Overview Dividends

(ADT) ADT - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US00090Q1031

Security, Automation, Monitoring, Cameras, Alarms

ADT EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 35.37%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 76.2%

ADT Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.68%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -50.2%

Description: ADT ADT November 03, 2025

ADT Inc. (NYSE:ADT) delivers a portfolio of security, interactive, and smart-home solutions across the United States, ranging from burglar and life-safety alarms to AI-enabled cameras, environmental sensors, and personal emergency response systems. Its offerings are marketed under the ADT, ADT Pulse, and ADT+ brands and are sold to homeowners, renters, and small-business owners through a mix of direct door-to-door sales, field offices, independent dealers, and referral networks.

Key operational metrics show the business is scaling its recurring-revenue model: as of Q3 2024, ADT reported a 5.2% year-over-year increase in total contract subscriptions, with average revenue per user (ARPU) climbing to $78, driven in part by higher-margin smart-home add-ons. The company’s growth is also linked to macro trends such as rising consumer spending on home automation (projected CAGR ≈ 9% through 2028) and a tightening labor market that fuels demand for professional installation services.

Looking ahead, ADT’s exposure to the broader “connected home” sector makes it sensitive to technology adoption cycles and regulatory changes around data privacy and emergency-response standards; a material shift in either direction could materially affect its top line.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ADT’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful as a next step in your research.

ADT Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	7,143m
Sub-Industry	Specialized Consumer Services
IPO / Inception	2018-01-19

ADT Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	39.5%
Fundamental	67.7%
Dividend Rating	64.3%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	1.73%
Analyst Rating	3.60 of 5

ADT Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.50%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.41%
Annual Growth 5y	11.96%
Payout Consistency	89.3%
Payout Ratio	26.2%

ADT Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	27.8%
Growth Correlation 12m	93.2%
Growth Correlation 5y	-6.6%
CAGR 5y	3.15%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.07
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	0.14
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.98
Alpha	2.51
Beta	1.059
Volatility	29.69%
Current Volume	8202.4k
Average Volume 20d	6293.7k
Stop Loss	8.5 (-3.3%)
Signal	0.22

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (622.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 303.6m TTM)

FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -21.98% (prev -6.88%; Δ -15.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.99b > Net Income 622.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (7.77b) to EBITDA (2.66b) ratio: 2.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (856.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 81.29% (prev 83.17%; Δ -1.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 31.66% (prev 30.00%; Δ 1.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 2.73 (EBITDA TTM 2.66b / Interest Expense TTM 480.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -0.80

(A) -0.07 = (Total Current Assets 940.0m - Total Current Liabilities 2.05b) / Total Assets 15.97b

(B) -0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.11b / Total Assets 15.97b

(D) -0.25 = Book Value of Equity -3.11b / Total Liabilities 12.31b

Total Rating: -0.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.73

1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0

2. FCF Yield 10.66% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 31.42% = 7.50

4. Debt/Equity 2.14 = 0.57

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.92 = -1.65

6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.11)% = 3.89

7. RoE 16.62% = 1.39

8. Rev. Trend -50.24% = -3.77

9. EPS Trend 76.19% = 3.81

What is the price of ADT shares?

As of November 04, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 8.79 with a total of 8,202,360 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.57%, over one month by -0.11%, over three months by +4.69% and over the past year by +23.48%.

Is ADT a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, ADT (NYSE:ADT) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 67.73 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADT is around 8.68 USD . This means that ADT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.25%.

Is ADT a buy, sell or hold?

ADT has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ADT.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ADT price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.6	9%
Analysts Target Price	9.6	9%
ValueRay Target Price	9.4	7.1%

ADT Fundamental Data Overview October 25, 2025

Market Cap USD = 7.14b (7.14b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.2676
P/E Forward = 9.6154
P/S = 1.412
P/B = 1.9609
Beta = 1.059
Revenue TTM = 5.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.91b USD (7.14b + Debt 7.82b - CCE 45.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.73 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM 480.8m)
FCF Yield = 10.66% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 14.91b)
FCF Margin = 31.42% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Net Margin = 12.30% (Net Income TTM 622.4m / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Gross Margin = 81.29% ((Revenue TTM 5.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 946.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.59% (prev 81.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 14.91b / Total Assets 15.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.48% (Interest Expense 116.0m / Debt 7.82b)
Taxrate = 26.05% (59.0m / 226.5m)
NOPAT = 969.2m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 26.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 940.0m / Total Current Liabilities 2.05b)
Debt / Equity = 2.14 (Debt 7.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.92 (Net Debt 7.77b / EBITDA 2.66b)
Debt / FCF = 4.89 (Net Debt 7.77b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.90% (Net Income 622.4m / Total Assets 15.97b)
RoE = 16.62% (Net Income TTM 622.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.74b)
RoCE = 12.49% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.74b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 8.42% (NOPAT 969.2m / Invested Capital 11.51b)
WACC = 5.31% (E(7.14b)/V(14.96b) * Re(9.92%) + D(7.82b)/V(14.96b) * Rd(1.48%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.59% ; FCFE base≈1.36b ; Y1≈1.68b ; Y5≈2.86b
Fair Price DCF = 45.91 (DCF Value 35.13b / Shares Outstanding 765.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.19 | EPS CAGR: 35.37% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.24 | Revenue CAGR: -7.68% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ADT Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle