(AA) Alcoa - Ratings and Ratios
Bauxite, Alumina, Aluminum, Energy
AA EPS (Earnings per Share)
AA Revenue
Description: AA Alcoa
Alcoa Corporation is a global leader in the production of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum, with operations spanning across multiple countries, including Australia, Brazil, Canada, and the United States. The companys diversified business model is structured around two primary segments: Alumina and Aluminum, allowing it to capitalize on the entire value chain, from mining to smelting and casting.
The companys Alumina segment is focused on extracting bauxite and refining it into alumina, which is then sold to aluminum smelters and other customers for use in industrial applications. Meanwhile, the Aluminum segment is responsible for smelting and casting aluminum into various products, including alloy ingot and value-add ingot, which are used in a range of industries, such as transportation, construction, and packaging.
In addition to its core aluminum business, Alcoa Corporation also generates energy through its power plants, which are used to supply electricity to the wholesale market, industrial consumers, and distribution companies. This diversification into energy production not only provides a supplementary revenue stream but also helps to offset some of the companys energy costs.
From a technical analysis perspective, Alcoa Corps stock price has been trending around its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $28.01, indicating a level of stability. However, the stocks 50-day SMA of $26.67 and 200-day SMA of $34.63 suggest a potential for volatility. The Average True Range (ATR) of 1.06, equivalent to 3.79%, indicates a moderate level of price movement. Given the current technical setup, a potential trading range for AA could be between $25.00 and $30.00, with a breakout above $30.00 potentially signaling a bullish trend.
Fundamentally, Alcoa Corps market capitalization stands at $7.215 billion, with a forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.87, indicating a relatively undervalued stock. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) of 17.09% suggests a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Considering the current fundamental data and technical trends, a forecast for Alcoa Corps stock price could be around $32.00 in the next 6-12 months, driven by a potential recovery in the aluminum industry and the companys efforts to improve its operational efficiency.
Additional Sources for AA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
AA Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 7,213m |
Sector | Basic Materials |
Industry | Aluminum |
GiC Sub-Industry | Aluminum |
IPO / Inception | 2016-11-01 |
AA Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 21.0 |
Fundamental | 9.66 |
Dividend Rating | 48.1 |
Rel. Strength | -29.9 |
Analysts | 4.07 of 5 |
Fair Price Momentum | 25.99 USD |
Fair Price DCF | 9.69 USD |
AA Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 1.23% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 3.63% |
Annual Growth 5y | 41.42% |
Payout Consistency | 84.8% |
Payout Ratio | 10.2% |
AA Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 80.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -52.1% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 3.6% |
CAGR 5y | 23.07% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.31 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.50 |
Alpha | -49.27 |
Beta | 1.836 |
Volatility | 51.44% |
Current Volume | 3040.9k |
Average Volume 20d | 5672.2k |
As of July 04, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 31.15 with a total of 3,040,872 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.08%, over one month by +12.62%, over three months by +14.37% and over the past year by -25.59%.
Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Alcoa is currently (July 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 9.66 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AA is around 25.99 USD . This means that AA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.57%.
Alcoa has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.07. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AA.
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, AA Alcoa will be worth about 31.1 in July 2026. The stock is currently trading at 31.15. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -0.19%.
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 37.1 | 19.2% |
Analysts Target Price | 36.6 | 17.6% |
ValueRay Target Price | 31.1 | -0.2% |