(Z) Zillow C - Ratings and Ratios
Marketplace, Lending, Advertising, Renting, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.36% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.31 |
| Alpha | -29.87 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.400 |
| Beta | 1.079 |
| Beta Downside | 1.093 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.48% |
| Mean DD | 13.75% |
| Median DD | 12.10% |
Description: Z Zillow C December 19, 2025
Zillow Group Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) operates a suite of U.S. real-estate brands and platforms-including Zillow, Trulia, StreetEasy, HotPads, and Out East-delivering services such as premier agent and rental marketplaces, new-construction listings, advertising solutions, and the dotloop SaaS transaction-management tool. The company also generates revenue from mortgage origination (Zillow Home Loans), title and escrow services, and a portfolio of ancillary technology products like ShowingTime+, Spruce, and Follow Up Boss.
As of Q4 2024, Zillow reported approximately $1.2 billion in revenue, with a GAAP net loss of $150 million, reflecting ongoing investment in its integrated services platform. Active listings on Zillow’s platform exceeded 5 million, while mortgage originations reached $12 billion, underscoring the firm’s exposure to housing-market dynamics and interest-rate cycles. Key sector drivers include U.S. home-price appreciation rates, the Federal Reserve’s policy stance on mortgage rates, and the continued shift of buyers and renters toward digital search tools.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Zillow’s valuation and risk profile, check out the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: -32.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 61.82% < 20% (prev 84.18%; Δ -22.36% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 418.0m > Net Income -32.0m |
| Net Debt (-507.0m) to EBITDA (271.0m): -1.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (256.2m) vs 12m ago 10.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.87% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 7410 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.88% > 50% (prev 35.01%; Δ 6.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.38 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 271.0m / Interest Expense TTM 21.0m) |
Altman Z'' -2.07
| A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 2.12b - Total Current Liabilities 584.0m) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| B: -0.33 (Retained Earnings -1.86b / Total Assets 5.70b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -8.00m / Avg Total Assets 5.93b) |
| D: -2.63 (Book Value of Equity -1.86b / Total Liabilities 706.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.07= D |
Beneish M -2.84
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 157.0m/117.0m, Revenue 2.48b/2.16b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 74.87% / 76.44%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.55) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 2.48b / 2.16b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -32.0m - CFO 418.0m) / TA 5.70b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.84 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.72
| 1. Piotroski: 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 1.73% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 10.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -1.87 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -9.82% |
| 7. RoE: -0.66% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -50.19% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 36.92% |
What is the price of Z shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.77%, over one month by -1.06%, over three months by -12.87% and over the past year by -14.90%.
Is Z a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the Z price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 86.2 | 26.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 86.2 | 26.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68 | 0% |
Z Fundamental Data Overview January 18, 2026
P/S = 6.6805
P/B = 3.2918
P/EG = 1.3849
Revenue TTM = 2.48b USD
EBIT TTM = -8.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 271.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 95.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 285.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 367.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -507.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.27b USD (16.59b + Debt 367.0m - CCE 1.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.38 (Ebit TTM -8.00m / Interest Expense TTM 21.0m)
EV/FCF = 57.86x (Enterprise Value 15.27b / FCF TTM 264.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.73% (FCF TTM 264.0m / Enterprise Value 15.27b)
FCF Margin = 10.63% (FCF TTM 264.0m / Revenue TTM 2.48b)
Net Margin = -1.29% (Net Income TTM -32.0m / Revenue TTM 2.48b)
Gross Margin = 74.87% ((Revenue TTM 2.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 624.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.63% (prev 74.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.68 (Enterprise Value 15.27b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 3.00m / Debt 367.0m)
Taxrate = 16.67% (2.00m / 12.0m)
NOPAT = -6.67m (EBIT -8.00m * (1 - 16.67%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.63 (Total Current Assets 2.12b / Total Current Liabilities 584.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 367.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.87 (Net Debt -507.0m / EBITDA 271.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.92 (Net Debt -507.0m / FCF TTM 264.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.54% (Net Income -32.0m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = -0.66% (Net Income TTM -32.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.83b)
RoCE = -0.16% (EBIT -8.00m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.83b + L.T.Debt 95.0m))
RoIC = -0.13% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.67m / Invested Capital 5.25b)
WACC = 9.69% (E(16.59b)/V(16.95b) * Re(9.89%) + D(367.0m)/V(16.95b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.88%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.99% ; FCFF base≈255.6m ; Y1≈167.8m ; Y5≈76.6m
Fair Price DCF = 8.95 (EV 1.16b - Net Debt -507.0m = Equity 1.67b / Shares 186.2m; r=9.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 36.92 | EPS CAGR: 131.6% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.19 | Revenue CAGR: -37.26% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.25 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+35.0% | Growth Revenue=+14.5%
Additional Sources for Z Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle