(XPEL) Xpel - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.228m USD | Total Return: 19.5% in 12m

Paint Protection Film, Window Film, Ceramic Coatings, Design Software
Total Rating 51
Safety 76
Buy Signal 0.24
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +2.2
Market Cap: 1.23B
Avg Turnover: 8.78M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility48.5%
VaR 5th Pctl7.59%
VaR vs Median-6.12%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.58
Rel. Str. IBD53.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group48.6
Character TTM
Beta2.073
Beta Downside2.126
Hurst Exponent0.632
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.47%
CAGR/Max DD-0.24
CAGR/Mean DD-0.37
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of XPEL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.37, "2021-09": 0.3, "2021-12": 0.22, "2022-03": 0.28, "2022-06": 0.43, "2022-09": 0.48, "2022-12": 0.3, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.57, "2023-09": 0.56, "2023-12": 0.43, "2024-03": 0.29, "2024-06": 0.54, "2024-09": 0.54, "2024-12": 0.32, "2025-03": 0.31, "2025-06": 0.59, "2025-09": 0.47, "2025-12": 0.48, "2026-03": 0.37,
EPS CAGR: -0.87%
EPS Trend: -16.4%
Last SUE: 0.14
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of XPEL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 68.736, 2021-09: 68.529, 2021-12: 70.132069, 2022-03: 71.864, 2022-06: 83.89, 2022-09: 89.758, 2022-12: 78.481, 2023-03: 85.842, 2023-06: 102.237, 2023-09: 102.677, 2023-12: 105.538, 2024-03: 90.104, 2024-06: 109.917, 2024-09: 112.852, 2024-12: 107.527, 2025-03: 103.805, 2025-06: 124.713, 2025-09: 125.415, 2025-12: 122.267, 2026-03: 117.354,
Rev. CAGR: 11.23%
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Last SUE: 1.18
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: XPEL Xpel

XPEL, Inc. is a vertically integrated provider of protective films and coatings, specializing in automotive paint protection, window tinting, and architectural surface solutions. The company leverages a multi-channel distribution strategy that includes independent installers, new car dealerships, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and company-owned centers across global markets including North America, China, and Europe.

A core component of the business model is the proprietary Design Access Program (DAP) software, which provides a comprehensive database of vehicle-specific patterns to ensure precision film cutting and reduce material waste. The automotive aftermarket sector is characterized by high consumer demand for vehicle longevity and aesthetic maintenance, driving consistent interest in advanced polymer-based protection technologies.

For a deeper dive into these fundamentals, reviewing the latest data on ValueRay can provide additional clarity. XPEL continues to expand its footprint through diverse product lines such as ceramic coatings and specialized installation tools designed for both professional and retail applications.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Growth in automotive paint protection film adoption drives core revenue expansion
  • New vehicle inventory levels directly impact dealership installation volume and demand
  • Expansion into architectural window films and ceramic coatings diversifies revenue streams
  • Concentration of manufacturing in China creates supply chain and geopolitical risk
  • Dealership consolidation reduces bargaining power and pressures product sales margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 53.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 32.66% < 20% (prev 31.49%; Δ 1.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 71.1m > Net Income 53.0m
Net Debt (-24.3m) to EBITDA (80.0m): -0.30 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.07 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.7m) vs 12m ago -0.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 42.54% > 18% (prev 42.24%; Δ 0.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 142.1% > 50% (prev 147.2%; Δ -5.13% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.08k > 6 (EBIT TTM 66.1m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0k)
Altman Z'' 9.19
A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 237.2m - Total Current Liabilities 77.2m) / Total Assets 394.4m
B: 0.70 (Retained Earnings 275.7m / Total Assets 394.4m)
C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 66.1m / Avg Total Assets 344.6m)
D: 2.82 (Book Value of Equity 287.5m / Total Liabilities 101.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 9.19 = AAA
Beneish M -2.56
DSRI: 1.42 (Receivables 53.5m/33.4m, Revenue 489.7m/434.1m)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 42.24% / 42.54%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 489.7m / 434.1m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 53.0m - CFO 71.1m) / TA 394.4m)
Beneish M = -2.56 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of XPEL shares?

As of June 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 44.87 with a total of 119,963 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.61%, over one month by +3.03%, over three months by +12.54% and over the past year by +19.45%.

Is XPEL a buy, sell or hold?

Xpel has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPEL.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPEL price?
Analysts Target Price 51.7 15.2%
Xpel (XPEL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.23b (1.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.3298
P/S = 2.5076
P/B = 4.2716
Revenue TTM = 489.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 66.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 80.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 15.1m USD (estimated: total debt 20.8m - short term 5.74m)
Short Term Debt = 5.74m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 20.8m already included)
Net Debt = -24.3m USD (calculated: Debt 20.8m - CCE 45.1m)
Enterprise Value = 1.20b USD (1.23b + Debt 20.8m - CCE 45.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.08k (Ebit TTM 66.1m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0k)
EV/FCF = 20.81x (Enterprise Value 1.20b / FCF TTM 57.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.81% (FCF TTM 57.8m / Enterprise Value 1.20b)
FCF Margin = 11.81% (FCF TTM 57.8m / Revenue TTM 489.7m)
Net Margin = 10.82% (Net Income TTM 53.0m / Revenue TTM 489.7m)
Gross Margin = 42.54% ((Revenue TTM 489.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 281.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.65% (prev 41.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.05 (Enterprise Value 1.20b / Total Assets 394.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.06% (Interest Expense 13.0k / Debt 20.8m)
Taxrate = 19.01% (12.6m / 66.1m)
NOPAT = 53.5m (EBIT 66.1m * (1 - 19.01%))
Current Ratio = 3.07 (Total Current Assets 237.2m / Total Current Liabilities 77.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 20.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 287.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.30 (Net Debt -24.3m / EBITDA 80.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.42 (Net Debt -24.3m / FCF TTM 57.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 273.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.37% (Net Income 53.0m / Total Assets 394.4m)
RoE = 19.39% (Net Income TTM 53.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 273.2m)
RoCE = 22.92% (EBIT 66.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 273.2m + L.T.Debt 15.1m))
RoIC = 17.93% (NOPAT 53.5m / Invested Capital 298.5m)
WACC = 13.05% (E(1.23b)/V(1.25b) * Re(13.27%) + D(20.8m)/V(1.25b) * Rd(0.06%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 13.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 71.91 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.89% ; FCFF base≈55.2m ; Y1≈62.2m ; Y5≈87.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 27.12 (EV 723.1m - Net Debt -24.3m = Equity 747.4m / Shares 27.6m; r=13.05% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 13.08% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -16.39 | EPS CAGR: -0.87% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.86 | Revenue CAGR: 11.23% | SUE: 1.18 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=+5.84% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-3.28% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.01 | Chg30d=-5.18% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+8.8% | GrowthRev=+9.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.74 | Chg30d=-2.49% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+36.3% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%