(ACEL) Accel Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Gaming,Machines,Video,Lottery,Terminals
ACEL EPS (Earnings per Share)
ACEL Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.45 |
| Alpha | -25.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.442 |
| Beta | 0.626 |
| Beta Downside | 0.622 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.56% |
| Mean DD | 9.30% |
| Median DD | 8.79% |
Description: ACEL Accel Entertainment August 27, 2025
Accel Entertainment Inc (NYSE:ACEL) is a US-based company operating in the Casinos & Gaming sub-industry. To evaluate its potential, we need to examine key drivers and performance indicators.
The companys market capitalization stands at $979.49 million, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.05, suggesting a relatively high valuation compared to its current earnings. However, the forward P/E ratio is 16.05, indicating expected earnings growth. Return on Equity (RoE) is 14.35%, a respectable figure that signifies the companys ability to generate profits from shareholders equity.
To further analyze ACELs performance, we should consider key economic drivers such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating expenses. The gaming industry is highly competitive, and companies like ACEL must maintain a strong market position to drive growth. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor include Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), customer acquisition costs, and retention rates.
Additionally, the companys beta of 1.320 indicates a relatively high level of systematic risk, suggesting that ACELs stock price is more volatile than the overall market. This increased volatility may be attributed to the inherent risks associated with the gaming industry, such as regulatory changes, competition, and economic downturns.
To make informed investment decisions, its essential to analyze ACELs financial statements, focusing on income statement trends, cash flow generation, and balance sheet health. A thorough examination of these factors will help identify potential opportunities and risks associated with investing in Accel Entertainment Inc.
ACEL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 857m |
| Sub-Industry | Casinos & Gaming |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-11-21 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
ACEL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidACEL Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 5.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.57 |
| Current Volume | 216.7k |
| Average Volume | 259.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (43.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 78.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.60% (prev 16.85%; Δ -1.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 133.3m > Net Income 43.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (310.6m) to EBITDA (174.1m) ratio: 1.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (86.1m) change vs 12m ago 2.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.03% (prev 30.15%; Δ 0.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 128.4% (prev 127.4%; Δ 1.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.83 (EBITDA TTM 174.1m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.62
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 333.6m - Total Current Liabilities 129.7m) / Total Assets 1.09b |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 170.1m / Total Assets 1.09b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 99.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 171.2m / Total Liabilities 814.1m |
| Total Rating: 2.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.09
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.12% = 2.06 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.68% = 0.92 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.26 = 0.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.78 = 0.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.41)% = 4.26 |
| 7. RoE 16.77% = 1.40 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.22% = 7.14 |
| 9. EPS Trend -19.74% = -0.99 |
What is the price of ACEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.34%, over one month by -1.44%, over three months by -8.22% and over the past year by -10.38%.
Is Accel Entertainment a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ACEL is around 9.40 USD . This means that ACEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.47%.
Is ACEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16 | 55.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16 | 55.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.2 | -0.9% |
ACEL Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.6
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.6557
P/B = 3.2085
Beta = 1.081
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 565.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 602.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 310.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.17b USD (857.0m + Debt 602.7m - CCE 292.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 99.6m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.12% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Enterprise Value 1.17b)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 31.03% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 901.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.32% (prev 31.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 1.17b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.62m / Debt 602.7m)
Taxrate = 25.24% (4.49m / 17.8m)
NOPAT = 74.4m (EBIT 99.6m * (1 - 25.24%))
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 333.6m / Total Current Liabilities 129.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 602.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 267.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 310.6m / EBITDA 174.1m)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 310.6m / FCF TTM 48.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.02% (Net Income 43.7m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 16.77% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.4m)
RoCE = 12.06% (EBIT 99.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.4m + L.T.Debt 565.1m))
RoIC = 8.73% (NOPAT 74.4m / Invested Capital 852.2m)
WACC = 5.33% (E(857.0m)/V(1.46b) * Re(8.32%) + D(602.7m)/V(1.46b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.92% ; FCFE base≈57.5m ; Y1≈49.7m ; Y5≈39.5m
Fair Price DCF = 8.23 (DCF Value 684.7m / Shares Outstanding 83.2m; 5y FCF grow -16.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -19.74 | EPS CAGR: -45.17% | SUE: -1.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.22 | Revenue CAGR: 6.39% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ACEL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle