ZLAB Stock Analysis: Zai Lab | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.004m USD | 12M Return: -23.2% | US98887Q1040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oncology, Immunology, Neuroscience, Infectious Diseases
Total Rating 27
Safety 24
Buy Signal -0.48
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: -25.4
Market Cap: 3.00B
Avg Turnover: 19.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility57.5%
VaR 5th Pctl9.69%
VaR vs Median2.27%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Rel. Str. IBD81.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.8
Character TTM
Beta0.670
Beta Downside0.817
Hurst Exponent0.589
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.12%
CAGR/Max DD0.04
CAGR/Mean DD0.07
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ZLAB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -1.01, "2021-12": -2.17, "2022-03": -0.86, "2022-06": -1.44, "2022-09": -1.68, "2022-12": -0.65, "2023-03": -0.51, "2023-06": -1.25, "2023-09": -0.71, "2023-12": -0.98, "2024-03": -0.5, "2024-06": -0.82, "2024-09": -0.42, "2024-12": -0.8, "2025-03": -0.45, "2025-06": -0.37, "2025-09": -0.33, "2025-12": -0.46, "2026-03": -0.46, "2026-06": -0.46,
Last SUE: 1.17
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of ZLAB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 43.103, 2021-12: 44.171, 2022-03: 46.724, 2022-06: 48.176, 2022-09: 57.54, 2022-12: 62.601, 2023-03: 62.797, 2023-06: 68.864, 2023-09: 69.228, 2023-12: 65.83, 2024-03: 87.149, 2024-06: 100.504, 2024-09: 102.265, 2024-12: 109.07, 2025-03: 106.487, 2025-06: 109.977, 2025-09: 116.095, 2025-12: 127.597, 2026-03: 99.611, 2026-06: 106.311,
Rev. CAGR: 25.12%
Rev. Trend: 94.8%
Last SUE: 0.21
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 9 years of data

Jan +5.5% 12
Feb +4.7% 30
Mar -5.0% 42
Apr +5.3% 30
May -4.3% 19
Jun +7.4% 16
Jul +2.2% 19
Aug -1.1% 12
Sep -2.1% 25
Oct -4.0% 15
Nov +14.4% 14
Dec -2.0% 6

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ZLAB Zai Lab

Zai Lab Limited is a Shanghai- and Pudong-based biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapies in oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases. Founded in 2013 and listed on NASDAQ in 2017, the company generates revenue through a portfolio of commercialized drugs-including Zejula, VYVGART, NUZYRA, Optune, Qinlock, Xacduro, and Augtyro-spanning ovarian cancer, myasthenia gravis, bacterial infections, glioblastoma, gastrointestinal stromal tumors, and non-small cell lung cancer.

Its business model combines in-licensed products from global partners with internal R&D, supported by a network of strategic collaborations with Tesaro, NovoCure, Deciphera Pharmaceuticals, Paratek, argenx, Turning Point Therapeutics, Entasis Therapeutics, Karuna Therapeutics, Pfizer, Amgen, and Boehringer Ingelheim. Such licensing and co-development agreements are a common structure for China-based biotechs, which typically leverage in-licensed late-stage assets to accelerate commercialization domestically while developing their own pipeline for global markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • VYVGART launch in China drives immunology segment revenue growth
  • NRDL price negotiations pressure margins on Zejula and portfolio drugs
  • Pipeline catalysts from Pfizer and Amgen collaborations expand oncology and immunology pipeline
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -188.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 108.0% < 20% (prev 164.2%; Δ -56.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.12 > 3% & CFO -133.4m > Net Income -188.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.13 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (111.7m) vs 12m ago 2.29% < -2%
Gross Margin: 56.47% > 18% (prev 62.39%; Δ -5.92% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 40.16% > 50% (prev 36.75%; Δ 3.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -30.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM -184.7m / Interest Expense TTM 5.99m)
Altman Z'' -5.07
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 914.0m - Total Current Liabilities 428.6m) / Total Assets 1.07b
B: -2.54 (Retained Earnings -2.73b / Total Assets 1.07b)
C: -0.17 (EBIT TTM -184.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.12b)
D: 1.30 (Book Value of Equity 607.0m / Total Liabilities 467.8m)
Altman-Z'' = -5.07 = D
Beneish M -2.74
DSRI: 0.70 (Receivables 73.0m/99.3m, Revenue 449.6m/427.8m)
GMI: 1.10 (GM 62.39% / 56.47%)
AQI: 1.69 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 449.6m / 427.8m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI -188.2m - CFO -133.4m) / TA 1.07b)
Beneish M = -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ZLAB shares?

As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.58 with a total of 1,214,236 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.35%, over one month by +0.67%, over three months by +34.07% and over the past year by -23.21%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.90 (which is 6.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is ZLAB a buy, sell or hold?

Zai Lab has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ZLAB.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ZLAB price?
Analysts Target Price 33.1 29.6%
Zai Lab (ZLAB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.00b (3.00b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 6.6806
P/B = 4.8862
Revenue TTM = 449.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -184.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -168.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 11.4m USD (estimated: total debt 254.6m - short term 243.1m)
Short Term Debt = 243.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 271.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.5m
Net Debt = -346.5m USD (calculated: Debt 271.0m - CCE 617.5m)
Enterprise Value = 2.66b USD (3.00b + Debt 271.0m - CCE 617.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -30.87 (Ebit TTM -184.7m / Interest Expense TTM 5.99m)
EV/FCF = -16.35x (Enterprise Value 2.66b / FCF TTM -162.5m)
FCF Yield = -6.12% (FCF TTM -162.5m / Enterprise Value 2.66b)
FCF Margin = -36.15% (FCF TTM -162.5m / Revenue TTM 449.6m)
Net Margin = -41.86% (Net Income TTM -188.2m / Revenue TTM 449.6m)
Gross Margin = 56.47% ((Revenue TTM 449.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 195.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.70% (prev 61.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.47 (Enterprise Value 2.66b / Total Assets 1.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.21% (Interest Expense 5.99m / Debt 271.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -145.9m (EBIT -184.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.13 (Total Current Assets 914.0m / Total Current Liabilities 428.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 271.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 607.0m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 2.05 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -346.5m / EBITDA -168.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -346.5m / FCF TTM -162.5m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 686.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.81% (Net Income -188.2m / Total Assets 1.07b)
RoE = -27.43% (Net Income TTM -188.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 686.1m)
RoCE = -26.48% (EBIT -184.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 686.1m + L.T.Debt 11.4m))
 RoIC = -16.84% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -145.9m / Invested Capital 866.9m)
 WACC = 7.82% (E(3.00b)/V(3.27b) * Re(8.37%) + D(271.0m)/V(3.27b) * Rd(2.21%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.43 | Cagr: -61.79%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -162.5m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.78 | Revenue CAGR: 25.12% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.56 | Chg30d=-5.36% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.20 | Chg30d=-0.36% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-37.2% | GrowthRev=-5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.11 | Chg30d=-9.34% | Revisions=-75% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+26.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27% (up=8, down=15)