AEE Stock Analysis: Ameren | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 31.027m USD | 12M Return: 11.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 152M
EPS Trend: 95.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 81.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ameren Corporation (NYSE: AEE) is a U.S. public utility holding company headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, founded in 1881 and operating since its 1998 listing. The company runs four segments-Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission-engaged in rate-regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution as well as natural gas distribution. Its generation portfolio spans coal, nuclear, natural gas, and renewable sources such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
Operating within the GICS Multi-Utilities sub-industry, Amerens business model centers on rate-regulated utility operations across vertically integrated and distribution-only service territories. Multi-utilities typically combine electric and gas service under one corporate structure, with earnings largely determined by state and federal regulators through periodic rate cases that set allowed returns on rate base.
- Missouri rate case order drives earnings growth
- Energy transition capex exceeds $40 billion through 2030
- Illinois natural gas distribution rate base expands steadily
| Net Income: 1.56b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -26.68% < 20% (prev -7.27%; Δ -19.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 3.25b > Net Income 1.56b |
| Net Debt (19.7b) to EBITDA (4.18b): 4.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (278.6m) vs 12m ago 2.62% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.07% > 18% (prev 44.91%; Δ -3.84% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.88% > 50% (prev 18.08%; Δ -0.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 827.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 2.64b - Total Current Liabilities 4.98b) / Total Assets 51.2b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 5.55b / Total Assets 51.2b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.55b / Avg Total Assets 48.9b) |
| D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 13.7b / Total Liabilities 37.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B |
| DSRI: 0.51 (Receivables 600.0m/1.14b, Revenue 8.75b/8.43b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 44.91% / 41.07%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 8.75b / 8.43b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.56b - CFO 3.25b) / TA 51.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.61 with a total of 2,758,932 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.66%, over one month by -3.03%, over three months by -2.87% and over the past year by +11.47%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 106.30 (which is 3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Ameren has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.88. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AEE.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 121.6 | 11% |
P/E Trailing = 19.5594
P/E Forward = 20.4499
P/S = 3.3934
P/B = 2.2451
P/EG = 2.4597
Revenue TTM = 8.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.7b USD (corrected: LT Debt 18.2b + ST Debt 1.52b)
Net Debt = 19.7b USD (calculated: Debt 19.7b - CCE 12.0m)
Enterprise Value = 50.8b USD (31.0b + Debt 19.7b - CCE 12.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 827.0m)
EV/FCF = -36.07x (Enterprise Value 50.8b / FCF TTM -1.41b)
FCF Yield = -2.77% (FCF TTM -1.41b / Enterprise Value 50.8b)
FCF Margin = -16.08% (FCF TTM -1.41b / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Net Margin = 17.86% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Gross Margin = 41.07% ((Revenue TTM 8.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.00% (prev 49.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 50.8b / Total Assets 51.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.19% (Interest Expense 827.0m / Debt 19.7b)
Taxrate = 9.05% (156.0m / 1.72b)
NOPAT = 2.32b (EBIT 2.55b * (1 - 9.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 2.64b / Total Current Liabilities 4.98b)
Debt / Equity = 1.44 (Debt 19.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.72 (Net Debt 19.7b / EBITDA 4.18b)
Debt / FCF = -14.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 19.7b / FCF TTM -1.41b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.19% (Net Income 1.56b / Total Assets 51.2b)
RoE = 11.70% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.4b)
RoCE = 8.08% (EBIT 2.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.4b + L.T.Debt 18.2b))
RoIC = 4.86% (NOPAT 2.32b / Invested Capital 47.8b)
WACC = 5.30% (E(31.0b)/V(50.8b) * Re(6.24%) + D(19.7b)/V(50.8b) * Rd(4.19%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 6.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.67 | Cagr: 1.94%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.41b)
EPS Correlation: 95.44 | EPS CAGR: 8.26% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 81.86 | Revenue CAGR: 8.03% | SUE: -0.98 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.34 | Chg30d=-2.56% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.38 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+0.6% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.84 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)