(XEL) Xcel Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Wind, Solar, Nuclear
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.97% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -1.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 |
| Alpha | 5.57 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.380 |
| Beta | 0.237 |
| Beta Downside | 0.399 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.17% |
| Mean DD | 9.81% |
| Median DD | 7.78% |
Description: XEL Xcel Energy December 03, 2025
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) is a regulated utility that generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and natural gas across eight U.S. states. Its operations are split between a Regulated Electric Utility segment-fuelled by a mix of wind, nuclear, hydro, biomass, solar, coal, natural gas, oil, wood, and refuse-derived fuels-and a Regulated Natural Gas Utility segment that handles retail sales, transportation, and pipeline development.
The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin, leveraging a legacy footprint that dates back to its 1909 incorporation as Northern States Power.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 adjusted EBITDA reached $6.5 billion, and capital expenditures were $3.5 billion, with roughly 30 % of generation capacity now classified as renewable-driven by state Renewable Portfolio Standards and the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits. The utility’s regulated rate base grew 7 % YoY, reflecting ongoing grid-modernization and clean-energy projects, while its dividend yield hovered around 3.2 %.
For a deeper quantitative view of XEL’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform provides a concise, data-rich dashboard worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (1.92b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.04b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.26pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.43% (prev -2.83%; Δ -5.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.54b > Net Income 1.92b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (33.58b) to EBITDA (5.73b) ratio: 5.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (582.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.56% (prev 46.41%; Δ 2.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.44% (prev 19.86%; Δ 3.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.16 (EBITDA TTM 5.73b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.69
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 5.68b - Total Current Liabilities 7.15b) / Total Assets 79.15b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.99b / Total Assets 79.15b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 2.78b / Avg Total Assets 74.22b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 10.41b / Total Liabilities 57.97b |
| Total Rating: 0.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.04
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.80% |
| 3. FCF Margin -13.05% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.86 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.88)% |
| 7. RoE 9.40% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 23.04% |
| 9. EPS Trend 38.45% |
What is the price of XEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.20%, over one month by -4.61%, over three months by +8.41% and over the past year by +15.39%.
Is XEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 88.4 | 14.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 88.4 | 14.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 83.2 | 7.8% |
XEL Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.4695
P/E Forward = 19.4553
P/S = 3.3369
P/B = 2.225
P/EG = 2.9478
Beta = 0.454
Revenue TTM = 17.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.78b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 34.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 33.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 81.06b USD (47.48b + Debt 34.64b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 2.78b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b)
FCF Yield = -2.80% (FCF TTM -2.27b / Enterprise Value 81.06b)
FCF Margin = -13.05% (FCF TTM -2.27b / Revenue TTM 17.39b)
Net Margin = 11.01% (Net Income TTM 1.92b / Revenue TTM 17.39b)
Gross Margin = 48.56% ((Revenue TTM 17.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.29% (prev 47.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 81.06b / Total Assets 79.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 34.64b)
Taxrate = 1.50% (8.00m / 532.0m)
NOPAT = 2.74b (EBIT 2.78b * (1 - 1.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 7.15b)
Debt / Equity = 1.64 (Debt 34.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.86 (Net Debt 33.58b / EBITDA 5.73b)
Debt / FCF = -14.79 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 33.58b / FCF TTM -2.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.42% (Net Income 1.92b / Total Assets 79.15b)
RoE = 9.40% (Net Income TTM 1.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.37b)
RoCE = 5.31% (EBIT 2.78b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.37b + L.T.Debt 32.03b))
RoIC = 5.28% (NOPAT 2.74b / Invested Capital 51.83b)
WACC = 4.40% (E(47.48b)/V(82.11b) * Re(6.89%) + D(34.64b)/V(82.11b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 6.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.27b)
EPS Correlation: 38.45 | EPS CAGR: 22.46% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.04 | Revenue CAGR: 22.04% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.11 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+7.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%
Additional Sources for XEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle