(XEL) Xcel Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Wind, Solar, Transmission
XEL EPS (Earnings per Share)
XEL Revenue
Description: XEL Xcel Energy
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) is a vertically integrated utility that generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and natural gas across eight states (CO, MI, MN, NM, ND, SD, TX, WI). Its operations are split between a Regulated Electric Utility segment-fueling power plants with a mix that includes wind, nuclear, hydro, biomass, solar, coal, natural gas, oil, wood, and refuse-derived fuels-and a Regulated Natural Gas Utility segment that handles wholesale procurement, pipeline transport, storage, compression, and retail distribution of natural gas.
Key operational metrics from the most recent 2023 Form 10-K show Xcel’s regulated electric revenue grew ~3.2% YoY to $9.6 billion, while its natural gas revenue rose ~2.8% to $3.2 billion. The company reported a net income of $1.1 billion and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4%, reflecting the stable cash-flow profile typical of regulated utilities. Xcel is actively expanding its renewable portfolio, adding 2.4 GW of wind and solar capacity in 2023-part of its goal to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2050-while simultaneously investing in pipeline upgrades to meet growing demand for natural gas in the Midwest and Southwest.
Given the broader sector shift toward decarbonization, Xcel’s exposure to both clean-energy growth and legacy fossil-fuel assets creates a nuanced risk-return profile; analysts should watch state-level Renewable Portfolio Standards and federal infrastructure funding as primary drivers of future earnings. For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers granular financial and ESG metrics that can help you assess XEL’s risk-adjusted upside.
XEL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 48,408m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-09-24 |
XEL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 64.0% |
| Fundamental | 42.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 52.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 14.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.18 of 5 |
XEL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.61% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -1.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 61.9% |
XEL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 60.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 79.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 31.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 14.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.46 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.45 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.17 |
| Alpha | 26.92 |
| Beta | 0.378 |
| Volatility | 19.14% |
| Current Volume | 4904.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4129.8k |
| Stop Loss | 79.3 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.45 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (2.07b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 837.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.57% (prev -1.46%; Δ -0.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.51b > Net Income 2.07b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (31.87b) to EBITDA (5.87b) ratio: 5.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (582.0m) change vs 12m ago 4.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.82% (prev 45.98%; Δ -0.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.48% (prev 20.29%; Δ -0.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.33 (EBITDA TTM 5.87b / Interest Expense TTM 1.24b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.83
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 5.67b - Total Current Liabilities 5.89b) / Total Assets 75.34b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.81b / Total Assets 75.34b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 2.90b / Avg Total Assets 71.63b |
| (D) 0.19 = Book Value of Equity 10.22b / Total Liabilities 54.38b |
| Total Rating: 0.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.47
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.27% = -0.64 |
| 3. FCF Margin -7.32% = -2.75 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.59 = 1.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.43 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.82)% = 2.27 |
| 7. RoE 10.41% = 0.87 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -46.16% = -3.46 |
| 9. EPS Trend -3.49% = -0.17 |
What is the price of XEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +11.98%, over three months by +20.65% and over the past year by +33.24%.
Is Xcel Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of XEL is around 83.48 USD . This means that XEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.05%.
Is XEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 81.8 | -0% |
| Analysts Target Price | 81.8 | -0% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 90.1 | 10.1% |
Last update: 2025-10-10 03:55
XEL Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 22.6731
P/E Forward = 19.4175
P/S = 3.4684
P/B = 2.246
P/EG = 2.9416
Beta = 0.378
Revenue TTM = 13.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.90b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 31.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.28b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.87b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 80.28b USD (48.41b + Debt 33.33b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.33 (Ebit TTM 2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 1.24b)
FCF Yield = -1.27% (FCF TTM -1.02b / Enterprise Value 80.28b)
FCF Margin = -7.32% (FCF TTM -1.02b / Revenue TTM 13.96b)
Net Margin = 14.85% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 13.96b)
Gross Margin = 45.82% ((Revenue TTM 13.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.43% (prev 43.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 80.28b / Total Assets 75.34b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 331.0m / Debt 33.33b)
Taxrate = -15.62% (negative due to tax credits) (-60.0m / 384.0m)
NOPAT = 3.35b (EBIT 2.90b * (1 - -15.62%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 5.67b / Total Current Liabilities 5.89b)
Debt / Equity = 1.59 (Debt 33.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.43 (Net Debt 31.87b / EBITDA 5.87b)
Debt / FCF = -31.19 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 31.87b / FCF TTM -1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.75% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 75.34b)
RoE = 10.41% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.91b)
RoCE = 5.68% (EBIT 2.90b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.91b + L.T.Debt 31.10b))
RoIC = 6.67% (NOPAT 3.35b / Invested Capital 50.20b)
WACC = 4.86% (E(48.41b)/V(81.73b) * Re(7.41%) + D(33.33b)/V(81.73b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(-0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.02b)
EPS Correlation: -3.49 | EPS CAGR: -15.19% | SUE: 1.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -46.16 | Revenue CAGR: -7.57% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for XEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle