(ACEL) Accel Entertainment - Overview
Gaming Terminals, ATM Solutions, Amusement Devices, Casino Operations
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.02 |
| Alpha | -13.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.598 |
| Beta Downside | 0.600 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
Description: ACEL Accel Entertainment January 21, 2026
Accel Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: ACEL) operates a distributed network of gaming and amusement devices across non-casino venues in the United States, including bars, restaurants, convenience stores, truck stops, and fraternal clubs. Its business spans the full value chain: installing, maintaining, and operating electronic gaming terminals, redemption machines with ATM functionality, and ancillary entertainment equipment such as jukeboxes and pool tables. The company also designs and manufactures its own terminals and provides turnkey solutions, while maintaining a modest portfolio of stand-alone ATMs and casino-style operations.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show approximately 30 k active gaming terminals generating roughly $150 million in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 20 %. Growth is driven primarily by discretionary consumer spending and the increasing adoption of cashless payment methods in low-stakes venues-a sector trend that benefits operators able to offer integrated redemption and ATM features. Regulatory risk remains material, as state-level gaming approvals and licensing fees can materially affect terminal deployment rates.
For a deeper dive into ACEL’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find the ValueRay platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 43.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.60% < 20% (prev 16.85%; Δ -1.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 133.3m > Net Income 43.7m |
| Net Debt (310.6m) to EBITDA (174.1m): 1.78 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.1m) vs 12m ago 2.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.03% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 3073 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 128.4% > 50% (prev 127.4%; Δ 1.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 174.1m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m) |
Altman Z'' 2.62
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 333.6m - Total Current Liabilities 129.7m) / Total Assets 1.09b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 170.1m / Total Assets 1.09b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 99.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 171.2m / Total Liabilities 814.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.62 = A |
Beneish M -3.03
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 8.66m/7.83m, Revenue 1.31b/1.21b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 31.03% / 30.15%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.36) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 1.31b / 1.21b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 43.7m - CFO 133.3m) / TA 1.09b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ACEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.71%, over one month by -4.13%, over three months by +8.80% and over the past year by -2.11%.
Is ACEL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.2 | 36.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.2 | 36.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11 | -0.8% |
ACEL Fundamental Data Overview January 26, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.7281
P/B = 3.5169
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 565.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 602.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 310.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.26b USD (951.7m + Debt 602.7m - CCE 292.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 99.6m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m)
EV/FCF = 26.27x (Enterprise Value 1.26b / FCF TTM 48.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.81% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Enterprise Value 1.26b)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 31.03% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 901.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.32% (prev 31.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 1.26b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.62m / Debt 602.7m)
Taxrate = 25.24% (4.49m / 17.8m)
NOPAT = 74.4m (EBIT 99.6m * (1 - 25.24%))
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 333.6m / Total Current Liabilities 129.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 602.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 267.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 310.6m / EBITDA 174.1m)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 310.6m / FCF TTM 48.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.29% (Net Income 43.7m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 16.77% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.4m)
RoCE = 12.06% (EBIT 99.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.4m + L.T.Debt 565.1m))
RoIC = 8.73% (NOPAT 74.4m / Invested Capital 852.2m)
WACC = 5.39% (E(951.7m)/V(1.55b) * Re(8.12%) + D(602.7m)/V(1.55b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.76% ; FCFF base≈57.5m ; Y1≈49.7m ; Y5≈39.4m
Fair Price DCF = 10.66 (EV 1.20b - Net Debt 310.6m = Equity 887.0m / Shares 83.2m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -16.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -32.75 | EPS CAGR: -45.65% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.46 | Revenue CAGR: 15.46% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-4.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%