(ADT) ADT - Ratings and Ratios
Burglar Alarms, Fire Alarms, Camera Systems, Home Automation, Emergency Response
ADT EPS (Earnings per Share)
ADT Revenue
Description: ADT ADT
ADT Inc. is a leading provider of security, interactive, and smart home solutions in the United States, offering a range of products and services including burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, and home automation systems. The companys solutions cater to residential and small business security and automation markets, targeting owners and renters of single-family homes, apartments, and small businesses.
From a business perspective, ADTs revenue streams are primarily driven by its security monitoring services, which account for the majority of its revenue. The companys customer base is largely comprised of recurring revenue customers, with a high customer retention rate. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor ADTs performance include customer acquisition costs, average revenue per user (ARPU), and customer retention rates. As of the latest available data, ADT has a significant customer base, with a substantial portion of its revenue coming from recurring monthly fees.
ADTs competitive position in the market is characterized by its strong brand recognition and extensive network of field sales and service offices. The companys partnerships with third-party independent dealers and authorized dealers also contribute to its market presence. To gauge ADTs operational efficiency, KPIs such as sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue, and operating margins can be monitored. ADTs ability to innovate and expand its product offerings, such as its integration with Google Nest products, is also a key factor in its competitive positioning.
In terms of financial health, ADTs leverage ratio, interest coverage ratio, and return on equity (ROE) are important metrics to track. With a ROE of 14.54%, ADT demonstrates a reasonable return on shareholder equity. Additionally, the companys market capitalization of $7.07 billion and a forward P/E ratio of 10.06 suggest a relatively stable valuation. Monitoring ADTs free cash flow generation and debt repayment capabilities will be crucial in assessing its long-term financial sustainability.
ADT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,258m |
| Sub-Industry | Specialized Consumer Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2018-01-19 |
ADT Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 39.0% |
| Fundamental | 69.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 65.2% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 4.18% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.60 of 5 |
ADT Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.70% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.82% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.2% |
ADT Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 75% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 91.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -12.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 4.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.21 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.76 |
| Alpha | 0.08 |
| Beta | 0.434 |
| Volatility | 35.16% |
| Current Volume | 8971.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 9021.8k |
| Stop Loss | 8.3 (-3.6%) |
| Signal | -1.42 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (622.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 303.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -21.98% (prev -6.88%; Δ -15.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.99b > Net Income 622.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.77b) to EBITDA (2.66b) ratio: 2.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (856.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 81.29% (prev 83.17%; Δ -1.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.66% (prev 30.00%; Δ 1.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.73 (EBITDA TTM 2.66b / Interest Expense TTM 480.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.80
| (A) -0.07 = (Total Current Assets 940.0m - Total Current Liabilities 2.05b) / Total Assets 15.97b |
| (B) -0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.11b / Total Assets 15.97b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.31b / Avg Total Assets 15.98b |
| (D) -0.25 = Book Value of Equity -3.11b / Total Liabilities 12.31b |
| Total Rating: -0.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.33
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.58% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.42% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.14 = 0.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.93 = -1.67 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.40)% = 5.50 |
| 7. RoE 16.62% = 1.39 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -50.24% = -3.77 |
| 9. EPS Trend 76.19% = 3.81 |
What is the price of ADT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.76%, over one month by +0.18%, over three months by +6.46% and over the past year by +23.49%.
Is ADT a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADT is around 8.56 USD . This means that ADT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.58%.
Is ADT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.6 | 11.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.6 | 11.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.2 | 6.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-13 04:30
ADT Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 45.2m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 12.4648
P/E Forward = 9.7276
P/S = 1.4347
P/B = 1.9833
Beta = 1.139
Revenue TTM = 5.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.82b USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.06b + Long Term 6.75b)
Net Debt = 7.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.03b USD (7.26b + Debt 7.82b - CCE 45.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.73 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM 480.8m)
FCF Yield = 10.58% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 15.03b)
FCF Margin = 31.42% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Net Margin = 12.30% (Net Income TTM 622.4m / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Gross Margin = 81.29% ((Revenue TTM 5.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 946.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -4.84 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 15.03b / Book Value Of Equity -3.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.48% (Interest Expense 116.0m / Debt 7.82b)
Taxrate = 24.02% (195.8m / 815.2m)
NOPAT = 995.9m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 24.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 940.0m / Total Current Liabilities 2.05b)
Debt / Equity = 2.14 (Debt 7.82b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 3.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.93 (Net Debt 7.77b / EBITDA 2.66b)
Debt / FCF = 4.92 (Debt 7.82b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.74b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.90% (Net Income 622.4m, Total Assets 15.97b )
RoE = 16.62% (Net Income TTM 622.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.74b)
RoCE = 12.49% (Ebit 1.31b / (Equity 3.74b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 8.65% (NOPAT 995.9m / Invested Capital 11.51b)
WACC = 4.25% (E(7.26b)/V(15.07b) * Re(7.61%)) + (D(7.82b)/V(15.07b) * Rd(1.48%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -21.21 | Cagr: -0.50%
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈1.36b ; Y1≈1.68b ; Y5≈2.86b
Fair Price DCF = 63.62 (DCF Value 48.69b / Shares Outstanding 765.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.19 | EPS CAGR: 35.37% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.24 | Revenue CAGR: -7.68% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ADT Stock
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