(ACEL) Accel Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US00436Q1067
Gaming Terminals, ATM, Jukeboxes, Dartboards, Pool Tables
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.10 |
| Alpha | -15.95 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.59 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 0.605 |
| Beta Downside | 0.634 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.02% |
| Mean DD | 9.49% |
| Median DD | 8.99% |
Description: ACEL Accel Entertainment November 18, 2025
Accel Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: ACEL) is a U.S.-based operator that installs, maintains, and runs gaming terminals, redemption devices with ATM capability, and a range of amusement equipment in non-casino venues such as bars, restaurants, convenience stores, truck stops, and fraternal clubs. In addition to providing turnkey gaming solutions, the firm designs and manufactures its own terminals and operates a limited number of small-scale casinos and stand-alone ATMs.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $210 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of the “pay-to-play” model. The distributed-gaming segment has grown at a compound annual rate of ~8 % over the past three years, driven by rising consumer discretionary spend and the expansion of “micro-gaming” locations in suburban markets. A broader sector driver is the U.S. non-casino gaming market, estimated at $5 billion and projected to outpace overall retail growth as state regulators relax licensing rules for electronic gaming devices.
For a deeper dive into ACEL’s valuation assumptions and comparable peer analysis, you may find ValueRay’s detailed research useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (43.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 78.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.60% (prev 16.85%; Δ -1.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 133.3m > Net Income 43.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (310.6m) to EBITDA (174.1m) ratio: 1.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (86.1m) change vs 12m ago 2.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.03% (prev 30.15%; Δ 0.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 128.4% (prev 127.4%; Δ 1.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.83 (EBITDA TTM 174.1m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.62
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 333.6m - Total Current Liabilities 129.7m) / Total Assets 1.09b |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 170.1m / Total Assets 1.09b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 99.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 171.2m / Total Liabilities 814.1m |
| Total Rating: 2.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.14
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.68% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.78 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.42)% |
| 7. RoE 16.77% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 87.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend -6.90% |
What is the price of ACEL shares?
As of December 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 11.26 with a total of 916,322 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.69%, over one month by +13.85%, over three months by +0.81% and over the past year by -1.31%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.69%, over one month by +13.85%, over three months by +0.81% and over the past year by -1.31%.
Is ACEL a buy, sell or hold?
Accel Entertainment has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ACEL.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.3 | 35.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.3 | 35.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11 | -2% |
ACEL Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 873.3m (873.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.72
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.6681
P/B = 3.2614
Beta = 1.08
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 565.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 602.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 310.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.18b USD (873.3m + Debt 602.7m - CCE 292.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 99.6m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Enterprise Value 1.18b)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 31.03% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 901.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.32% (prev 31.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 1.18b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.62m / Debt 602.7m)
Taxrate = 25.24% (4.49m / 17.8m)
NOPAT = 74.4m (EBIT 99.6m * (1 - 25.24%))
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 333.6m / Total Current Liabilities 129.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 602.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 267.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 310.6m / EBITDA 174.1m)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 310.6m / FCF TTM 48.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.02% (Net Income 43.7m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 16.77% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.4m)
RoCE = 12.06% (EBIT 99.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.4m + L.T.Debt 565.1m))
RoIC = 8.73% (NOPAT 74.4m / Invested Capital 852.2m)
WACC = 5.31% (E(873.3m)/V(1.48b) * Re(8.24%) + D(602.7m)/V(1.48b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.23% ; FCFE base≈57.5m ; Y1≈49.7m ; Y5≈39.5m
Fair Price DCF = 8.35 (DCF Value 694.8m / Shares Outstanding 83.2m; 5y FCF grow -16.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -6.90 | EPS CAGR: -3.09% | SUE: -1.49 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.46 | Revenue CAGR: 15.46% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-0.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
P/E Trailing = 20.72
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.6681
P/B = 3.2614
Beta = 1.08
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 565.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 602.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 310.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.18b USD (873.3m + Debt 602.7m - CCE 292.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 99.6m / Interest Expense TTM 35.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Enterprise Value 1.18b)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 48.1m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 31.03% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 901.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.32% (prev 31.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 1.18b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.62m / Debt 602.7m)
Taxrate = 25.24% (4.49m / 17.8m)
NOPAT = 74.4m (EBIT 99.6m * (1 - 25.24%))
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 333.6m / Total Current Liabilities 129.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 602.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 267.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 310.6m / EBITDA 174.1m)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 310.6m / FCF TTM 48.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.02% (Net Income 43.7m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 16.77% (Net Income TTM 43.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.4m)
RoCE = 12.06% (EBIT 99.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.4m + L.T.Debt 565.1m))
RoIC = 8.73% (NOPAT 74.4m / Invested Capital 852.2m)
WACC = 5.31% (E(873.3m)/V(1.48b) * Re(8.24%) + D(602.7m)/V(1.48b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.23% ; FCFE base≈57.5m ; Y1≈49.7m ; Y5≈39.5m
Fair Price DCF = 8.35 (DCF Value 694.8m / Shares Outstanding 83.2m; 5y FCF grow -16.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -6.90 | EPS CAGR: -3.09% | SUE: -1.49 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.46 | Revenue CAGR: 15.46% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-0.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for ACEL Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle