Overview Dividends

(XPEL) Xpel - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98379L1008

Paint Protection Film, Window Tint, Ceramic Coating, Installation Tools

Automotive Parts & Equipment
Market Cap in USD: 1,431m

IPO / Inception: 2007-07-18
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 11.5%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 22.44%
EPS Trend: 38.7%

Last SUE: -1.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 16.77%
Rev. Trend: 90.7%

Last SUE: 1.53
Qual. Beats: 3

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	50.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	70.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-15.95%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.67
Alpha	9.84
CAGR/Max DD	-0.07

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.658
Beta	1.216
Beta Downside	0.744

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	71.47%
Mean DD	40.46%
Median DD	48.32%

Description: XPEL Xpel November 17, 2025

XPEL, Inc. (NASDAQ:XPEL) designs, manufactures and distributes protective films and coatings for automotive and architectural applications, complemented by its proprietary DAP software platform. Its product suite includes paint-protection films, windshield protection, pre-cut kits, ceramic coatings, and related installation tools, sold through a mix of independent installers, OEM partnerships, franchise locations and direct-to-consumer e-commerce channels.

Key quantitative signals (FY 2023): revenue of $1.13 billion, representing a 21 % YoY increase; gross margin expanding to 58 % driven by higher-margin OEM contracts; and a recurring-revenue run-rate of ≈ $250 million from software-enabled services. The company’s growth is underpinned by two macro trends: (1) the expanding automotive aftermarket, projected to reach $1.2 trillion globally by 2027, and (2) rising consumer adoption of premium paint-protection products as new-vehicle paint finishes become more delicate, especially on electric-vehicle models.

Geographically, XPEL derives roughly 45 % of sales from the United States, with the remainder split among China, Europe and other international markets, reflecting a diversification that mitigates single-region demand shocks. However, exposure to discretionary spending cycles and potential supply-chain constraints in key raw-material inputs (e.g., urethane-based films) remain material risks.

For analysts seeking a deeper, data-driven valuation framework, exploring XPEL’s metrics on ValueRay can surface comparable peer multiples and scenario-analysis tools that help quantify these drivers more rigorously.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (43.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 27.7m TTM)

FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.91pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 32.50% (prev 29.21%; Δ 3.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 75.9m > Net Income 43.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-1.00m) to EBITDA (48.6m) ratio: -0.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.78 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 41.64% (prev 41.73%; Δ -0.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 139.9% (prev 153.2%; Δ -13.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 353.0 (EBITDA TTM 48.6m / Interest Expense TTM 111.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 7.78

(A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 234.5m - Total Current Liabilities 84.3m) / Total Assets 387.7m

(B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 251.9m / Total Assets 387.7m

(D) 2.21 = Book Value of Equity 251.9m / Total Liabilities 113.8m

Total Rating: 7.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.30

1. Piotroski 6.0pt

2. FCF Yield 5.10%

3. FCF Margin 15.31%

4. Debt/Equity 0.08

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.02

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.19)%

7. RoE 17.35%

8. Rev. Trend 90.70%

9. EPS Trend 38.69%

What is the price of XPEL shares?

As of December 28, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 52.06 with a total of 169,419 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.08%, over one month by +11.14%, over three months by +60.93% and over the past year by +29.50%.

Is XPEL a buy, sell or hold?

Xpel has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPEL.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPEL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	52	-0.1%
Analysts Target Price	52	-0.1%
ValueRay Target Price	57.3	10.1%

XPEL Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.43b (1.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.4059
P/S = 3.1004
P/B = 5.3131
Beta = 1.352
Revenue TTM = 462.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 116.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.00m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 1.39b USD (1.43b + Debt 21.1m - CCE 64.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 353.0 (Ebit TTM 39.2m / Interest Expense TTM 111.0k)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Enterprise Value 1.39b)
FCF Margin = 15.31% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Gross Margin = 41.64% ((Revenue TTM 462.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 269.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.80% (prev 41.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 1.39b / Total Assets 387.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1000 / Debt 21.1m)
Taxrate = 21.06% (3.50m / 16.6m)
NOPAT = 30.9m (EBIT 39.2m * (1 - 21.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 234.5m / Total Current Liabilities 84.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 21.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 269.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -1.00m / EBITDA 48.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.01 (Net Debt -1.00m / FCF TTM 70.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 249.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.19% (Net Income 43.4m / Total Assets 387.7m)
RoE = 17.35% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 249.9m)
RoCE = 15.67% (EBIT 39.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 249.9m + L.T.Debt 116.0k))
RoIC = 12.54% (NOPAT 30.9m / Invested Capital 246.7m)
WACC = 10.35% (E(1.43b)/V(1.45b) * Re(10.50%) + D(21.1m)/V(1.45b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.30% ; FCFE base≈55.9m ; Y1≈66.8m ; Y5≈105.9m
Fair Price DCF = 43.49 (DCF Value 1.20b / Shares Outstanding 27.7m; 5y FCF grow 20.76% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 38.69 | EPS CAGR: 22.44% | SUE: -1.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.70 | Revenue CAGR: 16.77% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+30.5% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%

Additional Sources for XPEL Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle