM 544b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.14% (prev 24.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.37 (Enterprise Value 976b / Total Assets 290b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.95% (Interest Expense 2.86b / Debt 96.9b)
Taxrate = 24.50% (7.50b / 30.6b)
NOPAT = 25.3b (EBIT 33.5b * (1 - 24.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 88.4b / Total Current Liabilities 115b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 96.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 94.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.79 (Net Debt 86.2b / EBITDA 48.1b)
Debt / FCF = 6.87 (Net Debt 86.2b / FCF TTM 12.6b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 95.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.35% (Net Income 23.1b / Total Assets 290b)
RoE = 24.26% (Net Income TTM 23.1b / Total Stockholder Equity 95.0b)
RoCE = 25.38% (EBIT 33.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 95.0b + L.T.Debt 36.9b))
RoIC = 13.94% (NOPAT 25.3b / Invested Capital 181b)
WACC = 6.39% (E(890b)/V(987b) * Re(6.84%) + D(96.9b)/V(987b) * Rd(2.95%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -0.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.42% ; FCFF base≈12.9b ; Y1≈12.2b ; Y5≈11.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.85 (EV 180b - Net Debt 86.2b = Equity 94.3b / Shares 7.96b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -7.10% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.15 | EPS CAGR: 19.48% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.76 | Revenue CAGR: 4.96% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-4% | Analysts=33
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=32
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.90 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=+10.0% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=3.29 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+3% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+4.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1% (up=49, down=48)