(ZUMZ) Zumiez - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Skateboards, Snowboards
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 65.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 94.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.83% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | -0.76 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.517 |
| Beta | 1.559 |
| Beta Downside | 1.406 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.22% |
| Mean DD | 34.60% |
| Median DD | 35.65% |
Description: ZUMZ Zumiez December 31, 2025
Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) is a specialty retailer focused on apparel, footwear, accessories, and hard-goods such as skateboards and snowboards for Gen-Z and millennial consumers. The brand operates physical stores under the Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times banners and runs complementary e-commerce sites (zumiez.com, blue-tomato.com, fasttimes.com.au, etc.) across the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe and other international markets. Founded in 1978, the company is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net revenue reached roughly **$1.5 billion**, with **e-commerce accounting for about 30 % of total sales** and growing at a 12 % YoY rate; comparable-store sales rose **4.2 %** in the most recent quarter, driven by strong demand for “hard-goods” (skate/snow equipment). The business’s gross margin stayed near **38 %**, reflecting a mix of higher-margin apparel and lower-margin footwear.
Sector drivers that materially affect Zumiez include: (1) **Youth discretionary spending trends** – Gen-Z consumer confidence and disposable income are highly sensitive to macro-economic conditions such as inflation and employment; (2) **Digital-first shopping behavior** – the shift toward online discovery and purchase continues to pressure brick-and-mortar performance while rewarding omnichannel integration; (3) **Cultural relevance of action-sports** – growth in skateboarding and snowboarding participation, especially after the sport’s Olympic exposure, fuels demand for hard-goods.
For a data-rich, unbiased assessment of Zumiez’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material risk factors.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (8.58m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 55.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.51% (prev 16.62%; Δ -1.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 50.5m > Net Income 8.58m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (128.9m) to EBITDA (29.1m) ratio: 4.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (16.7m) change vs 12m ago -11.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.14% (prev 33.49%; Δ 1.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 143.4% (prev 138.1%; Δ 5.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.07 (EBITDA TTM 29.1m / Interest Expense TTM -16.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.96
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 315.0m - Total Current Liabilities 172.8m) / Total Assets 633.1m |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 104.4m / Total Assets 633.1m |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 1.17m / Avg Total Assets 639.5m |
| (D) 0.89 = Book Value of Equity 298.5m / Total Liabilities 334.6m |
| Total Rating: 2.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.76
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.70 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.64)% |
| 7. RoE 2.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -27.70% |
| 9. EPS Trend -22.44% |
What is the price of ZUMZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.92%, over one month by -17.58%, over three months by +17.02% and over the past year by +42.18%.
Is ZUMZ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZUMZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24 | 0% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24 | 0% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.3 | 13.9% |
ZUMZ Fundamental Data Overview January 13, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.0832
P/S = 0.4784
P/B = 1.4693
P/EG = 0.82
Beta = 0.859
Revenue TTM = 916.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 1.17m USD
EBITDA TTM = 29.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 199.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 54.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 209.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 128.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 543.2m USD (438.7m + Debt 209.1m - CCE 104.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.07 (Ebit TTM 1.17m / Interest Expense TTM -16.3m)
EV/FCF = 11.76x (Enterprise Value 543.2m / FCF TTM 46.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.50% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Enterprise Value 543.2m)
FCF Margin = 5.04% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Net Margin = 0.94% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Gross Margin = 35.14% ((Revenue TTM 916.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 594.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.55% (prev 35.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 543.2m / Total Assets 633.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.15% (Interest Expense 317.0k / Debt 209.1m)
Taxrate = 26.06% (3.23m / 12.4m)
NOPAT = 865.1k (EBIT 1.17m * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 315.0m / Total Current Liabilities 172.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 209.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 298.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.43 (Net Debt 128.9m / EBITDA 29.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.79 (Net Debt 128.9m / FCF TTM 46.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 304.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.34% (Net Income 8.58m / Total Assets 633.1m)
RoE = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Total Stockholder Equity 304.6m)
RoCE = 0.23% (EBIT 1.17m / Capital Employed (Equity 304.6m + L.T.Debt 199.8m))
RoIC = 0.29% (NOPAT 865.1k / Invested Capital 296.5m)
WACC = 7.93% (E(438.7m)/V(647.7m) * Re(11.66%) + D(209.1m)/V(647.7m) * Rd(0.15%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 11.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.53% ; FCFF base≈28.4m ; Y1≈18.7m ; Y5≈8.51m
Fair Price DCF = 2.33 (EV 168.5m - Net Debt 128.9m = Equity 39.6m / Shares 16.9m; r=7.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -22.44 | EPS CAGR: -25.99% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.70 | Revenue CAGR: -9.43% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+0.400 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+48.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%
Additional Sources for ZUMZ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle