(AEG) Aegon - Ratings and Ratios
Insurance, Pensions, Asset Management, Mortgages, Digital Savings
AEG EPS (Earnings per Share)
AEG Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.94 |
| Alpha | 16.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.465 |
| Beta | 0.818 |
| Beta Downside | 0.939 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.65% |
| Mean DD | 5.68% |
| Median DD | 4.28% |
Description: AEG Aegon October 31, 2025
Aegon NV (NYSE: AEG) is a Dutch-based financial services group that operates in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. Through its Transamerica and World Financial Group brands, it offers a full suite of life, accident, property-and-casualty, and health insurance, as well as annuities, retirement plans, mutual funds, stable-value solutions, mortgage lending, digital savings, and both retail and institutional investment-management services.
Key recent metrics that shape Aegon’s outlook include a 2023 combined ratio of 97.6% in its life-and-health segment (indicating underwriting profitability), €332 billion in assets under management, and a net income of €1.7 billion, which was boosted by higher interest-rate spreads on its investment portfolio. The company’s earnings are particularly sensitive to the Euro-zone and U.S. interest-rate environment, as longer-duration assets generate more yield while also influencing policyholder behavior in retirement products.
If you want a data-rich, quantitative follow-up, consider checking ValueRay’s platform for deeper analytics on AEG’s valuation drivers and scenario modeling.
AEG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,098m |
| Sub-Industry | Life & Health Insurance |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-07-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 14.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
AEG Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.65% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 16.38% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 78.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.1% |
AEG Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 24.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.92 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.33 |
| Current Volume | 4726.2k |
| Average Volume | 4726.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (1.25b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.76b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 78.26% (prev 20.25%; Δ 58.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO 586.0m <= Net Income 1.25b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.07b) to EBITDA (3.78b) ratio: 0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.58b) change vs 12m ago -9.72% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.47% (prev 97.84%; Δ -63.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.60% (prev 5.25%; Δ 4.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.75 (EBITDA TTM 3.78b / Interest Expense TTM 402.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.55
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 30.33b - Total Current Liabilities 7.32b) / Total Assets 310.63b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.08b / Total Assets 310.63b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 702.5m / Avg Total Assets 306.11b |
| (D) 0.00 = Book Value of Equity 447.0m / Total Liabilities 301.25b |
| Total Rating: 0.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.20
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.31% = -0.65 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.73% = 0.43 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.46 = 2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.28 = 2.44 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.84)% = -3.55 |
| 7. RoE 14.07% = 1.17 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 74.91% = 5.62 |
| 9. EPS Trend 16.81% = 0.84 |
What is the price of AEG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.63%, over one month by +0.00%, over three months by +6.88% and over the past year by +30.91%.
Is Aegon a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AEG is around 9.14 USD . This means that AEG is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +17.18% (Margin of Safety).
Is AEG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AEG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.1 | 4.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.1 | 4.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.1 | 29.5% |
AEG Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.4111
P/E Forward = 8.2508
P/S = 0.9142
P/B = 1.1432
P/EG = 14.0924
Beta = 0.931
Revenue TTM = 29.40b EUR
EBIT TTM = 702.5m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.78b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.27b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.27b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.07b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -38.98b EUR (10.43b + Debt 4.27b - CCE 53.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.75 (Ebit TTM 702.5m / Interest Expense TTM 402.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.31% (FCF TTM 509.0m / Enterprise Value -38.98b)
FCF Margin = 1.73% (FCF TTM 509.0m / Revenue TTM 29.40b)
Net Margin = 4.24% (Net Income TTM 1.25b / Revenue TTM 29.40b)
Gross Margin = 34.47% ((Revenue TTM 29.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 96.26% (prev -14.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.13 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -38.98b / Total Assets 310.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.12% (Interest Expense 176.0m / Debt 4.27b)
Taxrate = 10.64% (72.0m / 677.0m)
NOPAT = 627.8m (EBIT 702.5m * (1 - 10.64%))
Current Ratio = 4.14 (Total Current Assets 30.33b / Total Current Liabilities 7.32b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 4.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 1.07b / EBITDA 3.78b)
Debt / FCF = 2.10 (Net Debt 1.07b / FCF TTM 509.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.40% (Net Income 1.25b / Total Assets 310.63b)
RoE = 14.07% (Net Income TTM 1.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.86b)
RoCE = 5.35% (EBIT 702.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.86b + L.T.Debt 4.27b))
RoIC = 4.64% (NOPAT 627.8m / Invested Capital 13.54b)
WACC = 7.48% (E(10.43b)/V(14.70b) * Re(9.03%) + D(4.27b)/V(14.70b) * Rd(4.12%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.12% ; FCFE base≈625.0m ; Y1≈410.3m ; Y5≈187.7m
Fair Price DCF = 2.01 (DCF Value 3.15b / Shares Outstanding 1.57b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 16.81 | EPS CAGR: 180.2% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.91 | Revenue CAGR: 29.04% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AEG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle