(ABG) Asbury Automotive - Overview
Stock: New Vehicles, Used Vehicles, Service, Parts, Finance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.77 |
| Alpha | -42.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.053 |
| Beta Downside | 0.892 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.06% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.03 |
Description: ABG Asbury Automotive January 08, 2026
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) is a U.S.-based automotive retailer that operates through two primary segments: traditional Dealerships and the Total Care Auto (TCA) platform powered by Landcar. The company sells new and used vehicles, provides repair and maintenance services, and offers a suite of finance-and-insurance (F&I) products such as extended service contracts and prepaid maintenance plans. Its customer base includes retail buyers, other dealers, and licensed wholesalers, with sales occurring both at its physical dealership network and through auction channels.
Key operating metrics from the most recent 10-K (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly **$6.3 billion**, a **6 % year-over-year increase in same-store sales**, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of **≈ 5 %**. The TCA segment contributed about **15 % of total revenue**, reflecting a broader industry shift toward recurring-revenue models. External drivers that materially affect ABG’s performance include: (1) **consumer confidence and disposable income trends**, which influence new-vehicle demand; (2) **interest-rate levels**, which impact vehicle financing volumes and F&I uptake; and (3) **the pace of electric-vehicle (EV) adoption**, which could reshape inventory mix and service-bay requirements.
Given the blend of traditional dealership earnings and the growing subscription-style TCA business, ABG’s outlook hinges on how quickly it can capture higher-margin F&I revenue while navigating macro-economic headwinds. **If interest rates remain elevated, financing spreads may compress, but higher F&I penetration could offset that pressure.** Conversely, a sustained slowdown in consumer spending would likely depress both new-vehicle sales and ancillary service revenue.
For a deeper quantitative dive into ABG’s valuation drivers, you might explore ValueRay’s analytics platform for additional metrics and scenario modeling.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 421.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.14% < 20% (prev 3.09%; Δ -3.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 867.5m > Net Income 421.2m |
| Net Debt (5.95b) to EBITDA (1.07b): 5.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.6m) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.99% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1682 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 162.5% > 50% (prev 162.1%; Δ 0.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.11 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 241.8m) |
Altman Z'' 2.08
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 3.34b - Total Current Liabilities 3.36b) / Total Assets 11.77b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 3.60b / Total Assets 11.77b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 992.9m / Avg Total Assets 10.97b) |
| D: 0.46 (Book Value of Equity 3.65b / Total Liabilities 7.90b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.08 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.01
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 489.2m/462.9m, Revenue 17.83b/16.50b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 16.99% / 17.41%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.43 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 17.83b / 16.50b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 421.2m - CFO 867.5m) / TA 11.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ABG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.97%, over one month by -6.96%, over three months by -0.62% and over the past year by -25.71%.
Is ABG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ABG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 255.5 | 13.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 255.5 | 13.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 223.7 | -0.7% |
ABG Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.5324
P/S = 0.2586
P/B = 1.1891
P/EG = 0.5049
Revenue TTM = 17.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 992.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.95b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.56b USD (4.61b + Debt 5.99b - CCE 32.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.11 (Ebit TTM 992.9m / Interest Expense TTM 241.8m)
EV/FCF = 15.34x (Enterprise Value 10.56b / FCF TTM 688.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.52% (FCF TTM 688.5m / Enterprise Value 10.56b)
FCF Margin = 3.86% (FCF TTM 688.5m / Revenue TTM 17.83b)
Net Margin = 2.36% (Net Income TTM 421.2m / Revenue TTM 17.83b)
Gross Margin = 16.99% ((Revenue TTM 17.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.72% (prev 17.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 10.56b / Total Assets 11.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 51.3m / Debt 5.99b)
Taxrate = 26.52% (53.1m / 200.2m)
NOPAT = 729.5m (EBIT 992.9m * (1 - 26.52%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 3.34b / Total Current Liabilities 3.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.54 (Debt 5.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.56 (Net Debt 5.95b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = 8.65 (Net Debt 5.95b / FCF TTM 688.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.84% (Net Income 421.2m / Total Assets 11.77b)
RoE = 11.40% (Net Income TTM 421.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.70b)
RoCE = 13.80% (EBIT 992.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.70b + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 8.46% (NOPAT 729.5m / Invested Capital 8.62b)
WACC = 4.62% (E(4.61b)/V(10.60b) * Re(9.79%) + D(5.99b)/V(10.60b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈503.5m ; Y1≈330.5m ; Y5≈150.8m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 4.81b - Net Debt 5.95b = -1.15b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -56.27 | EPS CAGR: -50.16% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.76 | Revenue CAGR: 17.11% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=6.66 | Chg30d=-0.053 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=27.91 | Chg30d=-0.110 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-0.7% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%