(ABG) Asbury Automotive - Overview
Stock: New Vehicles, Used Vehicles, Service, Parts, Finance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.71 |
| Alpha | -42.67 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.052 |
| Beta Downside | 0.892 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.06% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
Description: ABG Asbury Automotive January 08, 2026
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) is a U.S.-based automotive retailer that operates through two primary segments: traditional Dealerships and the Total Care Auto (TCA) platform powered by Landcar. The company sells new and used vehicles, provides repair and maintenance services, and offers a suite of finance-and-insurance (F&I) products such as extended service contracts and prepaid maintenance plans. Its customer base includes retail buyers, other dealers, and licensed wholesalers, with sales occurring both at its physical dealership network and through auction channels.
Key operating metrics from the most recent 10-K (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly **$6.3 billion**, a **6 % year-over-year increase in same-store sales**, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of **≈ 5 %**. The TCA segment contributed about **15 % of total revenue**, reflecting a broader industry shift toward recurring-revenue models. External drivers that materially affect ABG’s performance include: (1) **consumer confidence and disposable income trends**, which influence new-vehicle demand; (2) **interest-rate levels**, which impact vehicle financing volumes and F&I uptake; and (3) **the pace of electric-vehicle (EV) adoption**, which could reshape inventory mix and service-bay requirements.
Given the blend of traditional dealership earnings and the growing subscription-style TCA business, ABG’s outlook hinges on how quickly it can capture higher-margin F&I revenue while navigating macro-economic headwinds. **If interest rates remain elevated, financing spreads may compress, but higher F&I penetration could offset that pressure.** Conversely, a sustained slowdown in consumer spending would likely depress both new-vehicle sales and ancillary service revenue.
For a deeper quantitative dive into ABG’s valuation drivers, you might explore ValueRay’s analytics platform for additional metrics and scenario modeling.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 352.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 18.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.00% < 20% (prev 1.75%; Δ -2.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 867.5m > Net Income 352.4m |
| Net Debt (-40.4m) to EBITDA (1.02b): -0.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.4m) vs 12m ago -1.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.07% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1689 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 262.4% > 50% (prev 166.3%; Δ 96.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.38 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.02b / Interest Expense TTM 278.7m) |
Altman Z'' 4.05
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 3.38b - Total Current Liabilities 3.56b) / Total Assets 3.38b |
| B: 1.07 (Retained Earnings 3.60b / Total Assets 3.38b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 940.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.86b) |
| D: 0.0 (Book Value of Equity 0.0 / Total Liabilities 7.90b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.05 = AA |
What is the price of ABG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.20%, over one month by -12.70%, over three months by +0.40% and over the past year by -23.99%.
Is ABG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ABG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 253 | 13.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 253 | 13.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 221.5 | -0.9% |
ABG Fundamental Data Overview February 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.8989
P/S = 0.246
P/B = 1.125
P/EG = 0.4674
Revenue TTM = 18.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 940.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 5.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
Net Debt = -40.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.37b USD (4.43b + Debt 5.99b - CCE 40.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.38 (Ebit TTM 940.9m / Interest Expense TTM 278.7m)
EV/FCF = 15.07x (Enterprise Value 10.37b / FCF TTM 688.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.64% (FCF TTM 688.5m / Enterprise Value 10.37b)
FCF Margin = 3.83% (FCF TTM 688.5m / Revenue TTM 18.00b)
Net Margin = 1.96% (Net Income TTM 352.4m / Revenue TTM 18.00b)
Gross Margin = 17.07% ((Revenue TTM 18.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.96% (prev 16.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.07 (Enterprise Value 10.37b / Total Assets 3.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.75% (Interest Expense 104.9m / Debt 5.99b)
Taxrate = 27.42% (22.7m / 82.8m)
NOPAT = 682.9m (EBIT 940.9m * (1 - 27.42%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 3.38b / Total Current Liabilities 3.56b)
Debt / Equity = 1.54 (Debt 5.99b / totalStockholderEquity, two quarters ago 3.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.04 (Net Debt -40.4m / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = -0.06 (Net Debt -40.4m / FCF TTM 688.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.14% (Net Income 352.4m / Total Assets 3.38b)
RoE = 9.54% (Net Income TTM 352.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.70b)
RoCE = 13.08% (EBIT 940.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.70b + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 682.9m / Invested Capital 8.64b)
WACC = 4.89% (E(4.43b)/V(10.41b) * Re(9.79%) + D(5.99b)/V(10.41b) * Rd(1.75%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈503.5m ; Y1≈330.5m ; Y5≈150.8m
Fair Price DCF = 249.2 (EV 4.81b - Net Debt -40.4m = Equity 4.85b / Shares 19.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -83.83 | EPS CAGR: -8.40% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.18 | Revenue CAGR: 4.88% | SUE: -1.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=5.62 | Chg30d=-1.101 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=27.22 | Chg30d=-0.781 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-3.1% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=31.59 | Chg30d=-0.945 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%