(WYNN) Wynn Resorts - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Resorts & Casinos | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 10.177m USD | Total Return: 8.7% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +2.2
Avg Turnover: 138M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 73.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (6.9) with thin interest coverage (1.9)
Altman Z'' 0.42 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Wynn Resorts, Limited is a global developer and operator of high-end integrated resorts, maintaining a portfolio that spans major gaming hubs in Macau, Las Vegas, and Massachusetts. The company’s business model focuses on the luxury segment, combining extensive casino floor space with premium hotel accommodations, fine dining, retail, and large-scale entertainment attractions.
The firm operates through four primary segments: Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau in the Special Administrative Region of China, Las Vegas Operations in Nevada, and Encore Boston Harbor in Massachusetts. This geographic diversification allows the company to capture revenue from both the high-growth Asian gaming market and the established domestic tourism sector in the United States.
In the integrated resort sector, non-gaming revenue from luxury retail and conventions often serves as a critical buffer against the volatility of gaming volumes. For a deeper look at company fundamentals, ValueRay provides additional data and analysis. The company’s strategy emphasizes capital-intensive, iconic architecture and high-service standards to maintain a competitive advantage in the premium leisure market.
- Macau gaming revenue recovery and VIP segment demand drive overall profitability
- Regulatory changes and license renewals in Macau impact long-term valuation
- Las Vegas non-gaming revenue growth offsets potential volatility in casino floor handle
- Interest rate fluctuations influence debt servicing costs for high-leverage development projects
- Strategic expansion into UAE market creates new long-term international revenue stream
| Net Income: 375.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.48% < 20% (prev 2.84%; Δ 3.64% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.37b > Net Income 375.0m |
| Net Debt (12.61b) to EBITDA (1.83b): 6.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (103.8m) vs 12m ago -1.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.72% > 18% (prev 0.43%; Δ 3.83k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.92% > 50% (prev 54.74%; Δ 2.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.94 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.83b / Interest Expense TTM 620.3m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 1.96b) / Total Assets 12.91b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -1.36b / Total Assets 12.91b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 12.81b) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -1.35b / Total Liabilities 13.85b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.42 = B |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 388.5m/334.0m, Revenue 7.29b/6.97b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 38.72% / 42.95%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 7.29b / 6.97b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 375.0m - CFO 1.37b) / TA 12.91b) |
| Beneish M = -2.79 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.53%, over one month by -8.23%, over three months by -7.88% and over the past year by +8.69%.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 135.9 | 37.9% |
P/E Forward = 17.331
P/S = 1.3952
P/B = 103.5902
P/EG = 1.3974
Revenue TTM = 7.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.83b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 547.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.64b
Net Debt = 12.61b USD (calculated: Debt 13.80b - CCE 1.19b)
Enterprise Value = 22.78b USD (10.18b + Debt 13.80b - CCE 1.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.94 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 620.3m)
EV/FCF = 32.88x (Enterprise Value 22.78b / FCF TTM 693.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.04% (FCF TTM 693.1m / Enterprise Value 22.78b)
FCF Margin = 9.50% (FCF TTM 693.1m / Revenue TTM 7.29b)
Net Margin = 5.14% (Net Income TTM 375.0m / Revenue TTM 7.29b)
Gross Margin = 38.72% ((Revenue TTM 7.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.16% (prev 31.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.77 (Enterprise Value 22.78b / Total Assets 12.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 152.4m / Debt 13.80b)
Taxrate = 6.31% (10.1m / 160.7m)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 6.31%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 1.96b)
Debt / Equity = -65.13 (negative equity) (Debt 13.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -211.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.90 (Net Debt 12.61b / EBITDA 1.83b)
Debt / FCF = 18.19 (Net Debt 12.61b / FCF TTM 693.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -898.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.93% (Net Income 375.0m / Total Assets 12.91b)
RoE = 81.23% (Net Income TTM 375.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 461.7m)
RoCE = 11.52% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 461.7m + L.T.Debt 9.98b))
RoIC = 10.93% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 10.31b)
WACC = 4.71% (E(10.18b)/V(23.97b) * Re(9.70%) + D(13.80b)/V(23.97b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 9.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -77.78 | Cagr: -3.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.92% ; FCFF base≈719.8m ; Y1≈582.3m ; Y5≈404.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 12.36b - Net Debt 12.61b = -249.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.68 | Revenue CAGR: 10.14% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-14.90% | Revisions=-47% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=-9.17% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.72 | Chg30d=-5.88% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=-12.61% | Revisions=-45% | GrowthEPS=+12.8% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -47%