(ACHR) Archer Aviation - Overview
Stock: E-VTOL Aircraft, Urban Air Mobility, Ride Share, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 61.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 |
| Alpha | -55.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.245 |
| Beta Downside | 1.828 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.70% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.62 |
Description: ACHR Archer Aviation January 06, 2026
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) designs, builds, and services electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility (UAM) and defense markets, and operates a direct-to-consumer aerial rideshare platform called Archer Direct. The company, founded in 2018 and based in San Jose, California, targets both commercial and defense customers with its eVTOL fleet and related maintenance services.
Key operational metrics as of the latest filing (Q3 2024) show a cash burn of roughly $120 million per quarter, offset by $200 million of cash and short-term investments, giving Archer an estimated runway of 12–15 months without additional financing. The firm is pursuing FAA certification for its “Midnight” eVTOL, with a target entry-into-service date in 2025, aligning with a projected UAM market expansion to $20 billion by 2030. A notable sector driver is the tightening of city-level emission regulations, which is accelerating interest from municipalities and corporate campuses in zero-emission aerial transport solutions.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Archer’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -627.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 38.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.0k% < 20% (prev 3519 %; Δ 13.5k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.21 > 3% & CFO -408.0m > Net Income -627.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 18.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (397.5m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 5.32% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 513.4% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.74% > 50% (prev 1.90%; Δ -1.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -25.81 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -586.4m / Interest Expense TTM 23.4m) |
Altman Z'' -10.35
| A: 0.84 (Total Current Assets 1.69b - Total Current Liabilities 93.0m) / Total Assets 1.90b |
| B: -1.11 (Retained Earnings -2.11b / Total Assets 1.90b) |
| C: -0.47 (EBIT TTM -603.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.28b) |
| D: -8.63 (Book Value of Equity -2.12b / Total Liabilities 245.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -10.35 = D |
What is the price of ACHR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.09%, over one month by -18.81%, over three months by -27.30% and over the past year by -24.21%.
Is ACHR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACHR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.6 | 67.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.6 | 67.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.2 | 3.7% |
ACHR Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Revenue TTM = 9.40m USD
EBIT TTM = -603.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -586.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 64.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 88.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -506.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.73b USD (5.28b + Debt 88.6m - CCE 1.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -25.81 (Ebit TTM -603.9m / Interest Expense TTM 23.4m)
EV/FCF = -7.74x (Enterprise Value 3.73b / FCF TTM -481.5m)
FCF Yield = -12.92% (FCF TTM -481.5m / Enterprise Value 3.73b)
FCF Margin = -5122 % (FCF TTM -481.5m / Revenue TTM 9.40m)
Net Margin = -6674 % (Net Income TTM -627.4m / Revenue TTM 9.40m)
Gross Margin = 5.32% ((Revenue TTM 9.40m - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.90m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 3.73b / Total Assets 1.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.70% (Interest Expense 14.8m / Debt 88.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -477.1m (EBIT -603.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 18.19 (Total Current Assets 1.69b / Total Current Liabilities 93.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 88.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.86 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -506.9m / EBITDA -586.4m)
Debt / FCF = 1.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -506.9m / FCF TTM -481.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.19% (Net Income -627.4m / Total Assets 1.90b)
RoE = -49.22% (Net Income TTM -627.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.27b)
RoCE = -45.11% (EBIT -603.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.27b + L.T.Debt 64.1m))
RoIC = -35.63% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -477.1m / Invested Capital 1.34b)
WACC = 14.17% (E(5.28b)/V(5.37b) * Re(14.19%) + D(88.6m)/V(5.37b) * Rd(16.70%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 14.39%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -481.5m)
EPS Correlation: 16.59 | EPS CAGR: 14.75% | SUE: 2.77 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 4.58 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: -0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.73 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%