(XEL) Xcel Energy - Overview
Stock: Electricity, Natural Gas
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.87 |
| Alpha | 15.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.189 |
| Beta Downside | 0.305 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.27% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.37 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: XEL Xcel Energy January 28, 2026
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) operates regulated electric-utility and natural-gas-utility segments across eight U.S. states, generating electricity from a mix that includes wind, nuclear, hydro, solar, coal, natural gas and biomass, while also purchasing, transporting, and selling natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers.
Key recent metrics (2024 Form 10-K and Q1 2025 earnings): revenue of $15.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $5.2 billion, and a dividend yield of roughly 2.6 %. The utility’s renewable-generation portfolio now exceeds 13 GW (≈ 30 % of total capacity), and capital expenditures for 2024 were $2.5 billion, driven largely by grid-modernization and new wind-solar projects. Debt-to-equity stands at about 1.2 ×, with an S&P rating of A-, reflecting moderate leverage amid ongoing infrastructure investment.
Sector-level drivers that will shape Xcel’s outlook include: (1) U.S. electricity demand growth of ~2 % annually, bolstered by electrification of transport and heating; (2) Federal and state decarbonization policies that incentivize renewable capacity and grid resilience; and (3) Natural-gas price volatility, which can affect both cost structures and earnings stability for the gas-utility side.
If you want a deeper, data-rich assessment of Xcel’s valuation assumptions, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit may be worthwhile.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 2.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.16% < 20% (prev -15.88%; Δ 44.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 4.54b > Net Income 2.02b |
| Net Debt (33.88b) to EBITDA (6.07b): 5.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (597.0m) vs 12m ago 3.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.30% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 2385 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.23% > 50% (prev 19.19%; Δ -0.96% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.32 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.07b / Interest Expense TTM 1.34b) |
Altman Z'' 1.25
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 5.68b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 90.87b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 8.99b / Total Assets 90.87b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 3.12b / Avg Total Assets 80.45b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 23.61b / Total Liabilities 67.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.25 = BB |
Beneish M
| DSRI: none (Receivables none/2.08b, Revenue 14.67b/13.44b) |
| GMI: 1.88 (GM 24.30% / 45.74%) |
| AQI: none (AQ_t none / AQ_t-1 none) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 14.67b / 13.44b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.02b - CFO 4.54b) / TA 90.87b) |
| Beneish M-Score: cannot calculate (missing components) |
What is the price of XEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.05%, over one month by +7.01%, over three months by +3.38% and over the past year by +21.48%.
Is XEL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 88.2 | 8.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 88.2 | 8.2% |
XEL Fundamental Data Overview February 21, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 3.2591
P/B = 2.2786
P/EG = 2.3719
Revenue TTM = 14.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.03b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 33.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 81.69b USD (47.81b + Debt 33.88b - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.32 (Ebit TTM 3.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.34b)
EV/FCF = -35.99x (Enterprise Value 81.69b / FCF TTM -2.27b)
FCF Yield = -2.78% (FCF TTM -2.27b / Enterprise Value 81.69b)
FCF Margin = -15.47% (FCF TTM -2.27b / Revenue TTM 14.67b)
Net Margin = 13.76% (Net Income TTM 2.02b / Revenue TTM 14.67b)
Gross Margin = 24.30% ((Revenue TTM 14.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -48.81% (prev 52.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 81.69b / Total Assets 90.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 355.0m / Debt 33.88b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 2.46b (EBIT 3.12b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.44 (Debt 33.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.58 (Net Debt 33.88b / EBITDA 6.07b)
Debt / FCF = -14.93 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 33.88b / FCF TTM -2.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.51% (Net Income 2.02b / Total Assets 90.87b)
RoE = 9.43% (Net Income TTM 2.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.39b)
RoCE = 5.83% (EBIT 3.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.39b + L.T.Debt 32.03b))
RoIC = 4.65% (NOPAT 2.46b / Invested Capital 52.90b)
WACC = 4.21% (E(47.81b)/V(81.69b) * Re(6.61%) + D(33.88b)/V(81.69b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.81%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.27b)
EPS Correlation: 23.54 | EPS CAGR: 8.79% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -21.95 | Revenue CAGR: -1.38% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.12 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+9.9% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%