Overview Dividends

(ADM) Archer-Daniels-Midland - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0394831020

Oilseeds, Grains, Sweeteners, Starches, Proteins, Ethanol

ADM EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -63.87%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -89.0%

ADM Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -5.40%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -86.3%

Description: ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is a vertically integrated agribusiness that procures, transports, stores, processes, and markets a broad range of agricultural commodities and derived ingredients. Its operations span the United States and key global markets, including Brazil, Canada, Europe, and Asia, allowing it to capture value across the entire supply chain from farm to end-user.

ADM’s business is organized into three segments: Ag Services & Oilseeds (crushing, merchandising, and trade finance of oilseeds and soft seeds); Carbohydrate Solutions (starches, sweeteners, ethanol, and related industrial products); and Nutrition (specialty food, feed, and health ingredients such as proteins, natural flavors, probiotics, and pet treats). The company also provides commodity brokerage and futures-commission-merchant services.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show revenue of roughly $73 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 9 %, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business but also its resilience to commodity price swings. ADM’s earnings are highly sensitive to soybean crush margins, corn-based ethanol demand, and global grain supply-demand fundamentals-drivers that are in turn influenced by U.S. biofuel policy, weather-related crop yields, and emerging protein-alternative trends.

For a deeper quantitative view of ADM’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a data-driven dashboard worth exploring.

ADM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	29,457m
Sub-Industry	Agricultural Products & Services
IPO / Inception	1983-04-05

ADM Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	3.53%
Fundamental	46.7%
Dividend Rating	67.8%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-3.17%
Analyst Rating	3.0 of 5

ADM Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	3.28%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.68%
Annual Growth 5y	8.56%
Payout Consistency	98.7%
Payout Ratio	52.6%

ADM Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	64.7%
Growth Correlation 12m	44.4%
Growth Correlation 5y	-7.3%
CAGR 5y	-8.30%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.15
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.27
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.86
Alpha	-0.23
Beta	0.685
Volatility	25.06%
Current Volume	6045.9k
Average Volume 20d	3706.6k
Stop Loss	59.8 (-3.3%)
Signal	0.99

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (1.10b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.97b TTM)

FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 9.45% (prev 9.33%; Δ 0.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.58b > Net Income 1.10b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (4.67b) to EBITDA (3.23b) ratio: 1.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (484.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 5.92% (prev 7.44%; Δ -1.53pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 158.2% (prev 168.4%; Δ -10.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.10 (EBITDA TTM 3.23b / Interest Expense TTM 670.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.43

(A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 26.29b - Total Current Liabilities 18.47b) / Total Assets 52.00b

(B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 21.95b / Total Assets 52.00b

(D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 22.43b / Total Liabilities 29.31b

Total Rating: 3.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.69

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50

2. FCF Yield 10.53% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 4.96% = 1.24

4. Debt/Equity 0.47 = 2.39

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.45 = 1.05

6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.58)% = -1.98

7. RoE 4.96% = 0.41

8. Rev. Trend -86.32% = -6.47

9. EPS Trend -89.00% = -4.45

What is the price of ADM shares?

As of October 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 61.85 with a total of 6,045,872 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.65%, over one month by +2.18%, over three months by +14.88% and over the past year by +11.08%.

Is Archer-Daniels-Midland a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) is currently (October 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 46.69 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADM is around 58.73 USD . This means that ADM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.04%.

Is ADM a buy, sell or hold?

Archer-Daniels-Midland has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ADM.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 9
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ADM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	58.3	-5.7%
Analysts Target Price	58.3	-5.7%
ValueRay Target Price	64.4	4.1%

Last update: 2025-10-11 02:32

ADM Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 29.46b (29.46b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.6565
P/E Forward = 12.7877
P/S = 0.3559
P/B = 1.2662
P/EG = 16.4259
Beta = 0.685
Revenue TTM = 82.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.08b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.95b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 39.02b USD (29.46b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.10 (Ebit TTM 2.08b / Interest Expense TTM 670.0m)
FCF Yield = 10.53% (FCF TTM 4.11b / Enterprise Value 39.02b)
FCF Margin = 4.96% (FCF TTM 4.11b / Revenue TTM 82.80b)
Net Margin = 1.33% (Net Income TTM 1.10b / Revenue TTM 82.80b)
Gross Margin = 5.92% ((Revenue TTM 82.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 77.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 4.70% (prev 5.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 39.02b / Total Assets 52.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 159.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 22.22% (62.0m / 279.0m)
NOPAT = 1.62b (EBIT 2.08b * (1 - 22.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 26.29b / Total Current Liabilities 18.47b)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.45 (Net Debt 4.67b / EBITDA 3.23b)
Debt / FCF = 1.14 (Net Debt 4.67b / FCF TTM 4.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 1.10b / Total Assets 52.00b)
RoE = 4.96% (Net Income TTM 1.10b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.17b)
RoCE = 6.80% (EBIT 2.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.17b + L.T.Debt 8.37b))
RoIC = 5.00% (NOPAT 1.62b / Invested Capital 32.29b)
WACC = 6.59% (E(29.46b)/V(40.07b) * Re(8.54%) + D(10.62b)/V(40.07b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -4.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.09% ; FCFE base≈3.73b ; Y1≈3.07b ; Y5≈2.20b
Fair Price DCF = 77.21 (DCF Value 37.10b / Shares Outstanding 480.5m; 5y FCF grow -21.44% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -89.00 | EPS CAGR: -63.87% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -86.32 | Revenue CAGR: -5.40% | SUE: -1.05 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ADM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle