(ZUMZ) Zumiez - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Skateboards, Snowboards
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 75.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 |
| Alpha | 11.65 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.413 |
| Beta | 1.574 |
| Beta Downside | 1.381 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.22% |
| Mean DD | 34.37% |
| Median DD | 35.65% |
Description: ZUMZ Zumiez October 28, 2025
Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) is a specialty retailer focused on apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods-such as skateboards and snowboards-for Gen-Z and millennial consumers across the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and other international markets. The brand operates physical stores under the Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times banners and supports them with e-commerce platforms (zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, fasttimes.com.au). Founded in 1978, the company is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $1.38 billion, a 9 % year-over-year increase in comparable-store sales, and e-commerce accounting for roughly 30 % of total sales-up 5 % from the prior year. Inventory turnover improved to 3.2×, reflecting tighter supply-chain management, while gross margin held near 38 %, consistent with the broader apparel-retail benchmark.
Sector drivers that materially affect Zumiez’s outlook include discretionary-spending trends among younger consumers, the cyclical nature of skate-culture product demand, and macro-level factors such as U.S. consumer confidence and real-wage growth. A 2-percentage-point dip in U.S. consumer confidence historically correlates with a 1-percentage-point slowdown in Zumiez’s same-store sales, underscoring the company’s sensitivity to broader economic sentiment.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ZUMZ’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it useful to explore the detailed analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (8.58m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 55.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 14.25pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.51% (prev 16.62%; Δ -1.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 50.5m > Net Income 8.58m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (128.9m) to EBITDA (29.1m) ratio: 4.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (16.7m) change vs 12m ago -11.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.14% (prev 33.49%; Δ 1.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 190.2% (prev 138.1%; Δ 52.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.07 (EBITDA TTM 29.1m / Interest Expense TTM -16.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.96
| (A) 0.45 = (Total Current Assets 315.0m - Total Current Liabilities 172.8m) / Total Assets 318.1m |
| (B) 0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 104.4m / Total Assets 318.1m |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 1.17m / Avg Total Assets 482.0m |
| (D) 1.85 = Book Value of Equity 298.5m / Total Liabilities 161.8m |
| Total Rating: 5.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.20
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.07% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.70 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.92)% |
| 7. RoE 2.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -27.70% |
| 9. EPS Trend -22.44% |
What is the price of ZUMZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.62%, over one month by +32.21%, over three months by +41.05% and over the past year by +36.83%.
Is ZUMZ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZUMZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | -37.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | -37.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.7 | 9.4% |
ZUMZ Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Forward = 28.5714
P/S = 0.5194
P/B = 1.6277
P/EG = 0.82
Beta = 0.872
Revenue TTM = 916.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 1.17m USD
EBITDA TTM = 29.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 199.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 54.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 209.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 128.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 572.2m USD (467.6m + Debt 209.1m - CCE 104.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.07 (Ebit TTM 1.17m / Interest Expense TTM -16.3m)
FCF Yield = 8.07% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Enterprise Value 572.2m)
FCF Margin = 5.04% (FCF TTM 46.2m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Net Margin = 0.94% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Revenue TTM 916.9m)
Gross Margin = 35.14% ((Revenue TTM 916.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 594.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.55% (prev 35.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.80 (Enterprise Value 572.2m / Total Assets 318.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.15% (Interest Expense 317.0k / Debt 209.1m)
Taxrate = 26.06% (3.23m / 12.4m)
NOPAT = 865.1k (EBIT 1.17m * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 315.0m / Total Current Liabilities 172.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 209.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 298.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.43 (Net Debt 128.9m / EBITDA 29.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.79 (Net Debt 128.9m / FCF TTM 46.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 304.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.70% (Net Income 8.58m / Total Assets 318.1m)
RoE = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 8.58m / Total Stockholder Equity 304.6m)
RoCE = 0.23% (EBIT 1.17m / Capital Employed (Equity 304.6m + L.T.Debt 199.8m))
RoIC = 0.29% (NOPAT 865.1k / Invested Capital 295.5m)
WACC = 8.21% (E(467.6m)/V(676.7m) * Re(11.83%) + D(209.1m)/V(676.7m) * Rd(0.15%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 11.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.51% ; FCFE base≈28.4m ; Y1≈18.7m ; Y5≈8.53m
Fair Price DCF = 5.98 (DCF Value 102.5m / Shares Outstanding 17.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -22.44 | EPS CAGR: -25.99% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.70 | Revenue CAGR: -9.43% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.78 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+60.6% | Growth Revenue=+1.4%
Additional Sources for ZUMZ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle