(WYNN) Wynn Resorts - Ratings and Ratios
Casino, Hotel, Spa, Dining, Retail
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.86% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.95% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 15.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 |
| Alpha | 20.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.589 |
| Beta | 1.194 |
| Beta Downside | 1.219 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.69% |
| Mean DD | 15.27% |
| Median DD | 15.39% |
Description: WYNN Wynn Resorts January 03, 2026
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN) is a U.S.–incorporated operator of integrated luxury resorts, organized into four geographic segments: Wynn Palace (Macau), Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. Each segment combines high-end casino floors-including private gaming salons, sky-casinos, and poker rooms-with upscale hotel towers, full-service spas, extensive food-and-beverage outlets, retail space, and convention facilities.
As of FY 2023, Wynn reported total revenue of $6.2 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 27 % and a 5 % YoY increase in gaming revenue driven largely by a rebound in Asian discretionary spending. Occupancy across its hotel properties averaged ≈ 84 % in 2023, while average daily rate (ADR) rose to $380, reflecting the brand’s premium positioning. The company’s exposure to macro-drivers such as U.S. consumer confidence, tourism flows to Las Vegas, and Chinese outbound travel is a key risk factor; a 1 % change in U.S. consumer confidence historically correlates with a 0.4 % swing in its U.S. gaming revenue.
Investors seeking a deeper quantitative view of Wynn’s valuation dynamics may find ValueRay’s proprietary cash-flow model and scenario analysis useful for assessing upside under a “re-opening China” scenario.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (504.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 426.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.34% (prev 20.30%; Δ -4.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.35b > Net Income 504.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.71b) to EBITDA (1.90b) ratio: 5.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (103.6m) change vs 12m ago -5.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.25% (prev 43.70%; Δ -1.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.84% (prev 50.52%; Δ 2.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.03 (EBITDA TTM 1.90b / Interest Expense TTM 633.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.70
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 2.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.44b) / Total Assets 12.80b |
| (B) -0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.53b / Total Assets 12.80b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 1.28b / Avg Total Assets 13.46b |
| (D) -0.11 = Book Value of Equity -1.53b / Total Liabilities 13.94b |
| Total Rating: 0.70 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.74
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.21% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.36% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -32.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.78)% |
| 7. RoE -144.4% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.63% |
What is the price of WYNN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.29%, over one month by -8.46%, over three months by -5.12% and over the past year by +42.51%.
Is WYNN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WYNN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 144.5 | 24.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 144.5 | 24.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126.8 | 9% |
WYNN Fundamental Data Overview December 31, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.1109
P/E Forward = 18.4843
P/S = 1.7879
P/B = 13.9389
P/EG = 3.5559
Beta = 1.092
Revenue TTM = 7.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.71m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.95b USD (12.71b + Debt 12.20b - CCE 1.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.03 (Ebit TTM 1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 633.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.21% (FCF TTM 736.7m / Enterprise Value 22.95b)
FCF Margin = 10.36% (FCF TTM 736.7m / Revenue TTM 7.11b)
Net Margin = 7.09% (Net Income TTM 504.3m / Revenue TTM 7.11b)
Gross Margin = 42.25% ((Revenue TTM 7.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.24% (prev 41.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 22.95b / Total Assets 12.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 157.6m / Debt 12.20b)
Taxrate = 32.25% (61.1m / 189.6m)
NOPAT = 869.7m (EBIT 1.28b * (1 - 32.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.76 (Total Current Assets 2.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.44b)
Debt / Equity = -32.96 (negative equity) (Debt 12.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -370.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.65 (Net Debt 10.71b / EBITDA 1.90b)
Debt / FCF = 14.54 (Net Debt 10.71b / FCF TTM 736.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -349.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.94% (Net Income 504.3m / Total Assets 12.80b)
RoE = -144.4% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 504.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -349.1m)
RoCE = 12.57% (EBIT 1.28b / Capital Employed (Equity -349.1m + L.T.Debt 10.56b))
RoIC = 8.52% (NOPAT 869.7m / Invested Capital 10.20b)
WACC = 5.75% (E(12.71b)/V(24.91b) * Re(10.42%) + D(12.20b)/V(24.91b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.16% ; FCFE base≈833.4m ; Y1≈658.0m ; Y5≈435.2m
Fair Price DCF = 54.32 (DCF Value 5.65b / Shares Outstanding 104.0m; 5y FCF grow -25.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.63 | EPS CAGR: 86.98% | SUE: -2.86 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 16.26% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=+0.054 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.44 | Chg30d=+0.119 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+39.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
Additional Sources for WYNN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle