(ZLAB) Zai Lab - Ratings and Ratios
Oncology, Immunology, Neurology, Infectious Disease, Biopharma
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 90.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.26 |
| Alpha | -42.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.503 |
| Beta | 0.912 |
| Beta Downside | 1.163 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.43% |
| Mean DD | 39.66% |
| Median DD | 39.88% |
Description: ZLAB Zai Lab January 10, 2026
Zai Lab Ltd (NASDAQ:ZLAB) is a China-based biopharma that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics across oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases. Its current marketed portfolio includes Zejula (niraparib) for ovarian cancer, VYVGART for myasthenia gravis, NUZYRA for bacterial pneumonia and skin infections, Optune for glioblastoma, Qinlock for GIST, Xacduro for Acinetobacter-related pneumonia, and Augtyro targeting ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer.
The oncology pipeline features bemarituzumab (FGFR2-targeted), tumor-treating fields (TTF) technology, tisotumab vedotin (antibody-drug conjugate), and repotrectinib (TRK/ROS1 inhibitor). In immunology, neuroscience, and infectious disease, the pipeline includes efgartigimod (IgG-FcRn blocker), xanomeline (muscarinic-receptor agonist), and trospium chloride (anticholinergic). Most candidates are in Phase 2/3 trials, positioning Zai Lab to broaden its revenue base beyond the existing commercial products.
Zai Lab leverages a network of licensing and collaboration agreements with major pharma partners: Tesoro (niraparib), NovoCure (TTF), Deciphera (ripretinib), Paratek (omadacycline), argenx (efgartigimod), Bristol-Myers Squibb (tisotumab vedotin, repotrectinib), Amgen (bemarituzumab), Innoviva (sulbactam-durlobactam), Karuna Therapeutics (xanomeline, trospium), and a strategic deal with Pfizer on sulbactam/durlobactam. These partnerships provide upfront payments, milestone funding, and shared commercialization risk.
Financially, Zai Lab reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $540 million, a 28 % YoY increase driven primarily by Zejula sales, and ended the year with $1.3 billion in cash and marketable securities, giving it a runway of over three years at current burn rates. The companys R&D spend grew to $210 million, reflecting its aggressive pipeline expansion. The biotech sector in China continues to benefit from supportive regulatory reforms and increasing domestic investment, which could accelerate Zai Lab’s market access and pricing negotiations.
Given the breadth of its product suite, strong cash position, and deep partner ecosystem, Zai Lab presents a high-expected-value opportunity, but investors should monitor the outcomes of late-stage trials (e.g., bemarituzumab and tisotumab vedotin) and any changes in Chinese drug pricing policy that could affect margins.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Zai Lab’s valuation and risk profile, check the ValueRay analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-206.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 26.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 152.4% (prev 161.4%; Δ -8.99pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO -180.5m > Net Income -206.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (110.2m) change vs 12m ago -88.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 61.32% (prev 63.17%; Δ -1.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 41.19% (prev 36.10%; Δ 5.09pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -42.51 (EBITDA TTM -185.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.75m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -11.39
| (A) 0.58 = (Total Current Assets 1.03b - Total Current Liabilities 359.8m) / Total Assets 1.16b |
| (B) -2.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.58b / Total Assets 1.16b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.22 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.19 = EBIT TTM -202.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.07b |
| (D) -6.36 = Book Value of Equity -2.54b / Total Liabilities 399.0m |
| Total Rating: -11.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.86
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -13.28% |
| 3. FCF Margin -46.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.68 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -24.86)% |
| 7. RoE -25.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.56% |
| 9. EPS Trend 77.19% |
What is the price of ZLAB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.93%, over one month by +6.38%, over three months by -35.37% and over the past year by -27.54%.
Is ZLAB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZLAB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.5 | 152.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 152.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.7 | -16.8% |
ZLAB Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/B = 2.7086
Revenue TTM = 441.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -202.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -185.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 16.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 208.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 219.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -497.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.56b USD (2.05b + Debt 219.4m - CCE 717.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -42.51 (Ebit TTM -202.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.75m)
EV/FCF = -7.53x (Enterprise Value 1.56b / FCF TTM -206.8m)
FCF Yield = -13.28% (FCF TTM -206.8m / Enterprise Value 1.56b)
FCF Margin = -46.83% (FCF TTM -206.8m / Revenue TTM 441.6m)
Net Margin = -46.83% (Net Income TTM -206.8m / Revenue TTM 441.6m)
Gross Margin = 61.32% ((Revenue TTM 441.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 170.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.62% (prev 60.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 1.56b / Total Assets 1.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.64% (Interest Expense 1.40m / Debt 219.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -159.6m (EBIT -202.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.87 (Total Current Assets 1.03b / Total Current Liabilities 359.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 219.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 759.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -497.8m / EBITDA -185.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -497.8m / FCF TTM -206.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 800.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -19.29% (Net Income -206.8m / Total Assets 1.16b)
RoE = -25.82% (Net Income TTM -206.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 800.8m)
RoCE = -24.73% (EBIT -202.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 800.8m + L.T.Debt 16.3m))
RoIC = -16.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -159.6m / Invested Capital 971.5m)
WACC = 8.43% (E(2.05b)/V(2.27b) * Re(9.28%) + D(219.4m)/V(2.27b) * Rd(0.64%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -66.30%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -206.8m)
EPS Correlation: 77.19 | EPS CAGR: 21.28% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.56 | Revenue CAGR: 29.39% | SUE: -3.13 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.29 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.66 | Chg30d=-0.101 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+59.0% | Growth Revenue=+42.1%
Additional Sources for ZLAB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle