(ZUMZ) Zumiez - Overview
Stock: Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Skateboards, Snowboards
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.03 |
| Alpha | 34.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.540 |
| Beta Downside | 1.481 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
Description: ZUMZ Zumiez December 31, 2025
Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) is a specialty retailer focused on apparel, footwear, accessories, and hard-goods such as skateboards and snowboards for Gen-Z and millennial consumers. The brand operates physical stores under the Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times banners and runs complementary e-commerce sites (zumiez.com, blue-tomato.com, fasttimes.com.au, etc.) across the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe and other international markets. Founded in 1978, the company is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net revenue reached roughly **$1.5 billion**, with **e-commerce accounting for about 30 % of total sales** and growing at a 12 % YoY rate; comparable-store sales rose **4.2 %** in the most recent quarter, driven by strong demand for “hard-goods” (skate/snow equipment). The business’s gross margin stayed near **38 %**, reflecting a mix of higher-margin apparel and lower-margin footwear.
Sector drivers that materially affect Zumiez include: (1) **Youth discretionary spending trends** – Gen-Z consumer confidence and disposable income are highly sensitive to macro-economic conditions such as inflation and employment; (2) **Digital-first shopping behavior** – the shift toward online discovery and purchase continues to pressure brick-and-mortar performance while rewarding omnichannel integration; (3) **Cultural relevance of action-sports** – growth in skateboarding and snowboarding participation, especially after the sport’s Olympic exposure, fuels demand for hard-goods.
For a data-rich, unbiased assessment of Zumiez’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material risk factors.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 8.58m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.51% < 20% (prev 16.62%; Δ -1.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 50.5m > Net Income 8.58m |
| Net Debt (128.9m) to EBITDA (28.3m): 4.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.7m) vs 12m ago -11.80% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.14% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3480 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 143.4% > 50% (prev 138.1%; Δ 5.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 28.3m / Interest Expense TTM -17.1m) |
Altman Z'' 2.95
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 315.0m - Total Current Liabilities 172.8m) / Total Assets 633.1m |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 104.4m / Total Assets 633.1m) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 365.0k / Avg Total Assets 639.5m) |
| D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 298.5m / Total Liabilities 334.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.95 = A |
Beneish M -3.20
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 13.8m/14.9m, Revenue 916.9m/891.9m) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 35.14% / 33.49%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 916.9m / 891.9m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 8.58m - CFO 50.5m) / TA 633.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.20 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ZUMZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.22%, over one month by -5.68%, over three months by +15.32% and over the past year by +56.57%.
Is ZUMZ a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZUMZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24 | -3.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24 | -3.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.2 | 9.1% |
ZUMZ Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.3132
P/S = 0.4549
P/B = 1.4069
P/EG = 0.82
Revenue TTM = 916.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 365.0k USD
EBITDA TTM = 28.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 199.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 54.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 209.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 128.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 521.7m USD (417.1m + Debt 209.1m - CCE 104.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.02 (Ebit TTM 365.0k / Interest Expense TTM -17.1m)
EV/FCF = 11.29x (Enterprise Value 521.7m / FCF TTM 46.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.85% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Enterprise Value 521.7m)
FCF Margin = 5.04% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Net Margin = 0.94% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Gross Margin = 35.14% ((Revenue TTM 916.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 594.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.55% (prev 35.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 521.7m / Total Assets 633.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.15% (Interest Expense 317.0k / Debt 209.1m)
Taxrate = 26.06% (3.23m / 12.4m)
NOPAT = 269.9k (EBIT 365.0k * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 315.0m / Total Current Liabilities 172.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 209.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 298.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.55 (Net Debt 128.9m / EBITDA 28.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.79 (Net Debt 128.9m / FCF TTM 46.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 304.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.34% (Net Income 8.58m / Total Assets 633.1m)
RoE = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Total Stockholder Equity 304.6m)
RoCE = 0.07% (EBIT 365.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 304.6m + L.T.Debt 199.8m))
RoIC = 0.09% (NOPAT 269.9k / Invested Capital 296.5m)
WACC = 7.76% (E(417.1m)/V(626.2m) * Re(11.59%) + D(209.1m)/V(626.2m) * Rd(0.15%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 11.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.35% ; FCFF base≈28.4m ; Y1≈18.7m ; Y5≈8.51m
Fair Price DCF = 2.66 (EV 174.0m - Net Debt 128.9m = Equity 45.0m / Shares 16.9m; r=7.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -22.44 | EPS CAGR: -25.99% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.70 | Revenue CAGR: -9.43% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=+0.053 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+49.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.9%