(XEL) Xcel Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Wind, Solar, Transmission
XEL EPS (Earnings per Share)
XEL Revenue
Description: XEL Xcel Energy September 29, 2025
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) is a vertically integrated utility that generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and natural gas across eight states (CO, MI, MN, NM, ND, SD, TX, WI). Its operations are split between a Regulated Electric Utility segment-fueling power plants with a mix that includes wind, nuclear, hydro, biomass, solar, coal, natural gas, oil, wood, and refuse-derived fuels-and a Regulated Natural Gas Utility segment that handles wholesale procurement, pipeline transport, storage, compression, and retail distribution of natural gas.
Key operational metrics from the most recent 2023 Form 10-K show Xcel’s regulated electric revenue grew ~3.2% YoY to $9.6 billion, while its natural gas revenue rose ~2.8% to $3.2 billion. The company reported a net income of $1.1 billion and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4%, reflecting the stable cash-flow profile typical of regulated utilities. Xcel is actively expanding its renewable portfolio, adding 2.4 GW of wind and solar capacity in 2023-part of its goal to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2050-while simultaneously investing in pipeline upgrades to meet growing demand for natural gas in the Midwest and Southwest.
Given the broader sector shift toward decarbonization, Xcel’s exposure to both clean-energy growth and legacy fossil-fuel assets creates a nuanced risk-return profile; analysts should watch state-level Renewable Portfolio Standards and federal infrastructure funding as primary drivers of future earnings. For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers granular financial and ESG metrics that can help you assess XEL’s risk-adjusted upside.
XEL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 48,254m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-09-24 |
XEL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 58.5% |
| Fundamental | 49.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 52.2% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 6.35% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.18 of 5 |
XEL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.78% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.60% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -1.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.0% |
XEL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 80.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 79.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 34.9% |
| CAGR 5y | 11.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.36 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.15 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.88 |
| Alpha | 15.97 |
| Beta | 0.378 |
| Volatility | 18.30% |
| Current Volume | 6708.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4134.7k |
| Stop Loss | 78.7 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.92 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (1.92b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.04b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.37pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.43% (prev -2.83%; Δ -5.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.54b > Net Income 1.92b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (33.58b) to EBITDA (5.38b) ratio: 6.24 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (582.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.56% (prev 46.41%; Δ 2.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.44% (prev 19.86%; Δ 3.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.89 (EBITDA TTM 5.38b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.66
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 5.68b - Total Current Liabilities 7.15b) / Total Assets 79.15b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.99b / Total Assets 79.15b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 2.43b / Avg Total Assets 74.22b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 10.41b / Total Liabilities 57.97b |
| Total Rating: 0.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.78
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.20% = -0.60 |
| 3. FCF Margin -5.63% = -2.11 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.64 = 1.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.24 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.02)% = -0.03 |
| 7. RoE 9.40% = 0.78 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 28.61% = 2.15 |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.89% = 1.79 |
What is the price of XEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.88%, over one month by +0.23%, over three months by +10.98% and over the past year by +26.47%.
Is Xcel Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of XEL is around 82.96 USD . This means that XEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.18%.
Is XEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 88.2 | 8.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 88.2 | 8.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 89.4 | 10.1% |
XEL Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.747
P/E Forward = 19.4175
P/S = 3.3915
P/B = 2.246
P/EG = 2.9416
Beta = 0.378
Revenue TTM = 17.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.43b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 27.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 34.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 33.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 81.84b USD (48.25b + Debt 34.64b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.89 (Ebit TTM 2.43b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b)
FCF Yield = -1.20% (FCF TTM -980.0m / Enterprise Value 81.84b)
FCF Margin = -5.63% (FCF TTM -980.0m / Revenue TTM 17.39b)
Net Margin = 11.01% (Net Income TTM 1.92b / Revenue TTM 17.39b)
Gross Margin = 48.56% ((Revenue TTM 17.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.29% (prev 47.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 81.84b / Total Assets 79.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 34.64b)
Taxrate = 1.50% (8.00m / 532.0m)
NOPAT = 2.40b (EBIT 2.43b * (1 - 1.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 7.15b)
Debt / Equity = 1.64 (Debt 34.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.24 (Net Debt 33.58b / EBITDA 5.38b)
Debt / FCF = -34.27 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 33.58b / FCF TTM -980.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.42% (Net Income 1.92b / Total Assets 79.15b)
RoE = 9.40% (Net Income TTM 1.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.37b)
RoCE = 5.10% (EBIT 2.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.37b + L.T.Debt 27.32b))
RoIC = 4.71% (NOPAT 2.40b / Invested Capital 50.93b)
WACC = 4.73% (E(48.25b)/V(82.89b) * Re(7.41%) + D(34.64b)/V(82.89b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 7.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.45%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -980.0m)
EPS Correlation: 35.89 | EPS CAGR: 23.76% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 28.61 | Revenue CAGR: 22.49% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for XEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle