ACEL Stock Analysis: Accel Entertainment | NYSE
Gambling | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 990m USD | 12M Return: 5.1% | US00436Q1067 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.30M
EPS Trend: -29.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 8.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) is a U.S. distributed gaming operator that installs, maintains, and operates gaming terminals, cash-redemption devices with ATM functionality, and other amusement equipment in authorized non-casino venues such as restaurants, bars, taverns, convenience stores, liquor stores, truck stops, and grocery stores. In addition to its route-based gaming business, the company designs and manufactures gaming terminals and related equipment, offers turnkey gaming solutions to third-party operators, runs stand-alone ATMs, and is developing brick-and-mortar casinos and horse racing venues. Accel is headquartered in Burr Ridge, Illinois, and trades on the NYSE in the Consumer Discretionary sector (Casinos & Gaming sub-industry).
The distributed or route gaming model - a regulated segment of the broader casino industry - allows video gaming machines and similar terminals to be placed in non-casino retail locations under state-level frameworks (notably established in Illinois), with the operator typically sharing a portion of net gaming revenue with the host venue. Because revenue is largely tied to net win per unit per day across a geographically dispersed terminal base, operators in this space are sensitive to state tax rates, regulatory changes, and the pace of new location additions.
- Illinois gaming tax hike pressures distributed gaming margins
- Active terminal growth and new state expansion drive revenue
- Acquisitions add locations and scale distributed gaming footprint
| Net Income: 56.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.86 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.89% < 20% (prev 15.07%; Δ -1.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 149.0m > Net Income 56.7m |
| Net Debt (317.9m) to EBITDA (204.1m): 1.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (83.4m) vs 12m ago -4.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.83% > 18% (prev 30.69%; Δ 1.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 129.2% > 50% (prev 121.1%; Δ 8.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 123.4m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 324.3m - Total Current Liabilities 131.1m) / Total Assets 1.10b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 213.4m / Total Assets 1.10b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 123.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.08b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 283.9m / Total Liabilities 809.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.93 = A |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 41.0m/11.8m, Revenue 1.39b/1.28b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 30.69% / 31.83%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 1.39b / 1.28b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 56.7m - CFO 149.0m) / TA 1.10b) |
| Beneish M = -1.39 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.06 with a total of 282,495 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.90%, over one month by +0.75%, over three months by +2.29% and over the past year by +5.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.20 (which is 7.1% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Accel Entertainment has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ACEL.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 15.8 | 31.3% |
P/E Trailing = 18.4697
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.6987
P/B = 3.4867
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 123.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 204.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 543.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 573.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 317.9m USD (calculated: Debt 573.3m - CCE 255.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.31b USD (989.7m + Debt 573.3m - CCE 255.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.53 (Ebit TTM 123.4m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m)
EV/FCF = 7.79x (Enterprise Value 1.31b / FCF TTM 167.9m)
FCF Yield = 12.84% (FCF TTM 167.9m / Enterprise Value 1.31b)
FCF Margin = 12.07% (FCF TTM 167.9m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 4.08% (Net Income TTM 56.7m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 31.83% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 948.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.38% (prev 31.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 1.31b / Total Assets 1.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.09% (Interest Expense 34.9m / Debt 573.3m)
Taxrate = 27.84% (21.8m / 78.4m)
NOPAT = 89.0m (EBIT 123.4m * (1 - 27.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.47 (Total Current Assets 324.3m / Total Current Liabilities 131.1m)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 573.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 283.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.56 (Net Debt 317.9m / EBITDA 204.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.89 (Net Debt 317.9m / FCF TTM 167.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 273.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.26% (Net Income 56.7m / Total Assets 1.10b)
RoE = 20.74% (Net Income TTM 56.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 273.2m)
RoCE = 15.11% (EBIT 123.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 273.2m + L.T.Debt 543.3m))
RoIC = 9.61% (NOPAT 89.0m / Invested Capital 926.4m)
WACC = 6.25% (E(989.7m)/V(1.56b) * Re(7.33%) + D(573.3m)/V(1.56b) * Rd(6.09%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -16.52 | Cagr: -0.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈119.5m ; Y1≈137.0m ; Y5≈201.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 33.45 (EV 3.03b - Net Debt 317.9m = Equity 2.72b / Shares 81.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -29.63 | EPS CAGR: -4.50% | SUE: -0.86 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.34 | Revenue CAGR: 7.09% | SUE: 3.10 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+4.55% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-4.22% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-18.6% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=+10.77% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+30.4% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)