(XPEL) Xpel - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.283m USD | Total Return: 70.9% in 12m

Protective Films, Coatings, Software, Installation
Total Rating 58
Safety 78
Buy Signal -0.16
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +11.6
Market Cap: 1.28B
Avg Turnover: 11.3M USD
ATR: 4.29%
Peers RS (IBD): 68.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility48.3%
Rel. Tail Risk-12.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.27
Alpha17.19
Character TTM
Beta1.900
Beta Downside2.378
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.47%
CAGR/Max DD-0.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of XPEL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.25, "2021-06": 0.37, "2021-09": 0.32, "2021-12": 0.22, "2022-03": 0.28, "2022-06": 0.43, "2022-09": 0.48, "2022-12": 0.3, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.57, "2023-09": 0.56, "2023-12": 0.43, "2024-03": 0.29, "2024-06": 0.54, "2024-09": 0.54, "2024-12": 0.32, "2025-03": 0.31, "2025-06": 0.59, "2025-09": 0.47, "2025-12": 0.48, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -46.66%
EPS Trend: -26.2%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of XPEL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 51.866114, 2021-06: 68.736, 2021-09: 68.529, 2021-12: 70.132069, 2022-03: 71.864, 2022-06: 83.89, 2022-09: 89.758, 2022-12: 78.481, 2023-03: 85.842, 2023-06: 102.237, 2023-09: 102.677, 2023-12: 105.538, 2024-03: 90.104, 2024-06: 109.917, 2024-09: 112.852, 2024-12: 107.527, 2025-03: 103.805, 2025-06: 124.713, 2025-09: 125.415, 2025-12: 122.267, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 15.22%
Rev. Trend: 89.6%
Last SUE: -0.79
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: XPEL Xpel

XPEL, Inc. manufactures and distributes protective films and coatings. Its product lines include automotive paint protection film, window film for vehicles and buildings, and windshield protection. The company also develops proprietary design software (DAP) for its products.

XPELs business model involves diversified sales channels, including independent installers, car dealerships, and company-owned service centers. The company also sells direct-to-consumer online. This multi-channel approach is common in the automotive aftermarket sector.

The company operates globally, with a presence across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets. The protective film market is characterized by ongoing product innovation and increasing demand for vehicle aesthetic and preservation solutions.

Further research on ValueRay can provide detailed financial metrics and competitive analysis for XPEL, Inc.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive aftermarket demand drives film sales
  • Raw material costs impact profit margins
  • New car sales influence product adoption
  • International expansion boosts revenue growth
  • Regulatory changes affect product specifications
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 51.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.38 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 33.54% < 20% (prev 30.17%; Δ 3.37% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 66.9m > Net Income 51.2m
Net Debt (-28.0m) to EBITDA (79.8m): -0.35 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.25 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.7m) vs 12m ago 0.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: 42.21% > 18% (prev 0.42%; Δ 4.18k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 140.7% > 50% (prev 147.2%; Δ -6.47% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 763.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 79.8m / Interest Expense TTM 84.0k)
Altman Z'' 8.79
A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 230.7m - Total Current Liabilities 71.0m) / Total Assets 391.2m
B: 0.68 (Retained Earnings 265.3m / Total Assets 391.2m)
C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 64.1m / Avg Total Assets 338.4m)
D: 2.50 (Book Value of Equity 265.2m / Total Liabilities 106.0m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 8.79 = AAA
Beneish M -2.50
DSRI: 1.48 (Receivables 50.4m/30.0m, Revenue 476.2m/420.4m)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 42.21% / 42.19%)
AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 476.2m / 420.4m)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 51.2m - CFO 66.9m) / TA 391.2m)
Beneish M-Score: -2.50 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of XPEL shares? As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.07 with a total of 312,941 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.65%, over one month by +18.68%, over three months by -15.16% and over the past year by +70.88%.
Is XPEL a buy, sell or hold? Xpel has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPEL.
  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XPEL price?
Analysts Target Price 55.3 20.1%
Xpel (XPEL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 24.2135
P/S = 2.6949
P/B = 4.3502
Revenue TTM = 476.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 64.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 79.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 116k USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 6.15m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -28.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.26b USD (1.28b + Debt 22.9m - CCE 50.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 763.6 (Ebit TTM 64.1m / Interest Expense TTM 84.0k)
EV/FCF = 20.12x (Enterprise Value 1.26b / FCF TTM 62.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.97% (FCF TTM 62.4m / Enterprise Value 1.26b)
FCF Margin = 13.11% (FCF TTM 62.4m / Revenue TTM 476.2m)
Net Margin = 10.76% (Net Income TTM 51.2m / Revenue TTM 476.2m)
Gross Margin = 42.21% ((Revenue TTM 476.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 275.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.86% (prev 41.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.21 (Enterprise Value 1.26b / Total Assets 391.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1.00k / Debt 22.9m)
Taxrate = 13.60% (2.15m / 15.8m)
NOPAT = 55.4m (EBIT 64.1m * (1 - 13.60%))
Current Ratio = 3.25 (Total Current Assets 230.7m / Total Current Liabilities 71.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 22.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 280.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.35 (Net Debt -28.0m / EBITDA 79.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.45 (Net Debt -28.0m / FCF TTM 62.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.14% (Net Income 51.2m / Total Assets 391.2m)
RoE = 19.69% (Net Income TTM 51.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.2m)
RoCE = 24.64% (EBIT 64.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.2m + L.T.Debt 116k))
RoIC = 21.29% (NOPAT 55.4m / Invested Capital 260.4m)
WACC = 12.44% (E(1.28b)/V(1.31b) * Re(12.66%) + D(22.9m)/V(1.31b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 12.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.48% ; FCFF base≈54.1m ; Y1≈66.7m ; Y5≈113.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.59 (EV 1.01b - Net Debt -28.0m = Equity 1.04b / Shares 27.6m; r=12.44% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -26.16 | EPS CAGR: -46.66% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.59 | Revenue CAGR: 15.22% | SUE: -0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg7d=-0.065 | Chg30d=-0.065 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg7d=-0.247 | Chg30d=-0.247 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+14.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.81 | Chg7d=-0.827 | Chg30d=-0.827 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+32.5% | Growth Revenue=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.5% (Discount Rate 12.7% - Earnings Yield 4.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.2% (Analyst 8.7% - Implied 8.5%)
External Resources
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