AEE Stock Analysis: Ameren | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 32.745m USD | 12M Return: 19.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 201M
EPS Trend: 93.4%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 65.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ameren Corporation (NYSE: AEE) is a U.S. public utility holding company headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, founded in 1881 and operating since its 1998 listing. The company runs four segments-Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission-engaged in rate-regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution as well as natural gas distribution. Its generation portfolio spans coal, nuclear, natural gas, and renewable sources such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
Operating within the GICS Multi-Utilities sub-industry, Amerens business model centers on rate-regulated utility operations across vertically integrated and distribution-only service territories. Multi-utilities typically combine electric and gas service under one corporate structure, with earnings largely determined by state and federal regulators through periodic rate cases that set allowed returns on rate base.
- Missouri rate case order drives earnings growth
- Energy transition capex exceeds $40 billion through 2030
- Illinois natural gas distribution rate base expands steadily
| Net Income: 1.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -17.56% < 20% (prev -5.16%; Δ -12.40% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 3.34b > Net Income 1.52b |
| Net Debt (20.1b) to EBITDA (4.09b): 4.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (278.4m) vs 12m ago 2.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.38% > 18% (prev 47.15%; Δ -7.78% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.59% > 50% (prev 17.31%; Δ 1.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.48b / Interest Expense TTM 805.0m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.57b - Total Current Liabilities 4.13b) / Total Assets 49.8b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 5.44b / Total Assets 49.8b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.48b / Avg Total Assets 47.8b) |
| D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 13.6b / Total Liabilities 36.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.89 = B |
| DSRI: 0.50 (Receivables 703.0m/1.25b, Revenue 8.88b/7.90b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 47.15% / 39.38%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 8.88b / 7.90b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.52b - CFO 3.34b) / TA 49.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 112.19 with a total of 3,000,116 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.00%, over one month by +7.51%, over three months by +1.98% and over the past year by +19.71%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 107.30 (which is 4.4% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Ameren has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.88. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AEE.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 120.2 | 7.1% |
P/E Trailing = 21.2806
P/E Forward = 21.978
P/S = 3.8321
P/B = 2.4156
P/EG = 2.7474
Revenue TTM = 8.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.48b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.0b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.12b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.1b USD (calculated: Debt 20.1b - CCE 13.0m)
Enterprise Value = 52.9b USD (32.7b + Debt 20.1b - CCE 13.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 2.48b / Interest Expense TTM 805.0m)
EV/FCF = -39.89x (Enterprise Value 52.9b / FCF TTM -1.32b)
FCF Yield = -2.51% (FCF TTM -1.32b / Enterprise Value 52.9b)
FCF Margin = -14.92% (FCF TTM -1.32b / Revenue TTM 8.88b)
Net Margin = 17.17% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 8.88b)
Gross Margin = 39.38% ((Revenue TTM 8.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.68% (prev 27.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 52.9b / Total Assets 49.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.00% (Interest Expense 805.0m / Debt 20.1b)
Taxrate = 8.78% (147.0m / 1.68b)
NOPAT = 2.26b (EBIT 2.48b * (1 - 8.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 2.57b / Total Current Liabilities 4.13b)
Debt / Equity = 1.48 (Debt 20.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.92 (Net Debt 20.1b / EBITDA 4.09b)
Debt / FCF = -15.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.1b / FCF TTM -1.32b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.19% (Net Income 1.52b / Total Assets 49.8b)
RoE = 11.71% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.0b)
RoCE = 7.75% (EBIT 2.48b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.0b + L.T.Debt 19.0b))
RoIC = 4.83% (NOPAT 2.26b / Invested Capital 46.8b)
WACC = 5.15% (E(32.7b)/V(52.9b) * Re(6.07%) + D(20.1b)/V(52.9b) * Rd(4.00%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 6.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.88 | Cagr: 2.39%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.32b)
EPS Correlation: 93.37 | EPS CAGR: 8.12% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 65.03 | Revenue CAGR: 6.01% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.40 | Chg30d=-1.42% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.37 | Chg30d=-0.00% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.4% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.85 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+8.8% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%