(AAUC) Allied Gold - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Mines, Exploration, Africa
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 61.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 92.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.90% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.59 |
| Alpha | 274.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 5.88 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.485 |
| Beta | 0.684 |
| Beta Downside | 0.345 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.45% |
| Mean DD | 9.24% |
| Median DD | 8.15% |
Description: AAUC Allied Gold January 17, 2026
Allied Gold Corporation (NYSE: AAUC) is a Toronto-based mining company that focuses on the exploration and production of gold and silver assets across Africa.
The firm’s flagship operation is the open-pit Sadiola gold mine in Mali, which it operates through a 70 % owned subsidiary. Additional interests include the Bonikro and Hiré projects in Côte d’Ivoire, the Agbaou mine (also in Côte d’Ivoire), and the early-stage Kurmuk gold project in Ethiopia.
In September 2023 the company rebranded from Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation to Allied Gold Corporation, consolidating its corporate identity under the ticker AAUC.
Recent operational data (2023) show Sadiola producing roughly 80,000 oz of gold at an estimated cash cost of $950 per ounce, while the Agbaou mine contributed about 30,000 oz at $1,100/oz; both figures are sensitive to fluctuations in the USD/Gold price and to local logistical constraints.
Key sector drivers for AAUC include the sustained bullish trend in gold prices (averaging a 10 % year-over-year gain in 2023), the relative cost advantage of West African mining jurisdictions, and the company’s ability to leverage existing infrastructure to keep operating expenses below the $1,200/oz benchmark that many peers face.
If you want a deeper quantitative dive into AAUC’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (-38.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 64.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -19.63% (prev -27.55%; Δ 7.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 377.1m > Net Income -38.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-123.5m) to EBITDA (213.6m) ratio: -0.58 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (115.8m) change vs 12m ago -54.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.67% (prev 27.37%; Δ 8.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 78.88% (prev 71.05%; Δ 7.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.42 (EBITDA TTM 213.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.31
| (A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 485.6m - Total Current Liabilities 696.7m) / Total Assets 1.68b |
| (B) -0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -255.4m / Total Assets 1.68b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 148.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.36b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 331.5m / Total Liabilities 1.27b |
| Total Rating: -0.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.63
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.98% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.58 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.60)% |
| 7. RoE -11.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend -9.57% |
What is the price of AAUC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.95%, over one month by +23.47%, over three months by +43.11% and over the past year by +298.56%.
Is AAUC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the AAUC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33.2 | 20.2% |
AAUC Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/S = 1.7843
P/B = 4.5914
Revenue TTM = 1.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 213.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 31.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 125.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 138.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -123.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.49b USD (1.61b + Debt 138.8m - CCE 262.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.42 (Ebit TTM 148.9m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0m)
EV/FCF = -46.39x (Enterprise Value 1.49b / FCF TTM -32.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.16% (FCF TTM -32.0m / Enterprise Value 1.49b)
FCF Margin = -2.98% (FCF TTM -32.0m / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Net Margin = -3.58% (Net Income TTM -38.5m / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Gross Margin = 35.67% ((Revenue TTM 1.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 691.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.73% (prev 26.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 1.49b / Total Assets 1.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.36% (Interest Expense 4.66m / Debt 138.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 117.7m (EBIT 148.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 485.6m / Total Current Liabilities 696.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 138.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 331.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.58 (Net Debt -123.5m / EBITDA 213.6m)
Debt / FCF = 3.86 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -123.5m / FCF TTM -32.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 349.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.82% (Net Income -38.5m / Total Assets 1.68b)
RoE = -11.01% (Net Income TTM -38.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 349.4m)
RoCE = 39.13% (EBIT 148.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 349.4m + L.T.Debt 31.2m))
RoIC = 25.58% (NOPAT 117.7m / Invested Capital 460.0m)
WACC = 7.98% (E(1.61b)/V(1.75b) * Re(8.44%) + D(138.8m)/V(1.75b) * Rd(3.36%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -22.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -32.0m)
EPS Correlation: -9.57 | EPS CAGR: -9.60% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.32 | Revenue CAGR: 35.46% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AAUC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle