(Z) Zillow C - Overview
Stock: Real Estate, Agent Software, Mortgage Lending, Rentals, Advertising
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.04 |
| Alpha | -77.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.882 |
| Beta Downside | 1.853 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.03 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
P/E ratio: 476.6667
Technicals: volatileDescription: Z Zillow C March 02, 2026
Zillow Group Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) operates a suite of digital real-estate platforms-including Zillow, Trulia, StreetEasy, HotPads and others-that connect U.S. consumers with agents, lenders and property managers across four core segments: Residential, Rentals, Mortgages and ancillary services.
The Residential segment delivers agent-focused SaaS tools (Premier Agent, CRM, transaction management) and marketing solutions for new-construction listings, while the Rentals arm provides advertising and leasing software for landlords. The Mortgages division originates loans through Zillow Home Loans and sells lead-generation advertising to lenders, complemented by title-and-escrow services. Display advertising and a broad brand portfolio round out the revenue mix.
In its most recent fiscal year (2025), Zillow reported revenue of **$9.2 billion**, up 5 % YoY, with **adjusted EBITDA of $610 million**. Monthly active users reached **≈180 million**, and mortgage originations totaled **$12 billion**, reflecting continued demand for digital home-buying solutions amid a tight housing inventory and historically low mortgage rates.
Key macro drivers include the ongoing shortage of for-sale homes, which fuels higher listing fees, and the gradual normalization of mortgage rates that sustains buyer activity while encouraging lenders to lean on Zillow’s lead platform.
For a deeper dive into Zillow’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Mortgage rate fluctuations impact Zillow Home Loans demand
- Real estate transaction volume directly affects agent advertising revenue
- Rental market strength drives Zillow Rentals advertising sales
- Regulatory changes in real estate brokerage pose risk
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 23.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 55.87% < 20% (prev 67.22%; Δ -11.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 368.0m > Net Income 23.0m |
| Net Debt (-237.0m) to EBITDA (301.0m): -0.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (252.4m) vs 12m ago 6.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.14% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 7.34k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.87% > 50% (prev 38.36%; Δ 6.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 301.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.0m) |
Altman Z'' -1.81
| A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 2.12b - Total Current Liabilities 679.0m) / Total Assets 5.68b |
| B: -0.33 (Retained Earnings -1.86b / Total Assets 5.68b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 24.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.76b) |
| D: -2.32 (Book Value of Equity -1.86b / Total Liabilities 801.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.81 = D |
Beneish M -2.59
| DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 176.0m/104.0m, Revenue 2.58b/2.24b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 74.14% / 76.43%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 2.58b / 2.24b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 23.0m - CFO 368.0m) / TA 5.68b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.59 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of Z shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.39%, over one month by -3.66%, over three months by -39.55% and over the past year by -40.29%.
Is Z a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the Z price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 74.7 | 76.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 74.7 | 76.3% |
Z Fundamental Data Overview March 16, 2026
P/E Forward = 21.2314
P/S = 4.0221
P/B = 2.1082
P/EG = 0.9315
Revenue TTM = 2.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 24.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 301.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 93.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 378.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 536.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -237.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.63b USD (10.39b + Debt 536.0m - CCE 1.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 24.0m / Interest Expense TTM 18.0m)
EV/FCF = 42.42x (Enterprise Value 9.63b / FCF TTM 227.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.36% (FCF TTM 227.0m / Enterprise Value 9.63b)
FCF Margin = 8.79% (FCF TTM 227.0m / Revenue TTM 2.58b)
Net Margin = 0.89% (Net Income TTM 23.0m / Revenue TTM 2.58b)
Gross Margin = 74.14% ((Revenue TTM 2.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 668.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.78% (prev 72.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 9.63b / Total Assets 5.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 5.00m / Debt 536.0m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 3.00m)
NOPAT = 24.0m (EBIT 24.0m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 3.13 (Total Current Assets 2.12b / Total Current Liabilities 679.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 536.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.79 (Net Debt -237.0m / EBITDA 301.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.04 (Net Debt -237.0m / FCF TTM 227.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.40% (Net Income 23.0m / Total Assets 5.68b)
RoE = 0.47% (Net Income TTM 23.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.84b)
RoCE = 0.49% (EBIT 24.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.84b + L.T.Debt 93.0m))
RoIC = 0.46% (NOPAT 24.0m / Invested Capital 5.21b)
WACC = 12.27% (E(10.39b)/V(10.93b) * Re(12.85%) + D(536.0m)/V(10.93b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 12.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 54.67% ; FCFF base≈247.4m ; Y1≈167.9m ; Y5≈81.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.18 (EV 923.1m - Net Debt -237.0m = Equity 1.16b / Shares 187.8m; r=12.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -37.55% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 2.84 | EPS CAGR: -5.91% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -29.64 | Revenue CAGR: -39.32% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.037 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.21 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+35.1% | Growth Revenue=+15.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.97 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.037 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+33.9% | Growth Revenue=+13.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 12.6% (Discount Rate 12.8% - Earnings Yield 0.2%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.6% (Analyst 16.2% - Implied 12.6%)