(AAUC) Allied Gold - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.439m USD | Total Return: 97.4% in 12m

Gold, Silver, Mining Services
Total Rating 67
Safety 51
Buy Signal -0.27
Gold
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap: 3.44B
Avg Turnover: 10.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.96%
VaR vs Median2.25%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.62
Rel. Str. IBD82.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group76.6
Character TTM
Beta-0.447
Beta Downside-1.107
Hurst Exponent0.566
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.45%
CAGR/Max DD4.12
CAGR/Mean DD14.37
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AAUC over the last years for every Quarter: "2022-12": null, "2023-12": 0.0652, "2024-03": -0.068, "2024-06": 0.0978, "2024-09": -1.2822, "2024-12": -0.0938, "2025-03": 0.12, "2025-06": -0.2231, "2025-09": -0.1548, "2025-12": -0.19, "2026-03": -0.4653,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AAUC over the last years for every Quarter: 2022-12: 669.551, 2023-12: 179.674, 2024-03: 175.067, 2024-06: 195.614, 2024-09: 188.855, 2024-12: 170.846, 2025-03: 346.407, 2025-06: 251.979, 2025-09: 305.618, 2025-12: 427.82, 2026-03: 388.650894,
Rev. CAGR: 42.52%
Rev. Trend: 92.8%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' -0.08 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: AAUC Allied Gold

Allied Gold Corporation is a Toronto-based mining enterprise focused on the exploration and production of gold and silver deposits within Africa. The companys primary asset is the Sadiola gold project in Mali, which operates under two distinct mining licenses. Following a corporate restructuring and name change in September 2023, the firm established its current identity as a key operator in the West African mining landscape.

The company operates within the capital-intensive precious metals sector, where business models typically rely on high-grade resource discovery and the transition from exploration to active production to generate cash flow. In regions like West Africa, mining firms often face unique geopolitical considerations that can influence operational stability and infrastructure requirements. Detailed analysis of these jurisdictional risks and asset potential is available on ValueRay for those seeking further clarity.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Sadiola expansion project execution drives long-term production growth and revenue
  • Geopolitical instability in Mali impacts operational continuity and investor risk
  • Gold price fluctuations directly determine profit margins and free cash flow
  • Operating cost inflation at African mines pressures overall corporate earnings
  • Successful exploration at Kurala and Diba deposits increases total mineral reserves
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: -124.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -29.77% < 20% (prev -15.01%; Δ -14.76% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 448.7m > Net Income -124.5m
Net Debt (-145.9m) to EBITDA (454.6m): -0.32 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (125.3m) vs 12m ago 4.56% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.35% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 4.10k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 75.25% > 50% (prev 64.41%; Δ 10.84% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 34.39 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 454.6m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m)
Altman Z'' -0.08
A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 750.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 2.25b
B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -340.2m / Total Assets 2.25b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 382.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.83b)
D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 335.7m / Total Liabilities 1.81b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.08 = B
Beneish M -2.94
DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 87.6m/49.1m, Revenue 1.37b/901.7m)
GMI: 0.81 (GM 41.35% / 33.52%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.52 (Revenue 1.37b / 901.7m)
TATA: -0.25 (NI -124.5m - CFO 448.7m) / TA 2.25b)
Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AAUC shares?

As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.18 with a total of 205,062 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.95%, over one month by -9.79%, over three months by -14.10% and over the past year by +97.39%.

Is AAUC a buy, sell or hold?

Allied Gold has no consensus analysts rating.

Allied Gold (AAUC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.44b (3.44b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 5.5218
P/S = 2.4929
P/B = 10.2773
Revenue TTM = 1.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 382.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 454.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 24.4m USD (estimated: total debt 247.5m - short term 223.1m)
Short Term Debt = 223.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 279.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 32.2m
Net Debt = -145.9m USD (calculated: Debt 279.7m - CCE 425.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.29b USD (3.44b + Debt 279.7m - CCE 425.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.39 (Ebit TTM 382.3m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m)
EV/FCF = 103.3x (Enterprise Value 3.29b / FCF TTM 31.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.97% (FCF TTM 31.9m / Enterprise Value 3.29b)
FCF Margin = 2.32% (FCF TTM 31.9m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Net Margin = -9.06% (Net Income TTM -124.5m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Gross Margin = 41.35% ((Revenue TTM 1.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 805.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.23% (prev 48.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 3.29b / Total Assets 2.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.97% (Interest Expense 11.1m / Debt 279.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 302.0m (EBIT 382.3m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 750.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.16b)
Debt / Equity = 0.83 (Debt 279.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 335.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.32 (Net Debt -145.9m / EBITDA 454.6m)
Debt / FCF = -4.58 (Net Debt -145.9m / FCF TTM 31.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 363.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.82% (Net Income -124.5m / Total Assets 2.25b)
RoE = -17.68% (Net Income TTM -124.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 704.2m)
RoCE = 52.47% (EBIT 382.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 704.2m + L.T.Debt 24.4m))
RoIC = 23.35% (NOPAT 302.0m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 4.31% (E(3.44b)/V(3.72b) * Re(4.41%) + D(279.7m)/V(3.72b) * Rd(3.97%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 4.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.40 | Cagr: 19.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈31.9m ; Y1≈32.0m ; Y5≈33.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.35 (EV 527.5m - Net Debt -145.9m = Equity 673.4m / Shares 125.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.80 | Revenue CAGR: 42.52% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0