(XPEL) Xpel - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US98379L1008
Stock: Paint, Film, Coating, Software, Installation
Total Rating 53
Risk 96
Buy Signal 1.01
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | 3.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.238 |
| Beta Downside | 0.828 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.17 |
Description: XPEL Xpel January 20, 2026
XPEL, Inc. (NASDAQ:XPEL) designs, manufactures, and distributes protective films, coatings, and related services for automotive and architectural applications. Its portfolio includes paint-protection films, windshield shields, window tint, ceramic coatings, and a proprietary DAP software suite, sold through independent installers, OEMs, franchisees, dealerships and online channels across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and other regions.
In FY 2023 the company generated approximately $1.13 billion in revenue, up ~13 % year-over-year, with a gross margin near 68 %, reflecting strong pricing power and efficient production. Growth is driven by rising aftermarket spend on vehicle protection, higher vehicle miles traveled, and expanding premium-car sales-trends that underpin the protective-film market’s projected 7 % CAGR through 2028. XPEL’s expanding OEM partnerships and its DAP software, which enables data-driven installation workflows, further enhance recurring revenue potential.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of XPEL’s valuation metrics, see the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 43.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 32.50% < 20% (prev 29.21%; Δ 3.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 75.9m > Net Income 43.4m |
| Net Debt (-1.00m) to EBITDA (48.6m): -0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.7m) vs 12m ago 0.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.64% > 18% (prev 0.42%; Δ 4122 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 139.9% > 50% (prev 153.2%; Δ -13.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 353.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 48.6m / Interest Expense TTM 111.0k) |
Altman Z'' 7.78
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 234.5m - Total Current Liabilities 84.3m) / Total Assets 387.7m |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 251.9m / Total Assets 387.7m) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 39.2m / Avg Total Assets 330.4m) |
| D: 2.21 (Book Value of Equity 251.9m / Total Liabilities 113.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.78 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.91
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 36.9m/29.8m, Revenue 462.2m/418.4m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 41.64% / 41.73%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 462.2m / 418.4m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 43.4m - CFO 75.9m) / TA 387.7m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of XPEL shares?
As of February 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.93 with a total of 284,590 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.82%, over one month by +0.19%, over three months by +43.61% and over the past year by +20.74%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.82%, over one month by +0.19%, over three months by +43.61% and over the past year by +20.74%.
Is XPEL a buy, sell or hold?
Xpel has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPEL.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XPEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52 | 0.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52 | 0.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55.4 | 6.7% |
XPEL Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Trailing = 30.3
P/S = 3.0896
P/B = 5.4015
Revenue TTM = 462.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 116.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.00m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 1.38b USD (1.43b + Debt 21.1m - CCE 64.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 353.0 (Ebit TTM 39.2m / Interest Expense TTM 111.0k)
EV/FCF = 19.54x (Enterprise Value 1.38b / FCF TTM 70.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.12% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Enterprise Value 1.38b)
FCF Margin = 15.31% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Gross Margin = 41.64% ((Revenue TTM 462.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 269.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.80% (prev 41.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.57 (Enterprise Value 1.38b / Total Assets 387.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1000 / Debt 21.1m)
Taxrate = 21.06% (3.50m / 16.6m)
NOPAT = 30.9m (EBIT 39.2m * (1 - 21.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 234.5m / Total Current Liabilities 84.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 21.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 269.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -1.00m / EBITDA 48.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.01 (Net Debt -1.00m / FCF TTM 70.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 249.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.13% (Net Income 43.4m / Total Assets 387.7m)
RoE = 17.35% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 249.9m)
RoCE = 15.67% (EBIT 39.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 249.9m + L.T.Debt 116.0k))
RoIC = 12.54% (NOPAT 30.9m / Invested Capital 246.7m)
WACC = 10.33% (E(1.43b)/V(1.45b) * Re(10.48%) + D(21.1m)/V(1.45b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.51% ; FCFF base≈55.9m ; Y1≈66.8m ; Y5≈105.7m
Fair Price DCF = 44.05 (EV 1.22b - Net Debt -1.00m = Equity 1.22b / Shares 27.7m; r=10.33% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 20.76% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -16.59 | EPS CAGR: -41.59% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.70 | Revenue CAGR: 16.77% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+30.5% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%
P/S = 3.0896
P/B = 5.4015
Revenue TTM = 462.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 116.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.00m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 1.38b USD (1.43b + Debt 21.1m - CCE 64.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 353.0 (Ebit TTM 39.2m / Interest Expense TTM 111.0k)
EV/FCF = 19.54x (Enterprise Value 1.38b / FCF TTM 70.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.12% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Enterprise Value 1.38b)
FCF Margin = 15.31% (FCF TTM 70.8m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 462.2m)
Gross Margin = 41.64% ((Revenue TTM 462.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 269.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.80% (prev 41.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.57 (Enterprise Value 1.38b / Total Assets 387.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1000 / Debt 21.1m)
Taxrate = 21.06% (3.50m / 16.6m)
NOPAT = 30.9m (EBIT 39.2m * (1 - 21.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 234.5m / Total Current Liabilities 84.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 21.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 269.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -1.00m / EBITDA 48.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.01 (Net Debt -1.00m / FCF TTM 70.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 249.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.13% (Net Income 43.4m / Total Assets 387.7m)
RoE = 17.35% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 249.9m)
RoCE = 15.67% (EBIT 39.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 249.9m + L.T.Debt 116.0k))
RoIC = 12.54% (NOPAT 30.9m / Invested Capital 246.7m)
WACC = 10.33% (E(1.43b)/V(1.45b) * Re(10.48%) + D(21.1m)/V(1.45b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.51% ; FCFF base≈55.9m ; Y1≈66.8m ; Y5≈105.7m
Fair Price DCF = 44.05 (EV 1.22b - Net Debt -1.00m = Equity 1.22b / Shares 27.7m; r=10.33% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 20.76% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -16.59 | EPS CAGR: -41.59% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.70 | Revenue CAGR: 16.77% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+30.5% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%