(XPEL) Xpel - Ratings and Ratios
Protective Films, Paint Protection, Window Films, Ceramic Coatings, Software
XPEL EPS (Earnings per Share)
XPEL Revenue
Description: XPEL Xpel
XPEL, Inc. is a multifaceted company that designs, manufactures, and distributes a wide range of protective films, coatings, and related services for various industries, including automotive and architectural sectors. Their product portfolio includes surface and paint protection, windshield protection, and window films, as well as proprietary software solutions like DAP. The company also caters to the aftermarket with pre-cut film products, merchandise, ceramic coatings, and installation tools. XPELs products are sold through diverse channels, including independent installers, new car dealerships, distributors, OEMs, company-owned centers, franchisees, and online platforms, allowing for a broad global reach that spans across the United States, China, Canada, Europe, the UK, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
From a business perspective, XPEL has demonstrated its ability to expand its market presence through strategic distribution channels and a diversified product line. The companys focus on automotive and architectural protective solutions positions it in a growing market driven by increasing demand for vehicle and property protection. With its headquarters in San Antonio, Texas, and a foundation dating back to 1997, XPEL has established a significant presence in the global automotive parts and equipment sector.
Analyzing the provided
From a fundamental standpoint, as indicated by the
Forecasting XPELs future performance involves integrating both technical and fundamental analyses. Given the current technical indicators and fundamental data, a potential forecast could involve a moderate increase in stock price driven by the companys solid RoE and expanding global presence. If XPEL continues to grow its earnings at a healthy rate and the overall market sentiment remains positive towards the automotive parts and equipment sector, the stock could potentially see a rise towards its 52-week high. However, this would depend on various factors, including overall market conditions, competition, and the companys ability to innovate and expand its product offerings. A realistic short-term target could be in the range of $40-$42, representing a 10-15% increase from current levels, assuming the company meets or exceeds earnings expectations and maintains its market share.
XPEL Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 929m |
Sub-Industry | Automotive Parts & Equipment |
IPO / Inception | 2007-07-18 |
XPEL Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -18.2% |
Fundamental | 82.7% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Total Return vs S&P 500 | -22.3% |
Analyst Rating | 5.00 of 5 |
XPEL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidXPEL Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -31% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -72.6% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -37.9% |
CAGR 5y | 6.54% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.09 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.98 |
Alpha | -27.14 |
Beta | 0.918 |
Volatility | 49.91% |
Current Volume | 220.9k |
Average Volume 20d | 163.7k |
Stop Loss | 35.6 (-5.8%) |
Signal | 0.09 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
Net Income (48.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 26.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 34.01% (prev 28.63%; Δ 5.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 57.0m > Net Income 48.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (-27.8m) to EBITDA (73.8m) ratio: -0.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 4.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 42.11% (prev 41.20%; Δ 0.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 154.8% (prev 155.9%; Δ -1.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 289.2 (EBITDA TTM 73.8m / Interest Expense TTM 213.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 11.04
(A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 197.3m - Total Current Liabilities 44.6m) / Total Assets 318.1m |
(B) 0.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 239.0m / Total Assets 318.1m |
(C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 61.6m / Avg Total Assets 290.0m |
(D) 3.82 = Book Value of Equity 238.7m / Total Liabilities 62.4m |
Total Rating: 11.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.67
1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
2. FCF Yield 5.87% = 2.94 |
3. FCF Margin 11.81% = 2.95 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.09 = 2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.32 = 2.42 |
6. ROIC - WACC 12.59% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 20.81% = 1.73 |
8. Rev. Trend 79.68% = 3.98 |
9. Rev. CAGR 11.59% = 1.45 |
10. EPS Trend 0.34% = 0.01 |
11. EPS CAGR 6.87% = 0.69 |
What is the price of XPEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.97%, over one month by +10.15%, over three months by +0.77% and over the past year by -9.62%.
Is Xpel a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of XPEL is around 32.28 USD . This means that XPEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.56%.
Is XPEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the XPEL price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 47.7 | 26.2% |
Analysts Target Price | 46 | 21.8% |
ValueRay Target Price | 36.2 | -4.2% |
Last update: 2025-08-11 02:06
XPEL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 49.6m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 19.0795
P/S = 2.0699
P/B = 3.6332
Beta = 1.828
Revenue TTM = 448.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 61.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 73.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.8m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.46m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.3m USD (Calculated: Short Term 5.46m + Long Term 17.8m)
Net Debt = -27.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 902.8m USD (929.2m + Debt 23.3m - CCE 49.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 289.2 (Ebit TTM 61.6m / Interest Expense TTM 213.0k)
FCF Yield = 5.87% (FCF TTM 53.0m / Enterprise Value 902.8m)
FCF Margin = 11.81% (FCF TTM 53.0m / Revenue TTM 448.9m)
Net Margin = 10.84% (Net Income TTM 48.7m / Revenue TTM 448.9m)
Gross Margin = 42.11% ((Revenue TTM 448.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 259.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.78 (Enterprise Value 902.8m / Book Value Of Equity 238.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 7000 / Debt 23.3m)
Taxrate = 19.88% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 11.3m / 56.8m)
NOPAT = 49.4m (EBIT 61.6m * (1 - 19.88%))
Current Ratio = 4.42 (Total Current Assets 197.3m / Total Current Liabilities 44.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 23.3m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 255.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.32 (Net Debt -27.8m / EBITDA 73.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.44 (Debt 23.3m / FCF TTM 53.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 233.8m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 15.30% (Net Income 48.7m, Total Assets 318.1m )
RoE = 20.81% (Net Income TTM 48.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 233.8m)
RoCE = 24.48% (Ebit 61.6m / (Equity 233.8m + L.T.Debt 17.8m))
RoIC = 21.76% (NOPAT 49.4m / Invested Capital 226.8m)
WACC = 9.17% (E(929.2m)/V(952.4m) * Re(9.40%)) + (D(23.3m)/V(952.4m) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.05%
Discount Rate = 9.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.30% ; FCFE base≈41.2m ; Y1≈36.5m ; Y5≈30.5m
Fair Price DCF = 15.88 (DCF Value 439.3m / Shares Outstanding 27.7m; 5y FCF grow -13.91% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 79.68 | Revenue CAGR: 11.59%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -32.10%
EPS Correlation: 0.34 | EPS CAGR: 6.87%
EPS Growth Correlation: 3.12%
Additional Sources for XPEL Stock
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