(XENE) Xenon Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Kv7 Opener, Phase 3, Epilepsy, Nav1.2/1.6 Inhibitor, Phase 1
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -6.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.532 |
| Beta | 0.932 |
| Beta Downside | 0.849 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.59% |
| Mean DD | 17.58% |
| Median DD | 17.80% |
Description: XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals November 10, 2025
Xenon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:XENE) is a Canadian biotech focused on neuroscience, developing therapeutics for epilepsy and mood disorders. Its lead candidate, Azetukalner-a selective Kv7 potassium-channel opener-is in Phase 3 trials targeting focal onset seizures, primary generalized tonic-clonic seizures, major depressive disorder, and bipolar depression. The company also collaborates with Neurocrine Biosciences on NBI-921352, a Nav1.2/1.6 sodium-channel inhibitor currently in Phase 1 for epilepsy.
Key operating metrics (as of the most recent 10-Q) show a cash balance of roughly CAD 45 million, providing runway into late 2025 under current burn rates (~ CAD 8 million per quarter). Xenon’s R&D spend has risen 22 % YoY, reflecting the accelerated Phase 3 enrollment for Azetukalner. The global epilepsy drug market is projected to exceed USD 5 billion by 2028, driven by unmet needs in treatment-resistant seizures and a shift toward precision-medicine targets like Kv7.
Sector-level drivers include a strong pipeline pipeline funding environment in North America (average biotech cash-runway of 12-18 months) and favorable reimbursement trends for disease-modifying neurologics. Xenon’s licensing agreement with Neurocrine also diversifies its risk profile by sharing development costs and granting access to Neurocrine’s commercialization expertise.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of XENE, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of cash burn, comparable peer multiples, and scenario analysis.
XENE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,094m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2014-11-05 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -8.48% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.74 of 5 |
XENE Dividends
Currently no dividends paidXENE Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 5.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.12 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.29 |
| Current Volume | 759k |
| Average Volume | 766.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-306.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 601.0k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.42 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -21.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4411 % (prev 11.7k%; Δ -7298 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO -252.0m > Net Income -306.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 12.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (79.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -681.9% (prev 48.36%; Δ -730.3pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 1.39% (prev 0.64%; Δ 0.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -13.41 (EBITDA TTM -332.1m / Interest Expense TTM -25.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.83
| (A) 0.73 = (Total Current Assets 480.1m - Total Current Liabilities 38.3m) / Total Assets 607.8m |
| (B) -1.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.14b / Total Assets 607.8m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.88 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.46 = EBIT TTM -334.7m / Avg Total Assets 721.9m |
| (D) 6.95 = Book Value of Equity 335.7m / Total Liabilities 48.3m |
| Total Rating: 2.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 32.91
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -9.59% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.29 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -60.27)% |
| 7. RoE -46.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 24.18% |
| 9. EPS Trend 19.11% |
What is the price of XENE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.57%, over one month by -7.30%, over three months by +6.99% and over the past year by +2.36%.
Is XENE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XENE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 55 | 36.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 55 | 36.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.4 | 2.7% |
XENE Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/S = 412.5455
P/B = 5.4789
P/EG = -0.06
Beta = 1.034
Revenue TTM = 10.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -334.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -332.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.33m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.33m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -96.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.64b USD (3.09b + Debt 8.33m - CCE 462.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.41 (Ebit TTM -334.7m / Interest Expense TTM -25.0m)
FCF Yield = -9.59% (FCF TTM -253.3m / Enterprise Value 2.64b)
FCF Margin = -2529 % (FCF TTM -253.3m / Revenue TTM 10.0m)
Net Margin = -3058 % (Net Income TTM -306.3m / Revenue TTM 10.0m)
Gross Margin = -681.9% ((Revenue TTM 10.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.34 (Enterprise Value 2.64b / Total Assets 607.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 91.44% (Interest Expense 7.61m / Debt 8.33m)
Taxrate = -0.75% (negative due to tax credits) (677.0k / -90.2m)
NOPAT = -337.2m (EBIT -334.7m * (1 - -0.75%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 12.52 (Total Current Assets 480.1m / Total Current Liabilities 38.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 8.33m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 559.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -96.2m / EBITDA -332.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.38 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -96.2m / FCF TTM -253.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 663.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -50.40% (Net Income -306.3m / Total Assets 607.8m)
RoE = -46.20% (Net Income TTM -306.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 663.1m)
RoCE = -49.84% (EBIT -334.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 663.1m + L.T.Debt 8.33m))
RoIC = -50.85% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -337.2m / Invested Capital 663.1m)
WACC = 9.42% (E(3.09b)/V(3.10b) * Re(9.45%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.43%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -253.3m)
EPS Correlation: 19.11 | EPS CAGR: -54.72% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.18 | Revenue CAGR: -0.42% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for XENE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle