(WYNN) Wynn Resorts - Overview
Stock: Casino, Hotel, Spa, Dining, Retail
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.98% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.01% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 15.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.76 |
| Alpha | 11.64 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.216 |
| Beta Downside | 1.191 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
Description: WYNN Wynn Resorts January 03, 2026
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN) is a U.S.–incorporated operator of integrated luxury resorts, organized into four geographic segments: Wynn Palace (Macau), Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. Each segment combines high-end casino floors-including private gaming salons, sky-casinos, and poker rooms-with upscale hotel towers, full-service spas, extensive food-and-beverage outlets, retail space, and convention facilities.
As of FY 2023, Wynn reported total revenue of $6.2 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 27 % and a 5 % YoY increase in gaming revenue driven largely by a rebound in Asian discretionary spending. Occupancy across its hotel properties averaged ≈ 84 % in 2023, while average daily rate (ADR) rose to $380, reflecting the brand’s premium positioning. The company’s exposure to macro-drivers such as U.S. consumer confidence, tourism flows to Las Vegas, and Chinese outbound travel is a key risk factor; a 1 % change in U.S. consumer confidence historically correlates with a 0.4 % swing in its U.S. gaming revenue.
Investors seeking a deeper quantitative view of Wynn’s valuation dynamics may find ValueRay’s proprietary cash-flow model and scenario analysis useful for assessing upside under a “re-opening China” scenario.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 504.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.34% < 20% (prev 20.30%; Δ -4.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.35b > Net Income 504.3m |
| Net Debt (10.71b) to EBITDA (1.90b): 5.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (103.6m) vs 12m ago -5.55% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.25% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 4181 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.84% > 50% (prev 50.52%; Δ 2.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.03 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.90b / Interest Expense TTM 633.2m) |
Altman Z'' 0.70
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.44b) / Total Assets 12.80b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -1.53b / Total Assets 12.80b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.28b / Avg Total Assets 13.46b) |
| D: -0.11 (Book Value of Equity -1.53b / Total Liabilities 13.94b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.70 = B |
Beneish M -2.95
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 352.7m/388.9m, Revenue 7.11b/7.13b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 42.25% / 43.70%) |
| AQI: 1.31 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 7.11b / 7.13b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 504.3m - CFO 1.35b) / TA 12.80b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of WYNN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.35%, over one month by -10.93%, over three months by -9.71% and over the past year by +30.74%.
Is WYNN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WYNN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 144.4 | 32.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 144.4 | 32.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 116 | 6.5% |
WYNN Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.9205
P/S = 1.6636
P/B = 13.9389
P/EG = 3.2531
Revenue TTM = 7.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.71m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.06b USD (11.83b + Debt 12.20b - CCE 1.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.03 (Ebit TTM 1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 633.2m)
EV/FCF = 29.95x (Enterprise Value 22.06b / FCF TTM 736.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.34% (FCF TTM 736.7m / Enterprise Value 22.06b)
FCF Margin = 10.36% (FCF TTM 736.7m / Revenue TTM 7.11b)
Net Margin = 7.09% (Net Income TTM 504.3m / Revenue TTM 7.11b)
Gross Margin = 42.25% ((Revenue TTM 7.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.24% (prev 41.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.72 (Enterprise Value 22.06b / Total Assets 12.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 157.6m / Debt 12.20b)
Taxrate = 32.25% (61.1m / 189.6m)
NOPAT = 869.7m (EBIT 1.28b * (1 - 32.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.76 (Total Current Assets 2.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.44b)
Debt / Equity = -32.96 (negative equity) (Debt 12.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -370.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.65 (Net Debt 10.71b / EBITDA 1.90b)
Debt / FCF = 14.54 (Net Debt 10.71b / FCF TTM 736.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -349.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.75% (Net Income 504.3m / Total Assets 12.80b)
RoE = -144.4% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 504.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -349.1m)
RoCE = 12.57% (EBIT 1.28b / Capital Employed (Equity -349.1m + L.T.Debt 10.56b))
RoIC = 8.52% (NOPAT 869.7m / Invested Capital 10.20b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(11.83b)/V(24.03b) * Re(10.40%) + D(12.20b)/V(24.03b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.60% ; FCFF base≈833.4m ; Y1≈657.9m ; Y5≈434.2m
Fair Price DCF = 25.63 (EV 13.37b - Net Debt 10.71b = Equity 2.66b / Shares 104.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -25.13% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.63 | EPS CAGR: 86.98% | SUE: -2.86 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 16.26% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.33 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+33.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%