ZUMZ Stock Analysis: Zumiez | NASDAQ
Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 202m USD | 12M Return: -32.2% | US9898171015 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.79M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 96.1%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Zumiez Inc. is a specialty retailer that sells apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods targeted at young men and women. The company operates physical stores and e-commerce websites under the Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times banners across the United States, Australia, Canada, Europe, and other international markets. Its hardgoods offerings include skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and related equipment. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington, Zumiez has been publicly traded since its 2005 IPO on NASDAQ under the ticker ZUMZ.
The company operates within the Apparel Retail sub-industry of the Consumer Discretionary sector, a segment characterized by direct-to-consumer sales through both brick-and-mortar stores and online channels. Specialty retailers like Zumiez typically focus on a defined lifestyle or demographic niche-in this case, action sports and youth culture-rather than competing broadly across general apparel categories.
- Comparable store sales decline as teen discretionary spending weakens
- Holiday quarter same-store sales miss drives margin compression from markdowns
- Tariffs on China-sourced apparel raise costs and squeeze gross margins
| Net Income: 12.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.24% < 20% (prev 14.41%; Δ -1.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 35.7m > Net Income 12.7m |
| Net Debt (129.9m) to EBITDA (42.4m): 3.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (15.7m) vs 12m ago -5.93% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.06% > 18% (prev 34.51%; Δ 1.55% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 149.1% > 50% (prev 144.4%; Δ 4.73% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 296.3m - Total Current Liabilities 172.8m) / Total Assets 627.4m |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 78.3m / Total Assets 627.4m) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 22.3m / Avg Total Assets 625.4m) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 279.0m / Total Liabilities 348.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.78 = A |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 25.2m/22.0m, Revenue 932.8m/900.3m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 34.51% / 36.06%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 932.8m / 900.3m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 12.7m - CFO 35.7m) / TA 627.4m) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.31 with a total of 178,476 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.83%, over one month by -27.86%, over three months by -26.87% and over the past year by -32.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.30 (which is 7.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Zumiez has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ZUMZ.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 21 | 57.8% |
P/E Trailing = 20.0
P/E Forward = 29.2398
P/S = 0.217
P/B = 0.7396
P/EG = 0.9622
Revenue TTM = 932.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 22.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 42.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 168.0m USD (estimated: total debt 227.2m - short term 59.2m)
Short Term Debt = 59.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 227.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 227.2m already included)
Net Debt = 129.9m USD (calculated: Debt 227.2m - CCE 97.3m)
Enterprise Value = 332.3m USD (202.4m + Debt 227.2m - CCE 97.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 9.91x (Enterprise Value 332.3m / FCF TTM 33.5m)
FCF Yield = 10.09% (FCF TTM 33.5m / Enterprise Value 332.3m)
FCF Margin = 3.60% (FCF TTM 33.5m / Revenue TTM 932.8m)
Net Margin = 1.36% (Net Income TTM 12.7m / Revenue TTM 932.8m)
Gross Margin = 36.06% ((Revenue TTM 932.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 596.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.34% (prev 31.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 332.3m / Total Assets 627.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 227.2m)
Taxrate = 44.87% (10.3m / 23.0m)
NOPAT = 12.3m (EBIT 22.3m * (1 - 44.87%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 296.3m / Total Current Liabilities 172.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.81 (Debt 227.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 279.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.07 (Net Debt 129.9m / EBITDA 42.4m)
Debt / FCF = 3.87 (Net Debt 129.9m / FCF TTM 33.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 301.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.03% (Net Income 12.7m / Total Assets 627.4m)
RoE = 4.21% (Net Income TTM 12.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 301.9m)
RoCE = 4.75% (EBIT 22.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 301.9m + L.T.Debt 168.0m))
RoIC = 2.64% (NOPAT 12.3m / Invested Capital 467.2m)
WACC = 5.50% (E(202.4m)/V(429.6m) * Re(11.67%) + D(227.2m)/V(429.6m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 11.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -9.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈30.0m ; Y1≈34.4m ; Y5≈50.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 41.28 (EV 762.8m - Net Debt 129.9m = Equity 632.8m / Shares 15.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.10 | Revenue CAGR: 2.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-88.14% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-46.51% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-41.0% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-41.33% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+91.3% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -18% (up=3, down=5)