ACHR Stock Analysis: Archer Aviation | NYSE

Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.134m USD | 12M Return: -66.1% | US03945R1023 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electric Aircraft, Air Taxis, Defense Aviation, Aviation Technologies
Total Rating 20
Safety 55
Buy Signal -1.10
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +3.2
Market Cap: 3.13B
Avg Turnover: 110M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility63.7%
VaR 5th Pctl10.2%
VaR vs Median-2.71%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.28
Rel. Str. IBD2.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group3.9 pctl
Character TTM
Beta3.124
Beta Downside2.690
Hurst Exponent0.521
Choppyness74.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.63%
CAGR/Max DD-0.07
CAGR/Mean DD-0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ACHR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -1.56, "2021-12": 0.14, "2022-03": -0.17, "2022-06": -0.21, "2022-09": -0.24, "2022-12": -0.3, "2023-03": -0.33, "2023-06": -0.29, "2023-09": -0.22, "2023-12": -0.34, "2024-03": -0.13, "2024-06": -0.27, "2024-09": -0.23, "2024-12": -0.3912, "2025-03": -0.12, "2025-06": -0.26, "2025-09": -0.12, "2025-12": -0.14, "2026-03": -0.2839, "2026-06": -0.34,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ACHR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 10.8, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 12.4, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 9.4, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0.3, 2026-03: 1.6, 2026-06: 5,
Rev. CAGR: -50.36%
Rev. Trend: -57.1%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.8 years of data

Jan -1.6% 23
Feb +0.7% 9
Mar -5.6% 10
Apr -4.0% 10
May +17.7% 11
Jun +4.5% 10
Jul +21.1% 30
Aug -6.0% 11
Sep -13.8% 23
Oct +9.2% 23
Nov +7.7% 0
Dec -0.4% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ACHR Archer Aviation

Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) designs and develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft and related technologies, targeting both commercial urban air taxi operations and defense applications across the U.S. and international markets. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California, and operates within the Industrials sector, specifically the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry.

Archers core business model centers on eVTOL aircraft, which use distributed electric propulsion to enable quieter, zero-operating-emission flight compared to conventional helicopters, positioning the company within the emerging urban air mobility (UAM) segment.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • FAA certification progress for Midnight eVTOL aircraft
  • Defense contract wins expand revenue beyond air taxi
  • Cash burn rate requires additional capital raises
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -799.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.30 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.40 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.5k% < 20% (prev 17.9k%; Δ 3.68k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.24 > 3% & CFO -539.5m > Net Income -799.7m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 10.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (781.7m) vs 12m ago 96.64% < -2%
Gross Margin: -23.19% > 18% (prev -24.47%; Δ 1.28% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 0.33% > 50% (prev 0.48%; Δ -0.15% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -14.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM -748.8m / Interest Expense TTM 50.7m)
Altman Z'' 4.53
A: 0.67 (Total Current Assets 1.65b - Total Current Liabilities 161.3m) / Total Assets 2.21b
B: -1.26 (Retained Earnings -2.78b / Total Assets 2.21b)
C: -0.36 (EBIT TTM -748.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.08b)
D: 6.34 (Book Value of Equity 1.89b / Total Liabilities 298.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 4.53 = AA
What is the price of ACHR shares?

As of October 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.87 with a total of 20,627,259 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.91%, over one month by -28.73%, over three months by -26.70% and over the past year by -66.08%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.50 (which is 9.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ACHR a buy, sell or hold?

Archer Aviation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ACHR.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ACHR price?
Analysts Target Price 10.9 181.4%
Archer Aviation (ACHR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.13b (3.13b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 454.2043
P/B = 2.1974
Revenue TTM = 6.90m USD
EBIT TTM = -748.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -719.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 78.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.90m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 171.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 45.5m
Net Debt = -1.39b USD (calculated: Debt 171.1m - CCE 1.56b)
Enterprise Value = 1.74b USD (3.13b + Debt 171.1m - CCE 1.56b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -14.77 (Ebit TTM -748.8m / Interest Expense TTM 50.7m)
EV/FCF = -2.65x (Enterprise Value 1.74b / FCF TTM -659.1m)
FCF Yield = -37.78% (FCF TTM -659.1m / Enterprise Value 1.74b)
 FCF Margin = -9.55k% (FCF TTM -659.1m / Revenue TTM 6.90m)
 Net Margin = -11.6k% (Net Income TTM -799.7m / Revenue TTM 6.90m)
 Gross Margin = -23.19% ((Revenue TTM 6.90m - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.50m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.00% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 1.74b / Total Assets 2.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.63% (Interest Expense 50.7m / Debt 171.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -591.6m (EBIT -748.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.21 (Total Current Assets 1.65b / Total Current Liabilities 161.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 171.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.89b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.39b / EBITDA -719.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.39b / FCF TTM -659.1m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -38.52% (Net Income -799.7m / Total Assets 2.21b)
RoE = -40.86% (Net Income TTM -799.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.96b)
RoCE = -36.79% (EBIT -748.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.96b + L.T.Debt 78.0m))
 RoIC = -28.69% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -591.6m / Invested Capital 2.06b)
 WACC = 16.49% (E(3.13b)/V(3.31b) * Re(16.11%) + D(171.1m)/V(3.31b) * Rd(29.63%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 16.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 87.31 | Cagr: 48.68%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -659.1m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -57.12 | Revenue CAGR: -50.36% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.24 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.96 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-53.1% | GrowthRev=+4944.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.81 | Chg30d=+13.58% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+15.7% | GrowthRev=+812.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)